Stock Analysis on Net

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited significant volatility over the analyzed period. It experienced a substantial negative value in 2020, indicating operational challenges or extraordinary losses. Thereafter, it showed a sharp recovery in 2021 and further increased markedly in 2022, reaching the highest value within the five-year span. However, in 2023 and 2024, NOPAT declined notably but remained positive, signaling reduced profitability compared to the peak year of 2022.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital trended upward across the years, starting at just under 11% in 2020 and increasing steadily to nearly 13% by 2024. This suggests rising capital costs possibly due to shifts in market conditions or changes in company risk profile, impacting the hurdle rate for investment returns.
Invested capital
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trajectory throughout the period. Starting at approximately $274 billion in 2020, it rose slightly in 2021 and 2022, with more pronounced increases in 2023 and a sharp rise by 2024, ending at nearly $379 billion. This indicates ongoing capital deployment into business operations or assets.
Economic profit
Economic profit, which adjusts reported profits by the cost of capital, reflected challenging performance relative to capital costs. It was deeply negative in 2020, improved dramatically by 2022 turning positive, but declined back into negative territory in the final two years. The increased cost of capital combined with reduced NOPAT in 2023 and 2024 led to economic losses, suggesting that returns on invested capital were below the required threshold in those years.
Summary of trends
Overall, the data indicates a recovery from a difficult starting point in 2020, with peak operational profitability in 2022. However, rising capital costs and declining NOPAT since 2022 have resulted in a deteriorating economic profit picture in recent years. The growth in invested capital amid falling economic profit may suggest less efficient capital utilization or strategic investments not yet yielding adequate returns.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Exxon Mobil Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in reserves2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserves.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserves.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil.

6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in the profitability metrics over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024. Both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrate notable volatility, reflecting changing business dynamics and external factors impacting the company.

Net Income (Loss) Attributable to ExxonMobil
The company experienced a substantial net loss in the year 2020, with a figure of negative $22.44 billion. This was followed by a strong recovery in 2021, marked by a sharp turnaround to a net income of $23.04 billion. The upward trend continued robustly into 2022, reaching a peak of $55.74 billion, which represents the highest profit in the examined period. However, the subsequent years showed a moderation in profitability, with net income declining to $36.01 billion in 2023 and further to $33.68 billion in 2024. Despite these decreases, profits remained significantly positive compared to the loss in 2020.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
Similar to net income, NOPAT followed a correlated pattern. The year 2020 registered a pronounced negative figure of $34.10 billion, indicating operational challenges and tax impacts during that period. Recovery commenced in 2021 with NOPAT switching to a positive $32.74 billion, followed by a peak in 2022 at $62.75 billion, surpassing the net income peak and underscoring efficient operational performance. Afterwards, NOPAT experienced a decline to $37.86 billion in 2023 and further contraction to $31.48 billion in 2024. These trends suggest the company maintained operational profitability after taxes but faced headwinds causing reduced returns post-2022.

Overall, the data indicates that the company underwent a significant turnaround after 2020, reflecting recovery from adverse conditions that year. The peak in 2022 represents a period of considerable profitability, although the subsequent decline in the following two years points to either reduced market conditions, increased costs, or other operational challenges. Despite the decline post-2022, the company remained profitable with both net income and NOPAT well above the negative values seen in 2020.


Cash Operating Taxes

Exxon Mobil Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense (benefit)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data exhibits significant fluctuations in both income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the observed five-year period.

Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
The income tax expense started with a substantial benefit of -5,632 million USD at the end of 2020, indicating a tax advantage or credit in that year. However, this shifted markedly in 2021, changing to a positive expense of 7,636 million USD. The upward trend continued into 2022, peaking at 20,176 million USD. Although there was a decline in 2023 to 15,429 million USD, the figure remained significantly elevated compared to 2021 and 2020. By 2024, the expense decreased slightly further to 13,810 million USD, yet maintaining a higher level than in the initial years.
Cash Operating Taxes
The cash operating taxes demonstrate a strong growth trajectory from 2,695 million USD in 2020 to 7,904 million USD in 2021. This upward momentum accelerated, reaching 16,789 million USD in 2022. Following this peak, cash operating taxes slightly declined to 14,713 million USD in 2023 but rebounded modestly to 14,916 million USD in 2024. The overall pattern suggests a multi-year increase with a peak in 2022, followed by stabilization at a high level.

Overall, both tax-related metrics indicate increased tax obligations and cash outflows in the recent years, especially from 2021 onwards. The simultaneous rise in income tax expense and cash operating taxes reflects heightened tax liabilities that stabilize but remain elevated compared to 2020 levels. The initial benefit observed in 2020 may represent one-time tax credits or adjustments, followed by normalization or growth in tax expenses consistent with business conditions in the subsequent years.


Invested Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Notes and loans payable
Long-term debt, excluding due within one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total ExxonMobil share of equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Reserves3
LIFO reserve4
Restructuring reserves5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total ExxonMobil share of equity
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring reserves.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total ExxonMobil share of equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a significant downward trend from 2020 to 2022, decreasing from $72,802 million to $46,787 million. This reduction suggests a strategy of debt reduction or improved liability management. From 2022 onwards, the figure stabilizes, with a slight increase to $48,188 million by 2024, indicating a relatively steady level of debt in the most recent periods.
Total ExxonMobil share of equity
Shareholder equity shows a consistent upward trend over the entire period. Starting at $157,150 million in 2020, it increases steadily each year, reaching a notable $263,705 million in 2024. This growth reflects strengthening equity positions, possibly driven by retained earnings, asset appreciation, or additional capital infusion.
Invested capital
Invested capital remains relatively stable between 2020 and 2021, with a slight slight decline from $273,920 million to $272,673 million. From 2021 onwards, invested capital steadily rises, reaching $378,995 million in 2024. This upward trend may indicate increased investments in assets or expansion initiatives to support long-term operational growth.

Overall, the financial data indicates a strategic reduction and subsequent stabilization of debt, coupled with strong growth in shareholder equity. The increase in invested capital alongside equity growth suggests ongoing investment in operational capacity supported by a solid equity base, contributing to a potentially stronger financial position over the assessed period.


Cost of Capital

Exxon Mobil Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data indicates notable fluctuations across the observed periods, reflecting varying operational and investment outcomes.

Economic Profit
Economic profit demonstrated a pronounced volatility over the five-year span. Beginning with a significant negative value of -63,910 million US dollars in 2020, it improved markedly in 2021 to nearly break even at -365 million US dollars. The figure peaked positively at 24,535 million US dollars in 2022, suggesting a period of strong profitability or efficient capital utilization. However, the trend reversed in subsequent years, falling back into negative territory with -1,431 million US dollars in 2023 and further declining to -17,532 million US dollars by 2024. This pattern suggests challenges in maintaining profitable operations or a shift in market or internal conditions impacting profitability adversely after 2022.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a generally upward trajectory throughout the period. Starting at 273,920 million US dollars in 2020, it declined slightly in 2021 but then increased consistently each year, reaching 378,995 million US dollars by 2024. This rise indicates ongoing investments in assets or expansions, reflecting capital-intensive activities or strategic growth initiatives. The steady increase in capital investment contrasts with the instability observed in economic profit, potentially highlighting issues related to capital efficiency or return on investments in the latter years.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the difference between return on invested capital and cost of capital, mirrors the economic profit trend and indicates the economic value creation effectiveness. It started at a strongly negative -23.33% in 2020, improved drastically to near zero (-0.13%) in 2021, and turned positive at 8.26% in 2022, aligning with the peak in economic profit that year. However, it declined again to negative figures in 2023 (-0.47%) and further deteriorated to -4.63% in 2024. These fluctuations suggest varying efficiency in capital deployment and imply that after 2022, the returns on capital employed were insufficient to cover capital costs, thereby eroding economic value.

Economic Profit Margin

Exxon Mobil Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Sales and other operating revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed significant volatility over the observed period. It started with a substantial negative value of -63,910 million US dollars in 2020, improved drastically to nearly break even at -365 million US dollars in 2021, and turned positive to reach 24,535 million US dollars in 2022. However, this positive trend reversed in 2023 and 2024, with economic profit again turning negative to -1,431 million US dollars and further declining to -17,532 million US dollars respectively. This pattern indicates fluctuating operational efficiency and possibly changing market or cost conditions impacting profitability.
Sales and Other Operating Revenue
There was a strong upward trend in sales and other operating revenue over the five-year period. Revenue increased consistently from 178,574 million US dollars in 2020 to 398,675 million US dollars in 2022, marking significant growth. Although there was a slight decline in 2023 to 334,697 million US dollars, revenue rebounded modestly to 339,247 million US dollars in 2024. Overall, this reflects robust growth in revenue generation with a minor dip observed in 2023.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the fluctuations seen in economic profit itself. Beginning with a deeply negative margin of -35.79% in 2020, it improved sharply to -0.13% in 2021 and then became positive at 6.15% in 2022. Subsequently, the margin slipped back to negative values of -0.43% in 2023 and further to -5.17% in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuating profitability relative to revenue, highlighting periods of both efficiency and loss within the company’s operations.