Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Economic Profit
Illumina Inc., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 29, 2019 | Dec 30, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2020 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial trajectory from 2016 to 2020 demonstrates a period of value creation that was abruptly reversed in the final year. The relationship between operating returns and the cost of capital indicates a volatile ability to generate economic value over the analyzed timeframe.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A sustained upward trend in NOPAT was observed from 2016 to 2019, with values rising from 453 million to a peak of 957 million. This growth trajectory was interrupted in 2020, when NOPAT declined to 593 million, representing a significant contraction in operational earnings.
- Capital Investment and Cost of Capital
- Invested capital grew consistently from 2,874 million in 2016 to a peak of 4,997 million in 2019, followed by a slight reduction to 4,907 million in 2020. During this period, the cost of capital remained relatively rigid, moving slightly from 17.06% to 17.75%, which maintained a high hurdle rate for all capital deployments.
- Economic Profit Analysis
- Economic profit shifted from a deficit of 37 million in 2016 to a positive 120 million in 2017, signaling a transition into a value-creation phase. However, this surplus gradually diminished to 84 million by 2019. The 2020 fiscal year marked a severe downturn, with economic profit falling to negative 279 million, as the operating profit was insufficient to cover the capital charge associated with the expanded invested capital base.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Illumina Inc., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in reserve for product warranties.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Illumina stockholders.
5 2020 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2020 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Illumina stockholders.
8 2020 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income Attributable to Illumina Stockholders
- The net income demonstrated an overall upward trend from 2016 to 2019, starting at 463 million US dollars in 2016 and reaching a peak of 1002 million US dollars in 2019. This represents a substantial growth over the four-year period. However, in 2020, there was a notable decline to 656 million US dollars, which indicates a reversal of the previous growth trend.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT followed a similar pattern to net income, increasing consistently from 453 million US dollars in 2016 to 957 million US dollars in 2019. This increase reflects improving operational efficiency and profitability. However, in 2020, NOPAT decreased to 593 million US dollars, signaling a significant downturn in operating profitability in that year.
- Overall Observations
- Both net income and NOPAT showed strong positive growth through 2019, indicating solid financial performance and effective management of operational costs and taxes. The decline observed in 2020 suggests that external factors or internal challenges may have adversely affected profitability. The 2020 results warrant further investigation to identify specific causes and to assess the sustainability of future earnings.
Cash Operating Taxes
Illumina Inc., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
The financial data reveals the trends in tax-related expenses over five fiscal years ending from 2016 to 2020. Both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes have exhibited fluctuations throughout this period.
- Provision for Income Taxes
- This item showed a significant increase from $133 million in 2016 to a peak of $365 million in 2017. Subsequently, it decreased sharply to $112 million in 2018 and remained relatively stable in 2019 with a slight increase to $128 million. In 2020, there was a notable rise again to $200 million.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes also followed a somewhat similar pattern, increasing from $140 million in 2016 to $344 million in 2017. After 2017, there was a decline to $133 million in 2018, followed by a further decrease to $114 million in 2019. In 2020, cash operating taxes dropped dramatically to $35 million, reaching the lowest level in the five-year span.
Overall, both tax provisions and cash operating taxes peaked sharply in 2017, followed by declines in subsequent years. However, while the provision for income taxes saw a rebound in 2020, cash operating taxes continued to decline substantially. This divergence in 2020 may indicate changes in tax payment timing, tax strategy, or the recognition of deferred tax liabilities.
Invested Capital
Illumina Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of reserve for product warranties.
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Illumina stockholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
8 Subtraction of short-term investments.
The financial data indicates several notable trends in the company's capital structure and financing components over the five-year period ending December 31, 2020.
- Total reported debt & leases
- This metric exhibits moderate fluctuations, beginning at $1,795 million in 2016, rising to a peak of $2,599 million in 2018, before decreasing to approximately $1,881 million in 2019 and stabilizing around $1,906 million in 2020. The increase through 2018 suggests a period of increased borrowing or lease commitments, followed by a reduction implying possible debt repayment or lease adjustments.
- Total stockholders’ equity
- Equity shows a consistent, steady increase year-over-year, rising from $2,197 million in 2016 to $4,694 million in 2020. The equity nearly doubled over the period, reflecting retained earnings growth, possible capital raises, or accumulated comprehensive income, indicating strengthening financial stability and increased shareholder value.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital generally trends upward from $2,874 million in 2016 to a peak of $4,997 million in 2019, with a slight decrease to $4,907 million in 2020. This overall growth reflects increased funding employed in the business, either through equity or liabilities, aligning with growth or expansion strategies. The small decline in 2020 suggests a minor contraction or adjustment in the capital base.
Overall, the company demonstrates a strengthening equity base coupled with management of debt levels, maintaining total invested capital at elevated levels consistent with potential expansion or operational scaling. The reduction in debt after 2018, alongside rising equity, may suggest a strategic shift towards lower leverage, improving financial flexibility.
Cost of Capital
Illumina Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 35.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Illumina Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 29, 2019 | Dec 30, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| AbbVie Inc. | ||||||
| Amgen Inc. | ||||||
| Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. | ||||||
| Danaher Corp. | ||||||
| Eli Lilly & Co. | ||||||
| Gilead Sciences Inc. | ||||||
| Johnson & Johnson | ||||||
| Merck & Co. Inc. | ||||||
| Pfizer Inc. | ||||||
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
| Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | ||||||
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2020 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value creation between 2016 and 2020 reveals a period of initial recovery and growth followed by a significant contraction in value generation. While the entity successfully transitioned from negative to positive economic profit in 2017, the subsequent years show a diminishing ability to generate returns above the cost of capital, culminating in a substantial economic loss by the end of the period.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio exhibited significant volatility over the five-year period. After starting at -1.29% in 2016, the ratio peaked at 3.34% in 2017, indicating a period where the return on invested capital exceeded the cost of capital. However, a consistent downward trend followed, with the ratio declining to 2.24% in 2018 and further to 1.68% in 2019. This erosion of the spread suggests a narrowing margin between operational returns and capital costs, leading to a sharp collapse to -5.68% in 2020.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed a strong upward trajectory for the majority of the period. From 2016 to 2019, the capital base expanded from US$ 2,874 million to US$ 4,997 million, representing a significant increase in the resources deployed to generate profit. This growth trend plateaued in 2020, with a slight reduction to US$ 4,907 million, suggesting a shift from aggressive capital expansion to a period of stabilization or contraction.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit mirrored the movements of the spread ratio, starting with a deficit of US$ 37 million in 2016 before shifting to a surplus of US$ 120 million in 2017. Despite the increase in invested capital through 2019, economic profit experienced a steady decline from its 2017 peak, falling to US$ 89 million in 2018 and US$ 84 million in 2019. The period concluded with a severe reversal in 2020, where economic profit plummeted to a loss of US$ 279 million, indicating that the returns generated were significantly lower than the required cost of the invested capital.
Economic Profit Margin
Illumina Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 29, 2019 | Dec 30, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenue | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| AbbVie Inc. | ||||||
| Amgen Inc. | ||||||
| Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. | ||||||
| Danaher Corp. | ||||||
| Eli Lilly & Co. | ||||||
| Gilead Sciences Inc. | ||||||
| Johnson & Johnson | ||||||
| Merck & Co. Inc. | ||||||
| Pfizer Inc. | ||||||
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
| Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | ||||||
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2020 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance between 2016 and 2020 is characterized by a period of revenue expansion followed by a significant contraction in economic value creation. While top-line growth was consistent for the majority of the period, the ability to generate returns above the cost of capital fluctuated substantially, ending the period with a sharp decline in economic efficiency.
- Revenue Trends
- Revenue exhibited consistent growth from 2016 to 2019, increasing from US$ 2,398 million to a peak of US$ 3,543 million. This represents a sustained upward trajectory in market reach prior to a reversal in 2020, where revenue declined to US$ 3,239 million.
- Economic Profit Fluctuations
- Economic profit transitioned from a deficit of US$ 37 million in 2016 to a peak surplus of US$ 120 million in 2017. A gradual decline followed in 2018 and 2019, with values falling to US$ 89 million and US$ 84 million respectively. This trend culminated in a substantial loss of US$ 279 million by the end of 2020, indicating a failure to cover the cost of capital in the final year of the analyzed period.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin mirrored the trajectory of absolute economic profit, peaking at 4.37% in 2017. Between 2018 and 2019, the margin compressed to 2.68% and 2.37% respectively, occurring despite the simultaneous increase in total revenue. The most critical downturn was observed in 2020, where the margin plummeted to -8.60%, signaling a severe erosion of economic value creation relative to the scale of operations.