Stock Analysis on Net

Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE:LLY)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Eli Lilly & Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,092,517 4,318,809 5,040,358 6,357,340 4,928,702
Cost of capital2 7.31% 7.23% 7.05% 6.99% 7.20%
Invested capital3 29,387,300 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100 21,491,000
 
Economic profit4 942,968 2,561,098 3,198,797 4,640,884 3,380,862

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,092,5177.31% × 29,387,300 = 942,968

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Eli Lilly & Co. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Eli Lilly & Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income 5,240,400 6,244,800 5,581,700 6,193,700 8,318,400
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (2,341,000) (2,185,200) (802,300) (134,500) 62,400
Increase (decrease) in allowances2 (1,200) (6,500) (3,400) 3,500 (1,700)
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 (93,500) 25,300 600 16,400 (14,800)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (2,435,700) (2,166,400) (805,100) (114,600) 45,900
Interest expense 485,900 331,600 339,800 359,600 400,600
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 48,726 26,215 20,571 21,902 21,902
Adjusted interest expense 534,626 357,815 360,371 381,502 422,502
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (112,271) (75,141) (75,678) (80,115) (88,726)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 422,354 282,674 284,693 301,387 333,777
(Gain) loss on marketable securities 3,300 9,300 (1,100) 3,700 (32,100)
Interest income (173,600) (62,800) (25,400) (33,000) (80,400)
Investment income, before taxes (170,300) (53,500) (26,500) (29,300) (112,500)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 35,763 11,235 5,565 6,153 23,625
Investment income, after taxes9 (134,537) (42,265) (20,935) (23,147) (88,875)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax10 (3,680,500)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,092,517 4,318,809 5,040,358 6,357,340 4,928,702

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,107,400 × 4.40% = 48,726

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 534,626 × 21.00% = 112,271

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 170,300 × 21.00% = 35,763

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

10 Elimination of discontinued operations.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Eli Lilly & Co. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Eli Lilly & Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income taxes 1,314,200 561,600 573,800 1,036,200 628,000
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (2,341,000) (2,185,200) (802,300) (134,500) 62,400
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 112,271 75,141 75,678 80,115 88,726
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 35,763 11,235 5,565 6,153 23,625
Cash operating taxes 3,731,708 2,810,706 1,446,213 1,244,662 630,701

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Eli Lilly & Co. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Eli Lilly & Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Short-term borrowings and current maturities of long-term debt 6,904,500 1,501,100 1,538,300 8,700 1,499,300
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 18,320,800 14,737,500 15,346,400 16,586,600 13,817,900
Operating lease liability1 1,107,400 728,200 685,700 663,700 608,400
Total reported debt & leases 26,332,700 16,966,800 17,570,400 17,259,000 15,925,600
Total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity 10,771,900 10,649,800 8,979,200 5,641,600 2,606,900
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (5,373,400) (2,705,700) (755,900) (730,500) (385,100)
Allowances3 14,800 16,000 22,500 25,900 22,400
LIFO reserve4 (102,400) (8,900) (34,200) (34,800) (51,200)
Equity equivalents5 (5,461,000) (2,698,600) (767,600) (739,400) (413,900)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 4,327,000 3,844,600 4,343,100 6,496,400 6,523,600
Noncontrolling interests 91,800 125,600 175,600 183,600 92,200
Adjusted total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity 9,729,700 11,921,400 12,730,300 11,582,200 8,808,800
Construction in progress7 (5,084,100) (2,798,600) (2,177,800) (2,138,800) (1,884,400)
Investments8 (1,591,000) (1,787,100) (1,983,100) (2,145,300) (1,359,000)
Invested capital 29,387,300 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100 21,491,000

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Eli Lilly and Company shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Eli Lilly & Co. invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Cost of Capital

Eli Lilly & Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 708,737,166 708,737,166 ÷ 733,232,666 = 0.97 0.97 × 7.47% = 7.22%
Debt3 23,388,100 23,388,100 ÷ 733,232,666 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 1,107,400 1,107,400 ÷ 733,232,666 = 0.00 0.00 × 4.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 733,232,666 1.00 7.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 312,713,944 312,713,944 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.96 0.96 × 7.47% = 7.14%
Debt3 13,821,300 13,821,300 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.04 0.04 × 2.69% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Operating lease liability4 728,200 728,200 ÷ 327,263,444 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 327,263,444 1.00 7.23%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 226,953,844 226,953,844 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.92 0.92 × 7.47% = 6.90%
Debt3 18,157,700 18,157,700 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.07 0.07 × 2.44% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.14%
Operating lease liability4 685,700 685,700 ÷ 245,797,244 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 245,797,244 1.00 7.05%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 197,876,569 197,876,569 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.91 0.91 × 7.47% = 6.79%
Debt3 19,038,900 19,038,900 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.09 0.09 × 2.74% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Operating lease liability4 663,700 663,700 ÷ 217,579,169 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 217,579,169 1.00 6.99%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 134,687,306 134,687,306 ÷ 151,937,306 = 0.89 0.89 × 7.47% = 6.62%
Debt3 16,641,600 16,641,600 ÷ 151,937,306 = 0.11 0.11 × 6.59% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.57%
Operating lease liability4 608,400 608,400 ÷ 151,937,306 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 151,937,306 1.00 7.20%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Eli Lilly & Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 942,968 2,561,098 3,198,797 4,640,884 3,380,862
Invested capital2 29,387,300 24,302,500 26,139,800 24,557,100 21,491,000
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 3.21% 10.54% 12.24% 18.90% 15.73%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. -3.97% 5.45% 4.84% -3.02% 7.26%
Amgen Inc. 2.79% 7.46% 7.44% 11.76% 13.97%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 1.99% -0.71% 1.55% -14.02% -3.70%
Danaher Corp. -7.58% -2.63% -1.98% -3.38% -6.79%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 5.91% 2.40% 8.94% -4.12% 7.18%
Johnson & Johnson 0.02% 5.25% 10.32% 5.09% 4.00%
Merck & Co. Inc. -8.53% 11.66% 11.79% 4.63% 11.21%
Pfizer Inc. -8.89% 18.69% 11.84% -2.87% 5.74%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 21.04% 24.16% 67.16% 39.03% 28.28%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -4.52% -2.74% -0.91% 0.09% -3.80%
Zoetis Inc. 9.00% 3.77% 6.55% 3.30% 4.27%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 942,968 ÷ 29,387,300 = 3.21%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Eli Lilly & Co. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Eli Lilly & Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 942,968 2,561,098 3,198,797 4,640,884 3,380,862
Revenue 34,124,100 28,541,400 28,318,400 24,539,800 22,319,500
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 2.76% 8.97% 11.30% 18.91% 15.15%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc. -4.98% 7.72% 8.26% -6.83% 13.69%
Amgen Inc. 7.25% 11.95% 12.32% 18.82% 23.52%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. 2.99% -1.10% 2.68% -29.73% -14.18%
Danaher Corp. -24.89% -6.54% -4.96% -9.92% -22.00%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 10.05% 4.05% 15.81% -8.51% 10.21%
Johnson & Johnson 0.03% 6.30% 10.80% 6.07% 4.72%
Merck & Co. Inc. -9.92% 14.54% 17.13% 5.52% 12.85%
Pfizer Inc. -23.55% 20.63% 12.77% -7.11% 13.42%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 19.19% 24.32% 45.41% 38.03% 23.48%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -9.03% -5.06% -1.86% 0.17% -7.83%
Zoetis Inc. 12.17% 5.85% 9.78% 5.71% 6.71%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × 942,968 ÷ 34,124,100 = 2.76%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Eli Lilly & Co. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.