Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Nike Inc., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 16.89%
01 FCFF0 2,441
1 FCFF1 2,705 = 2,441 × (1 + 10.81%) 2,314
2 FCFF2 3,012 = 2,705 × (1 + 11.33%) 2,204
3 FCFF3 3,369 = 3,012 × (1 + 11.85%) 2,109
4 FCFF4 3,785 = 3,369 × (1 + 12.36%) 2,027
5 FCFF5 4,273 = 3,785 × (1 + 12.88%) 1,958
5 Terminal value (TV5) 120,200 = 4,273 × (1 + 12.88%) ÷ (16.89%12.88%) 55,073
Intrinsic value of Nike Inc. capital 65,685
Less: Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value) 6,805
Intrinsic value of Nike Inc. common stock 58,880
 
Intrinsic value of Nike Inc. common stock (per share) $39.69
Current share price $41.71

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Nike Inc., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 61,877 0.90 18.47%
Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value) 6,805 0.10 2.59% = 3.14% × (1 – 17.64%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,483,498,703 × $41.71
= $61,876,730,902.13

   Long-term debt, including current portion (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (20.30% + 17.10% + 14.90% + 18.20% + 9.10% + 17.70%) ÷ 6
= 17.64%

WACC = 16.89%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Nike Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average May 31, 2026 May 31, 2025 May 31, 2024 May 31, 2023 May 31, 2022 May 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 228 297 269 291 299 296
Net income 3,108 3,219 5,700 5,070 6,046 5,727
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 20.30% 17.10% 14.90% 18.20% 9.10% 17.70%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 182 246 229 238 272 244
Add: Dividends on common stock 2,430 2,337 2,203 2,059 1,886 1,692
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 2,612 2,583 2,432 2,297 2,158 1,936
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 3,290 3,465 5,929 5,308 6,318 5,971
 
Current portion of long-term debt 2,000 1,000 500
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 5,942 7,961 7,903 8,927 8,920 9,413
Shareholders’ equity 14,865 13,213 14,430 14,004 15,281 12,767
Total capital 22,807 21,174 23,333 22,931 24,701 22,180
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.21 0.25 0.59 0.57 0.66 0.68
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 14.42% 16.37% 25.41% 23.15% 25.58% 26.92%
Averages
RR 0.49
ROIC 21.97%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 10.81%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-05-31).

1 See details »

2026 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 228 × (1 – 20.30%)
= 182

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income + Interest expense, after tax
= 3,108 + 182
= 3,290

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [3,2902,612] ÷ 3,290
= 0.21

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 3,290 ÷ 22,807
= 14.42%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.49 × 21.97%
= 10.81%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (68,682 × 16.89%2,441) ÷ (68,682 + 2,441)
= 12.88%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of Nike Inc. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year Nike Inc. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of Nike Inc. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

Nike Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 10.81%
2 g2 11.33%
3 g3 11.85%
4 g4 12.36%
5 and thereafter g5 12.88%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.81% + (12.88%10.81%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 11.33%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.81% + (12.88%10.81%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 11.85%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 10.81% + (12.88%10.81%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 12.36%