Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Tesla Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 5,629 8,828 11,309 14,874 7,214
Cost of capital2 27.05% 27.02% 26.90% 27.02% 27.01%
Invested capital3 69,754 67,545 59,453 49,621 40,247
 
Economic profit4 (13,237) (9,426) (4,687) 1,466 (3,655)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 5,629 – 27.05% × 69,754 = -13,237


An analysis of the financial trajectory from 2021 to 2025 reveals a widening gap between capital deployment and operating returns, resulting in a significant deterioration of economic profit. While there was a brief period of value creation in 2022, the subsequent years show a consistent trend of value destruction.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A peak in operating performance occurred in 2022, with NOPAT reaching 14,874 million US$. However, a sustained downward trend followed, with profit levels declining to 5,629 million US$ by 2025. This represents a substantial reduction in the company's ability to generate operating earnings from its asset base over the final three years of the period.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital exhibited consistent annual growth, increasing from 40,247 million US$ in 2021 to 69,754 million US$ in 2025. Throughout this expansion, the cost of capital remained remarkably stable, fluctuating narrowly around 27%. This indicates that the hurdle rate required to generate economic value remained high and constant while the total capital at risk increased.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit transitioned from a deficit of 3,655 million US$ in 2021 to a brief positive position of 1,466 million US$ in 2022. Following this peak, economic profit entered a period of rapid decline, falling to -4,687 million US$ in 2023 and accelerating to -13,237 million US$ by 2025. The convergence of declining NOPAT and increasing invested capital against a static, high cost of capital has led to an intensifying erosion of economic value.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Tesla Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income attributable to common stockholders 3,794 7,091 14,997 12,556 5,519
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 123 477 (6,349) (196) (149)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2 570 370 1,564 1,052 757
Increase (decrease) in accrued warranty reserve3 1,891 1,564 1,647 1,404 633
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 2,584 2,411 (3,138) 2,260 1,241
Interest expense 338 350 156 191 371
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 317 287 243 140 102
Adjusted interest expense 655 637 399 331 473
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (138) (134) (84) (70) (99)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 518 503 315 262 374
Interest income (1,680) (1,569) (1,066) (297) (56)
Investment income, before taxes (1,680) (1,569) (1,066) (297) (56)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 353 329 224 62 12
Investment income, after taxes9 (1,327) (1,240) (842) (235) (44)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 61 62 (23) 31 125
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 5,629 8,828 11,309 14,874 7,214

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued warranty reserve.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to common stockholders.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 6,343 × 5.00% = 317

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 655 × 21.00% = 138

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to common stockholders.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,680 × 21.00% = 353

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net income attributable to common stockholders and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) both demonstrate significant fluctuations over the five-year period. NOPAT exhibits a more pronounced growth trajectory initially, followed by a decline, while net income mirrors this pattern but with differing magnitudes.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT increased substantially from $7,214 million in 2021 to $14,874 million in 2022, representing a growth of over 106%. This growth slowed in 2023, with NOPAT reaching $11,309 million, a decrease of approximately 24% from the prior year. The decline continued into 2024, with NOPAT at $8,828 million, and further decreased to $5,629 million in 2025. This represents a cumulative decrease of approximately 62% from the peak in 2022.
Net Income Trend
Net income attributable to common stockholders also increased significantly from $5,519 million in 2021 to $12,556 million in 2022, a growth of approximately 128%. It continued to rise in 2023, reaching $14,997 million. However, a substantial decrease is observed in 2024, with net income falling to $7,091 million. This downward trend persisted in 2025, with net income reported at $3,794 million, representing a decrease of approximately 75% from its peak in 2023.
Relationship between NOPAT and Net Income
While both metrics generally move in the same direction, the magnitude of change differs. The increase in net income from 2021 to 2023 was more substantial than the increase in NOPAT over the same period. Conversely, the decline in net income from 2023 to 2025 was more pronounced than the decline in NOPAT. This suggests that factors beyond core operating profitability, such as financing costs or non-operating items, are influencing net income to a greater extent than NOPAT.

The observed declines in both NOPAT and net income in the later years of the period warrant further investigation to determine the underlying causes. Potential factors could include increased competition, rising input costs, changes in pricing strategy, or macroeconomic conditions.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Tesla Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes 1,423 1,837 (5,001) 1,132 699
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 123 477 (6,349) (196) (149)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 138 134 84 70 99
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 353 329 224 62 12
Cash operating taxes 1,085 1,164 1,208 1,335 936

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for (benefit from) income taxes exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Beginning at US$699 million in 2021, it increased to US$1,132 million in 2022 before experiencing a substantial negative swing to a benefit of negative US$5,001 million in 2023. This was followed by a return to a provision of US$1,837 million in 2024 and a slight decrease to US$1,423 million in 2025.

Cash operating taxes demonstrate a more stable, though declining, trend. An initial value of US$936 million in 2021 rose to US$1,335 million in 2022. Subsequent years show a gradual decrease, with values of US$1,208 million, US$1,164 million, and US$1,085 million reported for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively.

Provision for Income Taxes Trend
The large negative provision in 2023 suggests a significant impact from tax credits, changes in deferred tax assets/liabilities, or alterations in tax laws. Further investigation would be required to determine the specific drivers behind this substantial shift. The return to a positive provision in 2024 and 2025 indicates a normalization of the tax expense, though it remains below the levels seen in 2021 and 2022.
Cash Taxes vs. Provision for Taxes
A consistent difference exists between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes throughout the period. This discrepancy suggests the presence of non-cash tax items, such as deferred taxes, impacting the reported provision. The magnitude of this difference is particularly pronounced in 2023, correlating with the negative provision for income taxes.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
The observed decline in cash operating taxes from 2022 to 2025, while gradual, warrants attention. This could be attributable to changes in tax rates, increased tax deductions, or shifts in the geographic distribution of taxable income. The consistent decrease suggests a potentially evolving tax strategy or external factors influencing the company’s tax obligations.

The divergence between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes highlights the importance of analyzing both figures when assessing a company’s tax position and its impact on economic value added. The volatility in the provision for income taxes necessitates a deeper understanding of the underlying accounting and tax-related events driving these fluctuations.

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Invested Capital

Tesla Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Current portion of debt and finance leases 1,640 2,456 2,373 1,502 1,589
Debt and finance leases, net of current portion 6,736 5,757 2,857 1,597 5,245
Operating lease liability1 6,343 5,410 4,343 2,649 2,039
Total reported debt & leases 14,719 13,623 9,573 5,748 8,873
Stockholders’ equity 82,137 72,913 62,634 44,704 30,189
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (6,799) (6,422) (6,652) (247) (65)
Deferred revenue3 7,055 6,485 6,115 4,551 3,499
Accrued warranty reserve4 8,607 6,716 5,152 3,505 2,101
Equity equivalents5 8,863 6,779 4,615 7,809 5,535
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 (361) 670 143 361 (54)
Redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 58 63 242 409 568
Noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 670 704 733 785 826
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 91,367 81,129 68,367 54,068 37,064
Construction in progress7 (8,786) (6,783) (5,791) (4,263) (5,559)
Short-term investments8 (27,546) (20,424) (12,696) (5,932) (131)
Invested capital 69,754 67,545 59,453 49,621 40,247

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of accrued warranty reserve.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The invested capital of the company demonstrates a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. Simultaneously, changes are observed in the composition of that capital, specifically regarding debt and equity financing.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital increased from US$40,247 million in 2021 to US$69,754 million in 2025. This represents a cumulative growth of 73.1% over the period. The rate of increase slowed between 2024 and 2025, with an increase of only 3.3% compared to a 12.1% increase between 2023 and 2024.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases decreased significantly from US$8,873 million in 2021 to US$5,748 million in 2022, a reduction of 35.3%. However, debt levels then began to rise, reaching US$14,719 million by 2025. This represents a 156.6% increase from the 2022 low. The most substantial increase in debt occurred between 2023 and 2024, growing by 42.3%.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity exhibited consistent growth throughout the period, increasing from US$30,189 million in 2021 to US$82,137 million in 2025. This represents a 172.1% increase. The rate of growth in equity slowed slightly from 2024 to 2025, but remained positive.
Capital Structure Shift
In 2021, debt constituted approximately 22.1% of invested capital (US$8,873 / US$40,247). By 2025, this proportion had risen to approximately 21.1% (US$14,719 / US$69,754). While the percentage change is relatively small, the increasing absolute value of debt suggests a growing reliance on debt financing, particularly in the later years of the observed period. Equity consistently represented the majority of invested capital, increasing its share slightly over the period.

The company’s increasing invested capital, coupled with the recent rise in debt, warrants further investigation into the efficiency of capital allocation and the associated financial risks.

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Cost of Capital

Tesla Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 1,563,113 1,563,113 ÷ 1,577,832 = 0.99 0.99 × 27.27% = 27.01%
Debt and finance leases3 8,376 8,376 ÷ 1,577,832 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.21% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Operating lease liability4 6,343 6,343 ÷ 1,577,832 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 1,577,832 1.00 27.05%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 1,287,507 1,287,507 ÷ 1,301,130 = 0.99 0.99 × 27.27% = 26.98%
Debt and finance leases3 8,213 8,213 ÷ 1,301,130 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.90% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Operating lease liability4 5,410 5,410 ÷ 1,301,130 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 1,301,130 1.00 27.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 608,072 608,072 ÷ 618,051 = 0.98 0.98 × 27.27% = 26.83%
Debt and finance leases3 5,636 5,636 ÷ 618,051 = 0.01 0.01 × 6.41% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Operating lease liability4 4,343 4,343 ÷ 618,051 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 618,051 1.00 26.90%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 548,086 548,086 ÷ 554,020 = 0.99 0.99 × 27.27% = 26.98%
Debt and finance leases3 3,285 3,285 ÷ 554,020 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Operating lease liability4 2,649 2,649 ÷ 554,020 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 554,020 1.00 27.02%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 937,753 937,753 ÷ 948,530 = 0.99 0.99 × 27.27% = 26.96%
Debt and finance leases3 8,738 8,738 ÷ 948,530 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Operating lease liability4 2,039 2,039 ÷ 948,530 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 948,530 1.00 27.01%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Tesla Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (13,237) (9,426) (4,687) 1,466 (3,655)
Invested capital2 69,754 67,545 59,453 49,621 40,247
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -18.98% -13.96% -7.88% 2.96% -9.08%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Ford Motor Co. -15.23% -4.08% -7.34% -7.35% -2.52%
General Motors Co. -5.77% -3.22% -2.08% -3.08% -1.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -13,237 ÷ 69,754 = -18.98%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value generation reveals a significant downward trend in profitability relative to the cost of capital. Despite a consistent expansion of the capital base, the ability to generate positive economic profit has diminished substantially over the five-year period from 2021 to 2025.

Invested Capital Trends
A steady upward trajectory is observed in invested capital, which increased from 40,247 million US dollars in 2021 to 69,754 million US dollars by 2025. This indicates a sustained and continuous deployment of additional resources into the business operations.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit exhibited notable volatility, characterized by a brief transition into positive territory in 2022 with a value of 1,466 million US dollars. However, this recovery was short-lived, followed by a severe and accelerating decline that resulted in a deficit of 13,237 million US dollars by the end of 2025.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio closely mirrors the trend of economic profit, moving from -9.08% in 2021 to a peak of 2.96% in 2022, before declining sharply to -18.98% by 2025. This widening negative spread indicates a growing discrepancy between the actual return on invested capital and the required cost of capital.

The correlation between increasing invested capital and a rapidly deteriorating economic spread suggests a decline in capital efficiency. The expansion of the asset base has not translated into value creation; instead, the gap between returns and capital costs has widened, indicating that subsequent investments have failed to yield returns sufficient to cover their own costs.

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Economic Profit Margin

Tesla Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (13,237) (9,426) (4,687) 1,466 (3,655)
 
Revenues 94,827 97,690 96,773 81,462 53,823
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 570 370 1,564 1,052 757
Adjusted revenues 95,397 98,060 98,337 82,514 54,580
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -13.88% -9.61% -4.77% 1.78% -6.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Ford Motor Co. -15.57% -4.39% -7.68% -8.09% -3.19%
General Motors Co. -6.66% -3.62% -2.38% -3.67% -2.26%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × -13,237 ÷ 95,397 = -13.88%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory regarding economic value creation shows a significant deterioration from 2021 through 2025. While there was a brief period of positive economic value generation in 2022, the subsequent years demonstrate an accelerating decline in economic profit, which coincides with a plateau and eventual contraction in adjusted revenues.

Economic Profit Trends
A volatile pattern is observed, beginning with a deficit of US$ 3,655 million in 2021, recovering to a surplus of US$ 1,466 million in 2022, and then entering a period of steep decline. Economic profit fell to negative US$ 4,687 million in 2023 and further deteriorated to negative US$ 13,237 million by 2025, indicating that the returns on invested capital failed to cover the cost of capital by an increasing margin over the final three years.
Adjusted Revenue Performance
Revenues exhibited strong growth between 2021 and 2023, rising from US$ 54,580 million to a peak of US$ 98,337 million. However, this growth trend ceased after 2023, with revenues stagnating in 2024 at US$ 98,060 million and declining to US$ 95,397 million by 2025, suggesting a ceiling in revenue expansion.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin reflects a severe erosion of capital efficiency. After reaching a peak of 1.78% in 2022, the margin declined consistently, reaching -4.77% in 2023, -9.61% in 2024, and culminating in -13.88% in 2025. The acceleration of this negative margin suggests that the cost of capital is increasing relative to operating gains, or that operating efficiency is declining sharply despite the scale of revenues.

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