Stock Analysis on Net

Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE:UNP)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Union Pacific Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 7,558 8,288 7,625 6,650 7,369
Cost of capital2 12.80% 12.56% 12.62% 12.52% 12.60%
Invested capital3 61,524 59,751 58,241 58,340 57,204
 
Economic profit4 (317) 782 274 (652) 162

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 7,55812.80% × 61,524 = -317

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Union Pacific Corp. economic profit increased from 2021 to 2022 but then decreased significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Union Pacific Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income 6,379 6,998 6,523 5,349 5,919
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 117 262 154 340 566
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 (1) (7) 13 1
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 116 262 147 353 567
Interest expense 1,340 1,271 1,157 1,141 1,050
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 58 54 56 59 68
Adjusted interest expense 1,398 1,325 1,213 1,200 1,118
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (293) (278) (255) (252) (235)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 1,104 1,047 958 948 883
Interest income (52) (23) (4)
Investment income, before taxes (52) (23) (4)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7 11 5 1
Investment income, after taxes8 (41) (18) (3)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 7,558 8,288 7,625 6,650 7,369

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,600 × 3.60% = 58

5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,398 × 21.00% = 293

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 52 × 21.00% = 11

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Union Pacific Corp. NOPAT increased from 2021 to 2022 but then decreased significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Union Pacific Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax expense 1,854 2,074 1,955 1,631 1,828
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 117 262 154 340 566
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 293 278 255 252 235
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 11 5 1
Cash operating taxes 2,020 2,085 2,055 1,543 1,497

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Union Pacific Corp. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 but then decreased significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Union Pacific Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Debt due within one year 1,423 1,678 2,166 1,069 1,257
Debt due after one year 31,156 31,648 27,563 25,660 23,943
Operating lease liability1 1,600 1,631 1,759 1,604 1,833
Total reported debt & leases 34,179 34,957 31,488 28,333 27,033
Common shareholders’ equity 14,788 12,163 14,161 16,958 18,128
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 13,123 13,033 12,675 12,247 11,992
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 9 10 10 17 4
Equity equivalents4 13,132 13,043 12,685 12,264 11,996
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 614 582 914 1,593 1,356
Adjusted common shareholders’ equity 28,534 25,788 27,760 30,815 31,480
Construction in progress6 (1,173) (948) (961) (748) (1,249)
Short-term investments7 (16) (46) (46) (60) (60)
Invested capital 61,524 59,751 58,241 58,340 57,204

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to common shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Union Pacific Corp. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

Union Pacific Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 152,109 152,109 ÷ 182,209 = 0.83 0.83 × 14.26% = 11.90%
Debt3 28,500 28,500 ÷ 182,209 = 0.16 0.16 × 7.07% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.87%
Operating lease liability4 1,600 1,600 ÷ 182,209 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 182,209 1.00 12.80%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 125,740 125,740 ÷ 155,471 = 0.81 0.81 × 14.26% = 11.53%
Debt3 28,100 28,100 ÷ 155,471 = 0.18 0.18 × 7.05% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.01%
Operating lease liability4 1,631 1,631 ÷ 155,471 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 155,471 1.00 12.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 154,378 154,378 ÷ 189,037 = 0.82 0.82 × 14.26% = 11.64%
Debt3 32,900 32,900 ÷ 189,037 = 0.17 0.17 × 6.96% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.96%
Operating lease liability4 1,759 1,759 ÷ 189,037 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 189,037 1.00 12.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 136,779 136,779 ÷ 170,283 = 0.80 0.80 × 14.26% = 11.45%
Debt3 31,900 31,900 ÷ 170,283 = 0.19 0.19 × 7.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.04%
Operating lease liability4 1,604 1,604 ÷ 170,283 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 170,283 1.00 12.52%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 126,891 126,891 ÷ 155,924 = 0.81 0.81 × 14.26% = 11.60%
Debt3 27,200 27,200 ÷ 155,924 = 0.17 0.17 × 6.99% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.96%
Operating lease liability4 1,833 1,833 ÷ 155,924 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 155,924 1.00 12.60%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Union Pacific Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (317) 782 274 (652) 162
Invested capital2 61,524 59,751 58,241 58,340 57,204
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -0.51% 1.31% 0.47% -1.12% 0.28%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp. -3.57% -3.34% -0.53% -5.54% -8.17%
Uber Technologies Inc. -0.29% -70.53% -19.72% -46.82% -55.35%
United Parcel Service Inc. 4.69% 15.88% 21.66% -8.46% 2.97%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -317 ÷ 61,524 = -0.51%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Union Pacific Corp. economic spread ratio improved from 2021 to 2022 but then deteriorated significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Union Pacific Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (317) 782 274 (652) 162
Operating revenues 24,119 24,875 21,804 19,533 21,708
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -1.31% 3.14% 1.26% -3.34% 0.75%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp. -2.75% -2.37% -0.40% -4.61% -6.22%
Uber Technologies Inc. -0.12% -36.16% -18.16% -88.43% -80.08%
United Parcel Service Inc. 2.34% 7.09% 9.88% -3.32% 1.46%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Operating revenues
= 100 × -317 ÷ 24,119 = -1.31%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Union Pacific Corp. economic profit margin improved from 2021 to 2022 but then deteriorated significantly from 2022 to 2023.