Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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ConocoPhillips pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
ConocoPhillips, economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT displayed a significant turnaround from a negative value of -2991 million US dollars in 2020 to a positive peak of 21159 million US dollars in 2022. This indicates strong operational improvement during this period. However, after 2022, there was a decline in NOPAT, dropping to 12357 million US dollars in 2023 and further to 9976 million US dollars in 2024, suggesting diminished profitability or operational challenges in the recent years.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital showed a gradual increase from 13.94% in 2020 to a peak of 15.4% in 2022. After reaching this peak, it experienced a slight decline to 15.18% in 2023 and further down to 14.76% in 2024. This trend indicates fluctuations likely influenced by market conditions, risk perceptions, or funding costs, with the highest capital cost coinciding with the peak operational profit year.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital grew steadily from 50870 million US dollars in 2020 to 76355 million US dollars in 2021. However, a slight decrease was noted in 2022 to 75520 million US dollars, followed by an increase to 81278 million US dollars in 2023 and a notable jump to 106371 million US dollars in 2024. This growth trajectory over five years reflects ongoing investments or asset accumulation within the company, with a particularly strong increase in the latest year.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit was deeply negative in 2020 at -10082 million US dollars, indicating the company was not generating sufficient returns to cover its cost of capital. It improved significantly in 2021, almost breaking even at -979 million US dollars, and turned positive by 9528 million US dollars in 2022, aligning with the peak NOPAT and reflecting value creation. However, economic profit fell drastically to a near breakeven 18 million US dollars in 2023 and reverted to a negative -5723 million US dollars in 2024, implying that despite increasing invested capital, the returns did not meet the cost of capital in the latter period.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
ConocoPhillips, NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to ConocoPhillips.
5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense = Adjusted interest and debt expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to ConocoPhillips.
8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to ConocoPhillips
-
The net income attributable to the company demonstrated significant volatility over the analyzed period. In 2020, the figure was a substantial loss of 2,701 million US dollars, indicating a challenging financial year. However, a dramatic recovery occurred in 2021, with net income rising to 8,079 million US dollars, reflecting a strong turnaround.
The upward trend continued in 2022, with net income reaching a peak of 18,680 million US dollars, more than doubling the previous year's performance. Despite a notable decline in 2023 to 10,957 million US dollars, net income remained robust and significantly positive. In 2024, the figure further declined to 9,245 million US dollars, representing a tapering off of profitability but maintaining a solid profit level relative to earlier years.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
-
The net operating profit after taxes followed a pattern similar to net income, though with some differences in magnitude. The company recorded a negative NOPAT of 2,991 million US dollars in 2020, aligning with the overall loss experienced that year.
A sharp improvement occurred in 2021, with NOPAT rising to 10,273 million US dollars. This growth trend accelerated in 2022, reaching a peak at 21,159 million US dollars, which was the highest point in the observed period. Subsequently, NOPAT decreased to 12,357 million US dollars in 2023 and then to 9,976 million US dollars in 2024.
Despite these declines in the last two years, NOPAT remained significantly positive, indicating continued operational profitability post-tax, though at a lower level than the peak in 2022.
- Overall Trend Summary
-
The financial results demonstrate a recovery from significant losses in 2020 to strong profitability in subsequent years. Both net income and NOPAT peaked in 2022, followed by decreases in the later years of 2023 and 2024, suggesting a potential moderation in earnings after a period of exceptional growth.
The alignment in trends between net income and NOPAT suggests consistent operational performance after tax impacts are considered. The decline after the peak year may indicate changing market conditions, operational challenges, or strategic shifts impacting profitability, but the company remains financially robust relative to 2020 lows.
Cash Operating Taxes
ConocoPhillips, cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Income Tax Provision (Benefit)
- The income tax provision exhibited significant volatility over the five-year period. In 2020, the provision was a benefit amounting to -485 million USD, indicating a tax credit or refund. This trend reversed dramatically in 2021 with a substantial increase to 4633 million USD, followed by further escalation in 2022 reaching 9548 million USD. Thereafter, the provision declined notably in 2023 to 5331 million USD and continued to decrease in 2024 to 4427 million USD. This pattern suggests a shift from a net tax benefit to considerable tax expenses, peaking in 2022 before trending downward in subsequent years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes demonstrated an overall upward trajectory from 2020 through 2022, increasing from 502 million USD in 2020 to 7594 million USD in 2022. However, after this peak, the amount decreased significantly to 4270 million USD in 2023 and saw a slight further reduction to 4150 million USD in 2024. This indicates that while the company’s cash tax payments rose sharply in the initial years, they moderated in the most recent periods.
- Comparative Insights
- Both the income tax provision and cash operating taxes followed similar trends with increases up to 2022 and subsequent declines. The notable spike in 2022 for both metrics may reflect higher taxable income or changes in tax rates or structures influencing the tax liabilities. The subsequent decline may indicate improved tax planning, tax rate reductions, or decreased taxable income in the latter years.
Invested Capital
ConocoPhillips, invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of equity equivalents to common stockholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of marketable securities.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases exhibit a fluctuating yet overall increasing trend from 2020 through 2024. The debt rose significantly from 16,154 million in 2020 to a peak of 20,601 million in 2021, followed by a decline to 17,188 million in 2022. Subsequently, the debt increased again, reaching 19,634 million in 2023 and further escalating to 25,348 million by the end of 2024. This pattern indicates periods of both deleveraging and increased borrowing or lease obligations, with a notable surge in the final reported year.
- Common Stockholders’ Equity
- Common stockholders’ equity demonstrates a consistent upward trajectory across all years presented. Starting at 29,849 million in 2020, equity grew substantially each year, reaching 45,406 million in 2021, 48,003 million in 2022, and 49,279 million in 2023. The growth accelerates notably in 2024 with equity rising to 64,796 million. This steady increase reflects a strengthening equity base, likely supported by retained earnings growth and possibly additional equity issuance or valuation gains.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital shows an overall growth trend with slight volatility. Beginning at 50,870 million in 2020, it increased sharply to 76,355 million in 2021 but then edged down marginally to 75,520 million in 2022. Afterwards, invested capital resumed growth, climbing to 81,278 million in 2023 and making a more pronounced leap to 106,371 million in 2024. The upward movement in invested capital corresponds with the increases in both equity and debt, indicating expanding asset bases or capital expenditures that may be financed through both debt and equity.
Cost of Capital
ConocoPhillips, cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance leases3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance leases3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance leases3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance leases3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance leases3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance leases. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
ConocoPhillips, economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated considerable volatility across the time periods. Starting at a significant loss of -10,082 million USD in 2020, the figure improved dramatically in 2021 to a much smaller loss of -979 million USD. In 2022, the company achieved a positive economic profit of 9,528 million USD, marking a notable turnaround. This positive trend did not sustain, as 2023 saw the economic profit drop sharply to near break-even at 18 million USD, followed by a substantial decline to a loss of -5,723 million USD in 2024.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a generally increasing trend over the analyzed period. It rose significantly from 50,870 million USD in 2020 to 76,355 million USD in 2021, remaining relatively stable in 2022 at 75,520 million USD. The figure then increased again to 81,278 million USD in 2023, followed by a noticeable escalation to 106,371 million USD in 2024, indicating ongoing investment expansion or asset growth.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio exhibited significant fluctuations, reflecting changes in profitability relative to the cost of capital. The ratio was highly negative at -19.82% in 2020 and improved considerably to -1.28% in 2021, just below the break-even point. In 2022, it turned positive at 12.62%, aligning with the increase in economic profit that year. However, the ratio reverted nearly to zero in 2023 at 0.02% and moved back into negative territory at -5.38% in 2024, corresponding with the decline in economic profit during these years.
- Overall Analysis
- The data indicate a period of substantial recovery and growth in economic profit and economic spread in 2022, after significant losses in previous years. However, this improvement was not maintained, with indicators declining again in 2023 and 2024. Meanwhile, invested capital consistently increased throughout the period, suggesting continued investments or capital expenditures. The divergence between rising invested capital and fluctuating economic profit and spread ratios may point to challenges in realizing returns commensurate with capital deployment in the latter years.
Economic Profit Margin
ConocoPhillips, economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Sales and other operating revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales and other operating revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrates significant volatility over the observed period. Initially, there was a substantial loss of -10,082 million US dollars in 2020, which significantly narrowed to -979 million US dollars in 2021. This trend reversed in 2022, showing a strong positive economic profit of 9,528 million US dollars. However, the subsequent years indicate a considerable decline with almost negligible profit in 2023 (18 million US dollars) followed by a notable loss of -5,723 million US dollars in 2024.
- Sales and Other Operating Revenues
- Sales and other operating revenues grew sharply from 18,784 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 78,494 million US dollars in 2022, representing a strong upward trend. This was followed by a decline to 56,141 million US dollars in 2023 and a slight further decrease to 54,745 million US dollars in 2024. The revenues show an overall increase over the five years, albeit with a recent downward adjustment after the peak in 2022.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin closely reflects the fluctuations seen in the economic profit figures. It started deeply negative at -53.67% in 2020 and improved drastically to nearly neutral at -2.14% in 2021. In 2022, it reached a positive margin of 12.14%, which indicates the company was generating economic profit relative to its sales. The margin then dropped sharply to almost zero (0.03%) in 2023 and turned negative again to -10.45% in 2024, suggesting profitability challenges in recent years despite the higher sales levels.
- Summary Insights
- The data reveals that while sales and operating revenues substantially increased from 2020 through 2022, the company’s economic profitability fluctuated more dramatically and did not consistently follow revenue growth. 2022 marked a peak in both revenue and profitability, but subsequent years showed declines, indicating potential cost pressures, market volatility, or inefficiencies impacting economic profit despite still relatively high revenue levels. The substantial negative economic profit and margin in 2024 highlight a return to losses that may warrant closer attention and strategic adjustment.