Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Economic Profit
Union Pacific Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data reflects several notable trends regarding the company's profitability, cost of capital, invested capital, and economic profit over a five-year period.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT shows an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. Starting at 6,650 million USD in 2020, it increased to 7,625 million USD in 2021 and then further to a peak of 8,288 million USD in 2022. However, it experienced a decline in 2023 to 7,558 million USD before slightly rebounding to 7,772 million USD in 2024. Despite the fluctuations, the general pattern indicates growth in operating profitability over the interval.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital demonstrates a gradual increase across the same period. It began at 13.61% in 2020 and steadily rose each year, ending at 14.05% in 2024. This upward trend in the cost of capital suggests a rising hurdle rate for investments, which could impact valuation and decision-making processes within the company.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital shows a consistent upward movement throughout the five years. From 58,340 million USD in 2020, it slightly decreased to 58,241 million USD in 2021 but then increased thereafter each year, reaching 62,044 million USD by 2024. This indicates ongoing investment in assets or operations, potentially to support operational growth or expansion.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit metric reveals significant volatility. Starting with a negative value of -1,289 million USD in 2020, it improves notably to -372 million USD in 2021 and turns positive to 126 million USD in 2022. However, it subsequently deteriorates again to negative values in 2023 (-1,014 million USD) and 2024 (-947 million USD). This pattern reflects challenges in generating returns above the cost of capital consistently, despite the growth in NOPAT and invested capital.
In summary, while operating profitability (NOPAT) has generally increased, rising invested capital and cost of capital have contributed to volatile and mostly negative economic profit after 2022. This suggests that the company may face challenges in creating value above its capital costs, warranting further examination of operational efficiency, capital allocation, and cost management.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Union Pacific Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.
4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.
7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income
- Net income exhibited a generally upward trend over the five-year period, starting at 5,349 million US dollars in 2020 and increasing to 6,747 million US dollars in 2024. The most significant increase occurred between 2020 and 2021, with an approximate rise of 1,174 million US dollars. Following this, growth continued but at a slower pace, with a slight dip observed in 2023 where net income decreased to 6,379 million US dollars from the previous year's 6,998 million. However, net income recovered in 2024, reaching 6,747 million US dollars, indicating resilience after the decline.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT demonstrated a consistent growth pattern from 2020 to 2022, rising from 6,650 million US dollars to 8,288 million US dollars. This growth trend aligns with the net income increases during the same period. In 2023, NOPAT declined to 7,558 million US dollars, mirroring the reduction observed in net income, and then increased slightly to 7,772 million US dollars in 2024. Despite the drop in 2023, the overall trajectory over the five years remains positive, with a total increase of 1,122 million US dollars from 2020 to 2024.
- Comparative Insights
- Both net income and NOPAT experienced growth from 2020 through 2022, followed by a decline in 2023 and a partial recovery in 2024. The decline in 2023 in both metrics suggests operational or market challenges during that year, while the recovery in 2024 indicates an improvement in conditions or performance. The proportional differences between net income and NOPAT values suggest effective management of taxes and operating expenses over the years, with NOPAT consistently exceeding net income, reflecting the inclusion of operating-related adjustments in its calculation. Overall, the data suggest a relatively stable profitability profile with some fluctuation centered around 2023, but an overall positive trend across the observed periods.
Cash Operating Taxes
Union Pacific Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Income Tax Expense
- The income tax expense demonstrated an overall increasing trend over the five-year period, rising from 1,631 million US dollars in 2020 to 2,047 million US dollars in 2024. There was a consistent increase from 2020 through 2022, peaking at 2,074 million US dollars in 2022. However, in 2023, a decline to 1,854 million US dollars was observed before increasing again in 2024.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes also exhibited an upward trajectory over the period under review, starting at 1,543 million US dollars in 2020 and reaching 2,285 million US dollars by 2024. The values rose steadily each year, except for a slight dip in 2023 to 2,020 million US dollars, followed by a recovery in 2024 to the highest level recorded.
- Comparative Observations
- Both income tax expense and cash operating taxes followed similar trends, including a noticeable decline in 2023 before increasing again in 2024. Cash operating taxes consistently exceeded income tax expense across all years, indicating higher actual tax outflows relative to the recorded income tax expense. The data suggest some volatility in tax-related cash flows in 2023, which may warrant further examination to understand drivers such as changes in tax payments or accounting treatments during that period.
Invested Capital
Union Pacific Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to common shareholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of construction in progress.
7 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data exhibits several notable trends in debt, equity, and invested capital over the five-year period.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- This item showed a steady increase from 28,333 million US dollars at the end of 2020, peaking at 34,957 million in 2022. Subsequently, there is a declining trend in the following years, with debt and leases reducing to 32,463 million by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests an initial phase of increased leverage followed by a strategic reduction in debt levels.
- Common Shareholders' Equity
- The equity value demonstrates a declining trend from 16,958 million in 2020 to 12,163 million in 2022, indicating a reduction in shareholders' equity through those years. However, this trend reverses post-2022, with equity rising to 16,890 million by the end of 2024. The recovery in equity after 2022 points to improved retained earnings, capital injections, or other equity-enhancing actions.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remains relatively stable across the period, fluctuating within a range from approximately 58,241 million to 62,044 million. A slight upward trajectory is observable, with the figure reaching its highest point in 2024. This stability, combined with minor growth, implies consistent investment in operational or capital assets without significant expansion or contraction.
Overall, the data reflects a phase of increased leverage and declining equity until 2022, followed by a period of deleveraging and equity restoration. Invested capital maintained relative steadiness with slight growth, suggesting ongoing investment continuity. These dynamics may signal a strategic financial repositioning focused on balancing debt reduction with equity strengthening while sustaining capital investment levels.
Cost of Capital
Union Pacific Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Union Pacific Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period under review. The economic profit demonstrates significant volatility. Starting from a negative position in 2020 at -1289 million US dollars, it shows a marked improvement to -372 million in 2021 and further turns positive to 126 million in 2022. However, this positive momentum is not sustained, as economic profit reverts to negative territory in both 2023 and 2024, registering -1014 million and -947 million respectively.
Invested capital exhibits a steady upward trajectory throughout the period. Beginning at 58,340 million US dollars in 2020, it shows a gradual increase to 58,241 million in 2021 (a slight decrease), then rises more consistently to reach 62,044 million by the end of 2024. This indicates ongoing investment or asset accumulation despite fluctuating profitability.
The economic spread ratio, which measures the return on invested capital relative to the cost of capital, mirrors the fluctuations seen in economic profit. It starts at a notable negative figure of -2.21% in 2020, improves considerably to -0.64% in 2021, and briefly turns positive at 0.21% in 2022. Nonetheless, it declines again to negative values of -1.65% and -1.53% in 2023 and 2024. This pattern suggests challenges in consistently generating returns above the cost of capital.
- Economic Profit
- Highly variable with an initial significant loss, brief positive return in 2022, followed by a return to losses in subsequent years.
- Invested Capital
- Shows steady growth, indicating sustained investment or capital expansion over the period despite profitability challenges.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- Fluctuates in line with economic profit, reflecting an inability to consistently achieve returns exceeding capital costs.
Overall, these trends highlight a scenario where capital investments continue to grow, yet profitability and returns on those investments remain unstable and insufficient to consistently generate positive economic profit. This signals potential operational or market challenges impacting the company's ability to translate invested capital into sustained economic value creation.
Economic Profit Margin
Union Pacific Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Operating revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| FedEx Corp. | ||||||
| Uber Technologies Inc. | ||||||
| United Airlines Holdings Inc. | ||||||
| United Parcel Service Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data reveals several notable trends over the five-year period ending in 2024. Operating revenues show a consistent upward trajectory from 19,533 million US dollars in 2020 to 24,250 million US dollars in 2024, reflecting growth in the company's top-line performance. This increase indicates an overall expansion in business activities or improved pricing strategies over time.
In contrast to the growth in revenues, economic profit fluctuates significantly, moving from a negative 1,289 million US dollars in 2020 to a smaller negative in 2021, turning positive in 2022, and then reverting back to negative values in 2023 and 2024. This pattern suggests variability in the company’s profitability after accounting for capital costs, signaling periods of both value creation and value erosion within these years.
Aligned with the economic profit trend, the economic profit margin exhibits a similar pattern. Starting at -6.6% in 2020, it improves to near neutrality in 2021 and becomes positive at 0.5% in 2022, indicating a brief phase of generating returns above the cost of capital. However, the margin declines again in the subsequent years, ending at -3.91% in 2024. This decline points to challenges in maintaining profitability relative to economic capital during the latter part of the period.
Overall, while operating revenues steadily increase, the inconsistency and negative tendencies in economic profit and its margin highlight underlying issues affecting economic value generation. The data imply that despite growing sales, costs or capital charges have negatively impacted the company’s ability to sustain positive economic profit margins consistently in recent years.