Stock Analysis on Net

Merck & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Merck & Co. Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


An analysis of the financial data over the given years reveals several notable trends and fluctuations in key performance indicators.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited a general upward trend from 6,669 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 14,154 million USD in 2022. However, there was a significant decline in 2023, with NOPAT entering negative territory at -714 million USD. This negative figure was followed by a recovery in 2024, reaching 16,744 million USD, the highest value recorded in the period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital steadily increased from 7.41% in 2020 to 7.91% in 2023. A slight reduction was observed in 2024, where it decreased marginally to 7.72%. Despite these changes, the cost of capital remained relatively stable within a narrow range over the five-year period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated an overall growth pattern, rising from 57,182 million USD in 2020 to 79,426 million USD in 2024. There was a peak in 2022 at 73,942 million USD, followed by a decrease to 69,966 million USD in 2023, before increasing again in 2024. This fluctuation may suggest shifts in capital deployment or asset management strategies during this timeframe.
Economic Profit
Economic profit mirrored the trend in NOPAT with strong positive values from 2020 to 2022, peaking at 8,316 million USD in 2022. A substantial negative economic profit of -6,251 million USD was observed in 2023, indicating a period where the company failed to cover the cost of capital with its operating profits. A significant recovery occurred in 2024, with economic profit climbing to 10,616 million USD, surpassing previous levels.

In summary, the data reveals a generally positive trajectory in profitability and invested capital until 2022, followed by an exceptional downturn in 2023 characterized by negative operating and economic profits. The subsequent rebound in 2024 reflects a strong recovery, suggesting effective corrective measures or improved market conditions. The cost of capital remained relatively stable, indicating consistent financing conditions throughout the period.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Merck & Co. Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Merck & Co., Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Merck & Co., Inc..

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Merck & Co., Inc..

9 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net income attributable to Merck & Co., Inc.
The net income showed a significant increase from 7,067 million US dollars in 2020 to 13,049 million US dollars in 2021, reflecting strong profitability growth. This upward trend continued into 2022 with net income reaching 14,519 million US dollars. However, there is a notable decrease in 2023, with net income sharply dropping to 365 million US dollars. The data shows a strong recovery in 2024, with net income rebounding to 17,117 million US dollars, the highest figure in the observed period.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT followed a similar pattern to net income. It increased substantially from 6,669 million US dollars in 2020 to 13,349 million in 2021 and then experienced a slight rise to 14,154 million in 2022. In 2023, NOPAT turned negative, registering a loss of 714 million US dollars, indicating operational challenges or extraordinary costs during that year. By 2024, NOPAT recovered strongly to 16,744 million US dollars, surpassing all previous years except 2024 net income.
Overall Trends and Observations
Both profitability indicators demonstrate strong performance growth in the initial years from 2020 to 2022. The year 2023 stands out as an anomaly with both net income and NOPAT declining sharply, with NOPAT even becoming negative, suggesting operational difficulties or exceptional adverse events during that period. The rapid recovery in 2024 indicates effective measures to restore profitability and operational efficiency.

Cash Operating Taxes

Merck & Co. Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Taxes on income from continuing operations
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Taxes on income from continuing operations
The amount decreased from 1709 million US dollars in 2020 to 1521 million US dollars in 2021, followed by an increase to 1918 million US dollars in 2022. It then dropped to 1512 million US dollars in 2023 before rising significantly to 2803 million US dollars in 2024. This indicates a fluctuating pattern with a notable peak in 2024.
Cash operating taxes
There was a sharp decline from 2510 million US dollars in 2020 to 1553 million US dollars in 2021. Subsequently, cash operating taxes increased substantially to 3760 million in 2022, with a slight decrease to 3497 million in 2023, and then rose again to 4246 million US dollars in 2024. Overall, the data reflects considerable volatility with a general upward trend after 2021.

Invested Capital

Merck & Co. Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Loans payable and current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Merck & Co., Inc. stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
LIFO reserve4
Restructuring reserves5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Merck & Co., Inc. stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress8
Investments in debt and publicly traded equity securities9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring reserves.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Merck & Co., Inc. stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of investments in debt and publicly traded equity securities.


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals several notable trends in debt levels, stockholders’ equity, and invested capital.

Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases show a fluctuating pattern. Starting at US$33,453 million in 2020, the amount increased slightly to US$34,631 million in 2021, then decreased to US$31,985 million in 2022. However, it rose again in the subsequent years, reaching US$36,268 million in 2023 and US$38,270 million in 2024. Overall, despite a dip in 2022, debt levels exhibit a general upward trajectory by the end of the period.
Total Merck & Co., Inc. stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity experienced significant variation across the years. It increased substantially from US$25,317 million in 2020 to US$38,184 million in 2021, and further to US$45,991 million in 2022. A decline was observed in 2023, where equity dropped to US$37,581 million, before rising sharply again to US$46,313 million in 2024. This pattern suggests some volatility, but with an overall growth trend in shareholders' equity.
Invested capital
The invested capital consistently grew from US$57,182 million in 2020 to US$70,735 million in 2021, and then to US$73,942 million in 2022. A decrease occurred in 2023, moving down to US$69,966 million, followed by a recovery and substantial increase to US$79,426 million in 2024. The invested capital thus shows growth overall, tempered by a temporary decline in 2023.

In summary, the financial data indicate a generally growing capital base characterized by increasing equity and invested capital over the five years, despite fluctuations in 2023. Total debt and leases also follow an upward trend overall, with a marked increase particularly in the last two years. The fluctuations in 2023 across all three measures may suggest temporary financial adjustments or external factors impacting the company during that period.


Cost of Capital

Merck & Co. Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Loans payable and long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Merck & Co. Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit shows considerable volatility over the observed period. It increased significantly from 2,434 million USD in 2020 to 8,075 million USD in 2021 and further to 8,316 million USD in 2022. However, in 2023, a sharp decline was noted, resulting in a negative economic profit of -6,251 million USD, before rebounding strongly to 10,616 million USD in 2024. This pattern indicates fluctuating operational performance and challenges in sustaining profitability year-over-year.
Invested Capital
The invested capital demonstrates a general upward trend with minor fluctuations. It grew from 57,182 million USD in 2020 to 70,735 million USD in 2021 and continued to increase to 73,942 million USD in 2022. A slight decrease to 69,966 million USD was observed in 2023, followed by an increase to 79,426 million USD in 2024. This suggests ongoing investment activities with temporary adjustments.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the return above the cost of capital, mirrored the trend seen in economic profit but with more pronounced fluctuations. Starting at 4.26% in 2020, it rose sharply to 11.42% in 2021 and slightly decreased to 11.25% in 2022. In 2023, the ratio turned negative at -8.93%, indicating returns below the cost of capital. It then recovered to a strong positive 13.37% in 2024, reflecting improved value creation.

Economic Profit Margin

Merck & Co. Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Sales Trend
The sales figures display a consistent upward trajectory over the five-year period evaluated. Starting from US$47,994 million at the end of 2020, sales increased moderately to US$48,704 million in 2021, followed by more pronounced growth reaching US$59,283 million in 2022, US$60,115 million in 2023, and US$64,168 million by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests steady revenue expansion with particularly strong gains after 2021.
Economic Profit Trend
The economic profit exhibits significant volatility. It rose substantially from US$2,434 million in 2020 to US$8,075 million in 2021 and slightly further to US$8,316 million in 2022. However, there was a sharp reversal in 2023, where economic profit turned negative to -US$6,251 million, indicating operational or cost challenges. By 2024, economic profit rebounded strongly to US$10,616 million, surpassing prior highs.
Economic Profit Margin Trend
The economic profit margin, expressed as a percentage of sales, reflects similar volatility. It improved markedly from 5.07% in 2020 to 16.58% in 2021, with a slight decline to 14.03% in 2022. In 2023, the margin turned negative at -10.4%, implying losses relative to sales for that year. This negative margin was followed by recovery to 16.54% in 2024, indicating a return to profitability margins comparable to the peak years.
Summary of Observations
Overall, sales growth has been stable and incremental, supporting revenue expansion over the period. Economic profit and profit margins have shown considerable fluctuation, with peaks in 2021 and 2022, a considerable downturn in 2023, and a strong recovery in 2024. The decline in 2023 could be indicative of either increased costs, impairments, or other one-off factors impacting profitability markedly. The recovery in 2024 suggests effective measures or market conditions that restored profitability and margin strength.