Stock Analysis on Net

United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE:UPS)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

United Parcel Service Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 7,622 12,726 15,125 1,136 5,114
Cost of capital2 12.11% 12.57% 12.44% 11.91% 11.13%
Invested capital3 45,460 44,780 44,396 33,181 36,356
 
Economic profit4 2,115 7,096 9,600 (2,817) 1,068

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 7,62212.11% × 45,460 = 2,115

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. United Parcel Service Inc. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

United Parcel Service Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income 6,708 11,548 12,890 1,343 4,440
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 199 531 1,645 (858) 100
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses2 (20) 18 (10) 45 (1)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 179 549 1,635 (813) 99
Interest expense 785 704 694 701 653
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 143 90 70 71 81
Adjusted interest expense 928 794 764 772 734
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (195) (167) (160) (162) (154)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 733 627 604 610 580
(Gain) loss on marketable securities 3 3 (5) (5) (6)
Investment income, before taxes 3 3 (5) (5) (6)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7 (1) (1) 1 1 1
Investment income, after taxes8 2 2 (4) (4) (5)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 7,622 12,726 15,125 1,136 5,114

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 4,465 × 3.20% = 143

5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 928 × 21.00% = 195

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= -3 × 21.00% = -1

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. United Parcel Service Inc. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

United Parcel Service Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax expense 1,865 3,277 3,705 501 1,212
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 199 531 1,645 (858) 100
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 195 167 160 162 154
Less: Tax imposed on investment income (1) (1) 1 1 1
Cash operating taxes 1,861 2,913 2,219 1,520 1,265

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. United Parcel Service Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 but then decreased significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

United Parcel Service Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current maturities of long-term debt, commercial paper and finance leases 3,348 2,341 2,131 2,623 3,420
Long-term debt and finance leases, excluding current maturities 18,916 17,321 19,784 22,031 21,818
Operating lease liability1 4,465 3,859 3,613 3,100 2,929
Total reported debt & leases 26,729 23,521 25,528 27,754 28,167
Equity for controlling interests 17,306 19,786 14,253 657 3,267
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 3,646 4,163 2,949 (39) 1,302
Allowance for credit losses3 126 146 128 138 93
Equity equivalents4 3,772 4,309 3,077 99 1,395
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 3,758 1,549 3,278 7,113 5,997
Noncontrolling interests 8 17 16 12 16
Adjusted equity for controlling interests 24,844 25,661 20,624 7,881 10,675
Construction-in-progress6 (3,247) (2,409) (1,418) (2,048) (1,983)
Marketable securities7 (2,866) (1,993) (338) (406) (503)
Invested capital 45,460 44,780 44,396 33,181 36,356

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to equity for controlling interests.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction-in-progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. United Parcel Service Inc. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

United Parcel Service Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 126,738 126,738 ÷ 153,303 = 0.83 0.83 × 14.00% = 11.58%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 22,100 22,100 ÷ 153,303 = 0.14 0.14 × 4.09% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.47%
Operating lease liability4 4,465 4,465 ÷ 153,303 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 153,303 1.00 12.11%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 153,251 153,251 ÷ 175,310 = 0.87 0.87 × 14.00% = 12.24%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 18,200 18,200 ÷ 175,310 = 0.10 0.10 × 3.58% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.29%
Operating lease liability4 3,859 3,859 ÷ 175,310 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.32% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 175,310 1.00 12.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 181,886 181,886 ÷ 210,599 = 0.86 0.86 × 14.00% = 12.09%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 25,100 25,100 ÷ 210,599 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.46% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 3,613 3,613 ÷ 210,599 = 0.02 0.02 × 1.94% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 210,599 1.00 12.44%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 140,113 140,113 ÷ 171,513 = 0.82 0.82 × 14.00% = 11.44%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 28,300 28,300 ÷ 171,513 = 0.17 0.17 × 3.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.44%
Operating lease liability4 3,100 3,100 ÷ 171,513 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.28% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 171,513 1.00 11.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 91,412 91,412 ÷ 121,290 = 0.75 0.75 × 14.00% = 10.55%
Long-term debt, including current maturities3 26,949 26,949 ÷ 121,290 = 0.22 0.22 × 2.99% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.52%
Operating lease liability4 2,929 2,929 ÷ 121,290 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.78% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 121,290 1.00 11.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

United Parcel Service Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,115 7,096 9,600 (2,817) 1,068
Invested capital2 45,460 44,780 44,396 33,181 36,356
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 4.65% 15.85% 21.62% -8.49% 2.94%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
FedEx Corp. -3.60% -3.37% -0.56% -5.57% -8.20%
Uber Technologies Inc. -0.34% -70.58% -19.76% -46.86% -55.39%
Union Pacific Corp. -0.55% 1.27% 0.43% -1.15% 0.25%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 2,115 ÷ 45,460 = 4.65%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. United Parcel Service Inc. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

United Parcel Service Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,115 7,096 9,600 (2,817) 1,068
Revenue 90,958 100,338 97,287 84,628 74,094
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 2.33% 7.07% 9.87% -3.33% 1.44%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
FedEx Corp. -2.78% -2.39% -0.43% -4.63% -6.24%
Uber Technologies Inc. -0.14% -36.18% -18.20% -88.51% -80.14%
Union Pacific Corp. -1.41% 3.06% 1.16% -3.45% 0.65%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × 2,115 ÷ 90,958 = 2.33%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. United Parcel Service Inc. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.