Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 29.48%
01 FCFF0 5,591
1 FCFF1 6,173 = 5,591 × (1 + 10.41%) 4,767
2 FCFF2 7,096 = 6,173 × (1 + 14.96%) 4,232
3 FCFF3 8,480 = 7,096 × (1 + 19.50%) 3,906
4 FCFF4 10,520 = 8,480 × (1 + 24.05%) 3,742
5 FCFF5 13,528 = 10,520 × (1 + 28.60%) 3,717
5 Terminal value (TV5) 1,960,347 = 13,528 × (1 + 28.60%) ÷ (29.48%28.60%) 538,574
Intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. capital 558,938
Less: Debt (fair value) 3,125
Intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock 555,813
 
Intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock (per share) $340.86
Current share price $494.95

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 807,066 1.00 29.59%
Debt (fair value) 3,125 0.00 3.06% = 3.79% × (1 – 19.17%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,630,600,639 × $494.95
= $807,065,786,273.05

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (21.00% + 18.84% + 21.00% + 21.00% + 14.00%) ÷ 5
= 19.17%

WACC = 29.48%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 131 92 106 88 34
Income from discontinued operations, net of tax 66
Net income 4,335 1,641 854 1,320 3,162
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 21.00% 18.84% 21.00% 21.00% 14.00%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 103 75 84 70 29
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 103 75 84 70 29
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 4,372 1,716 938 1,390 3,191
 
Current portion of long-term debt, net 874 751 312
Long-term debt, net of current portion 2,348 1,721 1,717 2,467 1
Stockholders’ equity 62,999 57,568 55,892 54,750 7,497
Total capital 66,221 59,289 58,360 57,217 7,810
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.98 0.96 0.91 0.95 0.99
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 6.60% 2.89% 1.61% 2.43% 40.86%
Averages
RR 0.96
ROIC 10.88%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 10.41%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 131 × (1 – 21.00%)
= 103

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income – Income from discontinued operations, net of tax + Interest expense, after tax
= 4,33566 + 103
= 4,372

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [4,372103] ÷ 4,372
= 0.98

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 4,372 ÷ 66,221
= 6.60%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.96 × 10.88%
= 10.41%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (810,191 × 29.48%5,591) ÷ (810,191 + 5,591)
= 28.60%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Advanced Micro Devices Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 10.41%
2 g2 14.96%
3 g3 19.50%
4 g4 24.05%
5 and thereafter g5 28.60%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.41% + (28.60%10.41%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 14.96%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.41% + (28.60%10.41%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 19.50%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.41% + (28.60%10.41%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 24.05%