Stock Analysis on Net

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Nike Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT demonstrated a significant increase from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 5,557 million USD in 2022. Subsequently, there was a decline to 2,913 million USD by 2025, indicating a considerable reduction in operating profit over the latter years. This pattern suggests an initial phase of robust profitability followed by challenges impacting operating earnings.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital fluctuated moderately between 14.52% and 15.71% throughout the periods observed. It started at 14.59% in 2020, rose to 15.04% in 2021, and reached its highest point at 15.71% in 2025. This increase in the cost of capital in recent years may imply heightened investment risk or changes in the capital structure or market conditions.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a general upward trend from 19,083 million USD in 2020 to a high of 22,129 million USD in 2024, before decreasing to 19,883 million USD in 2025. This pattern indicates an expansion phase in asset deployment or investment until 2024, followed by a contraction or divestment phase in the last year.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shifted from a negative value of -307 million USD in 2020 to positive territory in the subsequent years, peaking at 2,417 million USD in 2022. Thereafter, economic profit declined to a negative value of -211 million USD in 2025. The trend highlights initial value destruction moving into strong value creation, then a reversal back into value erosion, likely reflecting the combined effects of fluctuating NOPAT and costs of capital.
Summary of Financial Trends
The financial performance exhibited considerable volatility during the analyzed periods. There was a phase of growth in both operating profit and invested capital, coinciding with strong economic profit, followed by a downturn marked by falling NOPAT and economic profit despite fluctuating costs of capital. The increased cost of capital and reduced economic profit in the last year could signal increased financial pressure or deteriorating operational efficiency. Overall, the data reflects cycles of expansion and contraction with implications for value creation.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Nike Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Net income
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income
Net income shows a significant increase from 2,539 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 6,046 million USD in 2022. However, this is followed by a decline to 5,070 million USD in 2023. There is a partial recovery to 5,700 million USD in 2024 before a sharp decrease to 3,219 million USD in 2025. Overall, net income demonstrates strong growth until 2022, but subsequent years indicate volatility and a downward trend by the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibits a similar pattern to net income, increasing from 2,477 million USD in 2020 to 5,557 million USD in 2022. After peaking, it declines to 5,013 million USD in 2023 and slightly improves to 5,146 million USD in 2024. However, in 2025, NOPAT decreases substantially to 2,913 million USD. This trend aligns closely with net income, illustrating parallel fluctuations in profitability after operating costs and taxes.
Overall Trends and Insights
Both net income and NOPAT show a growth phase peaking around 2022, followed by a period of decline and instability. The decrease in values in 2025 suggests challenges impacting profitability, potentially due to operational or market conditions. The close alignment between net income and NOPAT indicates consistent operational efficiency relative to income generation before the decline starts.

Cash Operating Taxes

Nike Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).


Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense shows a fluctuating trend over the six-year period. It increased significantly from 348 million US dollars in 2020 to 934 million US dollars in 2021, followed by a decline to 605 million in 2022. However, it spiked again to 1,131 million in 2023 before gradually decreasing over the next two years, reaching 666 million in 2025. This pattern indicates volatility in the company's tax obligations, potentially influenced by changes in profitability or tax regulations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes have generally trended upward from 764 million US dollars in 2020 to peak at 1,482 million in 2024. Notably, there was rapid growth between 2020 and 2021, and a stabilization phase followed with values remaining above 1,200 million until 2024. A decline is observed in 2025, dropping to 951 million. This suggests variations in operational cash tax payments, potentially reflecting changes in taxable income, tax planning strategies, or cash management.
Comparative Insight
Comparing income tax expense with cash operating taxes reveals some divergence in trends. While income tax expense is more volatile with pronounced peaks and troughs, cash operating taxes show a more gradual rise and fall. This might indicate differing timing or recognition of tax liabilities versus actual cash outflows related to taxes over the years.

Invested Capital

Nike Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Notes payable
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Adjusted shareholders’ equity
Construction in process6
Short-term investments7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to shareholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in process.

7 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases demonstrate a consistent downward trend over the observed period. Starting at 13,015 million US dollars at the end of May 2020, the figure gradually decreases each year, reaching 11,018 million US dollars by May 2025. This reduction suggests a strategic effort toward lowering financial leverage or refinancing liabilities on possibly more favorable terms.
Shareholders’ equity
Shareholders' equity exhibits considerable growth from May 2020 through May 2022, increasing from 8,055 million to a peak of 15,281 million US dollars. However, post-2022, equity experiences a slight decline, settling at 13,213 million by May 2025. The initial increase may indicate retained earnings accumulation or capital infusions, while the subsequent decrease might reflect distributions such as dividends, share repurchases, or changes in retained earnings.
Invested capital
Invested capital shows a fluctuation pattern throughout the period observed. Starting at 19,083 million in May 2020, it rises to a high of 22,129 million by May 2024 before decreasing to 19,883 million in May 2025. This variability could be due to changes in operational asset base, capital expenditures, or working capital adjustments, indicating shifts in investment strategies or business cycles.

Cost of Capital

Nike Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Nike Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
Economic profit experienced a significant recovery from a negative value of -307 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2,417 million US dollars in 2022. Following this peak, there was a gradual decline in economic profit over the subsequent years, reducing to 1,932 million US dollars by 2024. By 2025, the economic profit had turned negative again, reaching -211 million US dollars. This pattern suggests an initial recovery and growth phase followed by deteriorating profitability or increased costs impacting economic profit.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a general upward trend from 19,083 million US dollars in 2020 to a high of 22,129 million US dollars in 2024. However, there was a decline to 19,883 million US dollars in 2025. This indicates that investment in capital assets increased consistently for most of the period, supporting business expansion or enhancement, but was reduced in the last year, which may reflect divestitures, asset write-downs, or strategic adjustments.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio followed a notable pattern with a negative value of -1.61% in 2020, which improved markedly to over 11% in 2021 and 2022, reflecting a strong positive return on invested capital above the cost of capital in those years. From 2023 onward, this ratio decreased steadily to 8.73% in 2024 and turned negative again to -1.06% in 2025. The decline in this ratio, especially turning negative in 2025, signals reduced profitability or increased capital costs impacting value generation.
Summary of Trends
The overall financial data indicate a period of recovery and growth in profitability and capital returns between 2020 and 2022, supported by increasing invested capital. Following the peak in 2022, both economic profit and economic spread ratio show a declining trend, culminating in negative values by 2025. Concurrently, invested capital drops in the final year, suggesting a potential scaling back of investments or restructuring. These patterns highlight a shift from growth to contraction or reduced efficiency in value creation in recent periods.

Economic Profit Margin

Nike Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021 May 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
lululemon athletica inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-05-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Revenues
There was a general upward trend in revenues from 2020 to 2024, increasing from 37,403 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 51,362 million US dollars in 2024. However, in 2025, revenues declined noticeably to 46,309 million US dollars, indicating a reversal of the prior growth trend.
Economic Profit
Economic profit displayed significant volatility over the analyzed period. In 2020, economic profit was negative at -307 million US dollars, but it rose sharply to positive values of 2,328 million US dollars in 2021 and 2,417 million US dollars in 2022. Thereafter, economic profit declined gradually but remained positive through 2024, with values of 1,978, 1,932 million US dollars respectively. In 2025, economic profit again turned negative, dropping to -211 million US dollars. This pattern suggests challenges in maintaining economic profitability despite overall revenue growth until 2024.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrored the fluctuations seen in economic profit values. It was negative in 2020 at -0.82%, then increased sharply to over 5% in 2021 and 2022 (5.23% and 5.17%, respectively). The margin decreased progressively to 3.86% in 2023 and 3.76% in 2024, demonstrating a declining efficiency in generating economic profit relative to revenues. In 2025, the margin slipped back into negative territory at -0.46%, aligning with the drop in economic profit and revenue for that year.
Overall Analysis
The data indicates a phase of recovery and growth from 2020 through 2022, characterized by rising revenues and strong positive economic profits and margins. This growth stabilized somewhat in 2023 and 2024, although there were signs of declining profitability margins. The year 2025 marks a downturn with declines in both revenue and economic profit, accompanied by negative economic profit margin, highlighting potential operational or market challenges adversely impacting financial performance.