Stock Analysis on Net

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Intel Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data exhibits significant trends and shifts over the five-year period analyzed. The net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) demonstrates a stark decline, starting from a substantial positive value and plunging into negative territory in the latter years. This decline indicates deteriorating operating profitability, with a particularly sharp negative turnaround beginning in the year ending December 31, 2022, and continuing to deepen through December 28, 2024.

The cost of capital shows a gradual decrease over the period. Beginning at 13.68% in 2020, it decreases to 11.65% by the end of 2024. This decline could suggest lower risk or borrowing costs associated with invested capital, potentially reflecting broader market conditions or changes in capital structure.

Invested capital exhibits steady growth, increasing from approximately $81.97 billion to $92.3 billion over the five-year span. This growth in invested capital despite falling profitability may indicate ongoing investments or acquisitions, or possibly higher asset or working capital requirements.

The economic profit metric sharply declines throughout the period, moving from a positive value of $11.75 billion in 2020 to a significantly negative $23.85 billion by 2024. This metric combines the effects of both profit and cost of capital, emphasizing the worsening value creation for the company. The progressive negative economic profit highlights the company’s decreasing ability to generate returns above its cost of capital, ultimately reflecting declining value generation over time.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
Strong decline from positive to negative values, signaling worsening operating profitability.
Cost of Capital
Gradual decline over five years, potentially indicating reduced financial risk or refinancing benefits.
Invested Capital
Consistent increase, suggesting sustained or growing investment despite profitability deterioration.
Economic Profit
Shift from substantial positive economic profit to deep negative territory, reflecting eroding value creation and returns below the cost of capital.

Overall, the data reveals a challenging financial performance characterized by declining operating profits and economic value, even as invested capital grows and the cost of capital decreases. This combination indicates a potential need for strategic reassessment to address declining profitability and enhance shareholder value creation.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Intel Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net income (loss) attributable to Intel
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring balance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Intel.

7 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Intel
The net income attributable to the company demonstrates a declining trend over the observed five-year period. In 2020, net income was robust at 20,899 million US dollars, followed by a slight decline to 19,868 million in 2021. Subsequently, the net income sharply decreased to 8,014 million in 2022 and further declined to a marginal 1,689 million in 2023. The latest period, 2024, shows a significant shift with a reported net loss of 18,756 million US dollars, indicating considerable financial challenges during this year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values depict a similar downward trajectory over the same timeline. The highest NOPAT figure was recorded in 2020 at 22,960 million US dollars. This declined moderately to 19,493 million in 2021, followed by a steeper drop to 3,672 million in 2022. In 2023, the company reported a negative NOPAT of 1,469 million, which further deteriorated to a negative 13,095 million in 2024. This trend points to declining operational profitability and indicates increasing operational inefficiencies or challenges.
Overall Analysis
Both net income and NOPAT exhibit a consistent decline throughout the period, culminating in losses by 2024. The transition from substantial profits in earlier years to losses in recent years suggests significant adverse developments in the company's financial performance. The negative figures in both metrics for the last two years highlight deteriorating profitability and may reflect increased costs, reduced revenues, or other operational difficulties. The gap between net income and NOPAT remains relatively consistent in direction, affirming that operating profitability issues are a key factor in the overall financial decline.

Cash Operating Taxes

Intel Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in tax-related figures over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024. Two primary tax metrics are observed: the provision for (benefit from) taxes and cash operating taxes, both measured in millions of U.S. dollars.

Provision for (benefit from) taxes
In 2020, the provision was a positive value of $4,179 million, indicating a tax expense. This figure decreased significantly to $1,835 million in 2021, suggesting a reduction in tax expense. In the subsequent years, the provision turned negative, at -$249 million in 2022 and further to -$913 million in 2023, which reflects a tax benefit (or potential tax credits/refunds) recognized by the company during these periods. However, in 2024, there is a sharp reversal, with the provision rising dramatically to $8,023 million, representing a substantial tax expense increase compared to previous years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a steady increase from $2,488 million in 2020 to $2,675 million in 2021. This upward trend accelerated in 2022, reaching $4,893 million, which is a significant increase. However, the amount decreased substantially in 2023 to $1,005 million, before rising again in 2024 to $1,916 million. These movements suggest variability in the actual cash taxes paid, which do not exactly mirror the trends observed in the provision for taxes. The divergence between provision and cash taxes particularly in 2022 and 2023 highlights potential timing differences or adjustments related to deferred tax assets/liabilities or tax planning strategies.

Overall, the data indicates volatility in tax expense recognition and cash taxes paid across the five years. The negative provisions in 2022 and 2023 contrast with the cash taxes paid, implying tax benefits recorded in the accounts that did not translate immediately into cash savings. The sharp increase in provision in 2024, alongside rising cash tax payments, may reflect changes in tax regulations, adjustments, or an increase in taxable income. The inconsistencies between provision and cash taxes underscore complexities in the tax treatment and possibly strategic tax management during this period.


Invested Capital

Intel Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Short-term debt
Long-term debt
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Intel stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Accrued restructuring balance3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Intel stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Marketable securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of accrued restructuring balance.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Intel stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities.


The financial data reveals several key trends pertaining to the company's debt, equity, and invested capital over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Total reported debt & leases
This metric shows a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 36,928 million USD in 2020, it increased annually, reaching 50,471 million USD by 2024. The growth rate appears to accelerate particularly between 2022 and 2023, indicating increased leverage or obligations in recent years.
Total Intel stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity also trended upward from 81,038 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 105,590 million USD in 2023. However, there is a noticeable decline in 2024, where equity decreased to 99,270 million USD. This dip after steady growth may suggest changes in retained earnings, dividend payments, share buybacks, or other equity-related activities impacting shareholders' net assets.
Invested capital
Invested capital rose more moderately compared to debt and equity. It increased from 81,967 million USD in 2020 to 92,296 million USD in 2024. While the upward movement is steady, the increments between years are smaller, and the curve flattens especially between 2022 and 2024, indicating stability or slower growth in capital investments relative to debt expansion.

In summary, the company's debt obligations have increased significantly, suggesting higher leverage or financing activities. While stockholders’ equity showed robust growth until 2023, a decline in 2024 raises questions about changes in capital structure or profitability. Invested capital growth is present but more restrained, reflecting cautious or stable investment in assets. These patterns collectively highlight a shift towards increased debt financing with potential impacts on shareholder value and capital deployment strategies.


Cost of Capital

Intel Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Intel Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates a declining trend over the analyzed periods. Starting at a positive value of 11,749 million US dollars in 2020, it decreases to 7,710 million in 2021, then shifts to negative figures from 2022 onward. The negative economic profit deepens significantly, reaching -23,850 million US dollars by 2024. This indicates the company has transitioned from generating economic value to experiencing substantial economic losses over the timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital shows a steady increase throughout the periods. The amount grows from 81,967 million US dollars in 2020 to 92,296 million by the end of 2024. This rise suggests that the company has continued to allocate or reinvest capital despite the declining economic profit, potentially aiming to support operations or future growth.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, expressed in percentage terms, follows a pattern consistent with economic profit. Starting at a positive 14.33% in 2020, it declines sharply to 8.71% in 2021. Thereafter, it turns negative, reaching -25.84% in 2024. This key profitability measure reveals worsening returns relative to invested capital, indicating that the company’s cost of capital exceeds returns generated by its investments in the most recent years.
Summary Insight
The data reflects a challenging financial trajectory where economic profitability has deteriorated markedly over five years. Despite increasing capital investments, returns have diminished, resulting in negative economic profit and spread from 2022 onward. This suggests operational or market difficulties that may require strategic review to improve value creation and efficiency.

Economic Profit Margin

Intel Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Advanced Micro Devices Inc.
Analog Devices Inc.
Applied Materials Inc.
Broadcom Inc.
KLA Corp.
Lam Research Corp.
Micron Technology Inc.
NVIDIA Corp.
Qualcomm Inc.
Texas Instruments Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Revenue
The company's net revenue exhibited a declining trend over the five-year period. Starting at 77,867 million USD in 2020, there was a minor increase to 79,024 million USD in 2021, followed by a consistent decrease in subsequent years to 63,054 million USD in 2022, 54,228 million USD in 2023, and finally 53,101 million USD in 2024. This indicates a significant reduction in sales or other revenue-generating activities, with a decline exceeding 30% from the peak in 2021 to 2024.
Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a marked downward trajectory throughout the timeframe. Initially positive at 11,749 million USD in 2020, it decreased to 7,710 million USD in 2021. From 2022 onward, the economic profit turned negative, reaching -7,396 million USD and continuing to deteriorate to -13,678 million USD in 2023 and -23,850 million USD in 2024. This significant shift from profit to loss suggests increasing economic costs or declining operational efficiency.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin closely mirrored the trend observed in economic profit, reflecting worsening profitability. It started at a robust 15.09% in 2020, declined to 9.76% in 2021, and then dropped sharply into negative territory at -11.73% in 2022. The margin further decreased to -25.22% in 2023 and -44.92% in 2024, highlighting increasingly poor profitability relative to revenue.
Overall Analysis
The data reveals a persistent decline in financial performance over the observed periods, with revenue decreasing and economic profitability worsening substantially. The turnaround from positive to negative economic profit and profit margins indicates challenges in maintaining profitable operations and suggests increased economic costs or inefficiencies. The substantial negative margins in the later years signal financial stress and potential concerns about sustainable profitability if current trends persist.