Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial data from 2021 to 2025 reveals a consistent trend of negative economic profit, indicating that the company's net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) has been insufficient to cover the cost of its invested capital throughout the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A cyclical trend is observed in operating profitability. NOPAT declined steadily from US$ 7,514 million in 2021 to a low of US$ 5,117 million in 2023. A recovery phase followed, with profits increasing to US$ 5,400 million in 2024 and further rising to US$ 6,467 million by 2025. Despite this recovery, the 2025 figure remains below the 2021 baseline.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital showed a general upward trajectory, growing from US$ 79,776 million in 2021 to US$ 94,150 million in 2025, with a brief contraction in 2024. Simultaneously, the cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 14.35% and 14.86%. The combination of expanding capital employment and a consistent cost of capital has resulted in a rising capital charge over the five-year period.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative for all five years, reflecting a persistent failure to generate value above the cost of capital. The deficit widened significantly from US$ -3,973 million in 2021 to a peak deficit of US$ -7,488 million in 2023. While a slight improvement occurred in 2024, the economic profit declined again to US$ -7,045 million in 2025. This suggests that the increase in invested capital in 2025 offset the gains made in NOPAT, preventing the company from improving its economic value added position.

In summary, the data indicates that the company is operating in a state of value destruction. The growth in invested capital has outpaced the recovery in operating profits, ensuring that the cost of financing the asset base consistently exceeds the returns generated by those assets.



Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring costs3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring costs.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc..

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc..

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) both demonstrate fluctuations over the five-year period. While net income shows a relatively stable pattern, NOPAT exhibits a more pronounced decline followed by recovery.

Net Income Trend
Net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. decreased from US$7,725 million in 2021 to US$6,950 million in 2022. A further decrease was observed in 2023, reaching US$5,995 million. Subsequently, net income increased to US$6,335 million in 2024 and continued to rise to US$6,704 million in 2025, though it did not return to the 2021 level.
NOPAT Trend
NOPAT experienced a more significant decline than net income. Starting at US$7,514 million in 2021, it decreased to US$6,425 million in 2022. The decline accelerated in 2023, falling to US$5,117 million. A modest recovery occurred in 2024, with NOPAT reaching US$5,400 million. The most substantial increase within the observed period occurred between 2024 and 2025, with NOPAT rising to US$6,467 million. Despite this recovery, the 2025 NOPAT figure remains below the 2021 level.
Relationship between Net Income and NOPAT
The values for net income and NOPAT are closely aligned throughout the period, suggesting a limited impact from financing costs or non-operating items. The proportional changes in both metrics are similar, indicating that the core operating profitability is the primary driver of overall profitability. However, the magnitude of the NOPAT decline in 2023 was greater than that of net income, potentially indicating changes in the tax rate or other adjustments between net income and NOPAT.

The recovery in both net income and NOPAT in the later years of the period suggests a potential stabilization or improvement in the company’s operating performance. Further investigation would be required to determine the underlying causes of these fluctuations and the sustainability of the recent recovery.



Cash Operating Taxes

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited distinct trends between 2021 and 2025. A significant decrease in the provision for income taxes is apparent over the period, while cash operating taxes demonstrate more fluctuation.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased substantially from US$1,109 million in 2021 to US$284 million in 2023. A moderate increase was then observed in 2024, reaching US$657 million, followed by a further decrease to US$547 million in 2025. This represents an overall decline of approximately 50.7% from 2021 to 2025.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2023, fluctuating around US$1,800 million. A notable increase occurred in 2024, with cash operating taxes rising to US$1,946 million. However, a considerable decrease was recorded in 2025, falling to US$1,290 million. The net change from 2021 to 2025 is a decrease of approximately 30.9%.

The divergence between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes suggests potential differences in temporary versus permanent tax differences. The substantial reduction in the provision for income taxes, coupled with the fluctuating cash operating taxes, warrants further investigation into the underlying factors driving these trends, such as changes in tax regulations, deferred tax asset realization, or shifts in the composition of taxable income.

Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021, cash operating taxes exceeded the provision for income taxes by US$757 million. This difference narrowed in 2022 to US$1,103 million and further decreased in 2023 to US$1,417 million. The gap widened again in 2024 to US$1,289 million before decreasing significantly in 2025 to US$743 million. This fluctuating difference highlights the impact of timing differences between reported income tax expense and actual cash tax payments.

The observed trends indicate a complex tax profile, and continued monitoring of these figures is recommended to assess potential impacts on future cash flows and overall financial performance.



Invested Capital

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term obligations and current maturities of long-term obligations
Long-term obligations, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Accrued restructuring costs4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Redeemable noncontrolling interest
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Investments measured at fair value on a recurring basis8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued restructuring costs.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of investments measured at fair value on a recurring basis.


The invested capital of the company demonstrates an overall increasing trend between 2021 and 2025, though with some fluctuation. Total reported debt & leases and total shareholders’ equity both contribute to this figure, and their individual movements influence the overall invested capital.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital increased from US$79,776 million in 2021 to US$82,814 million in 2022, representing a growth of approximately 3.8%. Further growth was observed in 2023, reaching US$85,573 million. A slight decrease occurred in 2024, with invested capital falling to US$82,071 million. However, a significant increase is noted in 2025, with invested capital reaching US$94,150 million.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2023, fluctuating around US$36 billion. A decrease was observed in 2024, falling to US$32,775 million. This downward trend was reversed in 2025, with debt & leases increasing substantially to US$40,855 million.
Shareholders’ Equity
Total shareholders’ equity exhibited consistent growth throughout the period. It increased from US$40,793 million in 2021 to US$43,978 million in 2022, US$46,735 million in 2023, and US$49,584 million in 2024. This growth continued into 2025, reaching US$53,407 million. The consistent increase in shareholders’ equity contributes to the overall growth in invested capital.

The increase in invested capital in 2025 is primarily driven by a substantial rise in debt & leases, despite continued growth in shareholders’ equity. The dip in invested capital in 2024 is attributable to the decrease in debt & leases, partially offset by the continued growth in shareholders’ equity. These fluctuations suggest potential shifts in the company’s capital structure and financing strategies.



Cost of Capital

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance over the five-year period from 2021 to 2025 is characterized by a persistent negative economic profit and a corresponding negative economic spread ratio. This indicates that the returns generated on invested capital have consistently remained below the company's cost of capital requirements throughout the observed timeframe.

Economic Profit
A deteriorating trend in economic profit was observed from 2021 through 2023, with negative values expanding from -3,973 million to a peak loss of -7,488 million. A slight recovery occurred in 2024, with the loss narrowing to -6,796 million, before returning to a decline of -7,045 million in 2025.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a general upward trajectory, increasing from 79,776 million in 2021 to 94,150 million in 2025. This growth was interrupted by a temporary contraction in 2024, where capital decreased to 82,071 million, followed by a significant expansion in the final year of the period.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio experienced a continuous decline from 2021 to 2023, dropping from -4.98% to a trough of -8.75%. Following this period of deterioration, a gradual trend toward recovery was observed, with the ratio improving to -8.28% in 2024 and -7.48% in 2025.

The correlation between the negative economic spread and the negative economic profit confirms that the company has failed to create economic value over the analyzed period. The expansion of the invested capital base, particularly the sharp increase in 2025, has not been accompanied by a return sufficient to reverse the negative spread, suggesting that capital deployment has not yet yielded efficiency gains relative to the cost of funding.



Economic Profit Margin

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc.
Amgen Inc.
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.
Danaher Corp.
Eli Lilly & Co.
Gilead Sciences Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
Merck & Co. Inc.
Pfizer Inc.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance regarding economic value added shows a persistent trend of negative economic profit from 2021 through 2025. This indicates that the returns generated during this period were insufficient to cover the company's cost of capital, resulting in a consistent destruction of economic value.

Economic Profit Trajectory
A significant downward trend in economic profit is observed between 2021 and 2023, with losses widening from -3,973 million US$ to a peak deficit of -7,488 million US$. While there was a moderate recovery in 2024 to -6,796 million US$, the figure declined again to -7,045 million US$ by the end of 2025, suggesting a stabilization of economic losses at a higher level than seen at the start of the period.
Revenue Fluctuations
Revenues exhibited volatility throughout the five-year window. An initial increase from 39,211 million US$ in 2021 to 44,915 million US$ in 2022 was followed by a contraction to 42,857 million US$ in 2023. Growth resumed modestly thereafter, reaching 44,556 million US$ in 2025. The lack of a linear correlation between revenue growth and economic profit suggests that the drivers of value destruction are not solely linked to top-line performance.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin reflects a deteriorating trend in value creation efficiency. The margin dropped from -10.13% in 2021 to its lowest point of -17.47% in 2023. In the subsequent two years, the margin showed signs of stabilization, remaining relatively constant at -15.85% in 2024 and -15.81% in 2025. This stabilization indicates that while the efficiency of capital usage has not returned to 2021 levels, the rate of economic loss relative to revenue has ceased its rapid decline.