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Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc


Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Difficulty: Intermediate

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company's asset base.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

FedEx Corp., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

USD $ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at hidden%
01 FCFE0 hidden
1 FCFE1 hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) hidden
2 FCFE2 hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) hidden
3 FCFE3 hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) hidden
4 FCFE4 hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) hidden
5 FCFE5 hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) hidden
5 Terminal value (TV5) hidden = hidden × (1 + hidden%) ÷ (hidden% – hidden%) hidden
Intrinsic value of FedEx's common stock hidden
Intrinsic value of FedEx's common stock (per share) $hidden
Current share price $hidden

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF hidden%
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) hidden%
Systematic risk (β) of FedEx's common stock βFDX hidden
Required rate of return on FedEx's common stock3 rFDX hidden%

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

Calculations

2 See Details »

3 rFDX = RF + βFDX [E(RM) – RF]
= hidden% + hidden [hidden% – hidden%]
= hidden%


FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

FedEx Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Average May 31, 2018 May 31, 2017 May 31, 2016 May 31, 2015 May 31, 2014 May 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (USD $ in millions)
Cash dividends declared hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Net income hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Revenues hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Total assets hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Common stockholders' investment hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Ratios
Retention rate1 hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Profit margin2 hidden% hidden% hidden% hidden% hidden% hidden%
Asset turnover3 hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Financial leverage4 hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden hidden
Averages
Retention rate hidden
Profit margin hidden%
Asset turnover hidden
Financial leverage hidden
Growth rate of FCFE (g)5 hidden%

2018 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income – Cash dividends declared) ÷ Net income
= (hiddenhidden) ÷ hidden = hidden

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Revenues
= 100 × hidden ÷ hidden = hidden%

3 Asset turnover = Revenues ÷ Total assets
= hidden ÷ hidden = hidden

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Common stockholders' investment
= hidden ÷ hidden = hidden

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= hidden × hidden% × hidden × hidden = hidden%


FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × (hidden × hidden% – hidden) ÷ (hidden + hidden) = hidden%

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of FedEx's common stock (USD $ in millions)
FCFE0 = last year FedEx's free cash flow to equity (USD $ in millions)
r = required rate of return on FedEx's common stock


FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

FedEx Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value gt
1 g1 hidden%
2 g2 hidden%
3 g3 hidden%
4 g4 hidden%
5 and thereafter g5 hidden%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden% + (hidden% – hidden%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden% + (hidden% – hidden%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden% + (hidden% – hidden%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden%