Stock Analysis on Net

Fair Isaac Corp. (NYSE:FICO)

$24.99

Price to Sales (P/S)
since 2005

Microsoft Excel

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Calculation

Fair Isaac Corp., P/S, long-term trends, calculation

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).

1 US$

2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Fair Isaac Corp. Annual Report.


Share Price Trend
The share price experienced significant fluctuations over the examined period. Initially, from 2005 to 2008, the price declined from $44.30 to a low of $13.57, reflecting an adverse period. Subsequently, from 2009 onward, a consistent upward trajectory is observed, with the share price reaching an impressive $2090.63 by 2024. Notable acceleration occurred after 2014, with steep increases particularly between 2018 and 2024.
Sales Per Share Trend
Sales per share exhibited more stable growth over the same period, with minor volatility. Starting at $12.39 in 2005, it showed gradual increases year-over-year, rising to $70.54 by 2024. Despite a moderate dip in 2009, sales per share generally followed an upward trend, signaling steady revenue growth underlying the company's performance.
Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) Trend
The price-to-sales ratio reveals notable changes in market valuation relative to sales. Initially higher in 2005 at 3.58, the ratio declined sharply to 0.88 by 2008, corresponding with the share price drop. From 2009 onward, the P/S ratio increased substantially, especially from 2014 forward. It peaked dramatically at 29.64 in 2024, suggesting that market valuation escalated considerably faster than sales growth in recent years.
Interpretation and Insights

The data indicates that while the company has experienced steady improvement in sales per share over the last two decades, the market's valuation of the company has grown disproportionately, particularly in the last decade. The substantial rise in the price-to-sales ratio suggests heightened investor expectations or confidence, which may reflect anticipated future growth or other market factors beyond current sales performance.

The initial decline in share price and P/S ratio up to 2008 may correspond to external market conditions or company-specific challenges, while the recovery and strong growth afterward indicate successful strategic adjustments or market repositioning.

Overall, the trends imply a company transitioning from a period of subdued market performance to one characterized by rapid appreciation in share price relative to its sales, warranting consideration of market valuation levels and sustainability of growth expectations.


Comparison to Competitors

Fair Isaac Corp., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to competitors

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-09-30).


Comparison to Sector (Software & Services)


Comparison to Industry (Information Technology)