Stock Analysis on Net

Kraft Foods Group Inc. (NASDAQ:KRFT)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 28, 2015.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Kraft Foods Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2014 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates significant fluctuations in economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) initially increased substantially before declining markedly. Simultaneously, the cost of capital exhibited a consistent, albeit gradual, increase. Invested capital also showed an initial rise followed by a decrease. These movements collectively impacted the company’s economic profit.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT increased from US$2,340 million in 2012 to US$3,734 million in 2013, representing a substantial improvement in operating profitability. However, NOPAT decreased significantly to US$989 million in 2014, indicating a considerable decline in operational performance during that year.
Cost of Capital Trend
The cost of capital rose steadily from 14.30% in 2012 to 15.05% in 2014. This consistent increase suggests a growing cost of financing the company’s operations and potentially increased risk perception by investors.
Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital increased from US$13,807 million in 2012 to US$16,041 million in 2013, reflecting an expansion of the company’s asset base. In 2014, invested capital decreased to US$14,787 million, potentially due to asset sales, reduced investment, or other capital management activities.
Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit followed the trend of NOPAT. It increased from US$365 million in 2012 to US$1,373 million in 2013, demonstrating the creation of value exceeding the cost of capital. However, economic profit turned negative in 2014, reaching -US$1,237 million, indicating that the company’s returns were insufficient to cover its cost of capital during that period. The decline in economic profit in 2014 is attributable to the combined effect of lower NOPAT and a higher cost of capital.

The shift from positive to negative economic profit in 2014 warrants further investigation to understand the underlying drivers of the reduced profitability and increased cost of capital. The initial positive trend suggests successful value creation, but the subsequent reversal highlights potential challenges in maintaining profitability and effectively utilizing invested capital.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Kraft Foods Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Net earnings
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances related to accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring costs liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest and other expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest and other expense, net
Tax benefit of interest and other expense, net6
Adjusted interest and other expense, net, after taxes7
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances related to accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring costs liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings.

5 2014 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2014 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and other expense, net = Adjusted interest and other expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings.


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in both net earnings and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) over the three-year period under consideration.

Net Earnings
Net earnings increased significantly from 1,642 million US dollars in 2012 to 2,715 million US dollars in 2013. However, in 2014, net earnings declined sharply to 1,043 million US dollars, representing a substantial decrease relative to the prior year and even falling below the 2012 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
Similar to net earnings, NOPAT demonstrated strong growth from 2,340 million US dollars in 2012 to 3,734 million US dollars in 2013. Yet, there was a pronounced decline in 2014, with NOPAT dropping to 989 million US dollars, marking a significant reduction compared to both preceding years.

Overall, the data suggests that although the company experienced robust profitability improvements in 2013, this positive trend was not sustained, with a marked downturn occurring in 2014. Both profitability indicators reflect this pattern, highlighting sensitivity to potentially adverse operational or market conditions during the latter year.


Cash Operating Taxes

Kraft Foods Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and other expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).


The analysis of the provided annual financial data reveals notable fluctuations in the tax-related expenses over the three-year period ending December 27, 2014.

Provision for Income Taxes
There is a significant fluctuation observed in the provision for income taxes. In 2012, the provision was reported at 811 million US dollars, which increased substantially to 1,375 million US dollars in 2013, representing a considerable rise. However, in 2014, this figure sharply declined to 363 million US dollars, indicating a substantial reduction from the previous year. This large variance may reflect changes in pre-tax income, tax policies, or adjustments related to prior periods.
Cash Operating Taxes
The cash operating taxes also show an upward trend throughout the examined period. Starting at 437 million US dollars in 2012, the amount nearly doubled to 849 million US dollars in 2013 and saw a further increase to 899 million US dollars in 2014. The consistent increase may indicate higher taxable income or changes in tax payment practices.

Overall, while cash operating taxes steadily increased each year, the provision for income taxes displayed considerable volatility, peaking in 2013 before dropping sharply the following year. This divergence between the provision and cash taxes could denote timing differences in tax recognition or other accounting factors affecting recorded tax expense versus actual cash payments.


Invested Capital

Kraft Foods Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances related to accounts receivable3
Restructuring costs liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring costs liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases remained relatively stable over the three-year period, with a slight increase from 10,353 million USD in 2012 to 10,402 million USD in 2013. It then remained almost constant at 10,401 million USD in 2014, indicating a stable capital structure in terms of debt obligations.
Equity
Equity experienced a notable increase from 3,572 million USD in 2012 to 5,187 million USD in 2013, representing a significant growth. However, this was followed by a decrease to 4,365 million USD in 2014. This fluctuation suggests some variability in shareholder value or retained earnings within this timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed an upward trend from 13,807 million USD in 2012 to 16,041 million USD in 2013, before declining to 14,787 million USD in 2014. This pattern aligns with the changes in both equity and debt, reflecting adjustments in the company’s total funding and asset base.
Overall Analysis
The financial data reveals that while debt levels were largely maintained, equity and invested capital exhibited growth followed by contraction over the three years. The rise in equity and invested capital in 2013 may reflect increased investment or retained earnings that year, but the subsequent decline in 2014 indicates a pullback or redistribution. Stability in debt suggests a consistent leverage approach, but the variations in equity and invested capital warrant further investigation to understand the underlying causes, such as potential asset disposals, dividend payments, or changes in profitability.

Cost of Capital

Kraft Foods Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Kraft Foods Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc.
Nike Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2014 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic performance of the entity, as measured by economic value added (EVA) related metrics, exhibits significant fluctuations over the observed period. Economic profit demonstrates a substantial increase from 2012 to 2013, followed by a considerable decline in 2014, resulting in a negative value. Invested capital increased between 2012 and 2013, then decreased in 2014. The economic spread ratio mirrors these trends, showing a marked increase initially and then a substantial decrease, ultimately becoming negative.

Economic Profit
Economic profit increased significantly from US$365 million in 2012 to US$1,373 million in 2013, indicating improved profitability relative to the cost of capital. However, this positive trend reversed sharply in 2014, with economic profit falling to a loss of US$1,237 million. This suggests a deterioration in the entity’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital during that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital rose from US$13,807 million in 2012 to US$16,041 million in 2013, representing an expansion of the capital base. A subsequent decrease to US$14,787 million in 2014 suggests a potential reduction in capital employed, possibly through asset sales or decreased investment.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which indicates the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, increased from 2.64% in 2012 to 8.56% in 2013. This signifies a widening margin between returns generated and the cost of funding those returns. The ratio then experienced a dramatic decline, reaching -8.37% in 2014. This negative value indicates that the entity’s returns on invested capital were less than its cost of capital, resulting in value destruction.

The shift from positive to negative economic profit and economic spread ratio in 2014 warrants further investigation. Potential contributing factors could include increased competition, rising input costs, or inefficient capital allocation. The decrease in invested capital during 2014 may be a consequence of attempts to address the declining profitability, but its effectiveness requires further assessment.


Economic Profit Margin

Kraft Foods Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2014 Dec 28, 2013 Dec 29, 2012
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc.
Nike Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-29).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2014 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit exhibited significant fluctuation between the analyzed periods. Initially positive and substantial, it transitioned to a considerable loss. This movement is directly reflected in the economic profit margin, which demonstrates a corresponding pattern of increase followed by decline.

Economic Profit
Economic profit increased substantially from $365 million in 2012 to $1,373 million in 2013, representing a significant improvement in value creation. However, this positive trend reversed sharply in 2014, with economic profit falling to a loss of $1,237 million. This indicates a substantial decrease in returns exceeding the cost of capital.
Net Revenues
Net revenues remained relatively stable across the three years, fluctuating minimally between $18,205 million and $18,339 million. This suggests that changes in economic profit were not primarily driven by revenue variations, but rather by shifts in profitability relative to capital employed.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the trend in economic profit. It rose from 1.99% in 2012 to 7.54% in 2013, signifying improved profitability relative to revenue. The margin then experienced a dramatic decline, reaching -6.80% in 2014. This negative margin indicates that the company’s returns were insufficient to cover its cost of capital, resulting in economic loss on each dollar of revenue.

The substantial shift from positive to negative economic profit and margin in 2014 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying causes. Potential factors could include increased cost of capital, decreased operational efficiency, or unfavorable changes in the competitive landscape. The stability of net revenues suggests that the primary driver of this change lies within the company’s cost structure or capital allocation decisions.