Stock Analysis on Net

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Ford Motor Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 (11,439) 6,721 3,005 2,786 11,380
Cost of capital2 8.94% 7.73% 9.14% 9.14% 9.73%
Invested capital3 179,555 186,723 173,985 164,218 160,105
 
Economic profit4 (27,486) (7,720) (12,901) (12,223) (4,203)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= -11,4398.94% × 179,555 = -27,486


The financial performance over the five-year period from 2021 to 2025 is characterized by a persistent failure to generate economic value, as economic profit remained negative throughout the entire duration. The company consistently operated below its cost of capital, with a significant deterioration in value creation observed in the final year of the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) Trends
NOPAT exhibited extreme volatility. A strong start in 2021 at 11,380 million US$ was followed by a sharp decline to 2,786 million US$ in 2022. While a recovery trend emerged through 2023 and 2024, peaking at 6,721 million US$, this progress was erased in 2025, when NOPAT shifted to a substantial deficit of 11,439 million US$.
Capital Investment and Cost of Capital Dynamics
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trajectory from 2021 to 2024, rising from 160,105 million US$ to 186,723 million US$, before experiencing a slight reduction to 179,555 million US$ in 2025. Concurrently, the cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating between a high of 9.73% in 2021 and a low of 7.73% in 2024. The increase in invested capital effectively raised the financial hurdle required to achieve a positive economic profit.
Economic Profit Trajectory
Economic profit remained negative for all five years, indicating that the operating returns were insufficient to cover the cost of the capital employed. The deficit widened significantly from 4,203 million US$ in 2021 to 12,901 million US$ by 2023. Although a partial improvement occurred in 2024, reducing the loss to 7,720 million US$, the period concluded with a severe collapse in 2025, where economic profit reached its lowest point at -27,486 million US$. This final decline was driven by the simultaneous occurrence of negative NOPAT and a high capital base.

AI Ask an analyst for more



Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Ford Motor Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company (8,182) 5,879 4,347 (1,981) 17,937
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (4,539) 363 (1,601) (1,836) (856)
Increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables2 25 8 (24) 46 (10)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 1,608 675 279 255 312
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (2,906) 1,046 (1,346) (1,535) (554)
Interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 1,254 1,115 1,302 1,259 1,803
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 113 105 88 56 46
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 1,367 1,220 1,390 1,315 1,849
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit6 (287) (256) (292) (276) (388)
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit, after taxes7 1,080 964 1,098 1,039 1,461
(Gain) loss on marketable securities (346) 42 205 7,518 (9,159)
Investment-related interest income (1,490) (1,540) (1,567) (639) (254)
Investment income, before taxes (1,836) (1,498) (1,362) 6,879 (9,413)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 386 315 286 (1,445) 1,977
Investment income, after taxes9 (1,450) (1,183) (1,076) 5,434 (7,436)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 20 15 (18) (171) (27)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) (11,439) 6,721 3,005 2,786 11,380

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 2,402 × 4.70% = 113

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit = Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,367 × 21.00% = 287

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,836 × 21.00% = 386

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance, as indicated by Net Income and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT), exhibits significant fluctuations over the five-year period. While Net Income demonstrates considerable volatility, NOPAT provides a more focused view of operational profitability before considering financing costs and taxes.

Overall Trend in NOPAT
NOPAT experienced a substantial decline from 2021 to 2022, followed by a period of relative stability between 2022 and 2024. However, a dramatic decrease is observed in 2025, resulting in a negative value. This suggests a significant deterioration in core operational profitability in the most recent year.
NOPAT – 2021 to 2022
A marked reduction in NOPAT is evident, decreasing from US$11,380 million in 2021 to US$2,786 million in 2022. This represents a decrease of approximately 75.6%. This decline suggests a weakening of the company’s ability to generate profit from its core operations during this period.
NOPAT – 2022 to 2024
From 2022 to 2024, NOPAT shows a modest recovery. It increased from US$2,786 million to US$6,721 million. While this indicates improvement, the level in 2024 remains below the 2021 peak. The increase from 2023 to 2024 is particularly notable, representing a growth of over 123.8%.
NOPAT – 2024 to 2025
The positive trend reverses sharply in 2025, with NOPAT plummeting to a loss of US$-11,439 million. This represents a substantial downturn and a significant deviation from the preceding year’s performance. The magnitude of this decline is considerably larger than the initial decrease observed between 2021 and 2022.
Relationship between Net Income and NOPAT
While both metrics fluctuate, the trends are not always aligned. For example, Net Income shows a loss in 2022, while NOPAT remains positive, albeit significantly reduced. Conversely, Net Income is positive in 2023 and 2024, aligning with the increasing NOPAT. However, the substantial negative Net Income and NOPAT in 2025 indicate a widespread operational and financial challenge.

The considerable volatility in both Net Income and NOPAT suggests the company’s profitability is sensitive to external factors or internal operational changes. The dramatic decline in NOPAT in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying causes and potential implications for future performance.

AI Ask an analyst for more



Cash Operating Taxes

Ford Motor Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes (3,668) 1,339 (362) (864) (130)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (4,539) 363 (1,601) (1,836) (856)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 287 256 292 276 388
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 386 315 286 (1,445) 1,977
Cash operating taxes 772 918 1,245 2,693 (862)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited significant fluctuations between 2021 and 2025. A notable divergence between these two figures is apparent throughout the period, suggesting substantial non-cash tax effects are influencing the reported provision.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes began at negative US$130 million in 2021, indicating a benefit. This benefit increased substantially to negative US$864 million in 2022. In 2023, the provision shifted to a negative US$362 million, a reduction in the benefit compared to the prior year. A significant reversal occurred in 2024, with a positive provision of US$1,339 million. This trend continued with a substantial negative provision of negative US$3,668 million in 2025.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes were negative US$862 million in 2021, representing a net tax recovery. A dramatic increase to positive US$2,693 million was observed in 2022, indicating a substantial cash outflow for taxes. The cash taxes decreased to US$1,245 million in 2023 and further to US$918 million in 2024. A slight decrease to US$772 million occurred in 2025.

The difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes was most pronounced in 2022 and 2025. In 2022, cash taxes were significantly higher than the reported provision, while in 2025, the provision was substantially lower than the cash taxes paid. These discrepancies likely stem from deferred tax assets/liabilities, tax credits, or changes in tax laws impacting the timing of tax recognition. The volatility in both measures suggests a complex tax position and potential sensitivity to changes in tax regulations or business performance.

The trend in cash operating taxes indicates a generally decreasing outflow from 2022 to 2025, despite the fluctuations in the provision for income taxes. This suggests that while the accounting provision is highly variable, the actual cash paid for taxes is becoming more moderate.

AI Ask an analyst for more



Invested Capital

Ford Motor Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Debt payable within one year 57,302 54,949 49,669 50,164 49,692
Long-term debt payable after one year 106,034 103,573 99,562 88,805 88,400
Operating lease liability1 2,402 2,340 1,876 1,505 1,393
Total reported debt & leases 165,738 160,862 151,107 140,474 139,485
Equity attributable to Ford Motor Company 35,952 44,835 42,773 43,242 48,519
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (20,599) (15,301) (15,980) (14,003) (12,215)
Allowances for doubtful receivables3 102 77 69 93 47
Deferred revenue4 9,849 8,241 7,566 7,287 7,032
Equity equivalents5 (10,648) (6,983) (8,345) (6,623) (5,136)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 7,710 9,639 9,042 9,339 8,339
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests 28 23 25 (75) 103
Adjusted equity attributable to Ford Motor Company 33,042 47,514 43,495 45,883 51,825
Construction in progress7 (4,094) (6,240) (5,308) (3,203) (2,152)
Marketable securities8 (15,131) (15,413) (15,309) (18,936) (29,053)
Invested capital 179,555 186,723 173,985 164,218 160,105

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to Ford Motor Company.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The reported invested capital demonstrates an overall increasing trend from 2021 to 2024, followed by a decrease in 2025. A closer examination of the components contributing to invested capital reveals further insights into these movements.

Total Invested Capital
Invested capital increased from US$160,105 million in 2021 to US$186,723 million in 2024, representing a cumulative growth of approximately 16.6%. However, a decline of approximately 3.8% was observed in 2025, with invested capital decreasing to US$179,555 million. This suggests a potential shift in capital allocation strategy or operational needs towards the end of the analyzed period.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases exhibited a consistent upward trend throughout the period, increasing from US$139,485 million in 2021 to US$165,738 million in 2025. The rate of increase was relatively stable, with annual increments ranging from approximately US$3.2 billion to US$9.7 billion. This indicates a reliance on debt financing to support operations and growth initiatives.
Equity
Equity attributable to Ford Motor Company experienced a decrease from US$48,519 million in 2021 to US$42,773 million in 2022, followed by a slight recovery to US$44,835 million in 2024. However, a more substantial decrease was noted in 2025, with equity falling to US$35,952 million. This decline in equity, particularly in 2025, may be attributable to factors such as dividend payouts, share repurchases, or net losses impacting retained earnings.

The interplay between debt and equity in funding invested capital is noteworthy. While debt consistently increased, equity fluctuated and ultimately decreased, suggesting a growing reliance on debt to finance the company’s invested capital base, especially in the later years of the period. The decrease in invested capital in 2025, despite continued debt growth, is likely due to the significant reduction in equity.

AI Ask an analyst for more



Cost of Capital

Ford Motor Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 55,254 55,254 ÷ 223,509 = 0.25 0.25 × 25.04% = 6.19%
Debt3 165,853 165,853 ÷ 223,509 = 0.74 0.74 × 4.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.71%
Operating lease liability4 2,402 2,402 ÷ 223,509 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 223,509 1.00 8.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 36,702 36,702 ÷ 199,266 = 0.18 0.18 × 25.04% = 4.61%
Debt3 160,224 160,224 ÷ 199,266 = 0.80 0.80 × 4.85% × (1 – 21.00%) = 3.08%
Operating lease liability4 2,340 2,340 ÷ 199,266 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 199,266 1.00 7.73%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 50,863 50,863 ÷ 203,047 = 0.25 0.25 × 25.04% = 6.27%
Debt3 150,308 150,308 ÷ 203,047 = 0.74 0.74 × 4.85% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.84%
Operating lease liability4 1,876 1,876 ÷ 203,047 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 203,047 1.00 9.14%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 52,737 52,737 ÷ 190,013 = 0.28 0.28 × 25.04% = 6.95%
Debt3 135,771 135,771 ÷ 190,013 = 0.71 0.71 × 3.84% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.17%
Operating lease liability4 1,505 1,505 ÷ 190,013 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 190,013 1.00 9.14%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 71,916 71,916 ÷ 217,557 = 0.33 0.33 × 25.04% = 8.28%
Debt3 144,248 144,248 ÷ 217,557 = 0.66 0.66 × 2.75% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.44%
Operating lease liability4 1,393 1,393 ÷ 217,557 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 217,557 1.00 9.73%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Ford Motor Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (27,486) (7,720) (12,901) (12,223) (4,203)
Invested capital2 179,555 186,723 173,985 164,218 160,105
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -15.31% -4.13% -7.41% -7.44% -2.63%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
General Motors Co. -5.82% -3.26% -2.12% -3.13% -1.59%
Tesla Inc. -19.43% -14.41% -8.34% 2.50% -9.54%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -27,486 ÷ 179,555 = -15.31%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance regarding economic value added exhibits a consistent trend of value destruction over the five-year period. Economic profit remained negative throughout the duration, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the cost of capital employed.

Economic Profit
A persistent negative trajectory is observed in economic profit. Following a loss of 4,203 million USD in 2021, the deficit expanded significantly to 12,223 million USD in 2022 and 12,901 million USD in 2023. Although a partial recovery occurred in 2024 with losses narrowing to 7,720 million USD, the period concluded with a substantial decline in 2025, reaching a peak deficit of 27,486 million USD.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a steady upward trend from 2021 to 2024, rising from 160,105 million USD to a peak of 186,723 million USD. This growth indicates a continuous increase in the capital base. However, a slight contraction occurred in 2025, with invested capital decreasing to 179,555 million USD.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio remained negative across all analyzed years, confirming that the company failed to achieve a positive spread over its cost of capital. The ratio deteriorated from -2.63% in 2021 to -7.44% in 2022 and remained relatively stagnant in 2023 at -7.41%. A brief improvement was noted in 2024, where the ratio rose to -4.13%, before a sharp deterioration in 2025 to -15.31%. This final decline suggests a severe misalignment between the returns on assets and the cost of the capital invested.

AI Ask an analyst for more



Economic Profit Margin

Ford Motor Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (27,486) (7,720) (12,901) (12,223) (4,203)
 
Company revenues excluding Ford Credit 173,996 172,706 165,901 149,079 126,268
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 1,608 675 279 255 312
Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit 175,604 173,381 166,180 149,334 126,580
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -15.65% -4.45% -7.76% -8.18% -3.32%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
General Motors Co. -6.72% -3.66% -2.42% -3.73% -2.34%
Tesla Inc. -14.21% -9.93% -5.04% 1.50% -7.03%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit
= 100 × -27,486 ÷ 175,604 = -15.65%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial performance from 2021 to 2025 reveals a persistent failure to generate positive economic value, characterized by consistent negative economic profits despite a steady increase in adjusted company revenues. The data indicates a widening gap between top-line growth and the company's ability to cover its cost of capital.

Economic Profit Trends
A continuous deficit in economic profit is observed throughout the period. After an initial loss of 4,203 million US dollars in 2021, the deficit deepened significantly to 12,223 million US dollars in 2022 and 12,901 million US dollars in 2023. While a partial recovery occurred in 2024, reducing the loss to 7,720 million US dollars, the period concludes with a sharp deterioration in 2025, where economic profit reached its lowest point at -27,486 million US dollars.
Adjusted Revenue Trajectory
In contrast to the volatility of economic profit, adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit demonstrate a consistent upward trend. Revenues grew from 126,580 million US dollars in 2021 to 175,604 million US dollars by 2025. This represents a steady expansion of the business scale, though this growth has not translated into economic value creation.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin reflects a high degree of volatility and a general decline in efficiency. The margin worsened from -3.32% in 2021 to -8.18% in 2022, with a slight stabilization in 2023 at -7.76%. A notable improvement was recorded in 2024, where the margin rose to -4.45%. However, this trend reversed abruptly in 2025, with the margin plummeting to -15.65%, indicating that the cost of capital and operational inefficiencies significantly outpaced the gains from revenue growth.

The divergence between the growing revenue base and the deepening economic losses suggests that the capital investments required to drive sales growth have not yielded sufficient returns to exceed the company's cost of capital. The extreme drop in both economic profit and margin in 2025 points to a significant increase in capital charges or a substantial decline in operating performance relative to the invested capital base.

AI Ask an analyst for more