Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Booking Holdings Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial performance between December 31, 2021, and December 31, 2025, is characterized by a significant transition from economic value destruction to substantial value creation. A strong recovery in operating profitability, coupled with a strategic reduction in the capital base during the early period, resulted in a sharp increase in economic profit.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A consistent and substantial upward trajectory was observed from 2021 to 2024, with NOPAT increasing from 671 million US$ to a peak of 6,151 million US$. This represents a significant expansion in operational efficiency and earnings power. A slight contraction occurred in 2025, where NOPAT declined to 5,449 million US$, suggesting a period of stabilization following rapid growth.
Invested Capital
The amount of capital invested in the business showed a downward trend from 2021 to 2023, decreasing from 15,004 million US$ to 11,415 million US$. This reduction in the capital base, occurring simultaneously with rising profits, contributed positively to the improvement in economic value. Capital levels stabilized between 2024 and 2025, hovering around 12,900 million US$.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period, fluctuating within a narrow range between 18.07% and 18.45%. The lack of significant volatility in this metric indicates a consistent risk profile and a stable cost of funding throughout the five-year window.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shifted from a negative value of -2,070 million US$ in 2021 to a peak of 3,757 million US$ in 2024. The move into positive territory in 2022 indicates that the company began generating returns in excess of its cost of capital. While a decline to 3,112 million US$ was recorded in 2025, the overall trend demonstrates a profound improvement in the company's ability to create economic value for its stakeholders.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Booking Holdings Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest and dividend income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liabilities.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrates a significant upward trend over the observed period, though with a recent moderation. Initial values are substantially lower than subsequent years, indicating a period of growth. While net income also increased, the growth rate of NOPAT appears more pronounced in the earlier part of the period.

Overall Trend
NOPAT experienced substantial growth from 2021 to 2024. The value increased from US$671 million in 2021 to US$6,151 million in 2024, representing a considerable expansion. However, growth slowed in 2025, with NOPAT decreasing to US$5,449 million.
Growth Rates
The period between 2021 and 2022 saw a substantial increase in NOPAT. The growth rate decelerated between 2022 and 2023, but remained positive. The most significant growth occurred between 2023 and 2024. The decline in NOPAT between 2024 and 2025 warrants further investigation.
Relationship to Net Income
Both net income and NOPAT increased over the period. However, the magnitude of the increase in NOPAT was greater than that of net income in the initial years, suggesting changes in the company’s operating efficiency or capital structure. The difference in growth rates between the two metrics narrowed in 2025, coinciding with the decrease in NOPAT.
Recent Performance
The decrease in NOPAT from 2024 to 2025 is a notable development. While net income also decreased, the relative decline in NOPAT suggests potential issues with operational profitability or increased costs not fully reflected in net income. This recent trend breaks the previously established pattern of consistent growth.


Cash Operating Taxes

Booking Holdings Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


Income tax expense and cash operating taxes both demonstrate increasing values over the observed period. However, the magnitude and pattern of change differ between the two metrics.

Income Tax Expense
Income tax expense increased from US$300 million in 2021 to US$1,428 million in 2025. The most substantial increase occurred between 2021 and 2022, rising by US$565 million. Growth moderated in subsequent years, with increases of US$327 million (2022-2023), US$218 million (2023-2024), and US$18 million (2024-2025). This suggests a decelerating rate of growth in reported income tax expense.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes also exhibited an upward trend, moving from US$758 million in 2021 to US$2,096 million in 2025. Similar to income tax expense, the largest increase was observed between 2021 and 2022, with a rise of US$404 million. A significant increase of US$488 million occurred between 2022 and 2023. The rate of increase slowed in 2024, with a decrease of US$105 million, before resuming growth with an increase of US$741 million in 2025. This pattern indicates potential fluctuations influenced by factors beyond simple proportional growth.
Relationship between Metrics
Cash operating taxes consistently exceeded income tax expense throughout the period. The difference between the two metrics varied annually. In 2021, cash operating taxes were approximately 2.5 times income tax expense (US$758 million vs. US$300 million). This ratio decreased over time, reaching approximately 1.47 times in 2025 (US$2,096 million vs. US$1,428 million). This narrowing gap suggests a potential shift in the timing of tax payments relative to reported income, or changes in non-cash tax items.

The observed trends suggest increasing tax obligations for the entity. The divergence in growth rates and the relationship between income tax expense and cash operating taxes warrant further investigation to understand the underlying drivers and potential implications for future financial performance.



Invested Capital

Booking Holdings Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Current finance lease liabilities
Short-term debt
Non-current finance lease liabilities
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
Restructuring liabilities4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity (deficit)
Building construction-in-progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liabilities.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit).

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of building construction-in-progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The composition of invested capital exhibits notable shifts over the five-year period. Total reported debt & leases consistently increased, while stockholders’ equity experienced a significant decline, ultimately resulting in a deficit by the end of 2023. Despite these underlying changes, invested capital itself demonstrates a more moderate fluctuation.

Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases increased steadily from US$11,430 million in 2021 to US$19,414 million in 2025. This represents a cumulative increase of approximately 70% over the period. The rate of increase appears relatively consistent year-over-year.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity decreased substantially from US$6,178 million in 2021 to a deficit of US$5,578 million in 2025. The decline was particularly pronounced between 2022 and 2023, transitioning from a positive equity position to a negative one. This negative trend continued through 2024 and 2025, with the deficit widening each year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased from US$15,004 million in 2021 to US$11,415 million in 2023, a decline of approximately 24%. It then showed a modest recovery, increasing to US$12,973 million in 2024 and remaining relatively stable at US$12,912 million in 2025. The fluctuations in invested capital appear to be influenced by the offsetting movements in debt and equity, but are less dramatic than the changes observed in either component individually.

The increasing reliance on debt financing, coupled with the erosion of stockholders’ equity, suggests a shift in the company’s capital structure. While invested capital has not mirrored the full extent of the equity decline, the trend warrants further investigation to understand the implications for financial risk and future performance.



Cost of Capital

Booking Holdings Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Outstanding debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Booking Holdings Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Airbnb Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


A significant shift in value creation is observed between 2021 and 2025, transitioning from a period of economic value destruction to substantial value generation. The financial trajectory indicates a robust recovery and subsequent optimization of capital efficiency, peaking in 2024 before experiencing a slight moderation in 2025.

Economic Profit
A sharp reversal is noted from 2021, where economic profit was negative at US$ 2,070 million, to a peak of US$ 3,757 million by 2024. This upward trend suggests that the company successfully increased its returns above the cost of capital. While a decrease to US$ 3,112 million occurred in 2025, the figure remains significantly higher than the baseline levels observed at the start of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a general downward trend from 2021 to 2023, decreasing from US$ 15,004 million to US$ 11,415 million. This reduction suggests an optimization of the asset base or a reduction in capital employed. A slight increase followed in 2024 to US$ 12,973 million, followed by relative stabilization at US$ 12,912 million in 2025.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio demonstrates the most volatile improvement, moving from -13.80% in 2021 to a high of 28.96% in 2024. This expansion indicates a widening gap between the return on invested capital and the weighted average cost of capital. The subsequent decline to 24.10% in 2025 reflects a minor contraction in efficiency, though the ratio remains indicative of strong economic value added.

The correlation between the reduction in invested capital through 2023 and the simultaneous rise in the economic spread ratio suggests a strategic improvement in capital productivity. The peak in 2024 represents the period of maximum economic efficiency, where the company achieved the highest spread relative to its capital base.



Economic Profit Margin

Booking Holdings Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Airbnb Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from 2021 to 2025 indicates a significant recovery and subsequent expansion in economic value creation. The transition from a substantial economic loss to consistent positive economic profit suggests a successful alignment of operational returns above the cost of capital.

Revenue Performance
A consistent upward trend in revenues is observed, increasing from US$ 10,958 million in 2021 to US$ 26,917 million in 2025. This represents sustained growth in top-line scale throughout the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit shifted from a deficit of US$ 2,070 million in 2021 to a peak of US$ 3,757 million in 2024. Although a decline to US$ 3,112 million occurred in 2025, the overall period is characterized by a recovery from negative value creation to a position of substantial economic surplus.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrors the profitability trend, rising from -18.89% in 2021 to a high of 15.83% in 2024. A contraction to 11.56% is noted in 2025; this suggests that while revenues continued to grow in the final year, the growth in economic profit lagged, resulting in a decrease in the efficiency of value creation relative to sales.