Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net
Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc

Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC)

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Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

Intermediate level


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Intel Corp., dividends per share (DPS) forecast

US$

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value DPSt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
0 DPS01
1 DPS1 = × (1 + )
2 DPS2 = × (1 + )
3 DPS3 = × (1 + )
4 DPS4 = × (1 + )
5 DPS5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of Intel Corp.’s common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-01-24).

1 DPS0 = Sum of the last year dividends per share of Intel Corp.’s common stock. See details »

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of Intel Corp.’s common stock βINTC
 
Required rate of return on Intel Corp.’s common stock3 rINTC

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rINTC = RF + βINTC [E(RM) – RF]
= + []
=


Dividend Growth Rate (g)

Dividend growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Intel Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Average Dec 28, 2019 Dec 29, 2018 Dec 30, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 26, 2015
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Cash dividends declared
Net income
Net revenue
Total assets
Stockholders’ equity
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
Dividend growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2020-01-24), 10-K (filing date: 2019-02-01), 10-K (filing date: 2018-02-16), 10-K (filing date: 2017-02-17), 10-K (filing date: 2016-02-12).

2019 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income – Cash dividends declared) ÷ Net income
= () ÷ =

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Asset turnover = Net revenue ÷ Total assets
= ÷ =

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity
= ÷ =

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × × =


Dividend growth rate (g) implied by Gordon growth model

g = 100 × (P0 × rD0) ÷ (P0 + D0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + ) =

where:
P0 = current price of share of Intel Corp.’s common stock
D0 = the last year dividends per share of Intel Corp.’s common stock
r = required rate of return on Intel Corp.’s common stock


Dividend growth rate (g) forecast

Intel Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by Gordon growth model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =