Stock Analysis on Net

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Apple Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
Over the observed periods, NOPAT exhibited a generally upward trend from 53,447 million USD in 2019 to a peak of 101,652 million USD in 2022. Subsequently, there was a decline to 94,296 million USD in 2023 and a further slight decrease to 91,849 million USD in 2024. This pattern indicates a growth phase through 2022 followed by a moderate reduction in profitability in the latest two years.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital steadily increased throughout the entire timeline, starting at 16.27% in 2019 and rising consistently to reach 17.27% by 2024. This upward movement reflects a gradual increase in the required return on investment or the risk premium associated with the company’s capital.
Invested capital
The invested capital showed considerable fluctuation over the years. It started at 50,655 million USD in 2019, dropped substantially to 36,252 million USD in 2020, and then climbed again to 42,700 million USD in 2021 and 46,661 million USD in 2022. A significant jump occurred in 2023 to 60,243 million USD before decreasing to 50,072 million USD in 2024. These movements suggest changes in asset base or capital employed which may be linked to strategic investments, divestitures, or operational adjustments.
Economic profit
The economic profit followed a growth trajectory similar to NOPAT, rising from 45,207 million USD in 2019 to a peak of 93,715 million USD in 2022. After this peak, economic profit declined to 83,944 million USD in 2023 and slightly further to 83,203 million USD in 2024. Despite the decline, the economic profit remains significantly higher than in 2019, indicating sustained value creation over the analysis period.
Summary of overall trends
The company experienced robust growth in operational profitability and economic profit until 2022, with a subsequent moderate decline in both metrics in the last two years. The cost of capital steadily increased, potentially exerting pressure on the company’s valuation and required thresholds for investment returns. Invested capital showed volatility, reflecting dynamic management of capital allocation. Despite the recent decreases in profitability measures, economic profit remains substantially positive, indicating effective value generation in excess of capital costs.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Apple Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest and dividend income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
The net income exhibits a general upward trend from 2019 through 2022, increasing from 55,256 million USD in 2019 to a peak of 99,803 million USD in 2022. After this peak, net income shows a decline in the subsequent years, dropping to 96,995 million USD in 2023 and further to 93,736 million USD in 2024. Despite the decline in the last two years, the net income remains significantly higher than the initial 2019 figure, indicating overall growth but with recent signs of contraction.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT demonstrates a similar pattern to net income. Starting at 53,447 million USD in 2019, it increased steadily to reach 101,652 million USD in 2022, marking the highest value in the series. Subsequently, NOPAT decreased to 94,296 million USD in 2023 and further to 91,849 million USD in 2024. This trend suggests a peak in operating efficiency and profitability in 2022 followed by a notable reduction over the following two years.
Comparative Analysis
Both net income and NOPAT reflect an overall increase over the first four years of the analyzed period, indicating improvements in profitability and operating performance. The divergence in the last two years, with both metrics declining, could imply emerging challenges or shifts in operational dynamics. While the peaks in 2022 demonstrate strong financial performance, the decreases in 2023 and 2024 merit further investigation to identify underlying causes. Notably, net income consistently remains slightly higher than NOPAT across all years, as expected due to the difference in calculation bases between the two metrics.

Cash Operating Taxes

Apple Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes demonstrates a generally upward trend over the six-year period analyzed. Starting at 10,481 million US dollars in 2019, it slightly decreased in 2020 to 9,680 million but then increased significantly in subsequent years, reaching 29,749 million by 2024. This indicates substantial growth in tax expense provision, with the most pronounced increases occurring between 2021 to 2022 and 2023 to 2024.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes also rose substantially over the same timeframe. The value grew from 10,617 million US dollars in 2019 to 32,898 million in 2024. Unlike the provision for income taxes, cash operating taxes show a more consistent year-over-year increase, with a noteworthy acceleration between 2022 to 2023 and 2023 to 2024. There was a marked jump from 19,931 million in 2023 to 32,898 million in 2024.
Comparative Analysis
Both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibit strong growth trends, with cash operating taxes consistently exceeding the provisions. The widening gap in the latter years may suggest changes in tax payment timing, adjustments, or operational tax strategies. The accelerated increase in 2023 and 2024 warrants further examination to understand the underlying causes, such as changes in profitability, tax rates, or regulatory impacts.

Invested Capital

Apple Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Current portion of finance leases
Commercial paper
Current portion of term debt
Non-current portion of term debt
Non-current portion of finance leases
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Deferred revenue3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Marketable securities6
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases
Over the period from September 2019 to September 2024, total reported debt and leases exhibited a fluctuating but overall slightly decreasing trend. The debt increased from approximately $116.6 billion in 2019 to a peak of about $136.5 billion in 2021. Following this peak, a downward trend is observed with debt reducing to roughly $119.1 billion by 2024, indicating a moderate deleveraging or improved debt management in the later years.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity showed a declining pattern over the six-year span. Starting at around $90.5 billion in 2019, it declined sharply to approximately $65.3 billion in 2020 and continued a gradual decrease, reaching a low of about $50.7 billion in 2022. A partial recovery is seen in 2023 with equity rising to $62.1 billion, but it declined again to $56.9 billion by 2024. This trend indicates erosion in net assets attributable to shareholders, reflecting potential challenges in profitability, retained earnings, or possible share repurchases.
Invested capital
The invested capital figures demonstrate variability with an overall increase followed by a decline. Beginning at roughly $50.7 billion in 2019, it fell sharply to about $36.3 billion in 2020, likely reflecting reduced investment or asset base changes during that period. Subsequently, a recovery trend is apparent, with invested capital rising to nearly $60.2 billion by 2023. However, it decreased again to approximately $50.1 billion in 2024. These fluctuations suggest changes in operational efficiency, capital expenditures, or asset turnover impacting the capital invested in the business.

Cost of Capital

Apple Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Commercial paper, term debt, and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Apple Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a consistent upward trend from 2019 to 2022, increasing from 45,207 million US dollars to a peak of 93,715 million US dollars. However, in the subsequent two years, economic profit experienced a decline, dropping to 83,944 million in 2023 and slightly further to 83,203 million in 2024. Despite the recent reduction, the economic profit remains substantially higher than the levels seen in 2019 and 2020.
Invested Capital
Invested capital displayed considerable fluctuations across the years. Initially, there was a significant decrease from 50,655 million US dollars in 2019 to 36,252 million in 2020. Following this decline, invested capital gradually increased, reaching 60,243 million in 2023 before retracting to 50,072 million in 2024. Overall, the invested capital in 2024 is near the initial value reported in 2019, indicating some volatility but eventual stabilization.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio demonstrated an upward trajectory from 2019 (89.24%) to 2022 (200.84%), indicating increasing profitability relative to the invested capital during this period. However, a marked decline occurred in 2023 to 139.34%, followed by a partial recovery to 166.17% in 2024. Despite this dip, the ratio remains elevated compared to the initial years, suggesting the company sustained a strong economic return on its investments.
Summary of Trends and Insights
The company’s financial performance, as measured by economic profit and economic spread ratio, showed significant improvement up to 2022, reflecting enhanced efficiency and profitability. The decline in economic profit and spread ratio after 2022 might indicate challenges such as increased costs, reduced margins, or changes in market conditions. Fluctuations in invested capital could be linked to strategic investments or divestitures influencing the company’s capital base. Despite recent declines, the financial metrics remain robust relative to the earlier years, suggesting a strong underlying economic position with potential areas for addressing recent downward movements.

Economic Profit Margin

Apple Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Sep 28, 2024 Sep 30, 2023 Sep 24, 2022 Sep 25, 2021 Sep 26, 2020 Sep 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Net sales
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Arista Networks Inc.
Cisco Systems Inc.
Dell Technologies Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-09-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-09-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-09-24), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-09-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-09-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-09-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated significant growth from 2019 to 2022, rising from $45,207 million to a peak of $93,715 million. This reflects a strong increase over these four years. However, there is a noticeable decline thereafter, with economic profit dropping to $83,944 million in 2023 and further slightly decreasing to $83,203 million in 2024. Despite the recent reduction, economic profit remains substantially higher than in 2019, indicating robust profitability over the longer term.
Adjusted Net Sales
Adjusted net sales showed an upward trend overall, increasing from $259,474 million in 2019 to $394,828 million in 2022. Although sales slightly declined to $382,985 million in 2023, there was a moderate rebound to $391,735 million in 2024. The data suggests a period of strong revenue growth followed by a mild contraction and a subsequent recovery towards the later period.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin improved consistently from 17.42% in 2019 to a peak of 23.74% in 2022, indicating enhanced efficiency or profitability relative to sales during these years. After this peak, the margin decreased slightly to 21.92% in 2023 and continued a marginal decline to 21.24% in 2024. Despite the recent downturn, the margin remains significantly higher than at the start of the period analyzed.
Summary of Trends
Overall, the data reflects a period of strong financial performance characterized by increasing sales, economic profit, and profit margins through 2022. The subsequent two years show a mild contraction in both sales and profitability metrics, yet the company maintains a high level of economic profit and margin relative to earlier years. This suggests resilience and sustained profitability despite recent pressures. The trends warrant monitoring in future periods to assess whether the recent declines represent a temporary adjustment or a longer-term shift.