Stock Analysis on Net

Fair Isaac Corp. (NYSE:FICO)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Fair Isaac Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Fair Isaac Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring accruals4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense, net
Tax benefit of interest expense, net7
Adjusted interest expense, net, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring accruals.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net = Adjusted interest expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.


Net Income
The net income exhibits a consistent upward trend over the six-year period. Starting at 192,124 thousand USD in September 2019, it increased to 236,411 thousand USD in 2020 and then surged to 392,084 thousand USD in 2021. Although a slight decline occurred in 2022 to 373,541 thousand USD, the net income rebounded in the following years, reaching 429,375 thousand USD in 2023 and further rising to 512,811 thousand USD in 2024. Overall, net income more than doubled from 2019 to 2024, indicating strong profitability growth with only a minor setback in 2022.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT shows a robust increasing pattern throughout the same timeframe. Starting at 238,184 thousand USD in 2019, it steadily rose each year, reaching 279,157 thousand USD in 2020, and notably increasing to 407,349 thousand USD in 2021. The upward trajectory continued in 2022 with 445,701 thousand USD, followed by further growth to 476,369 thousand USD in 2023, and culminating at 589,082 thousand USD in 2024. The consistent annual growth in NOPAT reflects improved operating efficiency and profitability after tax considerations.
Trend Analysis
Both net income and NOPAT demonstrate strong expanding trends, suggesting effective operational management and increasing earnings capacity over the years analyzed. While net income experienced a minor dip in 2022, it recovered promptly in subsequent years, maintaining an upward direction. The continuous growth in NOPAT supports the view of enhanced operational success independent of non-operating influences. The increase in these profitability measures indicates sustained financial strength and improved returns from core business activities.

Cash Operating Taxes

Fair Isaac Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibits a general upward trend over the analyzed periods. Starting at $23,948 thousand in September 2019, it decreased slightly in 2020 to $20,589 thousand but then rose significantly to $81,058 thousand in 2021. This upward momentum continued with increases to $97,768 thousand in 2022, $124,249 thousand in 2023, and $129,214 thousand in 2024. The data suggests heightened tax liabilities, particularly from 2021 onward, indicating either increased profitability or changes in tax rates or accounting practices.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes show a more volatile pattern compared to the provision for income taxes. Starting at $25,518 thousand in 2019, there is a noticeable increase to $38,863 thousand in 2020. A substantial jump occurred in 2021 to $96,011 thousand, followed by a further increase to $104,928 thousand in 2022. The highest cash operating taxes were recorded in 2023 at $192,079 thousand, nearly doubling the previous year. However, in 2024, a decline to $179,179 thousand is observed. This volatility might reflect timing differences in tax payments, changes in taxable income, or cash flow management strategies related to tax obligations.
Comparative Insights
While both provisions and cash operating taxes generally trend upward, the cash taxes demonstrate more pronounced fluctuations with a peak in 2023 followed by a reduction in 2024. The provision for income taxes increases steadily, which may imply growing profitability or an accounting recognition of tax expenses more consistently aligned with earnings. The disparity between the two measures could indicate temporary differences in tax expense recognition and actual tax payments over the periods analyzed.

Invested Capital

Fair Isaac Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Current finance lease liabilities
Current maturities on debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Non-current finance lease liabilities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Deferred revenue4
Restructuring accruals5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Adjusted stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring accruals.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit).

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases have shown a consistent upward trend over the six-year period. Starting at approximately 928 million USD in 2019, the value increased steadily each year, with a notable acceleration between 2020 and 2022. By 2024, the debt and lease obligations reached roughly 2.25 billion USD, more than doubling the initial amount. This indicates an increasing reliance on debt financing or lease commitments.
Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit)
Stockholders’ equity experienced significant fluctuations over the period. Initially positive, it grew from about 290 million USD in 2019 to 331 million USD in 2020. However, from 2021 onward, equity turned negative and continued to deteriorate, reaching a deficit of nearly 963 million USD in 2024. The negative equity values suggest sustained losses or significant reductions in net assets during these years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited moderate variability but remained relatively stable compared to the other metrics. Starting at approximately 1.4 billion USD in 2019, it experienced a slight decline in the following years, bottoming out near 1.33 billion USD by 2022. Subsequently, invested capital showed a gradual increase, ending at about 1.42 billion USD in 2024. This relative stability indicates that the underlying capital investment base has not changed dramatically despite fluctuations in debt and equity.

Cost of Capital

Fair Isaac Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Fair Isaac Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

Fair Isaac Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 30, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2020 Sep 30, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Accenture PLC
Adobe Inc.
Cadence Design Systems Inc.
CrowdStrike Holdings Inc.
Datadog Inc.
International Business Machines Corp.
Intuit Inc.
Microsoft Corp.
Oracle Corp.
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
Salesforce Inc.
ServiceNow Inc.
Synopsys Inc.
Workday Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.