Stock Analysis on Net

KLA Corp. (NASDAQ:KLAC)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

KLA Corp., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 20.51%
01 FCFF0 3,997,869
1 FCFF1 4,998,996 = 3,997,869 × (1 + 25.04%) 4,148,174
2 FCFF2 6,177,524 = 4,998,996 × (1 + 23.58%) 4,253,660
3 FCFF3 7,543,319 = 6,177,524 × (1 + 22.11%) 4,310,077
4 FCFF4 9,100,478 = 7,543,319 × (1 + 20.64%) 4,314,802
5 FCFF5 10,845,647 = 9,100,478 × (1 + 19.18%) 4,267,036
5 Terminal value (TV5) 968,861,783 = 10,845,647 × (1 + 19.18%) ÷ (20.51%19.18%) 381,182,250
Intrinsic value of KLA Corp. capital 402,475,999
Less: Debt (fair value) 5,540,000
Intrinsic value of KLA Corp. common stock 396,935,999
 
Intrinsic value of KLA Corp. common stock (per share) $303.87
Current share price $269.16

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

KLA Corp., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 351,597,036 0.98 20.77%
Debt (fair value) 5,540,000 0.02 4.20% = 4.67% × (1 – 10.17%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30).

1 US$ in thousands

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,306,275,210 × $269.16
= $351,597,035,523.60

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (12.50% + 13.40% + 10.60% + 4.80% + 12.00% + 7.70%) ÷ 6
= 10.17%

WACC = 20.51%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

KLA Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Jun 30, 2025 Jun 30, 2024 Jun 30, 2023 Jun 30, 2022 Jun 30, 2021 Jun 30, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Interest expense 302,166 311,253 296,940 160,339 157,328 160,274
Net income attributable to KLA 4,061,643 2,761,896 3,387,277 3,321,807 2,078,292 1,216,785
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 12.50% 13.40% 10.60% 4.80% 12.00% 7.70%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 264,395 269,545 265,464 152,643 138,449 147,933
Add: Cash dividends and dividend equivalents declared 906,023 772,689 733,547 639,391 561,376 523,396
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 1,170,418 1,042,234 999,011 792,034 699,825 671,329
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 4,326,038 3,031,441 3,652,741 3,474,450 2,216,741 1,364,718
 
Short-term debt 20,000
Current portion of long-term debt 749,936
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 5,884,257 5,880,199 5,890,736 6,660,718 3,422,767 3,469,670
Total KLA stockholders’ equity 4,692,453 3,368,328 2,919,753 1,401,351 3,377,554 2,665,424
Total capital 10,576,710 9,998,463 8,810,489 8,062,069 6,820,321 6,135,094
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.73 0.66 0.73 0.77 0.68 0.51
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 40.90% 30.32% 41.46% 43.10% 32.50% 22.24%
Averages
RR 0.71
ROIC 35.09%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 25.04%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-06-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-06-30).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 302,166 × (1 – 12.50%)
= 264,395

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income attributable to KLA + Interest expense, after tax
= 4,061,643 + 264,395
= 4,326,038

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [4,326,0381,170,418] ÷ 4,326,038
= 0.73

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 4,326,038 ÷ 10,576,710
= 40.90%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.71 × 35.09%
= 25.04%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (357,137,036 × 20.51%3,997,869) ÷ (357,137,036 + 3,997,869)
= 19.18%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of KLA Corp. debt and equity (US$ in thousands)
FCFF0 = the last year KLA Corp. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in thousands)
WACC = weighted average cost of KLA Corp. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

KLA Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 25.04%
2 g2 23.58%
3 g3 22.11%
4 g4 20.64%
5 and thereafter g5 19.18%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 25.04% + (19.18%25.04%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 23.58%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 25.04% + (19.18%25.04%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 22.11%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 25.04% + (19.18%25.04%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 20.64%