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Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc

Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ:TXN)


Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Intermediate level


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Texas Instruments Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at hidden
01 FCFF0
1 FCFF1 = hidden × (1 + hidden)
2 FCFF2 = hidden × (1 + hidden)
3 FCFF3 = hidden × (1 + hidden)
4 FCFF4 = hidden × (1 + hidden)
5 FCFF5 = hidden × (1 + hidden)
5 Terminal value (TV5) = hidden × (1 + hidden) ÷ (hiddenhidden)
Intrinsic value of Texas Instruments Inc.’s capital
Less: Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value)
Intrinsic value of Texas Instruments Inc.’s common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Texas Instruments Inc.’s common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Texas Instruments Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value)
Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value) = hidden × (1 – hidden)

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= hidden × hidden = hidden

   Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (hidden + hidden + hidden + hidden + hidden) ÷ 5 = hidden

WACC = hidden


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Texas Instruments Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Average Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest and debt expense
Net income
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1
 
Interest and debt expense, after tax2
Add: Dividends declared and paid
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3
 
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Stockholders’ equity
Total capital
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5
Averages
RR
ROIC
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20), 10-K (filing date: 2019-02-22), 10-K (filing date: 2018-02-22), 10-K (filing date: 2017-02-23), 10-K (filing date: 2016-02-24).

1 See details »

2019 Calculations

2 Interest and debt expense, after tax = Interest and debt expense × (1 – EITR)
= hidden × (1 – hidden) = hidden

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest and debt expense, after tax
= hidden + hidden = hidden

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [hiddenhidden] ÷ hidden = hidden

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × hidden ÷ hidden = hidden

6 g = RR × ROIC
= hidden × hidden = hidden


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (hidden × hiddenhidden) ÷ (hidden + hidden) = hidden

where:
Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Texas Instruments Inc.’s debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Texas Instruments Inc.’s free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Texas Instruments Inc.’s capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Texas Instruments Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden + (hiddenhidden) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden + (hiddenhidden) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= hidden + (hiddenhidden) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) = hidden