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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Union Pacific Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Common Stock Valuation Ratios
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Current Ratio since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Analysis of Debt
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- The net operating profit after taxes exhibits an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. Starting at 6,650 million USD in 2020, it increased steadily to 8,288 million USD by the end of 2022. However, there was a decline in 2023 to 7,558 million USD, followed by a slight recovery to 7,772 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests a period of growth followed by some operational challenges or increased expenses in 2023, with a partial rebound subsequently.
- Cost of capital
- The cost of capital has gradually increased throughout the period. It started at 13.58% in 2020 and rose to 14.02% by 2024. The incremental rise each year indicates a slightly increasing risk perception or changes in market conditions affecting the company's required return.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital has shown a consistent growth trend from 2020 to 2024. It increased from 58,340 million USD in 2020 to 62,044 million USD in 2024. This steady rise suggests ongoing investment in assets or expansion initiatives.
- Economic profit
- Economic profit reflects a challenging scenario with fluctuations over the observed period. It started negative at -1,269 million USD in 2020, improved significantly to a small positive figure of 145 million USD in 2022, then deteriorated again to negative values (-993 million USD in 2023 and -926 million USD in 2024). Despite the increase in NOPAT and invested capital, the persistent negative economic profit in the later years indicates that the returns generated have not consistently exceeded the cost of capital, signaling potential value erosion during those years.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.
4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.
7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income
- Net income exhibited a generally upward trend over the five-year period, starting at 5,349 million US dollars in 2020 and increasing to 6,747 million US dollars in 2024. The most significant increase occurred between 2020 and 2021, with an approximate rise of 1,174 million US dollars. Following this, growth continued but at a slower pace, with a slight dip observed in 2023 where net income decreased to 6,379 million US dollars from the previous year's 6,998 million. However, net income recovered in 2024, reaching 6,747 million US dollars, indicating resilience after the decline.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT demonstrated a consistent growth pattern from 2020 to 2022, rising from 6,650 million US dollars to 8,288 million US dollars. This growth trend aligns with the net income increases during the same period. In 2023, NOPAT declined to 7,558 million US dollars, mirroring the reduction observed in net income, and then increased slightly to 7,772 million US dollars in 2024. Despite the drop in 2023, the overall trajectory over the five years remains positive, with a total increase of 1,122 million US dollars from 2020 to 2024.
- Comparative Insights
- Both net income and NOPAT experienced growth from 2020 through 2022, followed by a decline in 2023 and a partial recovery in 2024. The decline in 2023 in both metrics suggests operational or market challenges during that year, while the recovery in 2024 indicates an improvement in conditions or performance. The proportional differences between net income and NOPAT values suggest effective management of taxes and operating expenses over the years, with NOPAT consistently exceeding net income, reflecting the inclusion of operating-related adjustments in its calculation. Overall, the data suggest a relatively stable profitability profile with some fluctuation centered around 2023, but an overall positive trend across the observed periods.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Income Tax Expense
- The income tax expense demonstrated an overall increasing trend over the five-year period, rising from 1,631 million US dollars in 2020 to 2,047 million US dollars in 2024. There was a consistent increase from 2020 through 2022, peaking at 2,074 million US dollars in 2022. However, in 2023, a decline to 1,854 million US dollars was observed before increasing again in 2024.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes also exhibited an upward trajectory over the period under review, starting at 1,543 million US dollars in 2020 and reaching 2,285 million US dollars by 2024. The values rose steadily each year, except for a slight dip in 2023 to 2,020 million US dollars, followed by a recovery in 2024 to the highest level recorded.
- Comparative Observations
- Both income tax expense and cash operating taxes followed similar trends, including a noticeable decline in 2023 before increasing again in 2024. Cash operating taxes consistently exceeded income tax expense across all years, indicating higher actual tax outflows relative to the recorded income tax expense. The data suggest some volatility in tax-related cash flows in 2023, which may warrant further examination to understand drivers such as changes in tax payments or accounting treatments during that period.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to common shareholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of construction in progress.
7 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data exhibits several notable trends in debt, equity, and invested capital over the five-year period.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- This item showed a steady increase from 28,333 million US dollars at the end of 2020, peaking at 34,957 million in 2022. Subsequently, there is a declining trend in the following years, with debt and leases reducing to 32,463 million by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests an initial phase of increased leverage followed by a strategic reduction in debt levels.
- Common Shareholders' Equity
- The equity value demonstrates a declining trend from 16,958 million in 2020 to 12,163 million in 2022, indicating a reduction in shareholders' equity through those years. However, this trend reverses post-2022, with equity rising to 16,890 million by the end of 2024. The recovery in equity after 2022 points to improved retained earnings, capital injections, or other equity-enhancing actions.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remains relatively stable across the period, fluctuating within a range from approximately 58,241 million to 62,044 million. A slight upward trajectory is observable, with the figure reaching its highest point in 2024. This stability, combined with minor growth, implies consistent investment in operational or capital assets without significant expansion or contraction.
Overall, the data reflects a phase of increased leverage and declining equity until 2022, followed by a period of deleveraging and equity restoration. Invested capital maintained relative steadiness with slight growth, suggesting ongoing investment continuity. These dynamics may signal a strategic financial repositioning focused on balancing debt reduction with equity strengthening while sustaining capital investment levels.
Cost of Capital
Union Pacific Corp., cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
FedEx Corp. | ||||||
Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
United Parcel Service Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit experienced significant fluctuations over the observed periods. Starting at a negative value of -1269 million USD in 2020, it improved substantially to -352 million USD in 2021 and turned positive to 145 million USD in 2022. However, this positive trend reversed in subsequent years, with economic profit declining to -993 million USD in 2023 and slightly improving to -926 million USD in 2024. This indicates considerable volatility and challenges in sustaining economic profitability.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a gradual upward trend throughout the five-year span. Beginning at 58,340 million USD in 2020, the invested capital remained relatively stable in 2021 at 58,241 million USD, before increasing to 59,751 million USD in 2022. The growth continued steadily with 61,524 million USD in 2023 and reached 62,044 million USD in 2024. This consistent increase suggests ongoing investments in assets or operations.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, which reflects the return on invested capital relative to its cost, mirrored the fluctuations observed in economic profit. It started at a negative -2.18% in 2020 and improved to -0.61% in 2021, turning positive at 0.24% in 2022. Subsequently, the ratio dropped again to negative values of -1.61% in 2023 and -1.49% in 2024, indicating a declining return relative to cost and a less efficient utilization of invested capital in the later years.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Operating revenues | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
FedEx Corp. | ||||||
Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
United Parcel Service Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit showed considerable volatility over the five-year period. It started at a significant loss of -1269 million US dollars in 2020, improved markedly to a loss of -352 million in 2021, and then turned positive in 2022 with a profit of 145 million. However, this improvement was not sustained, as losses returned in 2023 and 2024, with values of -993 million and -926 million US dollars respectively. This indicates instability in the company's ability to generate excess returns above its cost of capital over the years.
- Operating Revenues
- Operating revenues displayed an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. Revenues increased from 19,533 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 24,875 million in 2022. There was a slight decline in 2023 to 24,119 million, followed by a marginal increase to 24,250 million in 2024. Despite minor fluctuations, the general trajectory suggests growth in sales or service income over the period under review.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin mirrored the pattern seen in economic profit, starting deeply negative at -6.5% in 2020. It improved substantially to -1.62% in 2021, then crossed into positive territory with 0.58% in 2022. Subsequently, the margin deteriorated once more to negative figures of -4.12% in 2023 and -3.82% in 2024. This suggests that the firm's profitability relative to its capital employed experienced a temporary recovery but was unable to sustain profitability into the later years.