Stock Analysis on Net

Fair Isaac Corp. (NYSE:FICO) 

Price to Earnings (P/E)
since 2005

Microsoft Excel

Calculation

Fair Isaac Corp., P/E, long-term trends, calculation

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).

1 US$

2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Fair Isaac Corp. Annual Report.


Share Price Trend
The share price demonstrated significant fluctuations over the analyzed period. Initially, the price decreased from $44.30 in 2005 to a low point of $13.57 in 2008, indicating a substantial decline. Subsequently, a steady upward trajectory is observed, with the price rising sharply to reach $331.59 by 2019. The increasing momentum continued, culminating in a remarkable surge to $2,090.63 by 2024. This represents substantial capital appreciation over the latter years, especially from 2019 onwards.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Movement
EPS displayed a varying yet overall positive trend. Starting at $2.09 in 2005, EPS experienced a minor dip in 2006 and further fluctuations around 2008-2009 before beginning a consistent increase. From 2009 onwards, EPS grew steadily from $1.35 to $21.06 by 2024. The growth rate accelerated markedly after 2014, reflecting improving profitability and operational performance. This upward trend in EPS suggests strengthening earnings generation capacity across the years.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio Behavior
The P/E ratio showed considerable variability throughout the period. It began at 21.23 in 2005 and dropped to a trough of 7.84 in 2008, coinciding with the share price decline and possibly increased market skepticism. After 2008, the P/E ratio generally increased, peaking at 56.83 in 2020. There was a notable decrease afterwards, dropping to 27.12 in 2021, followed by another rise to 99.26 by 2024. High P/E ratios in recent years may reflect elevated market expectations or premium valuation relative to earnings, possibly driven by optimistic growth prospects.
Correlations and Observations
The share price and EPS both exhibit strong upward trends after 2009, with EPS growth supporting the rising share price valuation. However, the P/E ratio's escalation, especially post-2019, indicates that the share price increase outpaced EPS growth, suggesting heightened investor sentiment or expectations beyond fundamental earnings. The exceptionally high P/E of 99.26 in 2024 points to potentially inflated market valuations or anticipated future growth not yet realized in earnings.

Comparison to Competitors

Fair Isaac Corp., P/E, long-term trends, comparison to competitors

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).


Comparison to Sector (Software & Services)

Fair Isaac Corp., P/E, long-term trends, comparison to sector (software & services)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).


Comparison to Industry (Information Technology)

Fair Isaac Corp., P/E, long-term trends, comparison to industry (information technology)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).