Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net
Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc

NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA)

Paying users zone. Data is hidden behind: .


We accept:

Visa Mastercard American Express Maestro Discover JCB PayPal Apple Pay Google Pay
Verified by Visa MasterCard SecureCode American Express SafeKey

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Intermediate level


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

NVIDIA Corp., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFF0
1 FCFF1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFF2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFF3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFF4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFF5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corp.’s capital
Less: Total debt (fair value)
Intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corp.’s common stock
 
Intrinsic value of NVIDIA Corp.’s common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

NVIDIA Corp., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value)
Total debt (fair value) = × (1 – )

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= × =

   Total debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= ( + + + + + ) ÷ 6 =

WACC =


FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

NVIDIA Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Average Jan 26, 2020 Jan 27, 2019 Jan 28, 2018 Jan 29, 2017 Jan 31, 2016 Jan 25, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense
Net income
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1
 
Interest expense, after tax2
Add: Cash dividends declared and paid
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3
 
Convertible short-term debt
Long-term debt
Convertible long-term debt
Capital lease obligations, long-term
Shareholders’ equity
Total capital
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5
Averages
RR
ROIC
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-02-20), 10-K (filing date: 2019-02-21), 10-K (filing date: 2018-02-28), 10-K (filing date: 2017-03-01), 10-K (filing date: 2016-03-17), 10-K (filing date: 2015-03-12).

1 See details »

2020 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= × (1 – ) =

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest expense, after tax
= + =

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [] ÷ =

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × ÷ =

6 g = RR × ROIC
= × =


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + ) =

where:
Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of NVIDIA Corp.’s debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year NVIDIA Corp.’s free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of NVIDIA Corp.’s capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

NVIDIA Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =