Stock Analysis on Net

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (NYSE:BMY)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibits significant volatility over the examined periods. It started with a considerable loss of $6,822 million at the end of 2020, followed by a positive turnaround to $6,656 million in 2021. Subsequently, it declined to $4,571 million in 2022, then increased again to $5,869 million in 2023. However, the figure sharply deteriorated in 2024, resulting in a substantial loss of $9,292 million. This fluctuation indicates instability in the company's core profitability over these years.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital generally rose from 7.19% in 2020 to a peak of 7.93% in 2022, suggesting increasing expenses associated with financing or risk perceptions during this period. It slightly decreased to 7.45% in 2023 and then maintained a similar level at 7.49% in 2024. The higher cost in 2022 and 2023 may have exerted pressure on investment returns.
Invested Capital
There is a clear downward trend in invested capital over the years, declining steadily from $90,149 million in 2020 to $62,654 million in 2024. This reduction could be indicative of asset disposals, operational optimization, or reduced investments, reflecting a contraction in the asset base or capital deployment strategy.
Economic Profit
The economic profit figures demonstrate substantial fluctuations and overall negative trends. Initially, a significant deficit of $13,300 million was recorded in 2020. This turned positive in 2021 with a modest profit of $611 million, followed by a return to negative $1,119 million in 2022. In 2023, economic profit rose to $834 million but sharply declined again to a large negative $13,985 million in 2024. Such volatility highlights challenges in consistently generating returns above the cost of capital across the reviewed timeframe.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings (loss) attributable to BMS
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit loss2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit loss.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings (loss) attributable to BMS.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings (loss) attributable to BMS.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Earnings (Loss) Attributable to BMS
The net earnings exhibit significant volatility over the five-year period. In 2020, the company experienced a substantial loss of approximately $9.015 billion. This was followed by a strong recovery in 2021, with net earnings turning positive at around $6.994 billion. The positive trend continued through 2022 and 2023, with earnings of $6.327 billion and $8.025 billion, respectively, indicating operational improvements and profitability restoration. However, in 2024, the net earnings again declined sharply to a loss of about $8.948 billion, suggesting potential one-time charges, operational challenges, or market conditions adversely affecting profitability.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values reflect a similar pattern of volatility as net earnings. In 2020, the company reported a significant negative NOPAT of approximately $6.822 billion. The following year showed a substantial positive turnaround with NOPAT reaching $6.656 billion. Despite this improvement, the subsequent years showed a decline in NOPAT, falling to $4.571 billion in 2022 and recovering slightly to $5.869 billion in 2023. In 2024, there was a notable decline to a negative $9.292 billion, aligning with the net earnings loss. This suggests that operational efficiency and tax impacts fluctuated considerably, with a sharp deterioration in 2024 likely driven by operational issues or exceptional expenses.
Overall Trend and Insights
Both net earnings and NOPAT demonstrate a pronounced cyclical pattern, with strong losses in 2020 followed by recovery in the subsequent years up to 2023, and then a substantial reversal back to losses in 2024. This pattern indicates that while the company was able to restore profitability after a difficult 2020, it encountered renewed challenges in 2024. The divergence between earnings and operating profit in some years suggests that non-operating factors, such as extraordinary items or tax effects, may have influenced net profitability. The data points to the necessity for a deeper review of underlying causes behind the 2024 downturn, including potential one-time charges, market dynamics, or changes in operational efficiency.

Cash Operating Taxes

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax provision
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Income Tax Provision
The income tax provision shows a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at 2,124 million US dollars in 2020, it declined significantly to 1,084 million in 2021, followed by a moderate increase to 1,368 million in 2022. In the subsequent years, the provision dropped sharply to 400 million in 2023 but experienced a slight rebound to 554 million in 2024. This pattern suggests variability in taxable income or changes in tax strategy or regulations impacting the provision calculation.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes display a different trajectory compared to income tax provisions, indicating potential timing differences or other tax-related factors. The amount nearly doubled from 1,445 million in 2020 to 2,764 million in 2021, followed by a further substantial increase to 4,376 million in 2022. However, in 2023, cash operating taxes declined to 3,947 million and continued to drop to 3,068 million in 2024. Despite the reductions in recent years, cash tax payments remain significantly higher than in 2020. This trend may reflect changes in cash flow management, tax payment scheduling, or adjustments related to tax liabilities and credits.
Overall Insights
The divergence between income tax provision and cash operating taxes is notable. While income tax provisions generally decreased over the period with some volatility, cash operating taxes rose sharply before declining in the last two years but still remained elevated relative to 2020. These contrasting patterns could indicate differences in accounting recognition of tax expenses versus actual cash outflows. The fluctuations in both indicators highlight the importance of analyzing tax-related cash impacts separately from accounting provisions to fully understand the company's tax position and its effect on liquidity and profitability.

Invested Capital

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term debt obligations
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total BMS shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit loss3
Restructuring liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total BMS shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Marketable debt securities and equity investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total BMS shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable debt securities and equity investments.


Total reported debt & leases
There is a noticeable reduction in total reported debt and leases from 2020 to 2022, falling from approximately $51.7 billion to about $40.7 billion. However, the debt level stabilizes around $41.5 billion in 2023 before increasing significantly to $51.2 billion in 2024, approaching the 2020 debt level once again.
Total BMS shareholders’ equity
The shareholders’ equity shows a consistent declining trend over the five-year period. Starting at around $37.8 billion in 2020, it decreases gradually each year, falling to roughly $16.3 billion in 2024. This decline is particularly pronounced between 2023 and 2024, where equity drops by nearly 45%, indicating potential challenges impacting the company’s net worth.
Invested capital
Invested capital follows a downward trend over the period, beginning at approximately $90.1 billion in 2020 and decreasing steadily every year to around $62.7 billion in 2024. The continuous reduction suggests contraction in the company's asset base or potential divestitures and may relate to the simultaneously falling equity and fluctuating debt levels.

Cost of Capital

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Starting with a substantial loss of $13,300 million in 2020, it swings to a positive value of $611 million in 2021, followed by a return to negative territory at -$1,119 million in 2022. In 2023, it again rises to a profitable figure of $834 million but then sharply declines to a deep loss of $13,985 million in 2024. This pattern indicates inconsistent profitability with considerable fluctuations between losses and gains over the years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrates a steady declining trend from $90,149 million in 2020 to $62,654 million in 2024. This sustained reduction suggests a gradual contraction or divestment of the capital base over the period, which may impact the company's operational capacity or strategic investments.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio reflects volatile performance as well, with a negative starting point of -14.75% in 2020, improving to a slightly positive 0.76% in 2021, then deteriorating to -1.56% in 2022. It shows another recovery to 1.23% in 2023 but drops sharply to -22.32% in 2024. The wide swings and especially the significant negative value in the final year indicate challenges in achieving returns above the cost of invested capital consistently.

Economic Profit Margin

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenues
Revenues showed a generally stable performance over the observed period, with values fluctuating within a narrow range. Starting at 42,518 million US dollars in 2020, revenues increased moderately to 46,385 million in 2021. However, they experienced a slight decline in 2022 and 2023, reaching 46,159 million and 45,006 million respectively, before recovering to 48,300 million in 2024, marking the highest figure in the period under review.
Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibited considerable volatility throughout the years. In 2020, it was deeply negative at -13,300 million US dollars. It improved significantly in 2021, turning positive at 611 million, before falling again into negative territory in 2022 to -1,119 million. The company regained positive economic profit in 2023 with 834 million, only to experience another steep decline in 2024 to -13,985 million, indicating substantial financial challenges during that year.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the fluctuations seen in economic profit values. The margin was strongly negative at -31.28% in 2020, turning slightly positive at 1.32% in 2021. It again dropped to negative -2.42% in 2022 before rising to 1.85% in 2023. However, in 2024, the margin plummeted to -28.95%, underscoring a significant decrease in profitability relative to revenues in that year.
Overall Analysis
The company’s revenue stream remained relatively stable with modest growth by the end of the period. Nevertheless, the economic profit and corresponding margin displayed a high degree of instability, alternating between positive and negative values. The sharp declines seen in 2020 and especially in 2024 suggest periods of operational challenges or increased costs that eroded value despite stable revenues. The intermittent positive economic profit in 2021 and 2023 indicates episodes of improved operational efficiency or favorable conditions. This pattern of volatility in economic profitability signals the need for careful management focus on cost control, operational efficiency, and strategic initiatives to achieve sustained and consistent value creation.