Stock Analysis on Net

Moderna Inc. (NASDAQ:MRNA)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since November 3, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Moderna Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,520 14,737 3,091 (605) (469)
Cost of capital2 19.30% 19.41% 19.62% 19.52% 18.92%
Invested capital3 7,126 10,693 4,183 481 1,020
 
Economic profit4 2,145 12,662 2,270 (699) (662)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,52019.30% × 7,126 = 2,145

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Moderna Inc. economic profit increased from 2020 to 2021 but then decreased significantly from 2021 to 2022.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Moderna Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net income (loss) 8,362 12,202 (747) (514) (385)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (578) (296) (1)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2 (4,157) 2,824 3,842 (72) (65)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 (4,735) 2,528 3,842 (73) (65)
Interest expense 29 18 10 7 3
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 10 10 11 9
Adjusted interest expense 39 28 21 16 3
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (8) (6) (4) (3) (1)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 30 22 16 13 2
(Gain) loss on marketable securities 26 (1) (1)
Interest income (200) (18) (25) (39) (27)
Investment income, before taxes (174) (19) (26) (39) (27)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7 37 4 5 8 6
Investment income, after taxes8 (137) (15) (21) (31) (21)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,520 14,737 3,091 (605) (469)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

4 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 127 × 7.50% = 10

5 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 39 × 21.00% = 8

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

7 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 174 × 21.00% = 37

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Moderna Inc. NOPAT increased from 2020 to 2021 but then slightly decreased from 2021 to 2022 not reaching 2020 level.

Cash Operating Taxes

Moderna Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes 1,213 1,083 3 (1)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (578) (296) (1)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 8 6 4 3 1
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 37 4 5 8 6
Cash operating taxes 1,763 1,381 1 (4) (5)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Moderna Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2020 to 2021 and from 2021 to 2022.

Invested Capital

Moderna Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Financing lease liabilities, current 161 165 24
Financing lease liabilities, non-current 912 599 110 39
Deferred lease obligation, non-current 10
Lease financing obligation 33
Operating lease liability1 127 152 103 97 212
Total reported debt & leases 1,200 916 238 136 255
Stockholders’ equity 19,123 14,145 2,561 1,175 1,530
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (982) (326)
Deferred revenue3 2,711 6,868 4,045 202 274
Equity equivalents4 1,729 6,542 4,045 202 274
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 370 24 (3) (2) 1
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 21,222 20,711 6,603 1,375 1,806
Construction in progress6 (281) (212) (35) (3) (5)
Marketable securities7 (15,015) (10,722) (2,623) (1,027) (1,036)
Invested capital 7,126 10,693 4,183 481 1,020

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Moderna Inc. invested capital increased from 2020 to 2021 but then slightly decreased from 2021 to 2022 not reaching 2020 level.

Cost of Capital

Moderna Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 53,802 53,802 ÷ 55,002 = 0.98 0.98 × 19.66% = 19.23%
Financing lease liabilities3 1,073 1,073 ÷ 55,002 = 0.02 0.02 × 3.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Operating lease liability4 127 127 ÷ 55,002 = 0.00 0.00 × 7.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 55,002 1.00 19.30%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Financing lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 60,967 60,967 ÷ 61,883 = 0.99 0.99 × 19.66% = 19.37%
Financing lease liabilities3 764 764 ÷ 61,883 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Operating lease liability4 152 152 ÷ 61,883 = 0.00 0.00 × 6.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 61,883 1.00 19.41%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Financing lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 61,888 61,888 ÷ 62,126 = 1.00 1.00 × 19.66% = 19.58%
Financing lease liabilities3 134 134 ÷ 62,126 = 0.00 0.00 × 13.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Operating lease liability4 103 103 ÷ 62,126 = 0.00 0.00 × 10.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 62,126 1.00 19.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Financing lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 9,644 9,644 ÷ 9,780 = 0.99 0.99 × 19.66% = 19.39%
Financing lease liabilities3 39 39 ÷ 9,780 = 0.00 0.00 × 17.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Operating lease liability4 97 97 ÷ 9,780 = 0.01 0.01 × 9.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.08%
Total: 9,780 1.00 19.52%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Financing lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 6,570 6,570 ÷ 6,825 = 0.96 0.96 × 19.66% = 18.92%
Financing lease liabilities3 43 43 ÷ 6,825 = 0.01 0.01 × 0.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Operating lease liability4 212 212 ÷ 6,825 = 0.03 0.03 × 0.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.00%
Total: 6,825 1.00 18.92%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Financing lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Moderna Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,145 12,662 2,270 (699) (662)
Invested capital2 7,126 10,693 4,183 481 1,020
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 30.10% 118.41% 54.26% -145.39% -64.88%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. 5.45% 4.84% -3.02% 7.26%
Amgen Inc. 7.46% 7.44% 11.76% 13.97%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -0.71% 1.55% -14.02% -3.70%
Danaher Corp. -2.63% -1.98% -3.38% -6.79%
Eli Lilly & Co. 10.54% 12.24% 18.90% 15.73%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 2.40% 8.94% -4.12% 7.18%
Johnson & Johnson 5.25% 10.32% 5.09% 4.00%
Merck & Co. Inc. 11.66% 11.79% 4.63% 11.21%
Pfizer Inc. 18.69% 11.84% -2.87% 5.74%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 24.16% 67.16% 39.03% 28.28%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -2.74% -0.91% 0.09% -3.80%
Zoetis Inc. 3.77% 6.55% 3.30% 4.27%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 2,145 ÷ 7,126 = 30.10%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Moderna Inc. economic spread ratio improved from 2020 to 2021 but then deteriorated significantly from 2021 to 2022.

Economic Profit Margin

Moderna Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 2,145 12,662 2,270 (699) (662)
 
Product sales 18,435 17,675 200
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue (4,157) 2,824 3,842 (72) (65)
Adjusted product sales 14,278 20,499 4,042 (72) (65)
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 15.02% 61.77% 56.16%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc. 7.72% 8.26% -6.83% 13.69%
Amgen Inc. 11.95% 12.32% 18.82% 23.52%
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. -1.10% 2.68% -29.73% -14.18%
Danaher Corp. -6.54% -4.96% -9.92% -22.00%
Eli Lilly & Co. 8.97% 11.30% 18.91% 15.15%
Gilead Sciences Inc. 4.05% 15.81% -8.51% 10.21%
Johnson & Johnson 6.30% 10.80% 6.07% 4.72%
Merck & Co. Inc. 14.54% 17.13% 5.52% 12.85%
Pfizer Inc. 20.63% 12.77% -7.11% 13.42%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. 24.32% 45.41% 38.03% 23.48%
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. -5.06% -1.86% 0.17% -7.83%
Zoetis Inc. 5.85% 9.78% 5.71% 6.71%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted product sales
= 100 × 2,145 ÷ 14,278 = 15.02%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Moderna Inc. economic profit margin improved from 2020 to 2021 but then deteriorated significantly from 2021 to 2022.