Stock Analysis on Net

eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 24, 2019.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

eBay Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2018 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT showed a declining trend from 2014 to 2017, dropping significantly from 2,846 million USD in 2014 to 821 million USD in 2017. However, in 2018, there was a strong recovery, with NOPAT increasing to 2,553 million USD, almost regaining the level observed in 2014.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital demonstrated a gradual decrease over the observed period, moving from 15.38% in 2014 to 13.69% in 2018. This steady decline indicates a lowering in the company’s capital expense, potentially reflecting an improved risk profile or favorable market conditions.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced a sharp drop from 20,937 million USD in 2014 to 7,328 million USD in 2015, followed by relative stability with minor fluctuations in subsequent years, ranging between 6,903 million USD and 7,687 million USD. This substantial reduction early in the period suggests a significant divestment or restructuring, after which the capital base stabilized.
Economic Profit
Economic profit showed notable volatility, with a negative value of -374 million USD in 2014 followed by positive performance in 2015 and 2016, recording 912 million USD and 885 million USD respectively. In 2017, economic profit again turned negative at -154 million USD but rebounded sharply in 2018 to 1,513 million USD, the highest across the examined years. This pattern suggests fluctuating profitability relative to the cost of capital, with the strongest value creation observed in the most recent period.
Overall Insights
The data indicate a period of financial instability or transition from 2014 through 2017, characterized by declining profits, major capital reduction, and fluctuating economic profit. The year 2018 marks a recovery phase with significant improvement in profitability, economic profit, and a continued lowering of capital costs. This enhanced performance in the final year analyzed points to successful operational or strategic changes reversing earlier negative trends.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

eBay Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Net income (loss)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts and authorized credits2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts and authorized credits.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

6 2018 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2018 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

9 2018 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in profitability over the five-year period.

Net Income (Loss)
The net income shows significant volatility. It increased markedly from 46 million US dollars in 2014 to a peak of 7,266 million US dollars in 2016, indicating strong profitability during this period. However, there was a sharp decline in 2017, with a net loss of 1,016 million US dollars, signaling a challenging financial year. In 2018, the net income rebounded to a positive 2,530 million US dollars, suggesting a recovery but not returning to the peak levels observed in 2016.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT demonstrated a declining trend from 2,846 million US dollars in 2014 to 821 million US dollars in 2017, reflecting a gradual erosion of operating profitability over these years. Nonetheless, 2018 saw a significant improvement to 2,553 million US dollars, nearly returning to the level seen in 2014. This recovery in NOPAT suggests enhanced operational efficiency or better cost management in the last year of the period.

Overall, the data illustrates a period of growth followed by a downturn and partial recovery. The volatility in net income is more pronounced than in NOPAT, which may indicate that factors beyond core operations—such as extraordinary items or financial costs—impacted net profitability, particularly in 2017. The improvements in 2018 across both indicators suggest a positive shift in financial performance.


Cash Operating Taxes

eBay Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Provision (benefit) for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).


Provision (benefit) for income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited significant volatility over the period analyzed. In 2014, the provision was substantially positive, amounting to 3,485 million US dollars, indicating a considerable tax expense. This value sharply decreased to 459 million US dollars in 2015. In 2016, the provision turned negative to -3,634 million US dollars, signaling a tax benefit rather than an expense. However, in 2017, the provision reverted to a positive figure of 3,288 million US dollars before dropping again to 190 million US dollars in 2018. This pattern suggests considerable fluctuations in taxable income or changes in tax regulations affecting the reported tax expense or benefit.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a generally declining trend from 2014 through 2016, starting at 659 million US dollars in 2014 and slightly decreasing to 505 million US dollars in 2016. A notable spike occurred in 2017, with cash operating taxes rising sharply to 1,600 million US dollars, which is more than a threefold increase compared to the previous year. This sudden increase might reflect a higher cash tax payment or changes in tax payment timing. In 2018, cash operating taxes fell substantially to 378 million US dollars. Overall, the data indicate variability in the company's cash tax payments, with the exceptional increase in 2017 representing a significant deviation from prior and subsequent years.

Invested Capital

eBay Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts and authorized credits3
Deferred revenue4
Restructuring reserve5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of restructuring reserve.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases showed fluctuations over the analyzed period. Starting at 8,046 million USD at the end of 2014, the figure decreased to 6,985 million USD in 2015. However, it then increased sharply to 9,172 million USD in 2016 and further rose to a peak of 10,296 million USD in 2017. In 2018, the total reported debt and leases slightly declined to 9,746 million USD. Overall, the trend suggests a general increase in debt levels, especially from 2015 to 2017, followed by a minor reduction in 2018.
Stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity experienced significant volatility during the period. It started at a relatively high level of 19,906 million USD in 2014, then declined substantially to 6,576 million USD in 2015. There was a partial recovery in 2016, with equity rising to 10,539 million USD, but this was not sustained in subsequent years. Equity decreased again to 8,063 million USD in 2017 and further declined to 6,281 million USD by the end of 2018. The overall pattern indicates considerable erosion of equity value compared to the initial year, with notable declines after 2016.
Invested capital
Invested capital mirrored the general downward trend observed in stockholders’ equity, beginning at 20,937 million USD in 2014 and decreasing sharply to 7,328 million USD by 2015. From 2015 to 2018, invested capital remained relatively stable but low, fluctuating around the 6,900 to 7,600 million USD range. This indicates a significant contraction in the invested capital base post-2014, with minimal recovery through to the final year observed.
Summary
The overall financial pattern presents a scenario of increasing leverage as evidenced by rising total reported debt after 2015, contrasted against declining stockholders’ equity and reduced invested capital. The significant drop in equity and invested capital in 2015 could suggest a major restructuring, asset reduction, or other strategic adjustments affecting the capital structure. The leverage increase may indicate a higher reliance on debt financing over the latter years, potentially affecting the company's financial stability and risk profile.

Cost of Capital

eBay Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

eBay Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2018 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit shows significant fluctuations throughout the periods. In 2014, the value was negative at -374 million USD, indicating a loss. This turned into a substantial positive profit of 912 million USD in 2015, followed by a slight decline to 885 million USD in 2016. However, economic profit sharply dropped to -154 million USD in 2017, representing another loss, before recovering strongly to reach 1,513 million USD in 2018. This pattern indicates notable volatility in profitability within the observed timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased significantly from 20,937 million USD in 2014 to 7,328 million USD in 2015 and then remained relatively stable in the subsequent years, with figures hovering around 7,000 to 7,600 million USD. The sharp reduction from 2014 to 2015 suggests a substantial divestment or asset reallocation, followed by a period of steady investment levels through 2018.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio experienced considerable variation, starting at -1.78% in 2014, indicating a negative spread. This increased sharply to 12.45% in 2015 and remained elevated at 11.51% in 2016. There was a dip to -2.24% in 2017, showing a contraction in economic value added, but the ratio surged to its highest point of 19.92% in 2018. These shifts demonstrate periods of both negative economic returns and strong economic value creation, reflecting changes in company performance and capital efficiency.

Economic Profit Margin

eBay Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Net revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Amazon.com Inc.
Home Depot Inc.
Lowe’s Cos. Inc.
TJX Cos. Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2018 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits significant fluctuations over the analyzed period. Initially, it was negative at -374 million US dollars in 2014, followed by a strong positive increase to 912 million US dollars in 2015. This positive trend continued in 2016 with 885 million US dollars, before dropping sharply to -154 million US dollars in 2017. In 2018, there was a substantial recovery, reaching 1513 million US dollars, the highest value in the period.
Adjusted Net Revenues
Adjusted net revenues display a generally upward trend. Beginning at 17,932 million US dollars in 2014, revenues declined significantly in 2015 to 8,590 million US dollars. Subsequently, revenues increased steadily each year, reaching 8,983 million US dollars in 2016, 9,574 million US dollars in 2017, and 10,779 million US dollars in 2018. Despite the initial sharp drop, the recovery phase shows consistent growth over the later years.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin shows notable variability. Starting at a negative margin of -2.08% in 2014, it improved markedly to 10.62% in 2015 and slightly decreased to 9.85% in 2016. In 2017, the margin turned negative again, dropping to -1.61%, before improving substantially to 14.04% in 2018, the highest margin within the timeframe considered.
Overall Insights
The data reveal a pattern of volatility with regard to economic profit and profit margin, in contrast to a more consistent increase in adjusted net revenues after a significant drop in 2015. The recovery in economic profit and profit margin in 2018 suggests an improved operational efficiency or profitability in that period. The divergence between revenue trends and economic profit in certain years highlights potential variations in cost structure, investments, or other financial factors impacting profitability beyond mere revenue changes.