Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Automatic Data Processing Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 29, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Automatic Data Processing Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,334,712 2,508,856 2,290,136 1,628,778 1,771,847 1,527,436
Cost of capital2 13.41% 13.37% 13.42% 13.39% 13.29% 13.15%
Invested capital3 10,152,600 9,580,300 9,463,158 7,289,794 7,519,836 7,921,908
 
Economic profit4 973,245 1,228,267 1,020,010 652,695 772,521 485,570

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,334,71213.41% × 10,152,600 = 973,245


The analysis of economic performance from 2016 to 2021 indicates a general expansion in value creation, with economic profit reaching its zenith in 2020 before experiencing a moderate contraction in 2021.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A positive growth trend is observed in NOPAT, which rose from US$ 1,527,436 thousand in 2016 to US$ 2,508,856 thousand in 2020. The most substantial increase occurred between 2018 and 2019, during which NOPAT grew by approximately 40%. Although a decline occurred in 2021 to US$ 2,334,712 thousand, the figure remained significantly higher than the levels recorded in the first half of the analyzed period.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital followed a non-linear trajectory, initially decreasing from US$ 7,921,908 thousand in 2016 to a low of US$ 7,289,794 thousand in 2018, before surging to US$ 9,463,158 thousand in 2019 and continuing an upward trend to US$ 10,152,600 thousand by 2021. Concurrently, the cost of capital remained remarkably stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 13.15% and 13.42% throughout the six-year period.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit demonstrated a strong correlation with NOPAT fluctuations. After an initial increase and a brief dip in 2018, economic profit grew sharply to surpass the US$ 1 billion mark in 2019, peaking at US$ 1,228,267 thousand in 2020. The reduction to US$ 973,245 thousand in 2021 aligns with the concurrent decrease in NOPAT and the continued increase in the capital base, which heightened the total capital charge.
Overall Value Creation Efficiency
The consistency of the cost of capital suggests that changes in economic profit were driven primarily by operational performance and capital allocation decisions rather than shifts in market risk or financing costs. The period between 2019 and 2020 represents the peak of value creation efficiency, where NOPAT growth significantly outpaced the increase in the cost of the invested capital base.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Automatic Data Processing Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Net earnings 2,598,500 2,466,500 2,292,800 1,620,800 1,733,400 1,492,500
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (251,100) 26,000 9,300 500 8,100 700
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 (12,900) 37,600 3,600 1,700 11,500 2,600
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues3 (16,800) (36,900) (53,800) (20,000) 10,000 23,000
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (280,800) 26,700 (40,900) (17,800) 29,600 26,300
Interest expense 59,700 107,100 129,900 102,700 80,000 56,200
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 9,634 10,118 15,200 14,153 12,510 13,101
Adjusted interest expense 69,334 117,218 145,100 116,853 92,510 69,301
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (14,560) (24,616) (30,471) (32,836) (32,379) (24,255)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 54,774 92,602 114,629 84,017 60,132 45,046
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (11,300) (12,900) 900 2,500 (2,200) 5,000
Interest income on corporate funds (36,500) (84,500) (97,600) (83,500) (76,700) (62,400)
Investment income, before taxes (47,800) (97,400) (96,700) (81,000) (78,900) (57,400)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 10,038 20,454 20,307 22,761 27,615 20,090
Investment income, after taxes9 (37,762) (76,946) (76,393) (58,239) (51,285) (37,310)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax10 900
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,334,712 2,508,856 2,290,136 1,628,778 1,771,847 1,527,436

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenues.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

5 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 437,900 × 2.20% = 9,634

6 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 69,334 × 21.00% = 14,560

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

8 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 47,800 × 21.00% = 10,038

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

10 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Earnings
The net earnings exhibited an overall increasing trend from 2016 to 2021. Starting at $1,492,500 thousand in 2016, the figure rose to $1,733,400 thousand in 2017 before experiencing a slight decline to $1,620,800 thousand in 2018. After this dip, net earnings showed a significant increase to $2,292,800 thousand in 2019, continuing upward to $2,466,500 thousand in 2020 and reaching $2,598,500 thousand in 2021. This pattern suggests a strong recovery and consistent growth momentum in recent years despite minor fluctuations.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values closely mirror the net earnings trend with increasing values from 2016 through 2020 followed by a decline in 2021. Initially, NOPAT rose from $1,527,436 thousand in 2016 to $1,771,847 thousand in 2017 but then decreased to $1,628,778 thousand in 2018. It rebounded substantially to $2,290,136 thousand in 2019 and increased further to a peak of $2,508,856 thousand in 2020. In 2021, however, NOPAT declined to $2,334,712 thousand. This decline in 2021 contrasts with the continued rise in net earnings, highlighting potential changes in operational efficiency, tax impacts, or adjustments in operating expenses.
Comparative Insights
Both metrics demonstrate a pattern of growth punctuated by a downturn in 2018, followed by robust increases through 2020. The divergence observed in 2021, where net earnings continued to grow but NOPAT decreased, may require further investigation. This discrepancy could point to factors such as non-operating income influences on net earnings, changes in tax structures, or operational cost shifts affecting NOPAT independently of net profits. Overall, the financial data shows resilience with strong profitability gains over the period analyzed.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Automatic Data Processing Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Provision for income taxes 762,700 716,100 712,800 550,300 797,700 741,300
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (251,100) 26,000 9,300 500 8,100 700
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 14,560 24,616 30,471 32,836 32,379 24,255
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 10,038 20,454 20,307 22,761 27,615 20,090
Cash operating taxes 1,018,322 694,262 713,664 559,875 794,364 744,765

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes showed fluctuations over the period under review. It initially increased from 741,300 thousand US dollars in mid-2016 to 797,700 thousand US dollars by mid-2017. This was followed by a notable decline to 550,300 thousand US dollars in mid-2018. Subsequently, the provision rose again, reaching 712,800 thousand US dollars in 2019 and remaining relatively stable around 716,100 thousand US dollars in 2020. By mid-2021, it increased slightly to 762,700 thousand US dollars. Overall, the data indicate some volatility with a general tendency towards recovery and growth in the latter years.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes mirrored the trends of provision for income taxes, reflecting a general correlation between the two metrics. Starting at 744,765 thousand US dollars in 2016, cash operating taxes slightly decreased to 794,364 thousand US dollars in 2017 before falling significantly to 559,875 thousand US dollars in 2018. Subsequently, there was an increase to 713,664 thousand US dollars in 2019. In 2020, there was a slight decrease to 694,262 thousand US dollars, followed by a substantial jump to 1,018,322 thousand US dollars in 2021. The sharp increase in 2021 suggests a possible change in tax obligations or operational cash flows impacting tax payments.
Comparative Insights
Both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes show some alignment in their patterns with synchronous ups and downs over the years. However, cash operating taxes experienced a more pronounced increase in 2021 compared to the provision for income taxes, indicating either an adjustment in timing or recognition of actual cash tax payments vis-à-vis accounting provisions. This divergence in the final year could warrant further investigation to understand underlying causes such as changes in tax policy, fiscal adjustments, or operational factors.

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Invested Capital

Automatic Data Processing Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Obligations under reverse repurchase agreements 23,500 13,600 262,000
Short-term debt 1,001,800
Long-term debt 2,985,000 1,002,800 2,002,200 2,002,400 2,002,400 2,007,700
Operating lease liability1 437,900 439,900 542,858 484,694 428,436 445,608
Total reported debt & leases 3,446,400 2,458,100 2,807,058 2,487,094 2,430,836 2,453,308
Stockholders’ equity 5,670,100 5,752,200 5,399,900 3,459,600 3,977,000 4,481,600
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 434,700 693,200 595,900 17,200 69,700 150,800
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 79,600 92,500 54,900 51,300 49,600 38,100
Deferred revenues4 566,300 583,100 620,000 604,300 624,300 614,300
Equity equivalents5 1,080,600 1,368,800 1,270,800 672,800 743,600 803,200
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 (10,600) 14,800 257,300 680,800 379,200 215,100
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 6,740,100 7,135,800 6,928,000 4,813,200 5,099,800 5,499,900
Marketable securities7 (33,900) (13,600) (271,900) (10,500) (10,800) (31,300)
Invested capital 10,152,600 9,580,300 9,463,158 7,289,794 7,519,836 7,921,908

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenues.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases figures indicate some fluctuations over the analyzed periods. Initially, the debt remained relatively stable between 2016 and 2018, with values just above 2.4 billion US dollars. In 2019, there was a noticeable increase to approximately 2.81 billion, followed by a decrease in 2020 to around 2.46 billion. However, by 2021, the debt sharply increased to approximately 3.45 billion, representing the highest level within the given timeframe.
Stockholders’ equity
The stockholders’ equity showed a declining trend from 2016 to 2018, dropping from about 4.48 billion to around 3.46 billion US dollars. A significant recovery is observed in 2019, with equity rising sharply to approximately 5.4 billion, continuing to increase moderately in 2020 to about 5.75 billion. In 2021, there was a slight decrease to roughly 5.67 billion, though equity remained well above the levels seen in the initial years.
Invested capital
Invested capital experienced a downward trend from 2016 through 2018, declining from approximately 7.92 billion to about 7.29 billion US dollars. In 2019, invested capital increased markedly to roughly 9.46 billion, and then grew slightly in 2020 to approximately 9.58 billion. The upward movement continued into 2021, reaching around 10.15 billion, the highest level in the period examined.
Overall analysis
The data reflect a period of contraction in both equity and invested capital through 2018, followed by a phase of robust growth starting in 2019. The sudden increase in total debt in 2021, coupled with the continued growth in invested capital, suggests increased leverage and investment activity during that year. Despite the spike in debt in 2021, stockholders’ equity remained relatively strong compared to earlier years, indicating a potentially balanced approach to financing growth with a mix of debt and equity.

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Cost of Capital

Automatic Data Processing Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 89,693,078 89,693,078 ÷ 93,221,778 = 0.96 0.96 × 13.86% = 13.34%
Debt3 3,090,800 3,090,800 ÷ 93,221,778 = 0.03 0.03 × 2.37% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Operating lease liability4 437,900 437,900 ÷ 93,221,778 = 0.00 0.00 × 2.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 93,221,778 1.00 13.41%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 57,946,438 57,946,438 ÷ 60,533,038 = 0.96 0.96 × 13.86% = 13.27%
Debt3 2,146,700 2,146,700 ÷ 60,533,038 = 0.04 0.04 × 2.91% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.08%
Operating lease liability4 439,900 439,900 ÷ 60,533,038 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 60,533,038 1.00 13.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 72,785,232 72,785,232 ÷ 75,660,390 = 0.96 0.96 × 13.86% = 13.34%
Debt3 2,332,300 2,332,300 ÷ 75,660,390 = 0.03 0.03 × 2.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.07%
Operating lease liability4 542,858 542,858 ÷ 75,660,390 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 75,660,390 1.00 13.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 58,812,610 58,812,610 ÷ 61,286,304 = 0.96 0.96 × 13.86% = 13.30%
Debt3 1,989,000 1,989,000 ÷ 61,286,304 = 0.03 0.03 × 2.92% × (1 – 28.10%) = 0.07%
Operating lease liability4 484,694 484,694 ÷ 61,286,304 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.92% × (1 – 28.10%) = 0.02%
Total: 61,286,304 1.00 13.39%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 49,498,904 49,498,904 ÷ 51,999,240 = 0.95 0.95 × 13.86% = 13.20%
Debt3 2,071,900 2,071,900 ÷ 51,999,240 = 0.04 0.04 × 2.92% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.08%
Operating lease liability4 428,436 428,436 ÷ 51,999,240 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.92% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 51,999,240 1.00 13.29%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 40,905,387 40,905,387 ÷ 43,499,695 = 0.94 0.94 × 13.86% = 13.04%
Debt3 2,148,700 2,148,700 ÷ 43,499,695 = 0.05 0.05 × 2.94% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 445,608 445,608 ÷ 43,499,695 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.94% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 43,499,695 1.00 13.15%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Automatic Data Processing Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 973,245 1,228,267 1,020,010 652,695 772,521 485,570
Invested capital2 10,152,600 9,580,300 9,463,158 7,289,794 7,519,836 7,921,908
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 9.59% 12.82% 10.78% 8.95% 10.27% 6.13%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC 5.64% 6.25%
Adobe Inc. 8.78% 1.06%
AppLovin Corp. -30.22%
Cadence Design Systems Inc. 6.73%
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. -10.28%
Datadog Inc. -4.08%
International Business Machines Corp. -6.18%
Intuit Inc. -2.34% 1.11%
Microsoft Corp. 27.48%
Oracle Corp. 0.46%
Palantir Technologies Inc. -40.33%
Palo Alto Networks Inc. -5.45% -6.28%
Salesforce Inc. -12.56%
ServiceNow Inc. 1.89%
Synopsys Inc. -6.97% -6.77%
Workday Inc. -19.44%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 973,245 ÷ 10,152,600 = 9.59%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value added metrics from 2016 to 2021 reveals a period of significant expansion in both absolute economic profit and the total capital base, although efficiency peaked in 2020 before experiencing a contraction.

Economic Profit
A general upward trajectory was observed between 2016 and 2020, with economic profit increasing from US$ 485,570 thousand to a peak of US$ 1,228,267 thousand. Despite a intermittent decline in 2018, the growth trend remained strong until 2021, when profit decreased to US$ 973,245 thousand.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a decreasing trend in the first three years, falling from US$ 7,921,908 thousand in 2016 to a low of US$ 7,289,794 thousand in 2018. Subsequently, a substantial increase occurred starting in 2019, with the capital base expanding to US$ 10,152,600 thousand by June 30, 2021.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio fluctuated throughout the period, starting at 6.13% in 2016 and reaching a maximum of 12.82% in 2020. This indicates that the company's ability to generate returns above its cost of capital improved significantly over the first five years before declining to 9.59% in 2021.

The correlation between these metrics suggests that while the company successfully scaled its invested capital and economic profit from 2019 onward, the rate of return on that capital diminished in 2021. The decline in the economic spread ratio during the final year coincided with the highest level of invested capital, suggesting a decrease in capital efficiency.

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Economic Profit Margin

Automatic Data Processing Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020 Jun 30, 2019 Jun 30, 2018 Jun 30, 2017 Jun 30, 2016
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 973,245 1,228,267 1,020,010 652,695 772,521 485,570
 
Revenues 15,005,400 14,589,800 14,175,200 13,325,800 12,379,800 11,667,800
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenues (16,800) (36,900) (53,800) (20,000) 10,000 23,000
Adjusted revenues 14,988,600 14,552,900 14,121,400 13,305,800 12,389,800 11,690,800
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 6.49% 8.44% 7.22% 4.91% 6.24% 4.15%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC 2.89% 3.18%
Adobe Inc. 10.94% 1.52%
AppLovin Corp. -60.51%
Cadence Design Systems Inc. 6.84%
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. -21.36%
Datadog Inc. -3.24%
International Business Machines Corp. -11.75%
Intuit Inc. -2.97% 1.25%
Microsoft Corp. 22.81%
Oracle Corp. 0.91%
Palantir Technologies Inc. -66.43%
Palo Alto Networks Inc. -7.33% -10.20%
Salesforce Inc. -28.80%
ServiceNow Inc. 1.63%
Synopsys Inc. -11.09% -11.63%
Workday Inc. -25.36%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-06-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × 973,245 ÷ 14,988,600 = 6.49%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between June 30, 2016, and June 30, 2021, is characterized by a consistent expansion in adjusted revenues contrasted with fluctuating economic profit and margin levels.

Adjusted Revenues Trend
A steady upward trajectory is observed in adjusted revenues, which grew consistently every year from US$ 11,690,800 thousand in 2016 to US$ 14,988,600 thousand in 2021. This indicates a reliable growth in the scale of operations over the six-year period.
Economic Profit Volatility
Economic profit exhibited significant variance, starting at US$ 485,570 thousand in 2016 and reaching a peak of US$ 1,228,267 thousand in 2020. Periodic declines were noted in 2018 and 2021, suggesting that the generation of value above the cost of capital was subject to fluctuations despite the rising revenue base.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin followed a non-linear path, correlating closely with the movements in absolute economic profit. The margin increased from 4.15% in 2016 to a maximum of 8.44% in 2020, before retreating to 6.49% by June 30, 2021. This pattern indicates that the efficiency of generating economic value relative to revenues peaked in 2020.

In summary, while the top-line growth remained stable and positive, the conversion of these revenues into economic profit was inconsistent, resulting in a margin that varied between a minimum of 4.15% and a maximum of 8.44%.

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