Stock Analysis on Net

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Intel Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial performance from 2021 to 2025 is characterized by a transition from value creation to substantial economic value destruction. While the company generated a positive economic profit in 2021, a severe downward trajectory ensued, reaching a nadir in 2024 before showing signs of marginal recovery in 2025.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A precipitous decline in NOPAT is observed, falling from 19,493 million US$ in 2021 to a peak deficit of 13,095 million US$ in 2024. Although NOPAT returned to a positive value of 577 million US$ in 2025, this figure remains significantly below 2021 levels, indicating a period of extreme operational volatility.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2024, ranging from 88,498 million US$ to 92,296 million US$, before experiencing a sharp increase to 116,604 million US$ in 2025. Concurrently, the cost of capital fluctuated within a range of 15.87% to 19.23%, concluding the period at its highest point in 2025.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit shifted from a positive 3,033 million US$ in 2021 to increasingly negative values, reaching a peak loss of 27,741 million US$ in 2024. This trend reflects a widening gap where operating returns were insufficient to cover the cost of capital. Despite a slight improvement to -21,846 million US$ in 2025, the company continues to exhibit a state of significant economic value destruction.

The overall pattern suggests that the combination of collapsing NOPAT and expanding invested capital compounded the erosion of economic profit. The significant surge in invested capital in 2025, paired with a rising cost of capital, has offset the modest recovery in operating profits, sustaining a deeply negative economic profit profile.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Intel Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Net income (loss) attributable to Intel
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

4 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

7 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance, as indicated by Net Income and Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT), demonstrates significant volatility over the five-year period. A marked decline in profitability is evident, particularly in the latter years of the observed timeframe.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT began at US$19,493 million in 2021. A substantial decrease was observed in 2022, falling to US$3,672 million. This downward trend continued into 2023, with NOPAT becoming negative at -US$1,469 million. The decline accelerated in 2024, reaching a low of -US$13,095 million. A modest recovery is indicated in 2025, with NOPAT reported at US$577 million, though still significantly below the 2021 level.

The trajectory of NOPAT closely mirrors the trend in Net Income attributable to Intel, although the magnitudes of the changes differ. Both metrics show a strong negative correlation, suggesting that changes in operational profitability are a primary driver of overall net income fluctuations. The substantial losses in 2024 represent a significant shift in financial performance, followed by a limited positive adjustment in 2025.

Relationship between Net Income and NOPAT
While both metrics initially show positive values, they both experience a significant downturn. The negative NOPAT values in 2023, 2024, and to a lesser extent 2025, indicate that the company’s operating profits are insufficient to cover its after-tax cost of capital during those periods. The return to positive NOPAT in 2025, albeit small, suggests a potential stabilization or early stage of recovery.

The considerable fluctuations in NOPAT warrant further investigation to determine the underlying causes, such as changes in revenue, operating expenses, tax rates, or capital structure. The shift from substantial profitability in 2021 to significant losses in 2024 represents a critical period requiring detailed analysis.


Cash Operating Taxes

Intel Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Provision for (benefit from) taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).


The provision for taxes exhibits significant volatility over the observed period. Initially positive in 2021, it transitioned to negative values in both 2022 and 2023 before becoming substantially positive in 2024 and moderating in 2025. Conversely, cash operating taxes demonstrate a more consistent, though fluctuating, pattern. A notable increase is observed from 2021 to 2022, followed by a substantial decrease in 2023, and a subsequent rise in 2024, before declining again in 2025.

Provision for Taxes Trend
In 2021, a provision for taxes of US$1,835 million was recorded. This shifted dramatically to a benefit of US$249 million in 2022, and further to a benefit of US$913 million in 2023. A significant reversal occurred in 2024, with a provision of US$8,023 million, followed by a decrease to US$1,531 million in 2025. This pattern suggests considerable fluctuations in taxable income or the utilization of tax loss carryforwards or credits.
Cash Operating Taxes Trend
Cash operating taxes increased from US$2,675 million in 2021 to US$4,893 million in 2022. A substantial decline was then recorded in 2023, falling to US$1,005 million. These taxes increased again in 2024 to US$1,916 million, before decreasing to US$1,223 million in 2025. The changes in cash taxes do not directly correlate with the provision for taxes, indicating potential timing differences between book and tax accounting.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
The divergence between the provision for taxes and cash operating taxes is particularly pronounced in 2022 and 2023. The benefit recorded in the provision for taxes during these years, coupled with relatively high cash taxes in 2022, suggests deferred tax assets may have been impacted. The large provision in 2024, alongside lower cash taxes, could indicate the reversal of these deferred tax assets or a change in taxable income.

The observed patterns suggest a complex tax position, potentially influenced by factors such as changes in tax laws, jurisdictional mix of income, and the utilization of tax planning strategies. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these fluctuations would be necessary to fully understand the implications for economic value added.


Invested Capital

Intel Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Intel stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Accrued restructuring balance3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Intel stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of accrued restructuring balance.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Intel stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The reported invested capital demonstrates a generally increasing trend over the five-year period, although with some fluctuation. Total reported debt & leases and total stockholders’ equity contribute to this figure, and their individual movements influence the overall invested capital value.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2022, at approximately US$88.5 billion. A moderate increase was observed in 2023, reaching US$92.1 billion, and continued into 2024, reaching US$92.3 billion. A significant increase is then apparent in 2025, with invested capital rising to US$116.6 billion. This substantial growth in the final year suggests a considerable expansion in the company’s capital base.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases exhibited an upward trend from 2021 to 2023, increasing from US$38.6 billion to US$49.7 billion. The rate of increase slowed in 2024, with a marginal rise to US$50.5 billion, followed by a decrease in 2025 to US$47.0 billion. This suggests a period of increased borrowing followed by stabilization and then a reduction in debt obligations.
Stockholders’ Equity
Total stockholders’ equity generally increased throughout the period. It rose from US$95.4 billion in 2021 to US$105.6 billion in 2023. A slight decrease was noted in 2024, falling to US$99.3 billion, before a substantial increase to US$114.3 billion in 2025. This indicates growing shareholder investment and retained earnings, with a temporary dip before a significant rebound.

The combined effect of these movements in debt and equity is reflected in the overall trend of invested capital. The substantial increase in invested capital in 2025 is likely driven by the significant growth in stockholders’ equity, partially offset by a decrease in debt. The relatively stable invested capital figures from 2021-2024 suggest a period of consistent, but not expansive, capital allocation.


Cost of Capital

Intel Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Intel Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2021 to 2025 is characterized by a transition from value creation to a period of substantial value destruction, with signs of stabilization appearing in the final year. The overall trend indicates a significant erosion of economic profit that peaked in 2024 before showing a modest recovery in 2025.

Economic Profit Trends
A sharp reversal in economic profit is observed after 2021, where a positive value of 3,033 million USD shifted to a deficit of 11,670 million USD in 2022. This downward trajectory continued through 2024, reaching a minimum of -27,741 million USD. A partial recovery occurred in 2025, with losses narrowing to -21,846 million USD, although the figure remains significantly below the 2021 baseline.
Invested Capital Growth
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2024, fluctuating within a narrow range from 88,498 million USD to 92,296 million USD. However, a substantial increase is noted in 2025, where invested capital rose to 116,604 million USD. This represents a significant expansion of the capital base during a period when the company was attempting to reverse economic losses.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio demonstrates a severe decline from a positive 3.43% in 2021 to a low of -30.06% in 2024, indicating that the return on invested capital fell significantly below the cost of capital. Despite the continued negative status, the ratio improved to -18.74% in 2025. The improvement in this ratio is particularly noteworthy given the simultaneous increase in invested capital, suggesting an increase in the efficiency of capital utilization or a reduction in the gap between actual returns and the required cost of capital.

Economic Profit Margin

Intel Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from 2021 to 2025 reflects a period of significant value erosion, characterized by a transition from positive economic value creation to substantial economic losses. This decline is marked by a concurrent contraction in net revenue and a steep deterioration in the economic profit margin, although a slight recovery in margins is observable in the final year of the period.

Net Revenue Trend
A consistent downward trend in net revenue is observed, falling from 79,024 million US$ in 2021 to 52,853 million US$ by 2025. The most significant contraction occurred between 2021 and 2023, after which the revenue decline slowed, reaching a state of relative stabilization in 2024 and 2025.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit shifted from a positive position of 3,033 million US$ in 2021 to deep negative territory, indicating that the company failed to cover its cost of capital. The losses widened progressively each year, reaching a peak deficit of 27,741 million US$ in 2024. A marginal improvement occurred in 2025, with the loss narrowing to 21,846 million US$, though the company remained in a state of significant value destruction.
Economic Profit Margin Performance
The economic profit margin mirrors the volatility of the absolute economic profit, collapsing from a positive 3.84% in 2021 to a low of -52.24% in 2024. This rapid deterioration suggests that the cost of capital and operating inefficiencies heavily outweighed revenue generation during this period. The increase to -41.33% in 2025 indicates a reduction in the rate of value destruction, though the margin remains deeply negative.