Stock Analysis on Net

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

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Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 97,321 98,726 97,154 95,123 69,052
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 4,009 8,077 8,524 4,477 10,325
Less: Short-term investments 1,561 3
Operating assets 91,751 90,646 88,630 90,646 58,727
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 47,650 51,884 53,006 54,146 34,535
Less: Short-term obligations and current maturities of long-term obligations 2,214 3,609 5,579 2,537 2,628
Less: Long-term obligations, excluding current maturities 29,061 31,308 28,909 32,333 19,107
Operating liabilities 16,375 16,967 18,518 19,276 12,800
 
Net operating assets1 75,376 73,679 70,112 71,370 45,927
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 1,697 3,567 (1,258) 25,443
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 2.28% 4.96% -1.78% 43.38%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. 13.10% -22.39% -14.27% -9.69%
Amgen Inc. -10.36% 57.08% 4.07% 0.70%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -3.21% -7.12% -3.86% -13.40%
Danaher Corp. -3.94% 3.48% -1.55% 16.41%
Eli Lilly & Co. 29.18% 28.84% 11.38% 16.60%
Gilead Sciences Inc. -11.79% 1.04% -2.92% -2.34%
Johnson & Johnson 10.61% -21.13% 19.84% 3.75%
Merck & Co. Inc. 6.20% 3.16% 0.46% 25.14%
Pfizer Inc. -11.48% 30.66% 24.95% -7.11%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 25.51% 1.17% 11.07% 43.54%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 42.13% 61.24% 14.07% 18.20%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 1.64% 7.36% 4.84% 6.18%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Health Care 5.49% 7.80% 5.29% 5.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 91,75116,375 = 75,376

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 75,37673,679 = 1,697

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 1,697 ÷ [(75,376 + 73,679) ÷ 2] = 2.28%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The data reveals several notable trends in key financial measures over the four-year period.

Net Operating Assets

There is a general upward trend in net operating assets from 2021 through 2024. The value decreased slightly from approximately 71,370 million US dollars at the end of 2021 to 70,112 million at the end of 2022. However, it rebounded thereafter, increasing to 73,679 million in 2023 and further to 75,376 million in 2024. This suggests an overall expansion in operating assets despite the slight contraction experienced in 2022.

Balance-Sheet-Based Aggregate Accruals

The balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals exhibit considerable volatility across the years. Starting at a high positive value of 25,443 million US dollars in 2021, there is a sharp decline to a negative figure of -1,258 million in 2022. This indicates a significant reversal or reduction in accruals. In 2023 and 2024, the accruals return to positive values, at 3,567 million and 1,697 million respectively, though remaining substantially lower than the 2021 peak. This pattern implies fluctuating adjustments in accrued items, possibly reflecting changes in accounting estimates, revenue recognition, or expense accruals.

Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

The accruals ratio mirrors the aggregate accruals trend, demonstrating considerable fluctuation as well. The ratio begins at a notably high 43.38% in 2021, indicating a significant level of accruals relative to net operating assets. In 2022, it swings sharply to a negative -1.78%, corresponding to the negative aggregate accruals observed. Subsequently, the ratio stabilizes to moderate positive levels, 4.96% in 2023 and 2.28% in 2024, reflecting lower but positive accrual adjustments in relation to operating assets. This reduction in accrual ratio may be indicative of improved earnings quality or more conservative accounting practices in the latter years.

Overall, the trends suggest a period of adjustment and fluctuations in accrual accounting between 2021 and 2024, with net operating assets generally expanding. The sharp changes in accruals and their ratio highlight potential variability in earnings quality over the years, with a move towards more moderate accrual levels in the most recent periods analyzed.


Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. 6,335 5,995 6,950 7,725 6,375
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 8,667 8,406 9,154 9,312 8,289
Less: Net cash used in investing activities (5,841) (5,142) (2,159) (21,932) (1,510)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals 3,509 2,731 (45) 20,345 (404)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 4.71% 3.80% -0.06% 34.69%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
AbbVie Inc. 10.32% -24.89% -16.25% -10.28%
Amgen Inc. -11.16% 52.47% 8.81% -12.87%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -4.97% -5.99% -9.10% -12.73%
Danaher Corp. -1.25% 8.20% 1.44% 18.48%
Eli Lilly & Co. 28.52% 28.13% 10.32% 5.30%
Gilead Sciences Inc. -18.05% -0.19% -4.95% -4.86%
Johnson & Johnson 10.58% 13.66% 10.78% 8.23%
Merck & Co. Inc. 5.00% 2.23% 0.61% 29.09%
Pfizer Inc. -5.24% 19.96% 18.46% 13.18%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 12.04% 14.35% 18.61% 49.24%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. 43.34% 62.03% -14.45% 1.38%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 2.07% 9.68% 2.52% 8.19%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Health Care 4.00% 8.59% 4.25% 7.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 3,509 ÷ [(75,376 + 73,679) ÷ 2] = 4.71%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets exhibit a generally increasing trend over the four-year period. Starting at 71,370 million US dollars at the end of 2021, the value slightly decreased to 70,112 million in 2022 but then increased again to 73,679 million in 2023 and further to 75,376 million in 2024. This indicates a stabilization after a minor dip, followed by progressive growth in the company's core asset base used for operations.
Cash-flow-statement-based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals, derived from the cash flow statement, show significant volatility across the years. There is a substantial positive figure in 2021 at 20,345 million US dollars, followed by a sharp decline to a slight negative value of -45 million in 2022. Subsequently, accruals increased to 2,731 million in 2023 and further to 3,509 million in 2024. Despite fluctuations, the period ends with moderate positive accruals, suggesting variability in the timing of cash flows versus accounting earnings.
Cash-flow-statement-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio, representing the aggregate accruals relative to net operating assets, reflects considerable instability. The ratio was notably high at 34.69% in 2021, then dramatically dropped to a negative ratio of -0.06% in 2022. It subsequently rises to 3.8% in 2023 and increases slightly to 4.71% in 2024. This pattern underscores considerable changes in the proportion of accruals to operating assets, indicating fluctuations in earnings quality and potential differences in accrual-based earnings versus cash flow generated from operations.