Stock Analysis on Net

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Johnson & Johnson, economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibits variability over the period analyzed. Beginning at $13,736 million in 2020, it experienced a significant rise to $18,861 million in 2021, followed by a decline to $16,117 million in 2022. A more pronounced decrease is observed in 2023, falling to $8,905 million, before a partial recovery to $11,461 million in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuations in operational profitability with a peak in 2021 and a trough in 2023.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remains relatively stable throughout the years, fluctuating slightly between 9.2% and 9.35%. The incremental changes are minimal, indicating consistent capital costs without significant volatility during the examined timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows some variability over the period. It remained fairly steady around the $98 billion mark between 2020 and 2021. A noticeable increase occurred in 2022, rising to approximately $113.8 billion, followed by a decrease in 2023 to roughly $99.1 billion. In 2024, invested capital rose again to about $106.5 billion. These fluctuations could reflect changes in asset base, investments, or divestitures.
Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates significant fluctuations, beginning with a positive value of $4,689 million in 2020. It nearly doubled to $9,774 million in 2021, then declined sharply to $5,585 million in 2022. In 2023, economic profit turned negative, at -$358 million, indicating a period where returns did not cover the cost of capital. In 2024, economic profit returned to a moderate positive level of $1,593 million. This trend highlights periods of strong value creation followed by challenges in maintaining economic profitability.
Summary
The financial indicators collectively reveal a period marked by initial growth in profitability and economic value creation peaking around 2021, followed by declines and some volatility thereafter. While cost of capital remained stable, fluctuations in net operating profit and invested capital contributed to variations in economic profit. The year 2023 stands out as a challenging period, with both net operating profit and economic profit decreasing substantially, including the occurrence of negative economic profit. Recovery signs are visible in 2024, though the figures have not returned to peak levels observed earlier in the period.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Johnson & Johnson, NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense, net of portion capitalized
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense, net of portion capitalized
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of portion capitalized5
Adjusted interest expense, net of portion capitalized, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of portion capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of portion capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

9 Elimination of discontinued operations.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations across the analyzed periods in key profitability indicators. Net earnings demonstrated an overall volatile pattern, with a marked increase from 14,714 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 35,153 million in 2023, followed by a sharp decline to 14,066 million in 2024. This trend suggests periods of substantial profit growth interrupted by a sudden reduction in the latest year.

Similarly, Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) followed a comparable trend but with less pronounced peaks and troughs. Starting at 13,736 million US dollars in 2020, NOPAT increased steadily to 18,861 million in 2021, then decreased to 16,117 million in 2022, sharply dropped to 8,905 million in 2023, and slightly recovered to 11,461 million in 2024. The dip in 2023 is noteworthy, indicating operational challenges or increased costs impacting profitability before partial recovery.

Net Earnings Trend
Initial steady growth followed by a significant peak in 2023 and subsequent sharp decline in 2024.
NOPAT Trend
General growth with moderate fluctuations until 2022, a steep decrease in 2023, and a modest rebound in 2024.
Comparison between Net Earnings and NOPAT
Net earnings portray higher volatility, while NOPAT reflects more stability but still impacted by operational difficulties in 2023.
Implications
The 2023 period represents a critical year where operational profitability suffered a significant setback, potentially due to external factors or internal inefficiencies. The rebound in NOPAT in 2024, although positive, remains below earlier highs, suggesting ongoing challenges.

Cash Operating Taxes

Johnson & Johnson, cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for taxes on income
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net of portion capitalized
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for taxes on income
The provision for taxes on income demonstrates notable variability over the five-year period. It started at 1,783 million US dollars at the end of 2020, increased moderately to 1,898 million in 2021, and then saw a considerable surge to 3,784 million in 2022. This sharp increase was followed by a significant decline to 1,736 million in 2023. In 2024, it rebounded to 2,621 million, indicating some recovery but remaining below the 2022 peak. This pattern suggests fluctuations in taxable income or changes in tax regulations affecting the provision amounts.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show a consistent upward trend from 2020 to 2023, starting at 2,949 million US dollars and rising steadily through the years to reach a peak of 5,700 million in 2023. However, in 2024, cash operating taxes decreased to 4,692 million, representing a reduction compared to the previous year but still above the earlier years. This pattern highlights increasing tax cash outflows over time with a slight moderation in the most recent year, which could reflect changes in cash tax payments or timing differences.

Invested Capital

Johnson & Johnson, invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Loans and notes payable
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for doubtful accounts3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Current marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of current marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrated variability over the five-year period. Starting at 36,366 million USD in 2020, the figure decreased moderately to 34,751 million USD in 2021, indicating a reduction in debt obligations. However, a significant increase occurred in 2022, rising sharply to 40,959 million USD. This was followed by a notable reduction to 30,432 million USD in 2023, representing the lowest level in the period observed. In 2024, there was a rebound to 37,834 million USD, suggesting some re-leveraging or new debt acquisitions towards the end of the period.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity showed a general upward trend with some fluctuations. It increased substantially from 63,278 million USD in 2020 to 74,023 million USD in 2021. The equity continued to grow but at a slower pace, reaching 76,804 million USD in 2022. In 2023, there was a decline to 68,774 million USD, indicating a possible payout, loss, or other equity-reducing activity during that year. Nevertheless, equity rebounded slightly to 71,490 million USD in 2024, suggesting partial recovery or capital retention.
Invested capital
Invested capital showed mixed trends across the same timeframe. It started at 98,344 million USD in 2020 and remained almost flat in 2021 at 98,066 million USD. In 2022, a significant rise to 113,818 million USD was recorded, representing a peak in capital investment. This was followed by a considerable decrease to 99,118 million USD in 2023, approaching the earlier levels of 2020 and 2021. The invested capital increased again in 2024 to 106,513 million USD, reflecting renewed capital deployment or asset acquisition activities.
Overall Analysis
The financial data reveals a pattern of volatility in debt and invested capital, while equity generally increased but with some retrenchment in the middle of the period. The fluctuations in total reported debt & leases and invested capital suggest dynamic capital structure management and investment strategy adjustments over the five years. The trends imply that the company might have been actively balancing between leveraging for growth and deleveraging to maintain financial stability. The changes in shareholders’ equity reflect underlying operational results and capital transactions during this period, with a temporary decline offset by subsequent recovery.

Cost of Capital

Johnson & Johnson, cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Borrowings3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Borrowings. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Johnson & Johnson, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data over the five-year period reflects varying performance in terms of economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio.

Economic Profit
The economic profit displayed an upward trend from 2020 to 2021, nearly doubling from 4,689 million USD to 9,774 million USD. However, in 2022, it decreased significantly to 5,585 million USD and then turned negative in 2023 with a loss of 358 million USD. In 2024, there was a partial recovery with economic profit rising again to 1,593 million USD, although it remained well below the peak observed in 2021.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated fluctuations throughout the period. After a slight decrease from 98,344 million USD in 2020 to 98,066 million USD in 2021, there was a notable increase in 2022 to 113,818 million USD. This was followed by a reduction to 99,118 million USD in 2023 and a subsequent increase to 106,513 million USD in 2024. Overall, the invested capital showed some volatility but trended upwards when comparing the start and end of the period.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio mirrored the trend in economic profit. It increased sharply from 4.77% in 2020 to 9.97% in 2021, indicating improved returns relative to the cost of capital. This ratio fell to 4.91% in 2022 and turned negative at -0.36% in 2023, suggesting a period where returns failed to cover the cost of capital. By 2024, the ratio had recovered to 1.5%, showing a positive but modest return relative to earlier years.

Overall, the data reveals a peak performance in 2021 followed by a period of decline and a dip into negative territory in 2023, with some signs of recovery in 2024. The fluctuations in invested capital suggest adjustments in assets or financing that may have influenced profitability and returns. The economic spread ratio serves as a useful indicator of value creation relative to capital costs, highlighting recent challenges and partial improvement.


Economic Profit Margin

Johnson & Johnson, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 29, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Sales to customers
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales to customers
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit initially showed significant growth from 4,689 million in 2020 to a peak of 9,774 million in 2021. However, it then declined sharply to 5,585 million in 2022 and further deteriorated to a negative 358 million in 2023. There was a partial recovery in 2024, with economic profit rising to 1,593 million, though it remained well below the earlier peak.
Sales to Customers
Sales exhibited a steady increase from 82,584 million in 2020 to 94,943 million in 2022, indicating a strong upward trend in revenue over these years. However, sales declined markedly to 85,159 million in 2023 before recovering somewhat to 88,821 million in 2024, yet still below the 2022 level.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the economic profit's trajectory. It increased from 5.68% in 2020 to a high of 10.42% in 2021, then declined to 5.88% in 2022. The margin turned negative at -0.42% in 2023, indicating a loss in value creation for that year, before rebounding to a positive 1.79% in 2024.
Overall Analysis
The data reveals a pattern of growth in both sales and economic profit up to 2021, followed by a downturn in 2022 and a significant contraction in 2023. The decline in sales and economic profit, along with the negative profit margin in 2023, suggests challenges during that period, possibly due to external or operational factors. The partial recovery in 2024 suggests some stabilization, but indicators have not yet returned to their prior peak levels, highlighting ongoing volatility in performance.