Stock Analysis on Net

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Exxon Mobil Corp., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 453,475 376,317 369,067 338,923 332,750
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 23,029 31,539 29,640 6,802 4,364
Operating assets 430,446 344,778 339,427 332,121 328,386
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 182,869 163,779 166,594 163,240 168,620
Less: Notes and loans payable 4,955 4,090 634 4,276 20,458
Less: Long-term debt, excluding due within one year 36,755 37,483 40,559 43,428 47,182
Operating liabilities 141,159 122,206 125,401 115,536 100,980
 
Net operating assets1 289,287 222,572 214,026 216,585 227,406
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 66,715 8,546 (2,559) (10,821)
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 26.07% 3.91% -1.19% -4.87%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors4
Chevron Corp. -2.10% 5.21% 0.03% -3.43%
ConocoPhillips 29.59% 10.61% -5.86% 44.50%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels 16.86% 5.28% -1.34% 1.09%
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Energy 16.00% 5.39% -1.05% 1.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 430,446141,159 = 289,287

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 289,287222,572 = 66,715

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 66,715 ÷ [(289,287 + 222,572) ÷ 2] = 26.07%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Operating Assets
The value of net operating assets exhibited a relatively stable trend from 2021 through 2023, with a slight decline from 216,585 million USD in 2021 to 214,026 million USD in 2022, followed by a moderate increase to 222,572 million USD in 2023. A significant increase occurred in 2024, where the net operating assets rose sharply to 289,287 million USD, indicating considerable expansion in operating asset base during this period.
Balance-Sheet-Based Aggregate Accruals
The aggregate accruals showed substantial fluctuation over the four-year period. In 2021, accruals were negative at -10,821 million USD, indicating a possible conservative recognition of earnings or reduction in accrued liabilities. In 2022, the negative accrual figure narrowed substantially to -2,559 million USD, suggesting less conservative or more accrual-driven earnings. The trend reversed in 2023 with positive accruals of 8,546 million USD, shifting from negative to positive accruals which may reflect a change in earnings recognition or accounting policies. A pronounced increase was observed in 2024, with aggregate accruals reaching 66,715 million USD, reflecting a sharp rise in accrual-based earnings or liabilities.
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio followed a pattern similar to aggregate accruals but expressed in relative terms. Starting at -4.87% in 2021, the ratio improved to -1.19% in 2022, indicating decreasing proportion of accruals relative to net operating assets. It moved into positive territory at 3.91% in 2023, marking an important shift in accrual accounting toward an accrual-driven earnings recognition. The ratio then escalated dramatically to 26.07% in 2024, signaling a substantial increase in accruals proportionate to net operating assets, which warrants scrutiny for potential implications on earnings quality or underlying operational performance.

Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Exxon Mobil Corp., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to ExxonMobil 33,680 36,010 55,740 23,040 (22,440)
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 55,022 55,369 76,797 48,129 14,668
Less: Net cash used in investing activities (19,938) (19,274) (14,742) (10,235) (18,459)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals (1,404) (85) (6,315) (14,854) (18,649)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 -0.55% -0.04% -2.93% -6.69%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Competitors2
Chevron Corp. -2.83% 0.58% -1.22% -4.57%
ConocoPhillips 0.37% 5.11% -1.56% -0.78%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels -1.20% 0.87% -2.11% -5.23%
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Energy -0.95% 0.89% -1.75% -5.33%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × -1,404 ÷ [(289,287 + 222,572) ÷ 2] = -0.55%

2 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net operating assets
The net operating assets demonstrate an overall increasing trend over the four-year period. Starting at 216,585 million US dollars at the end of 2021, the figure slightly declined to 214,026 million in 2022, then increased to 222,572 million in 2023, followed by a more significant rise to 289,287 million in 2024. This indicates a strengthening asset base in recent years, particularly in the last year analyzed.
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals
The aggregate accruals show a consistent improvement trend over the four years. The value, initially at -14,854 million US dollars in 2021, moved upward to -6,315 million in 2022, then further approached near zero at -85 million in 2023, followed by a slight decline to -1,404 million in 2024. The reduction in the magnitude of negative accruals suggests a movement toward reduced accrual-based adjustments and potentially improved earnings quality.
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio
This ratio reflects a parallel trend to the aggregate accruals in percentage terms. Starting from -6.69% in 2021, it climbs steadily to -2.93% in 2022, nearly zero at -0.04% in 2023, then slightly declines to -0.55% in 2024. The decreasing absolute values indicate diminishing reliance on accruals relative to cash flows, which generally signals improving financial reporting quality.