Stock Analysis on Net

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Nike Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes showed a significant increase from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 5,557 million USD in 2022. However, following this peak, NOPAT declined to 2,913 million USD by 2025, demonstrating a downward trend over the last three years.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating slightly around a range of approximately 14.5% to 15.7% throughout the six-year period. The highest recorded cost of capital was 15.67% in 2025, and the lowest was 14.48% in 2024.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased from 19,083 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 22,129 million USD in 2024, before declining to 19,883 million USD in 2025. This indicates growth in the company's capital base over most of the period, with a modest decrease in the final year.
Economic Profit
Economic profit exhibited notable volatility. It started with a negative value of -299 million USD in 2020, then improved significantly to a peak of 2,425 million USD in 2022. Afterward, economic profit declined steadily, turning negative again at -203 million USD by 2025. This pattern suggests fluctuating efficiency in value creation relative to the cost of capital.
Summary of Key Insights
The company experienced strong profitability growth up to 2022, with increasing NOPAT and economic profit indicating effective capital utilization during that time. Despite stable cost of capital rates, the decline in both NOPAT and economic profit after 2022 points to potential challenges in maintaining operational efficiency or market conditions impacting returns. The fluctuation in invested capital also reflects shifts in investment strategy or asset base adjustments in recent years.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Nike Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
Net income shows a significant increase from 2,539 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 6,046 million USD in 2022. However, this is followed by a decline to 5,070 million USD in 2023. There is a partial recovery to 5,700 million USD in 2024 before a sharp decrease to 3,219 million USD in 2025. Overall, net income demonstrates strong growth until 2022, but subsequent years indicate volatility and a downward trend by the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibits a similar pattern to net income, increasing from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to 5,557 million USD in 2022. After peaking, it declines to 5,013 million USD in 2023 and slightly improves to 5,146 million USD in 2024. However, in 2025, NOPAT decreases substantially to 2,913 million USD. This trend aligns closely with net income, illustrating parallel fluctuations in profitability after operating costs and taxes.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT show a growth phase peaking around 2022, followed by a period of decline and instability. The decrease in values in 2025 suggests challenges impacting profitability, potentially due to operational or market conditions. The close alignment between net income and NOPAT indicates consistent operational efficiency relative to income generation before the decline starts.

Cash Operating Taxes

Nike Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense shows a fluctuating trend over the six-year period. It increased significantly from 348 million US dollars in 2020 to 934 million US dollars in 2021, followed by a decline to 605 million in 2022. However, it spiked again to 1,131 million in 2023 before gradually decreasing over the next two years, reaching 666 million in 2025. This pattern indicates volatility in the company's tax obligations, potentially influenced by changes in profitability or tax regulations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have generally trended upward from 764 million US dollars in 2020 to peak at 1,482 million in 2024. Notably, there was rapid growth between 2020 and 2021, and a stabilization phase followed with values remaining above 1,200 million until 2024. A decline is observed in 2025, dropping to 951 million. This suggests variations in operational cash tax payments, potentially reflecting changes in taxable income, tax planning strategies, or cash management.
Comparative Insight
Comparing income tax expense with cash operating taxes reveals some divergence in trends. While income tax expense is more volatile with pronounced peaks and troughs, cash operating taxes show a more gradual rise and fall. This might indicate differing timing or recognition of tax liabilities versus actual cash outflows related to taxes over the years.

Invested Capital

Nike Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Notes payable
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in process6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in process.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrate a consistent downward trend over the observed period. Starting at 13,015 million US dollars at the end of May 2020, the figure gradually decreases each year, reaching 11,018 million US dollars by May 2025. This reduction suggests a strategic effort toward lowering financial leverage or refinancing liabilities on possibly more favorable terms.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity exhibits considerable growth from May 2020 through May 2022, increasing from 8,055 million to a peak of 15,281 million US dollars. However, post-2022, equity experiences a slight decline, settling at 13,213 million by May 2025. The initial increase may indicate retained earnings accumulation or capital infusions, while the subsequent decrease might reflect distributions such as dividends, share repurchases, or changes in retained earnings.
Invested capital
Invested capital shows a fluctuation pattern throughout the period observed. Starting at 19,083 million in May 2020, it rises to a high of 22,129 million by May 2024 before decreasing to 19,883 million in May 2025. This variability could be due to changes in operational asset base, capital expenditures, or working capital adjustments, indicating shifts in investment strategies or business cycles.

Cost of Capital

Nike Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Nike Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic profit trend
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility over the analyzed period. It started with a negative value of -299 million USD in 2020, followed by substantial positive growth in 2021 and 2022, reaching 2,336 million USD and 2,425 million USD respectively. However, a declining trend emerged from 2023 onwards, with economic profit decreasing to 1,986 million USD in 2023 and 1,941 million USD in 2024, and finally turning negative again at -203 million USD in 2025. This indicates a sharp reversal in profitability performance in the most recent year.
Invested capital trend
Invested capital steadily increased from 19,083 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 22,129 million USD in 2024. There was a minor decline in 2023 compared to 2022, but overall the growth trend was consistent until 2024, followed by a decrease to 19,883 million USD in 2025. This suggests a period of expansion in capital deployment until 2024, with a contraction or divestment occurring in the latest period.
Economic spread ratio trend
The economic spread ratio showed a pattern similar to economic profit. It started negative at -1.57% in 2020, then rose sharply to a peak of 11.47% in 2022. After 2022, the ratio exhibited a declining trend, falling to 9.74% in 2023 and 8.77% in 2024. By 2025, the ratio reverted to a negative value of -1.02%, indicating a decline in profitability relative to invested capital during the most recent year.
Overall insights
The data reveals a period of strong economic profit and improved capital efficiency from 2021 to 2022, which deteriorated from 2023 onward. Despite considerable invested capital growth through 2024, the diminishing economic profit and economic spread ratio in the later years suggest challenges in generating adequate returns on capital. The return to negative economic profit and spread in 2025 highlights potential operational or market difficulties impacting the financial performance adversely.

Economic Profit Margin

Nike Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data reveals significant fluctuations in economic profit and revenues over the analyzed period. The economic profit experienced a notable turnaround from a negative value of -$299 million in May 2020 to positive figures peaking at $2,425 million in May 2022. However, after this peak, economic profit exhibited a declining trend, reducing to $1,986 million in May 2023 and further decreasing to $1,941 million in May 2024, before dropping sharply back into negative territory at -$203 million in May 2025.

Revenues demonstrated a generally increasing trend from May 2020 through May 2024, rising from $37,403 million to a high of $51,362 million. This represents consistent growth in sales over multiple years. Nonetheless, in May 2025, revenues contracted noticeably to $46,309 million, indicating a reversal in the prior upward trajectory.

The economic profit margin, reflecting the efficiency and profitability relative to revenues, mirrored the economic profit trend. It improved sharply from -0.8% in 2020 to around 5.2% in 2021 and 2022, signaling enhanced profitability. This margin then declined progressively over the next two years, falling from 3.88% in 2023 to 3.78% in 2024. By May 2025, it turned negative again at -0.44%, aligning with the negative economic profit and lower revenues observed in that period.

Economic Profit
Experienced substantial recovery from a loss in 2020 to gains through 2022, followed by a weakening trend and a return to loss by 2025.
Revenues
Showed steady growth from 2020 to 2024, peaking in the latter year before declining in 2025.
Economic Profit Margin
Followed the pattern of economic profit, rising sharply to over 5% in early years, then decreasing consistently and turning negative in the final year.

Overall, the data suggests that the company experienced a period of strong financial improvement until 2022, with revenues and profitability increasing significantly. However, from 2023 onwards, both profitability and revenues showed signs of weakening, culminating in negative economic profit and margin by 2025. This shift may warrant further investigation into underlying causes and the effectiveness of management strategies during the recent period.