Stock Analysis on Net

Kraft Heinz Co. (NASDAQ:KHC)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since July 31, 2020.

DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
Quarterly Data

Microsoft Excel

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Two-Component Disaggregation of ROE

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of ROE (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROE = ROA × Financial Leverage
Jun 27, 2020 = ×
Mar 28, 2020 = ×
Dec 28, 2019 = ×
Sep 28, 2019 = ×
Jun 29, 2019 = ×
Mar 30, 2019 = ×
Dec 29, 2018 = ×
Sep 29, 2018 = ×
Jun 30, 2018 = ×
Mar 31, 2018 = ×
Dec 30, 2017 = ×
Sep 30, 2017 = ×
Jul 1, 2017 = ×
Apr 1, 2017 = ×
Dec 31, 2016 = ×
Oct 2, 2016 = ×
Jul 3, 2016 = ×
Apr 3, 2016 = ×
Dec 31, 2015 = ×
Sep 27, 2015 = ×
Jun 28, 2015 = ×
Mar 29, 2015 = ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


Return on Assets (ROA)
The ROA exhibited a generally positive trend from early 2015 through the end of 2018, increasing from 0.52% to a peak of approximately 9.2%. This upward trajectory indicates improving efficiency in asset utilization during this period. However, starting in early 2019, the ROA sharply declined, turning negative and reaching lows around -10.75% by late 2019. The negative ROA values suggest significant inefficiencies or losses during this timeframe. In 2020, there is a partial recovery with ROA rising back toward neutral levels, though still slightly negative by mid-2020.
Financial Leverage
Financial leverage displayed considerable variability early on, with a high ratio above 5 in early 2015, then dropping to close to 2 by the end of the year. From 2016 onward, financial leverage remained relatively stable, fluctuating narrowly between about 1.8 and 2.1. This stability indicates a consistent approach to debt utilization relative to equity over these years without significant increases or reductions in reliance on leverage.
Return on Equity (ROE)
The ROE showed a positive, growing trend paralleling the ROA from 2015 through 2018, increasing from just above 1% to a high near 16.77%. This rise reflects increased profitability and effective management of shareholder equity during that period. Starting in early 2019, the ROE mirrored the negative shift seen in ROA, plunging steeply to negative values around -21.53%, which signals substantial shareholder value erosion. Subsequently, in 2020, the ROE recovers somewhat but remains near zero or slightly negative, indicating ongoing challenges in generating returns for equity holders.
Overall Analysis
The company experienced an extended period of improving profitability and asset efficiency from 2015 to 2018, as seen in upward trends in both ROA and ROE. Financial leverage was initially high but stabilized, suggesting a deliberate reduction and then consistent management of debt levels. The sharp decline in profitability metrics beginning in 2019 points to operational difficulties or unusual expenses impacting returns significantly. Although partial recovery is observed during 2020, the financial results remain fragile, highlighting a need for careful monitoring and possible strategic adjustments.

Three-Component Disaggregation of ROE

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of ROE (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROE = Net Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Financial Leverage
Jun 27, 2020 = × ×
Mar 28, 2020 = × ×
Dec 28, 2019 = × ×
Sep 28, 2019 = × ×
Jun 29, 2019 = × ×
Mar 30, 2019 = × ×
Dec 29, 2018 = × ×
Sep 29, 2018 = × ×
Jun 30, 2018 = × ×
Mar 31, 2018 = × ×
Dec 30, 2017 = × ×
Sep 30, 2017 = × ×
Jul 1, 2017 = × ×
Apr 1, 2017 = × ×
Dec 31, 2016 = × ×
Oct 2, 2016 = × ×
Jul 3, 2016 = × ×
Apr 3, 2016 = × ×
Dec 31, 2015 = × ×
Sep 27, 2015 = × ×
Jun 28, 2015 = × ×
Mar 29, 2015 = × ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


The analysis of the financial ratios over the quarterly periods reveals certain notable trends and fluctuations in profitability, efficiency, and leverage.

Net Profit Margin (%):
Initially, the net profit margin exhibited a positive and increasing trend from 3.46% to peak values around 41.93% to 42.45% during the quarters ending in late 2017 and early 2018. Subsequently, a steep decline occurred, with the margin turning sharply negative, reaching lows near -43% during late 2019 and early 2020 quarters. In the latest periods, there was a partial recovery towards positive territory, though margins remained below the earlier highs, indicating volatility and potential challenges affecting profitability.
Asset Turnover (ratio):
Asset turnover remained relatively stable throughout the periods, ranging approximately between 0.15 and 0.26. After an initial increase from 0.15 to about 0.22, the ratio plateaued with minor fluctuations, suggesting consistent asset utilization efficiency without significant changes over time.
Financial Leverage (ratio):
Financial leverage showed a marked decrease early in the dataset from 5.33 down to approximately 2.0 within the first several quarters, indicating a reduction in reliance on debt or liabilities relative to equity. After stabilizing around 2.0, it remained steady with minor movements, which suggests the company maintained a moderate leverage structure through the later periods.
Return on Equity (ROE) (%):
Return on equity displayed a pattern similar to net profit margin. It started relatively low, increased gradually to a peak around 16% in 2017 and 2018, followed by a sharp decline into negative territory between -21% and -20% in 2019 and early 2020 quarters. The most recent data suggested slight improvement but the values remained subdued. This indicates periods of strong equity returns initially, followed by significant challenges reducing shareholder value in recent periods.

Overall, the company experienced initial improvements in profitability and return on equity, coupled with steady asset utilization and reduced financial leverage. However, these gains were offset by significant downturns in profitability and equity returns in the most recent quarters analyzed, despite the stability in asset turnover and financial leverage. The data reflects a volatile period with risks impacting earnings and returns to shareholders.


Five-Component Disaggregation of ROE

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of ROE (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROE = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Financial Leverage
Jun 27, 2020 = × × × ×
Mar 28, 2020 = × × × ×
Dec 28, 2019 = × × × ×
Sep 28, 2019 = × × × ×
Jun 29, 2019 = × × × ×
Mar 30, 2019 = × × × ×
Dec 29, 2018 = × × × ×
Sep 29, 2018 = × × × ×
Jun 30, 2018 = × × × ×
Mar 31, 2018 = × × × ×
Dec 30, 2017 = × × × ×
Sep 30, 2017 = × × × ×
Jul 1, 2017 = × × × ×
Apr 1, 2017 = × × × ×
Dec 31, 2016 = × × × ×
Oct 2, 2016 = × × × ×
Jul 3, 2016 = × × × ×
Apr 3, 2016 = × × × ×
Dec 31, 2015 = × × × ×
Sep 27, 2015 = × × × ×
Jun 28, 2015 = × × × ×
Mar 29, 2015 = × × × ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


The analyzed financial data reveals several notable trends and fluctuations across the observed periods.

Tax Burden
The tax burden ratio exhibited a gradual increase from approximately 0.63 in early recorded periods to peaks around 0.73-0.74 in mid and late periods. However, there is a significant anomaly with a sharp negative value appearing in the final recorded period, indicating an unusual tax benefit or accounting adjustment at that time.
Interest Burden
Interest burden shows an increasing trend initially, moving from 0.43 to about 0.82, maintaining relative stability thereafter. There is a notable dip to 0.66 in later reported intervals, followed by a dramatic decrease to 0.18 in the final period, suggesting either reduced interest expenses or changes in debt structure or financing costs.
EBIT Margin
Operating profitability improved steadily from about 12.66% to a peak exceeding 25% towards the end of 2017 and early 2018. However, a sharp and drastic decline follows, turning deeply negative with values between -38% and -43% over several quarters. The last periods show some recovery but remain below positive levels, indicating significant operational challenges or extraordinary losses during that downturn.
Asset Turnover
Asset turnover ratio remained relatively stable, averaging around 0.22 throughout most periods with minor increases to 0.25 and 0.26 towards the most recent dates. This consistency points to a steady efficiency in asset utilization over time, despite other financial stresses.
Financial Leverage
There is a distinct reduction in financial leverage from initial values exceeding 5 down to approximately 2 in later periods, followed by a slight ebb around 1.8 to 2.0 in the final periods. This decline suggests a strategic reduction in financial risk or consolidation of liabilities over the span analyzed.
Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE trends align with EBIT margin observations, increasing from low single digits (around 1.1%) to highs above 16% near the end of 2017 and beginning of 2018. Subsequently, a sudden and significant negative performance emerges, consistent with operational difficulties or large write-downs, pushing ROE to deep negatives (-20% range). The final periods show some mitigation but ROE remains near zero or slightly negative, indicating continued recovery or challenges.

In summary, the data depicts a period of improving profitability and efficiency until early 2018, followed by a severe downturn impacting key profitability metrics and returns. Despite this, asset utilization and leverage ratios show less volatility, hinting at a relatively controlled approach to asset management and capital structure. The latter periods show signs of recovery but not yet a full return to prior performance levels.


Two-Component Disaggregation of ROA

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of ROA (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROA = Net Profit Margin × Asset Turnover
Jun 27, 2020 = ×
Mar 28, 2020 = ×
Dec 28, 2019 = ×
Sep 28, 2019 = ×
Jun 29, 2019 = ×
Mar 30, 2019 = ×
Dec 29, 2018 = ×
Sep 29, 2018 = ×
Jun 30, 2018 = ×
Mar 31, 2018 = ×
Dec 30, 2017 = ×
Sep 30, 2017 = ×
Jul 1, 2017 = ×
Apr 1, 2017 = ×
Dec 31, 2016 = ×
Oct 2, 2016 = ×
Jul 3, 2016 = ×
Apr 3, 2016 = ×
Dec 31, 2015 = ×
Sep 27, 2015 = ×
Jun 28, 2015 = ×
Mar 29, 2015 = ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


The analyzed financial data reveals notable fluctuations in key performance metrics over the reported quarters.

Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin exhibits a period of consistent improvement starting from April 2016, increasing from 3.46% to a peak exceeding 40% in early 2018. This substantial rise suggests a period of enhanced profitability or potentially one-time gains during that timeframe. However, from early 2019 onwards, there is a marked reversal, with the margin declining sharply into negative territory, reaching lows around -43%. This indicates a phase of significant losses or extraordinary expenses. The most recent quarters show marginal recovery, yet the margin remains close to zero and even slightly negative.
Asset Turnover
Asset turnover maintains a relatively stable pattern throughout the period. Starting at 0.15 in early 2016, it gradually increases to approximately 0.25 by early 2019, suggesting a moderate improvement in the efficiency of using assets to generate sales. In the last quarters, a slight fluctuation is observed, but the ratio remains near its peak level, indicating that asset utilization has been controlled consistently without significant deterioration despite variations in profitability.
Return on Assets (ROA)
Return on assets mirrors the pattern observed in net profit margin, with a steady improvement from 0.52% in early 2016 to peaks around 9% in 2018. This improvement reflects enhanced overall profitability relative to the asset base during this period. Similarly, a sharp decline follows, leading to negative ROA readings close to -11% in the 2019 calendar year, corresponding with the period of negative margins. The latter quarters show a limited recovery but remain near zero or slightly negative, indicating ongoing challenges in generating positive returns from assets.

In summary, the data outlines a period of financial growth and improved operational efficiency between 2016 and 2018, characterized by rising profits and asset productivity. This is succeeded by a pronounced downturn beginning in 2019, evidenced by negative profitability and returns despite maintained asset turnover ratios. The most recent quarters show early signs of stabilization but indicate continued difficulties in restoring positive earnings performance.


Four-Component Disaggregation of ROA

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of ROA (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROA = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover
Jun 27, 2020 = × × ×
Mar 28, 2020 = × × ×
Dec 28, 2019 = × × ×
Sep 28, 2019 = × × ×
Jun 29, 2019 = × × ×
Mar 30, 2019 = × × ×
Dec 29, 2018 = × × ×
Sep 29, 2018 = × × ×
Jun 30, 2018 = × × ×
Mar 31, 2018 = × × ×
Dec 30, 2017 = × × ×
Sep 30, 2017 = × × ×
Jul 1, 2017 = × × ×
Apr 1, 2017 = × × ×
Dec 31, 2016 = × × ×
Oct 2, 2016 = × × ×
Jul 3, 2016 = × × ×
Apr 3, 2016 = × × ×
Dec 31, 2015 = × × ×
Sep 27, 2015 = × × ×
Jun 28, 2015 = × × ×
Mar 29, 2015 = × × ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


The financial data reveals multiple trends across the analyzed periods. The Tax Burden ratio demonstrates a general increase from 0.63 to a peak exceeding 2.0 in the early 2018 quarters, followed by fluctuating values with a notable decline below zero in the latest period. This suggests variability in the company's effective tax rate impacting net profitability during those quarters.

The Interest Burden ratio shows an upward trajectory from 0.43 to approximately 0.82 across the 2015 to 2017 time frame, stabilizing thereafter around 0.66 toward mid-2020, with a sharp decrease to 0.18 in the final quarter observed. This implies an initial reduction in interest expense relative to EBIT, but increased fluctuations toward the end of the period.

The EBIT Margin exhibits substantial growth from 12.66% to a sustained level near 25% through 2015 to 2017, indicating improved operating profitability. However, beginning in 2018 there is a dramatic decline with negative margins reaching approximately -43% in late 2019, then partial recovery to single-digit positive margins by mid-2020. These results point to significant operational challenges or extraordinary items impacting earnings during the downturn period.

The Asset Turnover ratio remains relatively stable, fluctuating modestly between 0.15 and 0.26 over the years. This consistency reflects steady efficiency in generating sales from assets without significant operational expansion or contraction impacting this metric.

Return on Assets (ROA) follows a pattern similar to EBIT Margin, rising steadily to around 9% in early 2018 quarters, then plunging into negative territory reaching nearly -11% by late 2019. Subsequently, a recovery trend is visible, although ROA remains low or slightly negative by mid-2020. This trend underscores the combined effect of operating losses and tax/interest cost fluctuations on overall asset profitability.

In summary, the company experienced a period of improving profitability and operational efficiency through 2017, followed by a sharp decline in margins and returns during 2018 to 2019, and a partial recovery phase into 2020. Tax and interest burdens showed variability with some volatility in the most recent quarters, likely contributing to the fluctuations in net profitability ratios.

Tax Burden
Increased initially to above 2.0 in early 2018, followed by variability and negative value in the latest quarter.
Interest Burden
Rose from 0.43 to about 0.82 by 2017, stabilized around 0.66 by mid-2020, then dropped sharply near 0.18 at the end.
EBIT Margin
Improved from 12.66% to over 25% by 2017; sharply declined to nearly -43% by late 2019; partial recovery to around 7% by mid-2020.
Asset Turnover
Remained stable within 0.15 to 0.26, indicating consistent asset utilization.
Return on Assets (ROA)
Grew to about 9% by early 2018, then sharply decreased to nearly -11% by late 2019, with partial rebound thereafter.

Disaggregation of Net Profit Margin

Kraft Heinz Co., decomposition of net profit margin ratio (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
Net Profit Margin = Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin
Jun 27, 2020 = × ×
Mar 28, 2020 = × ×
Dec 28, 2019 = × ×
Sep 28, 2019 = × ×
Jun 29, 2019 = × ×
Mar 30, 2019 = × ×
Dec 29, 2018 = × ×
Sep 29, 2018 = × ×
Jun 30, 2018 = × ×
Mar 31, 2018 = × ×
Dec 30, 2017 = × ×
Sep 30, 2017 = × ×
Jul 1, 2017 = × ×
Apr 1, 2017 = × ×
Dec 31, 2016 = × ×
Oct 2, 2016 = × ×
Jul 3, 2016 = × ×
Apr 3, 2016 = × ×
Dec 31, 2015 = × ×
Sep 27, 2015 = × ×
Jun 28, 2015 = × ×
Mar 29, 2015 = × ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2017-04-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2016-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2015-06-28), S-4/A (reporting date: 2015-03-29).


Tax Burden Ratio
The tax burden ratio exhibits a generally increasing trend from 0.63 in April 2016 to a peak of approximately 2.31 in December 2018, indicating a rising proportion of taxes relative to pre-tax income during this period. Subsequently, the ratio returns to values around 0.73 to 0.74 in the first half of 2020, with a notable negative dip to -0.59 in June 2020, which could suggest unusual tax benefits or accounting adjustments impacting the tax expense during that quarter.
Interest Burden Ratio
This ratio starts at 0.43 in April 2016 and steadily increases to about 0.82 by the end of 2017, suggesting an improvement in the company's ability to cover interest expenses from earnings before interest and taxes. It remains relatively stable around 0.8 to 0.82 until December 2018, then decreases moderately to around 0.66 by June 2020. The dip to 0.18 in June 2020 indicates significantly lower interest expense impact relative to earnings, possibly due to decreased debt levels or lower interest rates during that quarter.
EBIT Margin
The EBIT margin shows a positive upward trajectory from 12.66% in April 2016 to a peak exceeding 25% in late 2017 and early 2018, reflecting enhanced operational profitability during this period. However, there is a dramatic decline starting in the first quarter of 2019, with negative margins reaching below -40%, signaling substantial operational challenges or extraordinary charges impacting earnings before interest and tax. A recovery is observed by mid-2020 with margins returning to positive territory, although still significantly below the peak values previously recorded.
Net Profit Margin
Net profit margin improves steadily from 3.46% in April 2016 to a robust level above 40% through late 2017 and early 2018, indicating strong bottom-line profitability. Similar to EBIT margin, it experiences a steep downturn from early 2019, descending into negative values around -40%, which highlights severe profit declines potentially related to one-time losses or impairment charges. By mid-2020, the margin recovers to a modest positive level, yet remains well below historical highs. The overall pattern suggests volatility in net profitability with a significant negative impact in 2019, followed by a partial recovery.