Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Summary
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 469.99% per annum.
- ACN price at the close of October 30, 2026 was $258.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 5,025.47% per annum.
- ACN price at the close of October 30, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ACN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 18, 2026
End date: October 30, 2026
a = 3.5152
b = 0.0048
s = 0.0653
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0048) – 1
= 469.99%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0653) – 1
= 29.87%
June 18, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y191)
= Exp(a + b × X191 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 276 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5152 + 0.0048 × 276 + 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(4.9619)
= $142.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y191)
= Exp(a + b × X191 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 276 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5152 + 0.0048 × 276 – 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(4.7006)
= $110.01
October 30, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 410 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5152 + 0.0048 × 410 + 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(5.6009)
= $270.67
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 410 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5152 + 0.0048 × 410 – 2 × 0.0653)
= Exp(5.3395)
= $208.41
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 469.99% per annum.
- ACN price at the close of October 30, 2026 was $258.24 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 23, 2026
End date: October 30, 2026
a = 1.1357
b = 0.0108
s = 0.0415
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0108) – 1
= 5,025.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0415) – 1
= 18.06%
September 23, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y257)
= Exp(a + b × X257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 373 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1357 + 0.0108 × 373 + 2 × 0.0415)
= Exp(5.2418)
= $189.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y257)
= Exp(a + b × X257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 373 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1357 + 0.0108 × 373 – 2 × 0.0415)
= Exp(5.0757)
= $160.09
October 30, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 410 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1357 + 0.0108 × 410 + 2 × 0.0415)
= Exp(5.6408)
= $281.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y284)
= Exp(a + b × X284 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 410 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.1357 + 0.0108 × 410 – 2 × 0.0415)
= Exp(5.4748)
= $238.60
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 5,025.47% per annum.
- ACN price at the close of October 30, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.