Stock Analysis on Net

Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (NYSE:PXD)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since February 22, 2024.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of economic profit reveals a period characterized by significant volatility and a recurring failure to generate returns above the cost of capital, with the exception of a singular peak in 2022. The overarching trend indicates that for the majority of the timeframe, the entity operated in a state of economic value destruction.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited extreme fluctuations, transitioning from a positive 1,075 million in 2019 to a loss of 149 million in 2020. A rapid recovery followed, with profit surging to 2,831 million in 2021 and reaching a peak of 9,759 million in 2022, before contracting to 5,533 million in 2023. This volatility suggests a high sensitivity to external market drivers.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
The capital base experienced a substantial expansion between 2020 and 2021, increasing from 17,004 million to 32,653 million, and remained elevated through 2023 at 33,333 million. During this expansion, the cost of capital remained remarkably stable, fluctuating narrowly between 18.56% and 19.39%. The stability of the cost of capital implies that changes in economic profit were driven primarily by operating performance and the scale of investment rather than shifts in financing costs or risk profiles.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit remained negative for four of the five years analyzed. The deepest value destruction occurred in 2020, with an economic profit of -3,342 million. Despite the surge in NOPAT in 2021, the simultaneous doubling of invested capital kept the economic profit negative at -3,227 million. A reversal occurred in 2022, where NOPAT sufficiently exceeded the capital charge to produce a positive economic profit of 3,655 million. However, this trend did not persist, as economic profit reverted to a negative 931 million in 2023.

In summary, the substantial increase in invested capital has raised the threshold for achieving positive economic profit. While the 2022 performance demonstrated a capacity for significant value creation, the inability to maintain that trajectory in 2023 suggests that the current operating returns are insufficient to consistently cover the cost of the expanded capital base.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in employee-related obligations2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in employee-related obligations.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Stockholders
The net income experienced significant volatility over the analyzed periods. In 2019, the company reported a positive net income of 756 million US dollars. However, in 2020, there was a notable decline resulting in a net loss of 200 million US dollars, indicating a challenging year likely impacted by adverse conditions. The financial position improved markedly in 2021 with net income rising sharply to 2,118 million US dollars. This upward trend intensified dramatically in 2022, reaching a peak of 7,845 million US dollars, reflecting a period of strong profitability. In 2023, net income decreased substantially to 4,894 million US dollars but remained significantly higher than the levels seen prior to 2021, indicating sustained profitability despite some contraction.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT mirrored the trends observed in net income, exhibiting considerable fluctuations across the years. Initially, in 2019, NOPAT was positive at 1,075 million US dollars before declining sharply to a negative 149 million US dollars in 2020, suggesting operational challenges that year. An impressive rebound occurred in 2021, with NOPAT increasing to 2,831 million US dollars, more than offsetting the previous year's loss. The peak was achieved in 2022 with a substantial increase in operational profitability to 9,759 million US dollars. In 2023, NOPAT decreased to 5,533 million US dollars but remained well above the pre-2021 levels, indicating that operational efficiency and profitability remained robust.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT demonstrate a notable turnaround starting in 2021 after significant setbacks in 2020. The year 2020 represents a clear outlier characterized by a steep decline, likely due to extraordinary factors impacting performance. Following this, the company recovered strongly, reaching record high levels in 2022 for both profitability metrics, before experiencing a retrenchment in 2023. The persistence of positive and elevated profitability figures post-2020 suggests improved operational effectiveness and market conditions, despite some volatility. The gap between net income and NOPAT across the years indicates the influence of factors beyond core operations affecting bottom-line results. The data suggests a resilient financial performance trajectory after overcoming a period of adversity.

Cash Operating Taxes

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax provision (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
The income tax provision exhibits significant volatility over the analyzed periods. It declined from 231 million USD in 2019 to a benefit of 61 million USD in 2020, indicating a reversal or reduction in tax obligations during that year. Subsequently, it surged to 628 million USD in 2021, followed by a sharp increase to 2,106 million USD in 2022. In 2023, the provision decreased to 1,353 million USD, remaining substantially higher than the levels observed in 2019 and 2021. This pattern suggests fluctuating taxable income or changes in tax regulations impacting the company's tax expenses.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have shown a consistent upward trend throughout the periods analyzed. Beginning at 23 million USD in 2019, the amount slightly decreased to 19 million USD in 2020 but then increased markedly to 80 million USD in 2021. The upward trend accelerated in subsequent years, reaching 328 million USD in 2022 and further rising to 882 million USD in 2023. This steady growth indicates increasing cash tax outflows related to operating activities, possibly reflecting higher taxable income or changes in operational structure or tax policy.

Invested Capital

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current portion of debt
Finance lease liability, current
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Finance lease liability, noncurrent
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Employee-related obligations3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted equity
Short-term investment6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of employee-related obligations.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of short-term investment.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit considerable variability across the five-year period. Starting at 3,167 million US dollars in 2019, the debt increased to 4,066 million in 2020. A significant surge is observed in 2021, with the debt nearly doubling to 7,835 million. However, the subsequent years show a decline, dropping to 5,786 million in 2022 and remaining relatively stable at 5,760 million in 2023. This pattern suggests a peak in borrowing or leasing obligations in 2021 followed by deleveraging efforts or repayment in the following years.
Equity
Equity values show a generally positive trajectory over the period analyzed. Beginning at 12,119 million US dollars in 2019, equity slightly declined to 11,569 million in 2020. Post-2020, there is a dramatic increase in equity to 22,837 million in 2021, maintaining a stable level around 22,541 million in 2022 before rising modestly to 23,171 million in 2023. The substantial equity growth in 2021 may indicate a significant capital infusion, improved retained earnings, or revaluation of assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital follows a trend closely aligned with equity and total debt movements. Starting at 16,681 million US dollars in 2019, it shows a mild increase to 17,004 million in 2020. A large increase occurs in 2021, where invested capital nearly doubles to 32,653 million. The invested capital slightly decreases to 32,194 million in 2022 but then increases again to 33,333 million in 2023. This coincides with the variations in debt and equity, implying changes in the company's financing and asset base.

Cost of Capital

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2019 to 2023 is characterized by significant volatility in economic value creation, marked by a period of sustained value destruction followed by a brief recovery and a subsequent decline. While invested capital expanded substantially during this period, the ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital remained inconsistent.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative from 2019 through 2021, reaching a low of negative 3,342 million dollars in 2020. A significant reversal occurred in 2022, with economic profit pivoting to a positive 3,655 million dollars. However, this gain was not sustained, as 2023 saw a return to negative territory with a loss of 931 million dollars.
Invested Capital Expansion
A substantial increase in invested capital is observed between 2020 and 2021, where the amount grew from 17,004 million dollars to 32,653 million dollars. Following this surge, the capital base stabilized, ending the period at 33,333 million dollars in 2023. This indicates a significant expansion of the asset base that did not immediately correlate with positive economic profit.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio exhibits a fluctuating pattern, reflecting the margin between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. The ratio declined to a trough of negative 19.66% in 2020 before improving to negative 9.88% in 2021. The peak performance was reached in 2022 with a positive spread of 11.35%, indicating successful value creation. By 2023, the ratio fell to negative 2.79%, signaling a return to a state where the cost of capital exceeded the generated returns, though the magnitude of the deficit was less severe than in the 2019-2021 period.

Overall, the data indicates that despite a massive increase in invested capital starting in 2021, the organization struggled to maintain a positive economic spread. The singular instance of positive economic value creation in 2022 stands as an outlier in a five-year trend otherwise dominated by negative economic profit.


Economic Profit Margin

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue from contracts with purchasers
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue from contracts with purchasers
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2019 to 2023 exhibits significant volatility in the generation of economic value, characterized by a period of substantial losses, a single year of positive value creation, and a subsequent return to a negative economic profit position.

Economic Profit Trajectory
Economic profit remained negative for the majority of the analyzed period. A deepening of losses occurred in 2020, reaching a low of negative 3,342 million US dollars. A sharp reversal was observed in 2022, where the company achieved a positive economic profit of 3,655 million US dollars. However, this trend did not persist into 2023, as the figure reverted to a negative 931 million US dollars.
Revenue Correlation
A strong correlation is observable between revenue fluctuations and economic profit outcomes. The decline in revenue to 7,024 million US dollars in 2020 coincided with the most severe economic loss. Conversely, the peak in revenue of 24,384 million US dollars in 2022 aligned with the only instance of positive economic profit. The reduction in revenue to 19,374 million US dollars in 2023 corresponds with the return to a negative economic profit state.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin demonstrates extreme variance, reflecting the company's inconsistent ability to generate returns above its cost of capital. The margin reached its nadir in 2020 at negative 47.58%. While the margin improved significantly to 14.99% in 2022, the 2023 figure of negative 4.81% indicates a contraction in value creation, although the margin remains substantially higher than the levels seen between 2019 and 2021.