Stock Analysis on Net

Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (NYSE:PXD)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since February 22, 2024.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibits significant fluctuations over the observed five-year period. Starting at $1,075 million in 2019, it sharply declined to a negative figure of -$149 million in 2020, indicating an operational loss. However, there was a substantial recovery in 2021, with NOPAT increasing to $2,831 million. This upward trajectory continued in 2022, peaking at $9,759 million, before declining to $5,533 million in 2023. Overall, despite volatility, the trend suggests a strong rebound and overall growth with some decrease in the latest year.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remains relatively stable but shows a mild increasing trend throughout the period. Beginning at 15.96% in 2019, it slightly decreased to 15.7% in 2020 and 15.5% in 2021, then increased to 15.83% in 2022, followed by a further rise to 16.2% in 2023. This pattern indicates a mostly steady but slightly rising cost of financing, which could affect investment decisions and economic profit.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a general upward trend despite minor fluctuations. It was $16,681 million in 2019, marginally increasing to $17,004 million in 2020, then sharply rising to $32,653 million in 2021. It slightly decreased to $32,194 million in 2022, before increasing again to $33,333 million in 2023. This growth suggests ongoing capital deployment, potentially to support expansion or operational needs, with large increases particularly noticeable between 2020 and 2021.
Economic Profit
Economic profit displays a challenging performance initially, with negative values over the first three years. In 2019, economic profit was -$1,588 million, worsening to -$2,818 million in 2020, and improving slightly to -$2,231 million in 2021. A significant turnaround occurs in 2022 with a strong positive economic profit of $4,662 million, indicating value creation beyond the cost of capital. However, in 2023, economic profit sharply declines to a marginal positive figure of $132 million, suggesting reduced economic value added despite positive profitability.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in employee-related obligations2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in employee-related obligations.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Stockholders
The net income experienced significant volatility over the analyzed periods. In 2019, the company reported a positive net income of 756 million US dollars. However, in 2020, there was a notable decline resulting in a net loss of 200 million US dollars, indicating a challenging year likely impacted by adverse conditions. The financial position improved markedly in 2021 with net income rising sharply to 2,118 million US dollars. This upward trend intensified dramatically in 2022, reaching a peak of 7,845 million US dollars, reflecting a period of strong profitability. In 2023, net income decreased substantially to 4,894 million US dollars but remained significantly higher than the levels seen prior to 2021, indicating sustained profitability despite some contraction.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT mirrored the trends observed in net income, exhibiting considerable fluctuations across the years. Initially, in 2019, NOPAT was positive at 1,075 million US dollars before declining sharply to a negative 149 million US dollars in 2020, suggesting operational challenges that year. An impressive rebound occurred in 2021, with NOPAT increasing to 2,831 million US dollars, more than offsetting the previous year's loss. The peak was achieved in 2022 with a substantial increase in operational profitability to 9,759 million US dollars. In 2023, NOPAT decreased to 5,533 million US dollars but remained well above the pre-2021 levels, indicating that operational efficiency and profitability remained robust.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT demonstrate a notable turnaround starting in 2021 after significant setbacks in 2020. The year 2020 represents a clear outlier characterized by a steep decline, likely due to extraordinary factors impacting performance. Following this, the company recovered strongly, reaching record high levels in 2022 for both profitability metrics, before experiencing a retrenchment in 2023. The persistence of positive and elevated profitability figures post-2020 suggests improved operational effectiveness and market conditions, despite some volatility. The gap between net income and NOPAT across the years indicates the influence of factors beyond core operations affecting bottom-line results. The data suggests a resilient financial performance trajectory after overcoming a period of adversity.

Cash Operating Taxes

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax provision (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
The income tax provision exhibits significant volatility over the analyzed periods. It declined from 231 million USD in 2019 to a benefit of 61 million USD in 2020, indicating a reversal or reduction in tax obligations during that year. Subsequently, it surged to 628 million USD in 2021, followed by a sharp increase to 2,106 million USD in 2022. In 2023, the provision decreased to 1,353 million USD, remaining substantially higher than the levels observed in 2019 and 2021. This pattern suggests fluctuating taxable income or changes in tax regulations impacting the company's tax expenses.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have shown a consistent upward trend throughout the periods analyzed. Beginning at 23 million USD in 2019, the amount slightly decreased to 19 million USD in 2020 but then increased markedly to 80 million USD in 2021. The upward trend accelerated in subsequent years, reaching 328 million USD in 2022 and further rising to 882 million USD in 2023. This steady growth indicates increasing cash tax outflows related to operating activities, possibly reflecting higher taxable income or changes in operational structure or tax policy.

Invested Capital

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current portion of debt
Finance lease liability, current
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Finance lease liability, noncurrent
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Employee-related obligations3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted equity
Short-term investment6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of employee-related obligations.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of short-term investment.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit considerable variability across the five-year period. Starting at 3,167 million US dollars in 2019, the debt increased to 4,066 million in 2020. A significant surge is observed in 2021, with the debt nearly doubling to 7,835 million. However, the subsequent years show a decline, dropping to 5,786 million in 2022 and remaining relatively stable at 5,760 million in 2023. This pattern suggests a peak in borrowing or leasing obligations in 2021 followed by deleveraging efforts or repayment in the following years.
Equity
Equity values show a generally positive trajectory over the period analyzed. Beginning at 12,119 million US dollars in 2019, equity slightly declined to 11,569 million in 2020. Post-2020, there is a dramatic increase in equity to 22,837 million in 2021, maintaining a stable level around 22,541 million in 2022 before rising modestly to 23,171 million in 2023. The substantial equity growth in 2021 may indicate a significant capital infusion, improved retained earnings, or revaluation of assets.
Invested Capital
Invested capital follows a trend closely aligned with equity and total debt movements. Starting at 16,681 million US dollars in 2019, it shows a mild increase to 17,004 million in 2020. A large increase occurs in 2021, where invested capital nearly doubles to 32,653 million. The invested capital slightly decreases to 32,194 million in 2022 but then increases again to 33,333 million in 2023. This coincides with the variations in debt and equity, implying changes in the company's financing and asset base.

Cost of Capital

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt and finance lease liability, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.
Occidental Petroleum Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated significant fluctuations over the observed periods. Starting with a negative value of -1588 million USD in 2019, the economic profit further declined in 2020, reaching a low of -2818 million USD. In 2021, there was a slight recovery, with the loss narrowing to -2231 million USD. Remarkably, in 2022, the company achieved a positive economic profit of 4662 million USD, indicating a strong improvement in financial performance. However, this positive trend was not sustained, as economic profit dropped to 132 million USD in 2023, still positive but significantly lower than the previous year.
Invested Capital
The invested capital revealed an upward trend over the five-year span. Starting at 16,681 million USD in 2019, it experienced a modest increase to 17,004 million USD in 2020. The invested capital then nearly doubled in 2021, reaching 32,653 million USD, before slightly decreasing to 32,194 million USD in 2022. In 2023, invested capital rose again to 33,333 million USD. This pattern indicates a general expansion in the asset base or capital deployment, particularly marked by the substantial increase in 2021.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio followed a similar volatile pattern to economic profit. It was negative in the initial years, starting at -9.52% in 2019 and worsening to -16.57% in 2020. There was improvement in 2021, with the ratio rising to -6.83%, but it was still negative. A notable positive turning point occurred in 2022, when the ratio became 14.48%, reflecting an economic return exceeding the cost of capital. However, in 2023, the ratio dropped sharply to 0.4%, indicating a near breakeven position on economic returns relative to invested capital.
Overall Insights
The data indicates that the company underwent financial challenges in the early years, with consistent negative economic profits and spreads, despite stable invested capital. A major turnaround was evident in 2022, showcased by a positive economic profit and a favorable economic spread ratio. Nevertheless, the subsequent decline in these metrics in 2023 suggests some volatility or emerging challenges in sustaining the improved financial performance. The steadily increasing invested capital underscores ongoing commitments to business growth or asset acquisition, which contrasts with the fluctuating profitability metrics. This suggests that while capital investment has been robust, translating these investments into sustained economic profit has proved challenging.

Economic Profit Margin

Pioneer Natural Resources Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenue from contracts with purchasers
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.
Occidental Petroleum Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue from contracts with purchasers
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit displayed a negative trend from 2019 through 2021, reaching its lowest point in 2020 at -2,818 million US dollars. However, there was a significant turnaround in 2022 when the company achieved a positive economic profit of 4,662 million US dollars, before declining again to a modest positive 132 million US dollars in 2023. This pattern indicates a period of financial struggle followed by a substantial recovery and slight diminution in profitability.
Revenue from Contracts with Purchasers
Revenue experienced considerable fluctuation over the analyzed period. It declined from 9,671 million US dollars in 2019 to 7,024 million US dollars in 2020, likely reflecting challenging market conditions. In 2021, revenue surged dramatically to 17,870 million US dollars and continued to grow to 24,384 million US dollars in 2022. Nonetheless, 2023 saw a decrease to 19,374 million US dollars. This volatile revenue pattern suggests exposure to market volatility and possibly changing demand dynamics or operational adjustments.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin followed a similar trajectory to economic profit. It was negative from 2019 through 2021, with the most pronounced decline in 2020 at -40.12%. The margin improved significantly in 2022, reaching a positive 19.12%, which aligns with the peak in economic profit and revenue. By 2023, the margin receded sharply to 0.68%, indicating that despite generating substantial revenue, profitability on an economic profit basis was marginal during this last period.