Stock Analysis on Net

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Ford Motor Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes exhibited significant volatility over the observed period. Starting with a substantial loss of 428 million US dollars in 2020, the company experienced a dramatic recovery in 2021, reaching a peak of 11,380 million US dollars. However, this was followed by a sharp decline in 2022 to 2,786 million US dollars. Subsequent years showed modest improvement, with NOPAT increasing to 3,005 million in 2023 and further to 6,733 million in 2024, yet still below the 2021 peak.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital demonstrated fluctuations, beginning at 6.39% in 2020 and rising to a high of 8.29% in 2021. It then slightly decreased to 7.93% in 2022 and remained relatively stable around 8.05% in 2023 before reducing to 6.93% in 2024. This pattern suggests changing risk perceptions or market conditions affecting the company's financing costs over the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a generally increasing trend over the five-year period. Starting at 170,559 million US dollars in 2020, it decreased slightly in 2021 to 160,105 million before recovering and steadily increasing to reach 186,730 million in 2024. This upward trend indicates ongoing capital investment or asset accumulation.
Economic Profit
The economic profit remained negative throughout the entire period, reflecting that the company did not cover its cost of capital with its operating profits. The loss was most pronounced in 2020, at -11,321 million US dollars, improved significantly in 2021 to -1,889 million, but deteriorated again in the subsequent years, reaching -10,230 million in 2022 and -10,995 million in 2023. In 2024, the negative economic profit decreased to -6,205 million, showing some recovery though still indicating value destruction.
Overall Insights
The financial indicators reveal a pattern of recovery and volatility in profitability alongside increasing capital investment. Although net operating profits showed improvement after an initial loss, the persistent negative economic profit suggests a continued challenge in generating returns above the cost of capital. The fluctuating cost of capital may have contributed to the volatility in economic profit outcomes. The overall scenario indicates a need for strategies focused on enhancing operational efficiency and capital utilization to achieve sustainable value creation.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Ford Motor Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit6
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Investment-related interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit = Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Ford Motor Company
There is significant volatility in the net income figures over the five-year span. The company experienced a substantial loss of $1,279 million at the end of 2020, followed by a remarkable recovery yielding a profit of $17,937 million in 2021. However, this was not sustained as a loss of $1,981 million was recorded again in 2022. The subsequent years show a positive trend with profits of $4,347 million in 2023 and $5,879 million in 2024, indicating improving profitability.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT mirrors the patterns observed in net income but with less pronounced fluctuations. The figure was negative at -$428 million in 2020 but then increased sharply to $11,380 million in 2021. It declined substantially to $2,786 million in 2022 but then remained relatively steady with a slight increase to $3,005 million in 2023. In 2024, NOPAT shows a significant rise to $6,733 million, suggesting improved operational efficiency and profitability.
Overall Trends and Insights
The company's financial performance exhibits considerable cyclicality and recovery efforts throughout the reviewed period. After an initial loss in 2020, both profitability metrics surged in 2021 but could not be sustained into 2022. The recovery from 2022 onwards is steady, with both net income and NOPAT demonstrating growth, indicating improving operational results and successful management initiatives to increase profitability. By 2024, the positive momentum appears to strengthen, reflecting a more stable and profitable position.

Cash Operating Taxes

Ford Motor Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes demonstrates significant volatility across the analyzed periods. In 2020, the provision was positive at 160 million US dollars, indicating tax expenses. This shifted dramatically in 2021 and 2022, where the company recorded negative provisions of -130 million and -864 million US dollars, respectively, suggesting benefits or tax credits during these years. Although still negative in 2023 at -362 million US dollars, the magnitude of the benefit decreased. In 2024, a notable reversal occurred, with the provision turning positive again to 1339 million US dollars, indicating substantial tax expenses compared to prior years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes also varied markedly over the five-year horizon. The value was positive at 680 million US dollars in 2020, before plunging to a negative figure of -862 million in 2021, implying a cash inflow or tax refunds. In 2022, there was a significant increase to 2693 million US dollars, representing a sharp rise in cash outflows for taxes. This declined in subsequent years to 1245 million in 2023 and further to 918 million US dollars in 2024, indicating a reduction but remaining substantial compared to 2020 levels.
Overall insight
The tax-related figures exhibit considerable fluctuations, with periods of tax benefits transitioning into years of considerable tax expenses. The sharp negative provisions and negative cash operating taxes in 2021 suggest one-off tax credits or adjustments which were not sustained. The substantial increase in 2024's provision for income taxes corresponds with a more moderate cash tax payment relative to the peak in 2022. This pattern reflects a volatile tax environment or changing profitability and tax strategy within the company, which may warrant further investigation to understand the underlying causes.

Invested Capital

Ford Motor Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Debt payable within one year
Long-term debt payable after one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity attributable to Ford Motor Company
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for doubtful receivables3
Deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests
Adjusted equity attributable to Ford Motor Company
Construction in progress7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to Ford Motor Company.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data over the five-year period reveals several notable trends in the company's financial structure, specifically concerning its debt, equity, and invested capital.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
This metric decreased significantly from 162,998 million USD in 2020 to 139,485 million USD in 2021, indicating a notable reduction in debt and lease obligations. However, from 2021 onward, the debt level began rising again, reaching 160,862 million USD in 2024. This upward trend suggests increased borrowing or lease commitments over the last three years after the initial reduction.
Equity Attributable to Ford Motor Company
Equity experienced strong growth from 30,690 million USD in 2020 to 48,519 million USD in 2021, reflecting an improvement in the company's net asset base. However, equity declined slightly in the subsequent years, dropping to 43,242 million USD in 2022 and further to 42,773 million USD in 2023, before a modest recovery to 44,835 million USD in 2024. This fluctuation could indicate variable profitability, retained earnings impact, or other equity adjustments during the period.
Invested Capital
The invested capital showed a downward movement from 170,559 million USD in 2020 to 160,105 million USD in 2021, followed by a steady increase in subsequent years to reach 186,730 million USD in 2024. This rising trend from 2021 onward suggests continued investment in the company's operations, assets, or growth initiatives that may contribute to future revenue generation.

Overall, the data depicts a company that initially reduced its debt and invested capital while increasing equity in 2021 but then transitioned into a phase of expanding debt and invested capital with relatively stable but fluctuating equity levels through 2024. The increase in invested capital alongside rising debt could imply strategic investments financed partly by debt. The equity trends warrant further investigation to understand the factors affecting net asset value changes.


Cost of Capital

Ford Motor Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Ford Motor Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
General Motors Co.
Tesla Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals several notable trends in the company's economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Economic Profit
Economic profit showed significant volatility and remained negative throughout the period. The figure improved substantially from -11,321 million US$ in 2020 to -1,889 million US$ in 2021, indicating a short-term enhancement in economic value. However, this improvement was not sustained; economic profit deteriorated sharply in 2022 to -10,230 million US$, further declined slightly in 2023 to -10,995 million US$, and then somewhat recovered in 2024 to -6,205 million US$. Despite the partial improvements, the persistent negative values signify ongoing challenges in generating returns that exceed the cost of capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrated an overall upward trend, rising from 170,559 million US$ in 2020 to 186,730 million US$ in 2024. A modest reduction occurred in 2021 to 160,105 million US$, but the capital base expanded steadily thereafter. This increase, particularly evident from 2022 onwards, suggests ongoing investments or asset accumulation which could be aimed at supporting future growth or operational capacity.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, indicative of the return on invested capital relative to its cost, remained negative over the entire timeframe, reflecting the economic profit outcomes. It improved from -6.64% in 2020 to -1.18% in 2021, coinciding with the temporary economic profit increase. Subsequently, the ratio deteriorated again to -6.23% in 2022 and remained fairly stable in 2023 at -6.32%. By 2024, the ratio showed recovery to -3.32%, indicating a partial reduction in the gap between returns and capital costs. The consistent negative figures underscore the challenge of achieving economic profit despite adjustments in invested capital.

In summary, the data reveals cyclical performance with fleeting improvements in economic profit and economic spread ratio, set against a backdrop of steadily increasing invested capital. The persistent negative economic spread signals that returns have not yet consistently outpaced capital costs, highlighting areas requiring strategic focus to enhance value creation.


Economic Profit Margin

Ford Motor Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Company revenues excluding Ford Credit
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
General Motors Co.
Tesla Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations and trends over the five-year period examined. Key financial metrics highlight changes in profitability and revenue generation, providing an insight into the company's economic performance.

Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits significant volatility throughout the period. In 2020, it was deeply negative at approximately -$11.3 billion, showing a considerable loss. This figure improved substantially in 2021 to about -$1.9 billion, indicating reduced economic losses. However, economic profit worsened again in the subsequent years, with values of roughly -$10.2 billion in 2022 and -$11.0 billion in 2023, before improving to -$6.2 billion in 2024. Despite some recovery, the company consistently sustained negative economic profits, suggesting persistent challenges in generating profit beyond the cost of capital.
Adjusted Company Revenues Excluding Ford Credit
A positive and steady upward trend is observed in the adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit. Revenue started at approximately $116.4 billion in 2020 and increased each year, reaching about $173.4 billion in 2024. This growth indicates expanding operational sales and possibly enhanced market presence or product offerings over the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin follows a pattern similar to the economic profit, starting with a significantly negative margin of -9.73% in 2020. This margin improved markedly in 2021 to -1.49%, indicating a narrowing of losses relative to revenue. In subsequent years, margins reverted to larger negative values around -6.85% in 2022 and -6.62% in 2023, before improving again to -3.58% in 2024. The margins suggest that profitability relative to revenue remains under pressure, despite some improvements.

Overall, despite consistent revenue growth, the data indicates ongoing profitability challenges, with economic profit remaining negative throughout the timeframe. The company shows some resilience and attempts at recovery, but economic profit and margin figures reflect the need for further improvements in cost management or operational efficiency to achieve positive economic profit.