Stock Analysis on Net

International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM)

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Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

International Business Machines Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period:

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited significant fluctuations. It initially declined from 4,477 million US dollars in 2020 to 4,163 million in 2021. A sharp negative value of -710 million was registered in 2022, indicating an operational loss. However, 2023 showed a strong recovery, with NOPAT rising to 8,615 million, more than doubling the initial 2020 value. In 2024, it declined again to 4,895 million but remained above the 2021 level.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital consistently increased year over year, starting at 8.32% in 2020 and rising steadily to 10.8% by 2024. The upward trajectory suggests increasing costs related to financing and investment risks during the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased from 130,176 million US dollars in 2020 to 110,083 million in 2021, followed by a further decline to 104,131 million in 2022. It then rebounded in 2023 to 112,927 million but slightly decreased again to 111,965 million in 2024. Overall, invested capital trended downward from 2020 to 2022 before partial recovery in the subsequent years, though it did not return to the initial 2020 levels.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the period, indicating that returns did not exceed the cost of capital. Despite some improvement in 2023 (-2,802 million), economic profit showed a worsening trend overall, with significant losses in 2022 (-10,707 million) and 2024 (-7,194 million). The persistent negative values highlight challenges in generating value over and above the capital cost.

In summary, the period is characterized by volatility in operating profits, rising capital costs, and sizable invested capital fluctuations. Although there was a notable rebound in NOPAT in 2023, sustained negative economic profit underscores ongoing difficulties in achieving economic returns sufficient to cover capital costs.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

International Business Machines Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to IBM
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses on notes and accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in deferred income3
Increase (decrease) in product warranty liability4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses on notes and accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred income.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to IBM.

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to IBM.

9 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


The financial data shows significant fluctuations in key profitability metrics over the analyzed period. Net income attributable to the company exhibits a generally volatile pattern, with an initial increase from 2020 to 2021, a sharp decline in 2022, followed by a strong recovery in 2023 and a moderate decrease in 2024.

The net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrates a similarly volatile trend but with more pronounced negative values in 2022. Specifically, NOPAT decreases from 4477 million US dollars in 2020 to 4163 million in 2021, then turns negative in 2022, suggesting operational challenges or extraordinary expenses impacting profitability during that year. The metric sharply recovers in 2023, reaching 8615 million US dollars, the highest recorded in the period, before retracting to 4895 million US dollars in 2024.

Net Income Attributable to the Company
The figure increased by approximately 2.7% from 5590 million in 2020 to 5743 million in 2021, signaling stable performance during that timeframe.
A significant drop to 1639 million in 2022 marks a pronounced decline of over 70%, indicating a challenging fiscal year.
Recovery occurs in 2023, with net income rising sharply to 7502 million, exceeding even the 2020 and 2021 levels.
The following year, 2024, shows a moderate decline to 6023 million, suggesting some stabilization albeit at a lower level than the previous year's peak.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT declined from 4477 million in 2020 to 4163 million in 2021, a drop of about 7%, indicating some weakening in operating performance.
In 2022, the figure turned negative (-710 million), reflecting a significant operational loss during the period, which could be attributed to unusual charges or decreased operational efficiency.
The subsequent year marked an exceptional turnaround, with NOPAT surging to 8615 million—almost doubling the previous positive peak—pointing to a strong recovery in operational profitability.
There was a decrease in 2024 to 4895 million, which, while lower than the prior year, remains above the 2020 and 2021 levels, indicating sustained but moderated operational success.

Overall, the data reveals a period of volatility with a severe downturn in 2022 followed by a powerful rebound in 2023. The decline in both net income and NOPAT in 2022 could suggest the impact of one-time events or market pressures, which were largely mitigated in the following year. The recovery in 2023 indicates effective management responses or favorable market conditions, though the slight pullback in 2024 suggests the need for ongoing vigilance to maintain profitability.


Cash Operating Taxes

International Business Machines Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Continuing operations provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Continuing Operations Provision for (Benefit from) Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes from continuing operations exhibited significant volatility during the five-year period. Initially, in 2020, it reflected a substantial tax benefit of -864 million US dollars, shifting to a tax expense of 124 million in 2021. This pattern repeated with a benefit of -626 million in 2022, followed by a marked increase to an expense of 1176 million in 2023. The figure then moved back to a tax benefit of -218 million in 2024. Such fluctuations suggest variability in taxable income, tax planning strategies, or adjustments related to deferred taxes or other tax-related accounting considerations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated relative stability throughout the period, though with some fluctuations. The amount declined from 2738 million US dollars in 2020 to 2130 million in 2021, indicating a reduction in tax payments or taxable income. In 2022 and 2023, cash operating taxes increased to 2497 million and 2510 million respectively, showing a recovery and stabilization. The figure slightly decreased again to 2356 million in 2024. Overall, this trend indicates some variability in actual cash tax payments, but with a general range between approximately 2100 and 2700 million US dollars annually.

Invested Capital

International Business Machines Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total IBM stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses on notes and accounts receivable3
Deferred income4
Product warranty liability5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total IBM stockholders’ equity
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred income.

5 Addition of product warranty liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total IBM stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data reveals several key trends in the company's capital structure and financial position over the five-year period.

Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases show a decreasing trend from 66,469 million US dollars at the end of 2020 to 54,013 million by the end of 2022. This reduction indicates efforts to lower leverage during this period. However, in 2023, there is a noticeable increase to 59,935 million, followed by a slight decline to 58,396 million in 2024. The fluctuation in recent years may suggest strategic adjustments in debt management or financing activities.
Total IBM stockholders’ equity
The stockholders' equity decreased from 20,597 million in 2020 to 18,901 million in 2021, reflecting a contraction potentially due to losses, dividends, or share repurchases. Subsequently, equity increased steadily, reaching 27,307 million by the end of 2024. This upward trajectory indicates a strengthening of the company’s net asset base and possibly enhanced profitability or capital issuance during this period.
Invested capital
Invested capital exhibited a declining trend from 130,176 million in 2020 to 104,131 million in 2022, which aligns with the reduction in debt levels, signaling a possible downsizing or restructuring of invested resources. However, invested capital recovered somewhat to 112,927 million in 2023 before marginally decreasing to 111,965 million in 2024. This fluctuation suggests a stabilization or modest reinvestment phase following the initial contraction.

Overall, the data indicates an initial phase of deleveraging and capital reduction until 2022, followed by partial recovery of equity and invested capital, accompanied by a moderate resurgence in debt levels in the last two reported years. These patterns point toward an adaptive financial strategy balancing debt, equity, and capital investment over time.


Cost of Capital

International Business Machines Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

International Business Machines Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
AppLovin Corp.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Economic Profit
The economic profit consistently showed negative values across all years, indicating that the company did not generate returns exceeding its cost of capital throughout the period. The magnitude of negative economic profit fluctuated significantly, with a peak negative value of -10,707 million US dollars in 2022. While there was a marked improvement in 2023, where the negative economic profit narrowed to -2,802 million US dollars, this trend reversed in 2024, with economic profit worsening again to -7,194 million US dollars. These fluctuations suggest variable operational performance or changes in profitability relative to capital costs.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated a general decline from 130,176 million US dollars in 2020 to 104,131 million in 2022, suggesting possible divestitures or capital efficiency improvements during this period. In 2023, invested capital rose again to 112,927 million, followed by a slight decrease to 111,965 million in 2024. The overall trend reflects some variability in capital allocation or investment strategies, with a net decrease from 2020 levels.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout all years, reinforcing the situation that returns were below the cost of capital. The ratio deteriorated notably in 2022 to -10.28%, the most adverse figure in the series, indicating a substantial underperformance relative to capital costs during that year. In 2023, the spread ratio improved significantly to -2.48%, although it declined again in 2024 to -6.43%. This pattern parallels the economic profit trend, underscoring considerable volatility in the company’s ability to generate economic value.

In summary, the data reflect a challenging environment with persistent negative economic profit and spread ratios, albeit with some periods of recovery. Invested capital decreased initially but showed signs of regrowth before stabilizing slightly below earlier levels. The fluctuations in economic profit and spread ratios highlight inconsistencies in operational efficiency or market conditions impacting the firm’s economic value during the analyzed years.


Economic Profit Margin

International Business Machines Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred income
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
AppLovin Corp.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Over the five-year period, economic profit has demonstrated considerable volatility. It started at a significant negative value of -6,359 million USD in 2020, slightly improved to -5,753 million USD in 2021, then sharply declined to -10,707 million USD in 2022. Subsequently, there was a notable recovery in 2023 with the economic profit improving to -2,802 million USD, before deteriorating again to -7,194 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests challenges in generating value above the cost of capital consistently over the years.
Adjusted Revenue
Adjusted revenue exhibited a declining trend from 2020 to 2021, dropping from 74,877 million USD to 57,707 million USD. This was followed by a modest recovery phase during 2022 and 2023, with revenues increasing to 59,966 million USD and then to 63,313 million USD, respectively. However, in 2024, the adjusted revenue slightly decreased to 63,298 million USD, indicating a plateau in revenue generation after partial recovery.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin has remained negative throughout the period, indicating persistent difficulties in achieving profitability relative to capital employed. The margin worsened from -8.49% in 2020 to -9.97% in 2021, then declined sharply to -17.85% in 2022. A considerable improvement was observed in 2023, with the margin rising to -4.43%, but this was not sustained as it fell back to -11.37% in 2024. This volatility highlights inconsistent operational efficiency or cost management relative to revenue and capital costs.