Stock Analysis on Net

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Paying user area

The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.


We accept:

Visa Mastercard American Express Maestro Discover JCB PayPal Apple Pay Google Pay
Visa Secure Mastercard Identity Check American Express SafeKey

Economic Profit

Intel Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data reveals several notable trends regarding the company's profitability and capital efficiency over the five-year period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited a declining trend from 2020 through 2024. Initially, in 2020, it was notably strong at $22,960 million, followed by a decrease to $19,493 million in 2021. A sharp drop occurred in 2022 to $3,672 million, subsequently turning negative in 2023 at -$1,469 million and further declining to -$13,095 million in 2024. This indicates a deterioration in core operating profitability over time.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital showed slight fluctuations but generally followed a marginal downward trend overall. Starting at 13.53% in 2020, it decreased to 13.17% in 2021 and further to 12.35% in 2022, then rose again to 13.12% in 2023, and finally declined to 11.54% in 2024. This moderate decline could reflect changes in the company’s risk profile or financing environment.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased steadily throughout the period, from $81,967 million in 2020 to $92,296 million in 2024. This gradual increase reflects ongoing investments or asset growth despite the profitability challenges faced.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, representing value creation over and above the cost of capital, followed a downward trajectory. It started strongly at $11,872 million in 2020, then declined to $7,838 million in 2021. From 2022 onward, economic profit turned negative, at -$7,279 million, further declining to -$13,549 million in 2023, and reaching -$23,743 million in 2024. This signals a growing gap where returns are no longer sufficient to cover the cost of capital, implying value destruction in recent years.

In summary, the data illustrates a significant decline in profitability and economic value generation. While invested capital grew moderately, the company’s operating returns have deteriorated substantially, turning negative in the latest two years. Despite a modest decline in the cost of capital, the negative economic profit indicates increasing inefficiencies or challenges in generating returns that exceed the capital costs.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Intel Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Intel
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Intel
The net income attributable to the company demonstrates a declining trend over the observed five-year period. In 2020, net income was robust at 20,899 million US dollars, followed by a slight decline to 19,868 million in 2021. Subsequently, the net income sharply decreased to 8,014 million in 2022 and further declined to a marginal 1,689 million in 2023. The latest period, 2024, shows a significant shift with a reported net loss of 18,756 million US dollars, indicating considerable financial challenges during this year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values depict a similar downward trajectory over the same timeline. The highest NOPAT figure was recorded in 2020 at 22,960 million US dollars. This declined moderately to 19,493 million in 2021, followed by a steeper drop to 3,672 million in 2022. In 2023, the company reported a negative NOPAT of 1,469 million, which further deteriorated to a negative 13,095 million in 2024. This trend points to declining operational profitability and indicates increasing operational inefficiencies or challenges.
Overall Analysis
Both net income and NOPAT exhibit a consistent decline throughout the period, culminating in losses by 2024. The transition from substantial profits in earlier years to losses in recent years suggests significant adverse developments in the company's financial performance. The negative figures in both metrics for the last two years highlight deteriorating profitability and may reflect increased costs, reduced revenues, or other operational difficulties. The gap between net income and NOPAT remains relatively consistent in direction, affirming that operating profitability issues are a key factor in the overall financial decline.

Cash Operating Taxes

Intel Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in tax-related figures over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024. Two primary tax metrics are observed: the provision for (benefit from) taxes and cash operating taxes, both measured in millions of U.S. dollars.

Provision for (benefit from) taxes
In 2020, the provision was a positive value of $4,179 million, indicating a tax expense. This figure decreased significantly to $1,835 million in 2021, suggesting a reduction in tax expense. In the subsequent years, the provision turned negative, at -$249 million in 2022 and further to -$913 million in 2023, which reflects a tax benefit (or potential tax credits/refunds) recognized by the company during these periods. However, in 2024, there is a sharp reversal, with the provision rising dramatically to $8,023 million, representing a substantial tax expense increase compared to previous years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a steady increase from $2,488 million in 2020 to $2,675 million in 2021. This upward trend accelerated in 2022, reaching $4,893 million, which is a significant increase. However, the amount decreased substantially in 2023 to $1,005 million, before rising again in 2024 to $1,916 million. These movements suggest variability in the actual cash taxes paid, which do not exactly mirror the trends observed in the provision for taxes. The divergence between provision and cash taxes particularly in 2022 and 2023 highlights potential timing differences or adjustments related to deferred tax assets/liabilities or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data indicates volatility in tax expense recognition and cash taxes paid across the five years. The negative provisions in 2022 and 2023 contrast with the cash taxes paid, implying tax benefits recorded in the accounts that did not translate immediately into cash savings. The sharp increase in provision in 2024, alongside rising cash tax payments, may reflect changes in tax regulations, adjustments, or an increase in taxable income. The inconsistencies between provision and cash taxes underscore complexities in the tax treatment and possibly strategic tax management during this period.


Invested Capital

Intel Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Intel stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Accrued restructuring balance3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Intel stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of accrued restructuring balance.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Intel stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data reveals several key trends pertaining to the company's debt, equity, and invested capital over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Total reported debt & leases
This metric shows a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 36,928 million USD in 2020, it increased annually, reaching 50,471 million USD by 2024. The growth rate appears to accelerate particularly between 2022 and 2023, indicating increased leverage or obligations in recent years.
Total Intel stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity also trended upward from 81,038 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 105,590 million USD in 2023. However, there is a noticeable decline in 2024, where equity decreased to 99,270 million USD. This dip after steady growth may suggest changes in retained earnings, dividend payments, share buybacks, or other equity-related activities impacting shareholders' net assets.
Invested capital
Invested capital rose more moderately compared to debt and equity. It increased from 81,967 million USD in 2020 to 92,296 million USD in 2024. While the upward movement is steady, the increments between years are smaller, and the curve flattens especially between 2022 and 2024, indicating stability or slower growth in capital investments relative to debt expansion.

In summary, the company's debt obligations have increased significantly, suggesting higher leverage or financing activities. While stockholders’ equity showed robust growth until 2023, a decline in 2024 raises questions about changes in capital structure or profitability. Invested capital growth is present but more restrained, reflecting cautious or stable investment in assets. These patterns collectively highlight a shift towards increased debt financing with potential impacts on shareholder value and capital deployment strategies.


Cost of Capital

Intel Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Intel Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
There is a clear downward trend in economic profit over the five-year period. Starting from a strong positive value of 11,872 million US dollars in 2020, economic profit declined significantly to 7,838 million in 2021. The metric then shifted into negative territory in 2022, registering a loss of 7,279 million US dollars, and the negative trend continued through 2023 and 2024 with values of -13,549 million and -23,743 million respectively. This indicates deteriorating profitability, possibly reflecting challenges in generating returns above the cost of capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital displayed a gradual increase during the period. Beginning at 81,967 million US dollars in 2020, it rose steadily to 88,498 million in 2021 and remained relatively stable through 2022 at 88,671 million. The upward trend resumed in 2023 and 2024, reaching 92,095 million and 92,296 million respectively. This suggests continued capital deployment or asset base expansion despite the declining economic profit.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio follows a trajectory similar to economic profit, with a significant decline observed from 14.48% in 2020 to 8.86% in 2021. It then turned negative in 2022 at -8.21%, worsening substantially to -14.71% in 2023 and further to -25.73% in 2024. This ratio reflects the difference between returns on invested capital and the cost of capital, and its negative trend indicates that the returns have increasingly fallen below the cost, contributing to value erosion.
Overall Analysis
The financial data reveals a consistent pattern where invested capital has increased modestly while both economic profit and economic spread ratio have declined sharply, shifting from positive to significantly negative figures within the observed timeline. This combination suggests that despite continued investment, the company's ability to generate value from its capital has deteriorated, raising concerns about operational efficiency, cost management, or competitive pressures impacting profitability and return on investment.

Economic Profit Margin

Intel Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial data indicates a declining trend in the company's economic profitability over the observed periods. Economic profit decreased sharply from a positive figure of 11,872 million US dollars in 2020 to increasingly negative values, reaching -23,743 million US dollars in 2024. This suggests the company moved from generating significant economic profit to substantial economic losses over these years.

Net revenue also shows a downward trajectory. Beginning with 77,867 million US dollars in 2020, it rose slightly to 79,024 million in 2021, but subsequently decreased to 63,054 million in 2022, 54,228 million in 2023, and further to 53,101 million in 2024. This decline in revenue may have contributed to the deterioration in economic profit.

The economic profit margin mirrors this negative trend. It started at a healthy 15.25% in 2020, then fell to 9.92% in 2021, before turning negative in 2022 at -11.54%. The margin deepened its negative position in the following years, reaching -24.98% in 2023 and -44.71% in 2024. This decline reflects worsening efficiency or profitability relative to revenue.

Overall, the data reveals that the company is experiencing a significant downward shift in both revenue and profitability metrics. The persistent negative economic profit and declining profit margin indicate potential operational challenges or increased costs impacting financial performance through the years analyzed.