Stock Analysis on Net

lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

lululemon athletica inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,600,923 1,928,398 1,622,788 933,695 1,040,291 680,052
Cost of capital2 18.13% 18.96% 19.18% 19.12% 19.22% 19.24%
Invested capital3 6,957,618 6,507,336 5,978,501 4,526,979 3,909,051 3,672,427
 
Economic profit4 339,839 694,547 475,901 68,221 289,140 (26,403)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2026 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,600,92318.13% × 6,957,618 = 339,839


The financial trajectory indicates a transition from initial value destruction to a period of significant economic value creation, reaching a zenith in 2025 before experiencing a contraction in 2026.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT demonstrated substantial growth between 2021 and 2025, rising from 680,052 thousand to 1,928,398 thousand. While a temporary dip was observed in 2023, the overall trend remained positive until 2026, when profit decreased to 1,600,923 thousand.
Capital Investment and Cost of Capital
A consistent expansion of the capital base is evident, with invested capital growing annually from 3,672,427 thousand in 2021 to 6,957,618 thousand in 2026. The cost of capital remained highly stable, oscillating around 19% for five years before a notable decrease to 18.13% in the final period.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit turned positive in 2022, following a negative result of -26,403 thousand in 2021. Value creation peaked in 2025 at 694,547 thousand. The subsequent decline to 339,839 thousand in 2026 reflects the impact of declining NOPAT occurring simultaneously with a continued increase in invested capital, which effectively expanded the total capital charge despite the reduction in the cost of capital percentage.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

lululemon athletica inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Net income 1,579,183 1,814,616 1,550,190 854,800 975,322 588,913
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (49,054) 58,379 (26,747) 9,400 (6,867) 34,125
Increase (decrease) in unredeemed gift card liability2 8,280 1,873 55,001 43,283 52,347 35,435
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 (40,774) 60,252 28,254 52,683 45,480 69,560
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 79,131 67,759 56,131 33,180 24,669 27,315
Adjusted interest expense 79,131 67,759 56,131 33,180 24,669 27,315
Tax benefit of interest expense5 (16,618) (14,229) (11,788) (6,968) (5,181) (5,736)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6 62,514 53,530 44,344 26,212 19,489 21,579
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,600,923 1,928,398 1,622,788 933,695 1,040,291 680,052

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in unredeemed gift card liability.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.

4 2026 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,798,441 × 4.40% = 79,131

5 2026 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 79,131 × 21.00% = 16,618

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and net income both demonstrate a general upward trajectory over the observed period, though with some fluctuations. NOPAT consistently exceeds net income throughout the timeframe, indicating the presence of non-operating expenses or other factors reducing reported net income.

Overall Trend
From January 31, 2021, to February 1, 2026, NOPAT generally increased. A significant rise is observed between 2022 and 2024, followed by a slight decrease in the most recent year presented. The period between 2021 and 2024 shows a robust growth pattern.
Year-over-Year Changes
NOPAT increased from US$680,052 thousand in 2021 to US$1,040,291 thousand in 2022, representing a substantial year-over-year growth. A moderate decrease occurred between 2022 and 2023, with NOPAT reaching US$933,695 thousand. However, 2024 saw a significant rebound, with NOPAT climbing to US$1,622,788 thousand. The growth slowed in 2025, reaching US$1,928,398 thousand, and then decreased slightly to US$1,600,923 thousand in 2026.
Relationship to Net Income
The difference between NOPAT and net income remains positive across all reported years. This suggests that non-operating items, such as interest expense or one-time gains/losses, are impacting the bottom line. The magnitude of this difference varies year to year, but consistently, NOPAT provides a higher measure of operating profitability than net income.
Recent Performance
The most recent two years (2025 and 2026) show a deceleration in NOPAT growth. While NOPAT increased from 2024 to 2025, it decreased from 2025 to 2026. This shift warrants further investigation to determine the underlying causes, such as changes in operating costs, revenue growth, or tax rates.

In summary, the organization demonstrates a generally positive trend in NOPAT over the analyzed period, with a notable acceleration in growth between 2021 and 2024. However, the recent slowdown in growth suggests a potential shift in the company’s operating performance that merits further scrutiny.

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Cash Operating Taxes

lululemon athletica inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Income tax expense 659,784 761,461 625,545 477,771 358,547 230,437
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (49,054) 58,379 (26,747) 9,400 (6,867) 34,125
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 16,618 14,229 11,788 6,968 5,181 5,736
Cash operating taxes 725,456 717,311 664,080 475,339 370,595 202,048

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).


The reported income tax expense and cash operating taxes demonstrate a consistent upward trend from 2021 through 2024, followed by a slight shift in 2025 and 2026. Both metrics increased substantially over the observed period, indicating a growing tax burden alongside overall financial performance.

Income Tax Expense Trend
Income tax expense increased from US$230.437 million in 2021 to US$625.545 million in 2024, representing a significant rise. This growth slowed in 2025, with expense reaching US$761.461 million, before decreasing to US$659.784 million in 2026. The 2026 value, while lower than 2025, remains considerably higher than the 2021 figure.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes mirrored the trend of income tax expense, increasing from US$202.048 million in 2021 to US$664.080 million in 2024. Similar to income tax expense, the rate of increase moderated in 2025, reaching US$717.311 million, and then increased slightly to US$725.456 million in 2026. The 2026 value is substantially higher than the 2021 amount.
Relationship Between Metrics
Cash operating taxes consistently remained below income tax expense across all reported years. The difference between the two metrics varied annually, but generally remained within a range of approximately US$20 million to US$50 million. This suggests potential timing differences in the recognition of tax liabilities and actual cash payments.

The observed increases in both income tax expense and cash operating taxes likely correlate with increased profitability. The slight decrease in income tax expense in 2026, while cash operating taxes continued to rise, warrants further investigation to determine the underlying cause, potentially related to deferred tax asset adjustments or changes in tax regulations.

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Invested Capital

lululemon athletica inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Operating lease liability1 1,798,441 1,575,791 1,403,282 1,070,334 881,052 798,681
Total reported debt & leases 1,798,441 1,575,791 1,403,282 1,070,334 881,052 798,681
Stockholders’ equity 4,961,840 4,324,047 4,232,081 3,148,799 2,740,046 2,558,566
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 28,241 81,103 20,346 48,682 47,261 52,024
Unredeemed gift card liability3 316,632 308,352 306,479 251,478 208,195 155,848
Equity equivalents4 344,873 389,455 326,825 300,160 255,456 207,872
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 230,690 424,441 264,256 252,584 195,917 177,155
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 5,537,403 5,137,943 4,823,162 3,701,543 3,191,419 2,943,593
Work in progress6 (378,226) (206,398) (247,943) (244,898) (163,420) (69,847)
Invested capital 6,957,618 6,507,336 5,978,501 4,526,979 3,909,051 3,672,427

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of unredeemed gift card liability.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of work in progress.


Over the observed six-year period, a consistent upward trend is evident in all three financial items presented. Total reported debt & leases, stockholders’ equity, and invested capital all demonstrate growth from January 31, 2021, through February 1, 2026. The rate of increase, however, varies across these items.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases exhibits a steady increase throughout the period, beginning at US$798,681 thousand in 2021 and reaching US$1,798,441 thousand in 2026. The growth appears to accelerate from 2023 onwards, with larger absolute increases year-over-year compared to the earlier period. This suggests a potential shift towards increased reliance on debt financing or significant capital lease obligations.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity also shows consistent growth, starting at US$2,558,566 thousand in 2021 and culminating in US$4,961,840 thousand in 2026. While the growth is consistent, the rate of increase is notably higher between 2022 and 2024, indicating substantial increases in retained earnings or equity issuances during those years. The rate of growth moderates in the final two years.
Invested Capital
Invested capital, representing the sum of debt and equity, demonstrates the most substantial growth in absolute terms. It increases from US$3,672,427 thousand in 2021 to US$6,957,618 thousand in 2026. The growth trajectory mirrors the combined trends of debt and equity, with a pronounced acceleration beginning in 2023. This indicates a significant expansion of the company’s asset base funded by both debt and equity.

The consistent growth in invested capital, coupled with the accelerating trend in debt, warrants further investigation into the company’s capital allocation strategy and its ability to generate returns commensurate with the increased capital employed. The relative proportions of debt and equity within invested capital also merit attention, as changes in this mix can impact financial risk and cost of capital.

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Cost of Capital

lululemon athletica inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 18,411,394 18,411,394 ÷ 20,209,835 = 0.91 0.91 × 19.56% = 17.82%
Operating lease liability3 1,798,441 1,798,441 ÷ 20,209,835 = 0.09 0.09 × 4.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.31%
Total: 20,209,835 1.00 18.13%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 41,201,220 41,201,220 ÷ 42,777,011 = 0.96 0.96 × 19.56% = 18.84%
Operating lease liability3 1,575,791 1,575,791 ÷ 42,777,011 = 0.04 0.04 × 4.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.13%
Total: 42,777,011 1.00 18.96%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 60,337,715 60,337,715 ÷ 61,740,997 = 0.98 0.98 × 19.56% = 19.11%
Operating lease liability3 1,403,282 1,403,282 ÷ 61,740,997 = 0.02 0.02 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 61,740,997 1.00 19.18%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 40,732,106 40,732,106 ÷ 41,802,440 = 0.97 0.97 × 19.56% = 19.06%
Operating lease liability3 1,070,334 1,070,334 ÷ 41,802,440 = 0.03 0.03 × 3.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.06%
Total: 41,802,440 1.00 19.12%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 43,998,362 43,998,362 ÷ 44,879,414 = 0.98 0.98 × 19.56% = 19.17%
Operating lease liability3 881,052 881,052 ÷ 44,879,414 = 0.02 0.02 × 2.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 44,879,414 1.00 19.22%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 41,338,271 41,338,271 ÷ 42,136,952 = 0.98 0.98 × 19.56% = 19.19%
Operating lease liability3 798,681 798,681 ÷ 42,136,952 = 0.02 0.02 × 3.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 42,136,952 1.00 19.24%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

lululemon athletica inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 339,839 694,547 475,901 68,221 289,140 (26,403)
Invested capital2 6,957,618 6,507,336 5,978,501 4,526,979 3,909,051 3,672,427
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 4.88% 10.67% 7.96% 1.51% 7.40% -0.72%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Nike Inc. -3.69% 6.34% 7.24% 8.98% 8.58%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2026 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 339,839 ÷ 6,957,618 = 4.88%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The trajectory of economic value creation demonstrates a recovery from initial value destruction to a period of significant value generation, though recent results indicate a decelerating trend. The relationship between the expanding capital base and the volatile economic profit highlights fluctuations in capital efficiency over the analyzed period.

Invested Capital Expansion
Invested capital shows a persistent and linear increase, growing from 3.67 billion USD in January 2021 to approximately 6.96 billion USD by February 2026. This represents a substantial and steady commitment of resources toward the growth of the operational base.
Economic Spread Ratio Dynamics
The economic spread ratio experienced significant volatility, starting at -0.72% in 2021 before climbing to a peak of 10.67% in February 2025. This trajectory indicates a phase where the return on invested capital significantly exceeded the cost of capital. However, a subsequent contraction to 4.88% in February 2026 suggests a decline in the marginal efficiency of the deployed capital.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit shifted from a deficit of 26.4 million USD in 2021 to a zenith of 694.5 million USD in February 2025. The observed dip in 2023 to 68.2 million USD and the final decrease in 2026 to 339.8 million USD correlate with the fluctuations in the spread ratio, indicating that while positive value is still being created, the magnitude of this creation has diminished relative to the total invested capital.

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Economic Profit Margin

lululemon athletica inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Feb 1, 2026 Feb 2, 2025 Jan 28, 2024 Jan 29, 2023 Jan 30, 2022 Jan 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 339,839 694,547 475,901 68,221 289,140 (26,403)
 
Net revenue 11,102,600 10,588,126 9,619,278 8,110,518 6,256,617 4,401,879
Add: Increase (decrease) in unredeemed gift card liability 8,280 1,873 55,001 43,283 52,347 35,435
Adjusted net revenue 11,110,880 10,589,999 9,674,279 8,153,801 6,308,964 4,437,314
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 3.06% 6.56% 4.92% 0.84% 4.58% -0.60%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Nike Inc. -1.58% 2.73% 2.88% 4.06% 4.05%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2026-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2025-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2026 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net revenue
= 100 × 339,839 ÷ 11,110,880 = 3.06%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance across the analyzed period is characterized by consistent revenue expansion coupled with significant volatility in economic value creation. While the top line demonstrated uninterrupted growth, the ability to generate economic profit above the cost of capital fluctuated, indicating varying levels of capital efficiency.

Adjusted Net Revenue Trends
A sustained upward trajectory is observed in adjusted net revenue, which grew from 4.44 billion USD in January 2021 to 11.11 billion USD by February 2026. This represents a steady increase in market scale and sales volume throughout the six-year period.
Economic Profit Fluctuations
Economic profit exhibited substantial volatility, beginning with a deficit of 26.4 million USD in 2021. After a recovery in 2022, a sharp contraction occurred in 2023, where profit fell to 68.2 million USD. A strong recovery followed, peaking at 694.5 million USD in 2025, before declining to 339.8 million USD in 2026.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of absolute economic profit. The margin transitioned from a negative 0.60% in 2021 to a peak of 6.56% in 2025. However, a notable compression is evident in the final period, with the margin dropping to 3.06% in 2026 despite the continued increase in adjusted net revenue. This divergence suggests that the cost of capital or operating expenses increased at a rate that outpaced value creation in the final year.

Overall, the data indicates that while the organization successfully scaled its operations, the efficiency of its value creation was inconsistent. The peak performance in 2025 was followed by a marked decrease in the economic profit margin, signaling a reduction in the surplus generated relative to the capital employed.

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