Stock Analysis on Net

Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial trajectory from 2021 to 2025 demonstrates a transition from consistent value destruction to substantial economic value creation. This evolution is primarily driven by a dramatic improvement in operational profitability, which eventually overcame the high cost of capital associated with the invested base.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A consistent upward trend is observed, with NOPAT moving from a deficit of 377.6 million US dollars in 2021 to a surplus of 1.62 billion US dollars by 2025. The most significant acceleration occurred between 2024 and 2025, where profitability increased nearly fivefold, indicating a sharp increase in operational efficiency or scale.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained remarkably stable throughout the analyzed period, fluctuating minimally between 25.62% and 25.89%. This stability suggests a consistent risk profile and capital structure requirement over the five-year window.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited notable volatility, peaking in 2022 at approximately 3.07 billion US dollars before contracting sharply to 1.24 billion US dollars in 2023. Following this contraction, the capital base reorganized and stabilized between 2.4 billion and 2.5 billion US dollars during 2024 and 2025.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative from 2021 through 2024, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the cost of the invested capital. The most significant value destruction occurred in 2021 and 2022, with losses exceeding 1 billion US dollars annually. A critical inflection point was reached in 2025, where economic profit pivoted to a positive 996.9 million US dollars, signaling that the entity began generating returns in excess of its cost of capital.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Palantir Technologies Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance, as reflected by Net Income and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT), demonstrates a significant shift over the five-year period. Initially, both metrics indicate losses, followed by substantial improvements and growth in subsequent years.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT exhibited a negative value in 2021 and 2022, registering -377,568 thousand and -221,451 thousand respectively. This indicates that, during these years, the company’s operating profits were insufficient to cover its tax obligations, resulting in an after-tax operating loss. A positive turning point occurred in 2023, with NOPAT reaching 207,040 thousand. This positive trend continued, with NOPAT increasing to 339,176 thousand in 2024 and reaching 1,618,029 thousand in 2025. This represents a substantial and accelerating improvement in the company’s core operating profitability after accounting for taxes.
Relationship between Net Income and NOPAT
The patterns in Net Income attributable to common stockholders closely mirror those observed in NOPAT. Both metrics were negative in 2021 and 2022, then turned positive in 2023. The magnitude of the increase from 2023 to 2025 is considerable for both metrics, with Net Income growing from 209,825 thousand to 1,625,033 thousand and NOPAT growing from 207,040 thousand to 1,618,029 thousand. The close correlation suggests that changes in core operating profitability are a primary driver of changes in overall net income.

The progression from negative NOPAT and Net Income to substantial positive values suggests a successful turnaround or significant growth phase for the company. The accelerating growth in both metrics from 2023 to 2025 indicates increasing efficiency and profitability in core operations.


Cash Operating Taxes

Palantir Technologies Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes exhibited volatility over the observed period. Beginning at US$31.885 thousand in 2021, it decreased significantly to US$10.067 thousand in 2022 before increasing to US$19.716 thousand in 2023. Further increases were noted in 2024 and 2025, reaching US$21.255 thousand and US$22.724 thousand respectively. This suggests a fluctuating tax burden, potentially influenced by changes in taxable income or applicable tax rates.

Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a markedly different pattern. A substantial increase is apparent from US$7.577 thousand in 2021 to US$67.243 thousand in 2022. This was followed by a dramatic decline to US$1.246 thousand in 2023. Subsequently, cash operating taxes became negative, reaching US$-15.989 thousand in 2024 and further decreasing to US$-18.119 thousand in 2025. This indicates a shift from cash outflows for taxes to cash inflows, potentially due to tax refunds or the utilization of tax loss carryforwards.

The divergence between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes is significant. While the provision for income taxes generally trended upwards after 2022, cash operating taxes experienced a substantial reversal, becoming negative in the latter years of the period. This discrepancy warrants further investigation to understand the underlying reasons, such as timing differences between accounting income and taxable income, changes in deferred tax assets and liabilities, or the impact of specific tax incentives or credits.

The negative cash operating taxes in 2024 and 2025 suggest the company received more in tax benefits than it paid in taxes during those years. This could be a temporary phenomenon or indicative of a sustained shift in the company’s tax position. Continued monitoring of these trends is recommended to assess the long-term implications for the company’s financial performance and cash flow.


Invested Capital

Palantir Technologies Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses3
Deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Palantir’s stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The reported figures reveal notable fluctuations in invested capital alongside changes in the company’s debt and equity structure over the five-year period. Total reported debt & leases generally decreased, while total stockholders’ equity exhibited a consistent upward trajectory. However, invested capital demonstrates a more complex pattern, initially increasing then experiencing a significant decline before a partial recovery.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases decreased from US$260,073 thousand in 2021 to US$249,404 thousand in 2022, continuing to US$229,392 thousand in 2023. A slight increase to US$239,219 thousand was observed in 2024, followed by a further decrease to US$229,338 thousand in 2025. This indicates a general trend of decreasing reliance on debt financing, although the 2024 figure represents a temporary deviation from this pattern.
Total Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders’ equity increased substantially throughout the period. From US$2,291,030 thousand in 2021, it rose to US$2,565,326 thousand in 2022, then to US$3,475,561 thousand in 2023. This growth continued with figures of US$5,003,275 thousand in 2024 and US$7,387,268 thousand in 2025. This consistent increase suggests strengthening financial health and potentially increased investor confidence.
Invested Capital
Invested capital initially increased from US$2,585,786 thousand in 2021 to US$3,071,913 thousand in 2022. However, a substantial decrease was recorded in 2023, falling to US$1,237,836 thousand. A partial recovery occurred in 2024, with invested capital rising to US$2,507,175 thousand, but this level decreased again in 2025 to US$2,399,047 thousand. The significant drop in 2023 warrants further investigation to understand the underlying reasons, such as asset sales, changes in operational needs, or shifts in capital allocation strategy. The subsequent recovery in 2024, followed by a slight decline in 2025, suggests a period of capital restructuring.

The divergence between the increasing equity and the fluctuating invested capital suggests a changing relationship between funding sources and asset deployment. The decrease in invested capital, particularly in 2023, despite rising equity, could indicate a shift towards more efficient capital utilization or a reduction in capital-intensive projects.


Cost of Capital

Palantir Technologies Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Operating lease liability3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Operating lease liability3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Operating lease liability3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Operating lease liability3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Operating lease liability3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
AppLovin Corp.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from 2021 through 2025 indicates a significant transition from economic value destruction to substantial value creation. The period is characterized by a consistent reduction in economic losses, culminating in a pivot to positive economic profit by the end of the analysis period.

Economic Profit Trend
A substantial recovery is observed in economic profit, which evolved from a deficit of 1,041,561 thousand US dollars in 2021 to a surplus of 996,907 thousand US dollars in 2025. While a minor regression occurred in 2024, where losses widened to 309,892 thousand US dollars from the previous year's 112,467 thousand US dollars, the overall trend reflects a strong upward trajectory in the company's ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital.
Invested Capital Volatility
Invested capital exhibited notable fluctuations throughout the five-year period. After reaching a peak of 3,071,913 thousand US dollars in 2022, a sharp contraction occurred in 2023, with capital falling to 1,237,836 thousand US dollars. This was followed by a recovery to 2,507,175 thousand US dollars in 2024 and a slight normalization to 2,399,047 thousand US dollars by 2025.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio mirrors the movement of economic profit, demonstrating a progressive recovery. The ratio improved from -40.28% in 2021 to -9.09% in 2023, signaling a narrowing gap between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. Despite a slight decline to -12.36% in 2024, the ratio shifted dramatically to 41.55% in 2025, confirming that the entity achieved a high level of economic efficiency and value addition in the final year.

In summary, the data reveals a strategic shift in financial performance. The convergence of stabilizing invested capital and rapidly increasing economic profit suggests an improvement in operational efficiency and a successful transition toward a value-generative business model.


Economic Profit Margin

Palantir Technologies Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
AppLovin Corp.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from 2021 to 2025 indicates a transition from significant economic value destruction to substantial value creation. This period is characterized by consistent revenue expansion and a definitive shift toward positive economic profitability.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit experienced a volatile but upward trajectory. After maintaining deficits exceeding 1 billion USD in 2021 and 2022, the losses narrowed significantly to 112.47 million USD in 2023. Despite a temporary setback in 2024, where losses widened to 309.89 million USD, a pivot to profitability was achieved in 2025 with an economic profit of 996.91 million USD.
Adjusted Revenue Growth
A consistent acceleration in adjusted revenue is observed throughout the period. Revenue grew from 1.57 billion USD in 2021 to 4.63 billion USD by 2025. This represents a nearly threefold increase in top-line performance, providing the necessary scale to support the eventual transition to positive economic profit.
Economic Profit Margin Evolution
The economic profit margin reflects a drastic improvement in capital efficiency and operational performance. The margin improved from -66.35% in 2021 to -4.88% in 2023, indicating a rapid reduction in the cost of capital relative to earnings. While the margin dipped to -10.72% in 2024, it surged to 21.53% in 2025, marking a complete reversal from value destruction to value generation.