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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Johnson & Johnson pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Short-term (Operating) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Return on Assets (ROA) since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Economic Profit
12 months ended: | Dec 29, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
Cost of capital2 | ||||||
Invested capital3 | ||||||
Economic profit4 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data shows several notable trends over the five-year period. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) experienced a significant increase from 2020 to 2021, rising from 13,736 million US dollars to 18,861 million US dollars. However, this growth was not sustained, as the NOPAT declined in the subsequent years, dropping to 16,117 million in 2022 and then sharply decreasing to 8,905 million in 2023. A partial recovery is observed in 2024, with NOPAT increasing to 11,461 million, although it remains below the 2021 peak.
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, fluctuating slightly between 9.22% and 9.36%. This stability indicates that the company faced consistent capital costs without significant shifts, suggesting a steady risk profile and financing environment.
Invested capital showed fluctuations as well. It started at 98,344 million US dollars in 2020, saw a slight decrease to 98,066 million in 2021, then increased sharply to 113,818 million in 2022. The invested capital declined again in 2023 to 99,118 million but increased later to 106,513 million in 2024. These variations imply changes in asset base or working capital, potentially reflecting strategic investment decisions or operational adjustments.
Economic profit, which measures value creation above the cost of capital, reveals more volatility. It nearly doubled from 4,673 million in 2020 to 9,758 million in 2021, demonstrating strong value creation. However, it decreased significantly to 5,567 million in 2022, then turned negative in 2023, recording a loss of 374 million US dollars, indicating that the company failed to cover its cost of capital during that year. In 2024, economic profit returned to a positive value of 1,576 million, suggesting a partial recovery but still well below previous peak levels.
In summary, the data reflects a peak in profitability and value creation in 2021, followed by declining financial performance, with a notable dip in 2023. Although some recovery is observed in 2024, the levels remain below earlier highs. The relative steadiness in the cost of capital contrasts with variable invested capital and fluctuating economic profit, highlighting challenges in maintaining consistent return on investments during the period analyzed.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful accounts.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.
4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net of portion capitalized = Adjusted interest expense, net of portion capitalized × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.
7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
9 Elimination of discontinued operations.
The financial data reveals significant fluctuations across the analyzed periods in key profitability indicators. Net earnings demonstrated an overall volatile pattern, with a marked increase from 14,714 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 35,153 million in 2023, followed by a sharp decline to 14,066 million in 2024. This trend suggests periods of substantial profit growth interrupted by a sudden reduction in the latest year.
Similarly, Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT) followed a comparable trend but with less pronounced peaks and troughs. Starting at 13,736 million US dollars in 2020, NOPAT increased steadily to 18,861 million in 2021, then decreased to 16,117 million in 2022, sharply dropped to 8,905 million in 2023, and slightly recovered to 11,461 million in 2024. The dip in 2023 is noteworthy, indicating operational challenges or increased costs impacting profitability before partial recovery.
- Net Earnings Trend
- Initial steady growth followed by a significant peak in 2023 and subsequent sharp decline in 2024.
- NOPAT Trend
- General growth with moderate fluctuations until 2022, a steep decrease in 2023, and a modest rebound in 2024.
- Comparison between Net Earnings and NOPAT
- Net earnings portray higher volatility, while NOPAT reflects more stability but still impacted by operational difficulties in 2023.
- Implications
- The 2023 period represents a critical year where operational profitability suffered a significant setback, potentially due to external factors or internal inefficiencies. The rebound in NOPAT in 2024, although positive, remains below earlier highs, suggesting ongoing challenges.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Provision for taxes on income
- The provision for taxes on income demonstrates notable variability over the five-year period. It started at 1,783 million US dollars at the end of 2020, increased moderately to 1,898 million in 2021, and then saw a considerable surge to 3,784 million in 2022. This sharp increase was followed by a significant decline to 1,736 million in 2023. In 2024, it rebounded to 2,621 million, indicating some recovery but remaining below the 2022 peak. This pattern suggests fluctuations in taxable income or changes in tax regulations affecting the provision amounts.
- Cash operating taxes
- Cash operating taxes show a consistent upward trend from 2020 to 2023, starting at 2,949 million US dollars and rising steadily through the years to reach a peak of 5,700 million in 2023. However, in 2024, cash operating taxes decreased to 4,692 million, representing a reduction compared to the previous year but still above the earlier years. This pattern highlights increasing tax cash outflows over time with a slight moderation in the most recent year, which could reflect changes in cash tax payments or timing differences.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
6 Subtraction of construction in progress.
7 Subtraction of current marketable securities.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases demonstrated variability over the five-year period. Starting at 36,366 million USD in 2020, the figure decreased moderately to 34,751 million USD in 2021, indicating a reduction in debt obligations. However, a significant increase occurred in 2022, rising sharply to 40,959 million USD. This was followed by a notable reduction to 30,432 million USD in 2023, representing the lowest level in the period observed. In 2024, there was a rebound to 37,834 million USD, suggesting some re-leveraging or new debt acquisitions towards the end of the period.
- Shareholders’ equity
- Shareholders' equity showed a general upward trend with some fluctuations. It increased substantially from 63,278 million USD in 2020 to 74,023 million USD in 2021. The equity continued to grow but at a slower pace, reaching 76,804 million USD in 2022. In 2023, there was a decline to 68,774 million USD, indicating a possible payout, loss, or other equity-reducing activity during that year. Nevertheless, equity rebounded slightly to 71,490 million USD in 2024, suggesting partial recovery or capital retention.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital showed mixed trends across the same timeframe. It started at 98,344 million USD in 2020 and remained almost flat in 2021 at 98,066 million USD. In 2022, a significant rise to 113,818 million USD was recorded, representing a peak in capital investment. This was followed by a considerable decrease to 99,118 million USD in 2023, approaching the earlier levels of 2020 and 2021. The invested capital increased again in 2024 to 106,513 million USD, reflecting renewed capital deployment or asset acquisition activities.
- Overall Analysis
- The financial data reveals a pattern of volatility in debt and invested capital, while equity generally increased but with some retrenchment in the middle of the period. The fluctuations in total reported debt & leases and invested capital suggest dynamic capital structure management and investment strategy adjustments over the five years. The trends imply that the company might have been actively balancing between leveraging for growth and deleveraging to maintain financial stability. The changes in shareholders’ equity reflect underlying operational results and capital transactions during this period, with a temporary decline offset by subsequent recovery.
Cost of Capital
Johnson & Johnson, cost of capital calculations
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Borrowings3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Borrowings. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Borrowings3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Borrowings. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Borrowings3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Borrowings. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Borrowings3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Borrowings. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
Borrowings3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
Total: |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Borrowings. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Dec 29, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Invested capital2 | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
AbbVie Inc. | ||||||
Amgen Inc. | ||||||
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. | ||||||
Danaher Corp. | ||||||
Eli Lilly & Co. | ||||||
Gilead Sciences Inc. | ||||||
Merck & Co. Inc. | ||||||
Pfizer Inc. | ||||||
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | ||||||
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrates significant variability across the five-year period. There was a notable increase from 4,673 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 9,758 million US dollars in 2021. However, this was followed by a sharp decline to 5,567 million US dollars in 2022, and the trend worsened with a negative economic profit of -374 million US dollars in 2023, indicating a loss in value creation during that year. In 2024, economic profit partially recovered to 1,576 million US dollars, though it remained well below the levels seen in 2020 and 2021.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital exhibited fluctuations over the period. Starting at 98,344 million US dollars in 2020, it remained virtually unchanged in 2021 at 98,066 million US dollars, followed by a substantial increase to 113,818 million US dollars in 2022. Subsequently, invested capital decreased to 99,118 million US dollars in 2023 but rose again to 106,513 million US dollars in 2024. Overall, the invested capital shows a pattern of volatility with a general upward tendency.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, which indicates the efficiency of capital usage in generating returns above the cost of capital, reflected fluctuating performance through the years. It started at 4.75% in 2020, doubled to 9.95% in 2021, then declined to 4.89% in 2022. In 2023, the ratio turned negative at -0.38%, corresponding with the negative economic profit, signaling that returns fell below the cost of capital. In 2024, the ratio slightly improved to 1.48%, though it remained much lower than earlier peaks and indicates diminished capital efficiency compared to previous high points.
Economic Profit Margin
Dec 29, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
Economic profit1 | ||||||
Sales to customers | ||||||
Performance Ratio | ||||||
Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
Benchmarks | ||||||
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
AbbVie Inc. | ||||||
Amgen Inc. | ||||||
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. | ||||||
Danaher Corp. | ||||||
Eli Lilly & Co. | ||||||
Gilead Sciences Inc. | ||||||
Merck & Co. Inc. | ||||||
Pfizer Inc. | ||||||
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. | ||||||
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | ||||||
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Sales to customers
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Sales to Customers
- Sales demonstrated an overall fluctuating pattern over the five-year period. The data shows a significant increase from 82,584 million US dollars in 2020 to 93,775 million in 2021, indicating strong revenue growth. In 2022, sales increased slightly to 94,943 million but then declined considerably in 2023 to 85,159 million. The figure recovered somewhat in 2024, rising to 88,821 million, yet it remained below the peak levels observed in 2021 and 2022.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit exhibited considerable volatility throughout the observed years. It rose sharply from 4,673 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 9,758 million in 2021, reflecting improved profitability. However, in 2022, economic profit decreased significantly to 5,567 million and turned negative in 2023, with a loss of 374 million. The year 2024 saw a partial recovery, with economic profit returning to a positive value of 1,576 million, though still substantially below the peak in 2021.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin reveals a trend consistent with the economic profit values. It increased from 5.66% in 2020 to 10.41% in 2021, indicating enhanced efficiency and profitability relative to sales. The margin declined noticeably to 5.86% in 2022 and turned negative in 2023, reaching -0.44%, which signals a period of economic losses despite revenue generation. In 2024, the margin improved to 1.77%, reflecting some recovery but remaining significantly below prior peak levels.
- Overall Analysis
- The financial data indicates a peak in both revenue and profitability in 2021, followed by a decline in subsequent years. Although sales slightly recovered in 2024, economic profit and margins showed only modest improvements and remained below earlier highs. The negative economic profit and margin in 2023 highlight a challenging period where the company may have faced increased costs or reduced operational efficiency. The partial rebound in 2024 suggests some stabilization but indicates ongoing pressures on profitability despite revenues stabilizing.