Stock Analysis on Net

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Alphabet Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT showed significant growth overall between 2020 and 2024. It increased from $41,262 million in 2020 to a peak of $77,747 million in 2021, followed by a decline to $52,578 million in 2022. After this decrease, NOPAT rose again to $65,370 million in 2023 and then reached its highest point of $93,781 million in 2024. This signifies an upward trend with a temporary dip in the middle period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited relative stability throughout the period from 2020 to 2024. It remained close to around 14.6%, ranging narrowly from 14.58% in 2020 to 14.69% in 2024. This suggests a consistent capital cost environment without major fluctuations.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily over the five-year period, starting at $145,844 million in 2020 and rising continuously to $227,952 million in 2024. Although there was a slight decline from $202,355 million in 2022 to $189,779 million in 2023, the general trajectory is upward, indicating ongoing investment and asset growth.
Economic Profit
Economic profit demonstrated a pattern of substantial variation but overall growth. Beginning at $19,998 million in 2020, it peaked sharply at $52,631 million in 2021, then declined to $23,061 million in 2022. Afterwards, it increased again to $37,580 million in 2023 and reached a new high of $60,301 million in 2024. This trend reflects fluctuations in profitability relative to capital costs but an improving value creation over time.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Alphabet Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data indicates a fluctuating yet generally positive trend in profitability over the observed periods. Net income shows substantial growth from 40,269 million US dollars at the end of 2020 to 76,033 million in 2021, marking a significant increase. However, there is a notable decline in 2022 to 59,972 million, followed by a recovery in 2023 to 73,795 million and further growth reaching 100,118 million by the end of 2024. This pattern suggests some volatility but an overall upward trajectory in net income over the five-year span.

Similarly, the Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) mirrors this trend with initial growth from 41,262 million US dollars in 2020 to 77,747 million in 2021. This is followed by a decrease in 2022 to 52,578 million, reflecting a sharper drop compared to net income. The subsequent years in 2023 and 2024 show a recovery and increase to 65,370 million and 93,781 million respectively. This indicates a similar pattern of variability but with a strong recuperation in operating profitability after taxes.

Overall Trends
Both net income and NOPAT experienced high growth in the early years, a decline in the middle period (2022), and recovery with substantial growth towards the end of the timeline (2023-2024).
Volatility and Recovery
The mid-period decrease in both measures suggests external or internal challenges impacting profitability, but the rebound in later years indicates effective management or favorable market conditions leading to enhanced earnings.
Profitability Insights
The data suggests that despite periods of decreased profitability, the company's financial health and earnings capacity improved significantly by 2024, reaching the highest recorded values in both net income and NOPAT within the given timeframe.

Cash Operating Taxes

Alphabet Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the financial data indicates significant fluctuations and trends in the provisions and payments related to income taxes over the examined five-year period.

Provision for Income Taxes
This item shows an overall increasing trend from 2020 to 2024. It more than doubled from approximately $7.8 billion in 2020 to nearly $14.7 billion in 2021, followed by a decline in 2022 to about $11.4 billion. Subsequently, the provision slightly increased in 2023 to approximately $11.9 billion and then escalated sharply to almost $19.7 billion in 2024. This pattern suggests volatility in tax provisions with a recent marked increase.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash taxes paid display a steady and significant upward trend throughout the entire period. Starting at around $6.0 billion in 2020, the cash operating taxes rose sharply to about $12.6 billion in 2021 and continued to climb to $19.5 billion in 2022. The 2023 figure slightly declined to approximately $19.3 billion but rebounded in 2024 to reach its highest value, about $24.4 billion. This demonstrates a consistent increase in actual cash outflows for tax payments, with minor fluctuation in 2023.

In summary, while provision for income taxes has shown volatility with notable increases and decreases, the cash operating taxes have generally increased robustly over the period. The substantial rise in cash paid taxes indicates increasing tax obligations or payments, which may reflect higher profitability, changes in tax regulation, or shifts in the company’s taxable income profile. The divergence and patterns between provisions and cash taxes merit further examination to understand their drivers and implications on financial strategy and tax planning.


Invested Capital

Alphabet Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of finance lease liabilities
Short-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Long-term portion of finance lease liabilities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for credit losses on accounts receivable3
Deferred revenue4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Assets not yet in service7
Marketable securities8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of assets not yet in service.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total reported debt & leases

The total reported debt and leases have exhibited a gradual increase over the observed period. Starting from approximately 27.9 billion US dollars at the end of 2020, this figure rose steadily to reach about 30.4 billion dollars by the end of 2024. The increase is relatively moderate and consistent, without significant fluctuations, indicating stable debt management practices.

Stockholders’ equity

Stockholders’ equity has shown a strong upward trend throughout the years. Beginning at roughly 222.5 billion dollars in 2020, equity increased each year, reaching approximately 325.1 billion dollars by the end of 2024. The growth is particularly notable in the last two years, suggesting either retained earnings accumulation, additional equity infusions, or positive revaluation impacts. This trend points to a strengthening financial position from an equity perspective.

Invested capital

Invested capital experienced initial growth from 145.8 billion dollars in 2020 to over 202.3 billion dollars in 2022. However, there was a decline in 2023, dropping to about 189.8 billion dollars, followed by a substantial rise back to around 228.0 billion dollars in 2024. This pattern indicates some volatility in capital investment or asset base management, with a brief contraction before a strong recovery in the most recent year.

General observations

Overall, the financial data indicates increasing capital structure strength with growing stockholders’ equity outpacing the moderate rise in debt and leases. The company's invested capital shows some fluctuations but trends upwards over the longer term. The stable debt levels alongside rising equity suggest improving solvency and financial robustness. The recent increase in invested capital may reflect new investments or asset expansion initiatives.


Cost of Capital

Alphabet Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt and finance lease liabilities3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance lease liabilities. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Alphabet Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibits notable fluctuations over the observed periods. Starting at 19,998 million US dollars in 2020, it significantly rises to a peak of 52,631 million in 2021. This is followed by a decline in 2022 to 23,061 million, before increasing again in subsequent years to 37,580 million in 2023 and reaching a new high of 60,301 million in 2024. The trend reflects periods of strong profitability interspersed with reductions, but overall demonstrates growth across the five-year span.
Invested Capital
The invested capital shows a consistent upward trend across the years. Beginning at 145,844 million US dollars in 2020, it increases steadily each year to 171,408 million in 2021, 202,355 million in 2022, and reaches 227,952 million in 2024, despite a slight dip to 189,779 million in 2023. This indicates the company's ongoing expansion and increased allocation of capital resources, suggesting intensified investment activities or asset accumulation over time.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio displays considerable variability. It starts at 13.71% in 2020, surging to 30.71% in 2021, which marks the highest value in the period. Subsequently, it declines sharply to 11.4% in 2022, then recovers to 19.8% in 2023 and climbs again to 26.45% in 2024. This ratio movement signals fluctuations in the profitability relative to invested capital, reflecting changes in operational efficiency or returns, with a general upward trajectory towards the end of the period.

Economic Profit Margin

Alphabet Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Adjusted Revenues
The adjusted revenues demonstrate a consistent upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at approximately $183.3 billion in 2020, the revenues rose significantly to about $258.4 billion in 2021. This growth continued in the subsequent years, reaching approximately $283.5 billion in 2022, nearly $308.0 billion in 2023, and culminating at around $351.0 billion in 2024. The steady revenue increase indicates ongoing expansion and potentially successful sales or service strategies.
Economic Profit
The economic profit exhibits notable fluctuations throughout the timeline. In 2020, the economic profit was nearly $20.0 billion. It increased sharply in 2021 to over $52.6 billion but then decreased substantially to roughly $23.1 billion in 2022. Following this dip, economic profit rose again to $37.6 billion in 2023 and further increased to $60.3 billion in 2024, the highest value in the period. These variations suggest some volatility in profitability, perhaps influenced by changes in cost management, investment returns, or operational efficiency.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin percentage shows trends consistent with the economic profit values. It started at about 10.9% in 2020, increased significantly to 20.4% in 2021, then experienced a decline to 8.1% in 2022. The margin recovered to 12.2% in 2023 and rose further to 17.2% in 2024. This pattern suggests variable profitability relative to revenues, with the margin being influenced by factors impacting economic profit relative to total revenues.
Overall Observations
While revenues have grown steadily each year, economic profit and economic profit margin have shown more pronounced fluctuations. The peak values in 2021 and 2024 suggest cycles of higher profitability with intervening years of reduced economic profit. Despite these fluctuations, the upward trends in economic profit and margin toward the end of the period indicate an improving profitability position relative to the firm’s adjusted revenues.