Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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American Airlines Group Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Common-Size Income Statement
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Net Profit Margin since 2013
- Current Ratio since 2013
- Total Asset Turnover since 2013
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2013
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Economic Profit
American Airlines Group Inc., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The net operating profit after taxes exhibited a significant decline in 2020, dropping from a positive 3,350 million USD in 2019 to a negative 10,143 million USD. This negative trend slightly improved in 2021 but remained in negative territory at -736 million USD. Subsequently, a recovery phase is evident, with positive figures of 2,040 million USD in 2022 and further growth to 2,815 million USD in 2023.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital gradually decreased from 7.75% in 2019 to 7.2% in 2021, indicating potentially lower perceived risk or borrowing costs during this period. However, it rose again in 2022 to 8.09% and slightly increased further to 8.17% in 2023, which may reflect rising risk premiums or changes in market conditions.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital peaked at 35,495 million USD in 2019, followed by a general downward trend through 2021 (29,074 million USD). It then rebounded somewhat to 30,859 million USD in 2022 but showed a marginal decrease to 30,476 million USD in 2023. This pattern suggests some contraction in asset or capital base during the early years, with moderate stabilization thereafter.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit experienced a drastic fall from 598 million USD in 2019 to a substantial loss of 12,530 million USD in 2020, correlating with the sharp deterioration in operating profit and possibly exacerbated by cost of capital fluctuations. Although economic profit losses have been reduced in subsequent years (with -2,828 million USD in 2021 and -456 million USD in 2022), the company only returned to a modest positive economic profit of 326 million USD in 2023, indicating a slow recovery in value creation relative to capital costs.
- Summary
- The company faced severe financial challenges in 2020, reflected in significant negative net operating profit and economic profit. Recovery has been ongoing but gradual, supported by improvements in operating profitability and somewhat stabilized invested capital. The increase in the cost of capital from 2021 onwards could pose challenges to further economic profit generation. Overall, the data indicate a trajectory from financial stress toward cautious recovery, with ongoing attention needed to optimize capital efficiency and control costs amid fluctuating capital charges.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
American Airlines Group Inc., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).
3 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
4 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net = Adjusted interest expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
5 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).
6 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income (Loss)
- The net income experienced a substantial decline from a profit of 1,686 million USD in 2019 to a significant loss of 8,885 million USD in 2020. This negative trend continued with a loss of 1,993 million USD in 2021. However, the company showed a recovery trend starting in 2022, reporting a slight profit of 127 million USD, which further increased to 822 million USD in 2023. This indicates a recovery phase following the sharp downturn experienced in 2020 and 2021.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT followed a pattern similar to net income. It declined from 3,350 million USD in 2019 to a substantial loss of 10,143 million USD in 2020. Although the loss narrowed in 2021 to 736 million USD, the company returned to profitability in 2022 with 2,040 million USD and further increased profitability to 2,815 million USD in 2023. This improvement suggests enhanced operating efficiency and effective cost management efforts post-2021.
- Overall Trends and Insights
- Both profitability metrics highlight a severe impact on financial performance during 2020 and 2021, likely indicative of broad industry or economic challenges during that period. The subsequent years show a gradual but steady recovery in operational and net profitability. The profit levels in 2023, while improved compared to the losses in 2020 and 2021, have not yet returned to the high levels seen in 2019. This recovery trajectory suggests resilience and a positive outlook but indicates that full pre-crisis profitability has not been fully restored as of 2023.
Cash Operating Taxes
American Airlines Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
- Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
-
The income tax provision exhibited significant volatility over the five-year period. In 2019, it was a positive figure of $570 million, indicating tax expense for that year. However, in 2020, there was a notable shift to a substantial tax benefit of -$2,568 million, reflecting either tax credits, losses, or adjustments that reduced tax liabilities significantly. In 2021, the income tax provision remained negative at -$555 million, though the magnitude of the tax benefit decreased compared to 2020.
Beginning in 2022, the figure reverted to a positive income tax provision, indicating tax expense of $59 million, and then increased to $299 million in 2023. This trend suggests a recovery or return to profitability whereby the company is liable for taxes again after consecutive benefit years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
-
Cash operating taxes increased steadily from $303 million in 2019 to $348 million in 2020, followed by further increases to $482 million in 2021 and peaking at $485 million in 2022. There was a slight decline to $450 million in 2023.
This pattern indicates that despite variations in reported income tax provision, cash taxes paid have generally risen over the period, suggesting ongoing tax obligations tied to operational profits or other taxable activities independent from accounting income tax expense or benefits. The slight decline in the final year could imply adjustments in taxable income, changes in tax planning, or other operational modifications affecting cash tax outflows.
Invested Capital
American Airlines Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ deficit.
4 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
5 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data reveals several important trends regarding debt, equity position, and invested capital over the five-year period.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases show an overall increasing trend from 2019 through 2021, rising from $33.4 billion to $46.2 billion. This suggests significant additional borrowing or lease obligations during this time. However, in the subsequent years 2022 and 2023, the debt level decreased to $43.7 billion and then to $40.7 billion, respectively. This indicates a deleveraging phase following the peak in 2021, possibly reflecting efforts to reduce leverage or repayments of obligations.
- Stockholders’ Deficit
- The stockholders’ deficit worsened dramatically from a minor negative $118 million in 2019 to substantial deficits of approximately $6.9 billion and $7.3 billion in 2020 and 2021, respectively. After peaking in 2021, the deficit began a gradual improvement, declining to about $5.8 billion in 2022 and further to $5.2 billion in 2023. This trend indicates that while the company faced heavy equity erosion likely due to losses or impairments during 2020-2021, it started to stabilize or recover its equity base in the following years.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital decreased steadily from $35.5 billion in 2019 to $29.1 billion in 2021, reflecting contraction or write-downs in invested assets or net working capital components. From 2021 onwards, invested capital showed a modest recovery, increasing to $30.9 billion in 2022 before slightly declining to $30.5 billion in 2023. This pattern suggests some stabilization or reinvestment activities after the initial decline.
Overall, the data signals a company that expanded its debt significantly in the early years of the period analyzed, likely under challenging conditions around 2020 and 2021, as reflected by the sharply increased deficit and reduced invested capital. The trend reverses partially after 2021, with reductions in debt and improvements in equity deficit indicating a phase of financial repair and stabilization. The relatively stable invested capital in later years suggests cautious reinvestment or asset base recovery.
Cost of Capital
American Airlines Group Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt and finance lease liabilities, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
American Airlines Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| Union Pacific Corp. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit showed a significant decline from 598 million USD at the end of 2019 to a substantial negative figure of -12,530 million USD in 2020. This sharp downturn was followed by gradual improvements in subsequent years, with the economic loss reducing to -2,828 million USD in 2021, further improving to -456 million USD in 2022, and finally returning to a positive value of 326 million USD by the end of 2023.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital experienced a reduction from 35,495 million USD in 2019 to 31,408 million USD in 2020. This downward trend continued through 2021, reaching 29,074 million USD. However, there was a recovery in 2022 with invested capital increasing to 30,859 million USD, followed by a slight decrease to 30,476 million USD in 2023.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio demonstrated a similar pattern to economic profit, starting at a positive 1.69% in 2019 before dropping sharply to -39.89% in 2020. Although the negative spread lessened over the coming years, it remained below zero at -9.73% in 2021 and -1.48% in 2022. By the end of 2023, the ratio returned to a positive level of 1.07%, indicating a recovery in the company's return relative to its invested capital.
Economic Profit Margin
American Airlines Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Operating revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| Union Pacific Corp. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Operating Revenues
- The operating revenues experienced a significant decline from 45,768 million USD in 2019 to 17,337 million USD in 2020, reflecting the likely impact of external adverse conditions during this period. Following this sharp drop, revenues showed a strong recovery trend, increasing to 29,882 million USD in 2021 and continuing upward to 48,971 million USD in 2022, ultimately reaching 52,788 million USD in 2023, surpassing the pre-decline level.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit followed a markedly different trajectory compared to revenues. In 2019, the company reported a positive economic profit of 598 million USD. However, this shifted dramatically in 2020, with a large economic loss of -12,530 million USD. While losses continued into 2021 and 2022, the magnitude lessened considerably to -2,828 million USD and -456 million USD respectively. By 2023, economic profit turned positive again at 326 million USD, indicating a return toward profitability, though the amount is still relatively modest compared to the 2019 level.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin mirrored the movements observed in economic profit. Starting at a positive 1.31% in 2019, the margin collapsed to -72.27% in 2020, reflecting substantial negative value generation relative to revenues. In subsequent years, the margin showed improvement but remained negative through 2021 (-9.46%) and 2022 (-0.93%). In 2023, it returned to a positive figure of 0.62%, signaling a gradual recovery in economic efficiency but still below the pre-2020 margin.
- Overall Insights
- The data reveals a severe disruption in financial performance beginning in 2020, with sharp declines in revenues and pronounced economic losses. Despite strong revenue recovery by 2023, the return to positive economic profit and margin was delayed and modest, indicating that while the company has made progress in restoring profitability, there remains room for improvement in generating economic value relative to its revenue base.