Stock Analysis on Net

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Alphabet Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of the financial data reveals several key trends and insights over the observed five-year period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT demonstrated variability over the years. It increased significantly from 41,262 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 77,747 million USD in 2021. Following this peak, there was a decline to 52,578 million USD in 2022. However, NOPAT recovered in subsequent years, reaching 65,370 million USD in 2023 and further rising to 93,781 million USD by 2024. Overall, despite fluctuations, the general trend was upward with a notable rebound after the 2022 dip.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, with slight increases from 14.56% in 2020 to 14.66% in 2024. This narrow range suggests a consistent cost structure for the company’s capital, implying stable financing conditions and risk over these years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed an overall increasing trend, rising from 145,844 million USD in 2020 to 171,408 million USD in 2021 and then sharply to 202,355 million USD in 2022. There was a decrease in 2023 to 189,779 million USD, followed by another significant rise to 227,952 million USD in 2024. This indicates ongoing investment and growth in assets or operating capital, albeit with some fluctuations likely related to operational or market conditions.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, which is the difference between net operating profit after taxes and the cost of capital applied to invested capital, generally followed the pattern of NOPAT but with more pronounced fluctuations. It increased markedly from 20,030 million USD in 2020 to 52,669 million USD in 2021, then declined to 23,106 million USD in 2022. Economic profit rebounded strongly to 37,623 million USD in 2023 and peaked at 60,352 million USD in 2024. This pattern indicates that despite increased invested capital, the company managed to maintain and enhance value creation above its capital costs, particularly in the latter years.

In summary, the company's financial performance over the period exhibits growth in profitability and invested capital, with stable capital costs. The fluctuations observed particularly in 2022 suggest some operational challenges or external factors impacting profitability, but the subsequent recovery highlights resilience and effective management of economic value creation.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Alphabet Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data indicates a fluctuating yet generally positive trend in profitability over the observed periods. Net income shows substantial growth from 40,269 million US dollars at the end of 2020 to 76,033 million in 2021, marking a significant increase. However, there is a notable decline in 2022 to 59,972 million, followed by a recovery in 2023 to 73,795 million and further growth reaching 100,118 million by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests some volatility but an overall upward trajectory in net income over the five-year span.

Similarly, the Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) mirrors this trend with initial growth from 41,262 million US dollars in 2020 to 77,747 million in 2021. This is followed by a decrease in 2022 to 52,578 million, reflecting a sharper drop compared to net income. The subsequent years in 2023 and 2024 show a recovery and increase to 65,370 million and 93,781 million respectively. This indicates a similar pattern of variability but with a strong recuperation in operating profitability after taxes.

Overall Trends
Both net income and NOPAT experienced high growth in the early years, a decline in the middle period (2022), and recovery with substantial growth towards the end of the timeline (2023-2024).
Volatility and Recovery
The mid-period decrease in both measures suggests external or internal challenges impacting profitability, but the rebound in later years indicates effective management or favorable market conditions leading to enhanced earnings.
Profitability Insights
The data suggests that despite periods of decreased profitability, the company's financial health and earnings capacity improved significantly by 2024, reaching the highest recorded values in both net income and NOPAT within the given timeframe.

Cash Operating Taxes

Alphabet Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the financial data indicates significant fluctuations and trends in the provisions and payments related to income taxes over the examined five-year period.

Provision for Income Taxes
This item shows an overall increasing trend from 2020 to 2024. It more than doubled from approximately $7.8 billion in 2020 to nearly $14.7 billion in 2021, followed by a decline in 2022 to about $11.4 billion. Subsequently, the provision slightly increased in 2023 to approximately $11.9 billion and then escalated sharply to almost $19.7 billion in 2024. This pattern suggests volatility in tax provisions with a recent marked increase.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash taxes paid display a steady and significant upward trend throughout the entire period. Starting at around $6.0 billion in 2020, the cash operating taxes rose sharply to about $12.6 billion in 2021 and continued to climb to $19.5 billion in 2022. The 2023 figure slightly declined to approximately $19.3 billion but rebounded in 2024 to reach its highest value, about $24.4 billion. This demonstrates a consistent increase in actual cash outflows for tax payments, with minor fluctuation in 2023.

In summary, while provision for income taxes has shown volatility with notable increases and decreases, the cash operating taxes have generally increased robustly over the period. The substantial rise in cash paid taxes indicates increasing tax obligations or payments, which may reflect higher profitability, changes in tax regulation, or shifts in the company’s taxable income profile. The divergence and patterns between provisions and cash taxes merit further examination to understand their drivers and implications on financial strategy and tax planning.


Invested Capital

Alphabet Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of finance lease liabilities
Short-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Long-term portion of finance lease liabilities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable3
Deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Assets not yet in service7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of assets not yet in service.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases

The total reported debt and leases have exhibited a gradual increase over the observed period. Starting from approximately 27.9 billion US dollars at the end of 2020, this figure rose steadily to reach about 30.4 billion dollars by the end of 2024. The increase is relatively moderate and consistent, without significant fluctuations, indicating stable debt management practices.

Stockholders’ equity

Stockholders’ equity has shown a strong upward trend throughout the years. Beginning at roughly 222.5 billion dollars in 2020, equity increased each year, reaching approximately 325.1 billion dollars by the end of 2024. The growth is particularly notable in the last two years, suggesting either retained earnings accumulation, additional equity infusions, or positive revaluation impacts. This trend points to a strengthening financial position from an equity perspective.

Invested capital

Invested capital experienced initial growth from 145.8 billion dollars in 2020 to over 202.3 billion dollars in 2022. However, there was a decline in 2023, dropping to about 189.8 billion dollars, followed by a substantial rise back to around 228.0 billion dollars in 2024. This pattern indicates some volatility in capital investment or asset base management, with a brief contraction before a strong recovery in the most recent year.

General observations

Overall, the financial data indicates increasing capital structure strength with growing stockholders’ equity outpacing the moderate rise in debt and leases. The company's invested capital shows some fluctuations but trends upwards over the longer term. The stable debt levels alongside rising equity suggest improving solvency and financial robustness. The recent increase in invested capital may reflect new investments or asset expansion initiatives.


Cost of Capital

Alphabet Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Alphabet Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit displays notable fluctuations over the period. It increased sharply from 20,030 million US dollars in 2020 to 52,669 million in 2021, followed by a decline to 23,106 million in 2022. Subsequently, there was a recovery to 37,623 million in 2023 and a further increase reaching 60,352 million in 2024. This pattern indicates variability in profitability with a strong upward trend towards the end of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a generally increasing trend, rising steadily from 145,844 million US dollars in 2020 to 227,952 million in 2024. Despite a slight decrease observed in 2023 compared to 2022, the overall growth in invested capital suggests an expansion in the company's asset base or investments over time.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio exhibits considerable volatility, starting at 13.73% in 2020 and peaking at 30.73% in 2021. It then dropped significantly to 11.42% in 2022 before recovering to 19.82% in 2023 and reaching 26.48% in 2024. This ratio trend reflects changes in profitability relative to the cost of invested capital, indicating periods of both improved and diminished efficiency in generating returns above capital costs.
Summary Insights
Overall, the analyzed data reveals that profitability and efficiency ratios have experienced significant variability across the years. The sharp rise in economic profit in 2021 and 2024 corresponds with the peaks in the economic spread ratio, suggesting that higher returns relative to the cost of capital have been driving economic profit improvements. The steady increase in invested capital indicates ongoing investments or asset growth, though the dip in 2023 warrants further examination. The interplay between invested capital and profitability ratios points to a dynamic operational environment with periods of both investment growth and fluctuating returns.

Economic Profit Margin

Alphabet Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates a fluctuating but overall increasing trend over the five-year period. Starting at 20,030 million US dollars in 2020, it surged significantly to 52,669 million in 2021. This figure then declined to 23,106 million in 2022, followed by a recovery to 37,623 million in 2023, and ultimately reaching a peak of 60,352 million in 2024. The variations indicate periods of strong performance interspersed with a notable dip in 2022.
Adjusted Revenues
Adjusted revenues show a consistently upward trajectory across all examined years. Beginning at 183,285 million US dollars in 2020, revenues increased steadily each year, rising to 258,436 million in 2021, 283,520 million in 2022, 307,935 million in 2023, and finally achieving 350,970 million in 2024. This consistent growth suggests successful revenue generation and market expansion.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin exhibits variability but overall growth. The margin increased from 10.93% in 2020 to a peak of 20.38% in 2021. It then decreased to 8.15% in 2022, followed by a recovery to 12.22% in 2023 and further improvement to 17.2% in 2024. These fluctuations mirror those of economic profit, reflecting changes in profitability efficiency relative to revenue.
Summary
The data reveals a pattern of strong revenue growth accompanied by volatile but generally improving profitability measured by economic profit and economic profit margin. The dip in 2022 across economic profit and margin suggests a period of challenges or increased costs, despite continued revenue growth. The rebound in economic profit and margin through 2023 and 2024 indicates effective management responses or improved operating conditions, driving enhanced economic profitability while maintaining a consistent increase in revenues.