Stock Analysis on Net

Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Airbnb Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT demonstrated a significant shift over the five-year period. In 2020, it was deeply negative at -4675 million US dollars, indicating substantial operational losses. However, starting from 2021, the company returned to profitability with positive values. The profit increased sharply in 2022 to 2070 million, then slightly decreased in 2023 to 1681 million, before rising again in 2024 to 2644 million. This pattern suggests a recovery phase followed by some fluctuations but overall improving operational efficiency and profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, ranging narrowly from 15.95% to 16.16%. Such consistency indicates that the company’s risk profile and capital structure did not experience significant changes, providing a steady reference point for evaluating investment returns and economic profit.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited variability over the years. It increased from 4764 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 6849 million in 2022. Subsequently, it declined to 5829 million in 2023 before a modest recovery to 6117 million in 2024. These fluctuations may reflect changes in asset investments, acquisitions, or divestments, indicating active capital management efforts during the timeframe.
Economic Profit
Economic profit mirrored some of the trends seen in NOPAT but with notable differences. The company experienced substantial economic losses in 2020 and 2021, with figures at -5445 million and -467 million respectively. Starting from 2022, economic profit turned positive, reaching 976 million and then slightly declining to 748 million in 2023. By 2024, it increased significantly to 1668 million. The positive economic profits in recent years suggest that the company is generating returns above its cost of capital, thereby creating value for shareholders.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Airbnb Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in customer receivable reserve2
Increase (decrease) in unearned fees3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in customer receivable reserve.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned fees.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income (Loss)
The net income shows a significant improvement over the five-year period. In 2020, there was a substantial loss of $4,585 million, which decreased markedly to a loss of $352 million in 2021. By 2022, the company achieved positive net income of $1,893 million. This positive trend continued with a peak net income of $4,792 million in 2023, followed by a decline to $2,648 million in 2024. Overall, the data reflect a recovery from heavy losses to profitability, although with some reduction in earnings in the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also demonstrates a strong turnaround, starting with a negative figure of $4,675 million in 2020, indicating operating challenges. In 2021, the company reversed to a positive NOPAT of $465 million, which increased significantly to $2,070 million in 2022. There was a slight decrease in 2023 to $1,681 million, followed by an increase to $2,644 million in 2024. This suggests the company improved its core operating profitability substantially, though with some variability in the middle years. The upward trend in NOPAT aligns broadly with improvements in net income, affirming enhanced operational efficiency and tax management over the period.

Cash Operating Taxes

Airbnb Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibits significant volatility over the analyzed period. Initially, there was a tax benefit of US$ 97 million at the end of 2020. This shifted to a positive provision of US$ 52 million in 2021, followed by an increase to US$ 96 million in 2022. A remarkable change occurred in 2023, with a substantial tax benefit of US$ 2,690 million, indicating a large reversal or credit. However, this was followed by a reversion to a positive income tax provision of US$ 683 million in 2024. The fluctuation suggests irregularities or extraordinary items impacting the tax expenses during these years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show an overall upward trend though with some irregularities in magnitude. Starting from a negative figure of US$ 36 million in 2020, which may reflect tax refunds or credits, the amount increased sharply to US$ 139 million in 2021. Thereafter, it declined to US$ 68 million in 2022 and decreased further to US$ 56 million in 2023. In 2024, the figure reversed the downward trend and increased to US$ 88 million. The pattern in cash taxes paid is less volatile than the provision for taxes but demonstrates variability that may be influenced by the company's operational profitability and tax planning strategies.

Invested Capital

Airbnb Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net of current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Customer receivable reserve3
Unearned fees4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Short-term investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of unearned fees.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The data reflects the financial position over five consecutive years. Several key trends emerge from the analysis of debt, equity, and invested capital figures.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Debt and lease obligations remain relatively stable, fluctuating slightly but generally around the range of US$2.3 billion to US$2.4 billion. The peak is observed in 2021 at US$2.418 billion, followed by a gradual decline through the subsequent years, ending at US$2.294 billion in 2024. This suggests a consistent management of debt levels with no significant increase in financial leverage.
Stockholders’ Equity
Equity shows a strong upward trend over the five years, moving from US$2.902 billion in 2020 to US$8.412 billion in 2024. The growth is particularly notable between 2022 and 2023, where equity increased substantially from US$5.560 billion to US$8.165 billion, indicating capital infusion, retained earnings accumulation, or valuation gains strengthening the company's net worth.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrates variability with growth from US$4.764 billion in 2020 to US$6.849 billion in 2022, then a decline to US$5.829 billion in 2023, followed by a slight recovery to US$6.117 billion in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuations possibly due to changes in working capital, asset acquisitions, or disposals impacting the capital invested in business operations.

Overall, the financial structure shows an increase in shareholder equity reinforcing the balance sheet strength, while debt levels remain managed and stable. Invested capital experiences some volatility but maintains a generally upward trajectory over the entire period, reflecting ongoing investment activities.


Cost of Capital

Airbnb Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Airbnb Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

Airbnb Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned fees
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
DoorDash, Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited a significant improvement over the analyzed period. Starting from a substantial loss of -5,445 million US dollars in 2020, the figure improved markedly to a near break-even point of -467 million US dollars in 2021. In subsequent years, the company moved into positive territory, achieving 976 million US dollars in 2022, with a moderate increase to 748 million US dollars in 2023. The economic profit then saw a further rise to 1,668 million US dollars in 2024, indicating a strong recovery and growth in profitability.
Adjusted Revenue
The adjusted revenue demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory throughout the period. Beginning at 3,111 million US dollars in 2020, the revenue more than doubled in 2021 to 6,488 million US dollars. This growth trend continued steadily with revenue reaching 8,677 million US dollars in 2022, 10,162 million US dollars in 2023, and further climbing to 11,291 million US dollars in 2024. This pattern reflects strong top-line growth year over year.
Economic Profit Margin
Economic profit margin showed a dramatic shift from negative to positive values. In 2020, the margin was deeply negative at -175.01%, improving substantially to -7.2% in 2021. By 2022, the company achieved a positive margin of 11.25%, demonstrating significant operational improvement relative to revenue. The margin slightly decreased to 7.36% in 2023 but rebounded to 14.77% in 2024, highlighting enhanced efficiency and profitability relative to revenue in the later years.
Overall Trends and Insights
The data reflects a strong recovery and expansion phase characterized by consistent revenue growth coupled with a transition from significant losses to positive economic profit and improving profit margins. Although the economic profit margin dipped slightly in 2023, it recovered strongly in 2024, suggesting successful adaptations in cost management or operational efficiency. The positive economic profit alongside rising revenue indicates a robust financial position, improving the company's ability to generate value beyond its cost of capital over time.