Stock Analysis on Net

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)

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Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

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Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock βAMD
 
Required rate of return on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock3 rAMD

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rAMD = RF + βAMD [E(RM) – RF]
= + []
=


FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019 Dec 29, 2018 Dec 30, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Net income
Net revenue
Total assets
Stockholders’ equity
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-30).

2021 Calculations

1 Company does not pay dividends

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷
=

3 Asset turnover = Net revenue ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity
= ÷
=

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=


FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year Advanced Micro Devices Inc. free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on Advanced Micro Devices Inc. common stock


FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=