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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Occidental Petroleum Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Return on Assets (ROA) since 2005
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2005
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial performance from 2020 to 2024 reflects significant volatility in value creation, characterized by a brief period of positive economic profit followed by a return to value destruction. The interplay between operating profitability, the cost of capital, and the total capital employed indicates a challenging environment for sustaining returns above the required threshold.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A sharp recovery is observed following a substantial deficit of US$ 14,889 million in 2020. NOPAT reached a peak of US$ 12,526 million in 2022, marking a significant turnaround. However, a consistent downward trajectory followed, with profits declining to US$ 5,524 million in 2023 and further decreasing to US$ 3,380 million by 2024.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital exhibited a strong upward trend in the early part of the period, rising from 11.89% in 2020 to a peak of 18.04% in 2022. This increase suggests a higher risk profile or a tightening of financing conditions. A slight moderation occurred in subsequent years, settling at 16.56% by the end of 2024.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a gradual reduction between 2020 and 2022, decreasing from US$ 63,270 million to US$ 56,295 million. This period of capital contraction was reversed in 2024, where invested capital rose sharply to US$ 66,896 million, indicating a significant increase in the capital base during the final year of the analysis.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit remained negative for the majority of the analyzed period, indicating that the company failed to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital in four out of five years. The only instance of positive economic profit occurred in 2022, reaching US$ 2,371 million. Following this peak, economic profit deteriorated rapidly, falling to a deficit of US$ 7,697 million by 2024. This decline is attributed to the simultaneous decrease in NOPAT and the expansion of the invested capital base against a persistently high cost of capital.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.
5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net = Adjusted interest and debt expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Occidental.
8 Elimination of discontinued operations.
- Net income (loss) attributable to Occidental
- The net income shows a significant turnaround from a substantial loss of -14,831 million USD in 2020 to a positive net income of 2,322 million USD in 2021. This positive trend continues with a peak net income of 13,304 million USD in 2022, indicating a strong recovery and profitability increase. However, the net income declines in subsequent years, dropping to 4,696 million USD in 2023 and further to 3,056 million USD in 2024, suggesting some challenges or decreased profitability in the most recent periods.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT also follows a similar pattern, starting with a negative value of -14,889 million USD in 2020, reflecting operating losses. A considerable improvement occurs in 2021 with a positive NOPAT of 4,213 million USD, followed by a substantial increase to 12,526 million USD in 2022. Like net income, the NOPAT decreases over the subsequent periods to 5,524 million USD in 2023 and declining further to 3,380 million USD in 2024, indicating reduced operating profitability after a peak performance in 2022.
- Overall Trend and Insights
- The data reflects a strong recovery and improved profitability between 2020 and 2022, both in net income and operating profits. This suggests effective operational improvements or favorable market conditions during this interval. However, the decline from 2023 onwards in both metrics points to emerging challenges or less favorable conditions impacting profitability. Despite the reductions, the figures remain positive in the latest years, indicating ongoing profitability, albeit at a reduced level compared to the 2022 peak.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
The financial data indicates notable fluctuations in tax-related expenses over the five-year period. The income tax expense (benefit) shows a significant shift from a substantial tax benefit in 2020 to positive tax expenses in subsequent years. Specifically, there was a large negative expense (tax benefit) recorded in 2020, which reversed sharply to a positive tax expense in 2021 and remained positive through 2024. While the amount decreased slightly in 2022 compared to 2021, it increased again in 2023 before declining somewhat in 2024.
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a clear upward trajectory from 2020 through 2022, tripling over this period. This growth slowed noticeably in 2023, where the cash taxes decreased from the previous year, and remained relatively stable into 2024. The spike in cash operating taxes in 2022 could reflect an underlying increase in taxable income or changes in operational profitability or tax regulations during that year.
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
- Exhibited a transition from a tax benefit of -2,172 million US dollars in 2020 to positive expenses in the range of 813 to 1,733 million US dollars in the following years, indicating a reversal from a net tax credit to a liability position.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Increased substantially from 655 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2,681 million US dollars in 2022, before declining and stabilizing around 1,887 to 1,892 million US dollars in 2023 and 2024 respectively.
Overall, the data suggests a period of tax volatility in 2020 followed by a normalization to consistent tax payments. The divergence between income tax expense and cash operating taxes in some years may reflect timing differences, deferred tax items, or adjustments related to tax regulations and accounting interpretations. The reduction in cash taxes from the 2022 peak hints at either improved tax planning, changes in profitability, or external factors affecting taxable income in recent years.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Total Reported Debt & Leases
- The total reported debt and leases showed a significant decline from 37,299 million USD at the end of 2020 to 20,765 million USD by the end of 2022. This reduction indicates a deleveraging trend over the initial two years. However, from 2023 onwards, there was a slight increase in debt levels, rising to 20,911 million USD, followed by a more pronounced rise to 27,104 million USD in 2024. This suggests a possible shift toward increased leverage or additional financing after a period of debt reduction.
- Stockholders' Equity
- Stockholders’ equity exhibited a consistent upward trajectory over the entire period. Starting at 18,573 million USD in 2020, it increased to 20,327 million USD in 2021 and continued the upward trend to 30,085 million USD in 2022. The growth persisted in subsequent years, reaching 30,250 million USD in 2023 and further advancing to 34,159 million USD in 2024. This steady increase reflects positive retained earnings and/or additional equity contributions, strengthening the company's net asset base.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital declined from 63,270 million USD in 2020 to 56,295 million USD in 2022, indicating a contraction in capital employed. The level stabilized slightly in 2023 at 56,860 million USD but then experienced a substantial increase to 66,896 million USD in 2024. This late surge could be indicative of renewed investment or capital infusion, possibly aligning with the increase in reported debt during the same period.
- Overall Analysis
- The financial data depict an initial phase of deleveraging combined with growth in equity and reduced invested capital through the first three years. From 2023 onwards, there is a reversal in debt trend accompanied by a significant increase in invested capital and continued growth in equity. This pattern may imply strategic shifts such as expansion initiatives funded by a mix of increased leverage and equity strengthening. The overall positive trajectory in equity underscores improved net worth despite fluctuations in debt and capital employed.
Cost of Capital
Occidental Petroleum Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Preferred stock, at $1.00 per share par value (book value) | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current maturities3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current maturities. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
An analysis of the economic value generation reveals a period of significant volatility, characterized by a sharp recovery peaking in 2022 followed by a subsequent erosion of value creation through 2024. The company struggled to consistently maintain a positive economic spread, indicating that returns on invested capital have frequently fallen below the required cost of capital during this five-year period.
- Economic Profit
- A severe deficit of -22,413 million US$ was recorded in 2020, followed by a substantial recovery trend that culminated in a positive economic profit of 2,371 million US$ in 2022. However, this positive trajectory was not sustained, as economic profit reverted to negative figures in 2023 (-4,650 million US$) and further declined to -7,697 million US$ by the end of 2024.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a gradual decrease from 63,270 million US$ in 2020 to a low of 56,295 million US$ in 2022. A reversal occurred in 2024, where invested capital increased significantly to 66,896 million US$. This expansion in the capital base coincided with a decline in economic profit, suggesting that the additional capital deployed did not yield returns sufficient to exceed the cost of capital.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio mirrors the volatility of economic profit, starting at a deep negative of -35.42% in 2020. A strong upward trend led to a positive spread of 4.21% in 2022, marking the only period of value creation in the observed timeframe. From 2023 onward, the ratio deteriorated to -8.18% and finally to -11.51% in 2024, indicating a widening gap between the actual return on capital and the cost of that capital.
The overall trend indicates that while the company achieved a temporary state of economic value addition in 2022, the subsequent increase in invested capital coupled with declining economic profit has led to a renewed state of value destruction by the end of 2024.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net sales | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value creation from 2020 to 2024 reveals a period of significant volatility, characterized by a sharp recovery followed by a subsequent decline in value generation. The company struggled to maintain a positive economic profit, achieving a surplus in only one of the five analyzed years.
- Economic Profit Trends
- A severe deficit of US$ 22,413 million was recorded in 2020, which improved substantially to a deficit of US$ 4,041 million in 2021. This upward trajectory peaked in 2022 with a positive economic profit of US$ 2,371 million. However, this trend reversed in 2023 and 2024, with losses widening to US$ 4,650 million and US$ 7,697 million, respectively.
- Net Sales Performance
- Net sales exhibited a growth phase between 2020 and 2022, rising from US$ 17,809 million to a peak of US$ 36,634 million. Following this peak, a downward trend emerged, with sales declining to US$ 28,257 million in 2023 and further to US$ 26,725 million by the end of 2024.
- Economic Profit Margin Volatility
- The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of absolute economic profit. An extreme negative margin of -125.85% in 2020 improved to -15.57% in 2021, eventually turning positive at 6.47% in 2022. The margin subsequently deteriorated, falling to -16.45% in 2023 and ending the period at -28.80% in 2024, indicating a failure to sustain value creation relative to the cost of capital.
Overall, the correlation between net sales and economic profit is evident, with the 2022 peak in revenue aligning with the only period of positive economic value added. The decline in both sales and economic profit margin during 2023 and 2024 suggests an erosion of economic efficiency and a return to value-destructive operations.