Stock Analysis on Net

Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ:ABNB)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Airbnb Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes showed a significant turnaround over the presented periods. The value was deeply negative in 2020 at -4675 million USD, indicating substantial operational losses. From 2021 onwards, the company moved into positive territory with 465 million USD, followed by continued growth through 2024 with values reaching 2644 million USD. This trend demonstrates a consistent improvement in operational profitability and suggests effective management of operations or market conditions improving.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the periods, fluctuating narrowly around 15.7% to 15.95%. This stability indicates that the company’s financing costs, both debt and equity, remained consistent despite operational changes. The slight variations suggest marginal shifts in market conditions or capital structure but no pronounced trend.
Invested capital
Invested capital showed an overall increasing trend from 4764 million USD in 2020 to 6117 million USD in 2024, peaking in 2022 at 6849 million USD before declining somewhat in 2023. This pattern indicates initial expansion or investment up to 2022, followed by a period of capital optimization or divestment. The fluctuation suggests active capital management aimed at supporting profitability or adjusting to strategic priorities.
Economic profit
Economic profit mirrored the trends in NOPAT but with a lag and less pronounced loss levels. Starting with a large loss of -5435 million USD in 2020, it improved substantially by 2022 to attain a positive 991 million USD. Despite some decrease in 2023, economic profit rebounded strongly in 2024 to 1681 million USD. This reflects the company’s enhanced ability to generate returns above its cost of capital, indicative of increasing value creation over time.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Airbnb Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income (loss)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in customer receivable reserve2
Increase (decrease) in unearned fees3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in customer receivable reserve.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in unearned fees.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).

8 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net Income (Loss)
The net income shows a significant improvement over the five-year period. In 2020, there was a substantial loss of $4,585 million, which decreased markedly to a loss of $352 million in 2021. By 2022, the company achieved positive net income of $1,893 million. This positive trend continued with a peak net income of $4,792 million in 2023, followed by a decline to $2,648 million in 2024. Overall, the data reflect a recovery from heavy losses to profitability, although with some reduction in earnings in the final year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT also demonstrates a strong turnaround, starting with a negative figure of $4,675 million in 2020, indicating operating challenges. In 2021, the company reversed to a positive NOPAT of $465 million, which increased significantly to $2,070 million in 2022. There was a slight decrease in 2023 to $1,681 million, followed by an increase to $2,644 million in 2024. This suggests the company improved its core operating profitability substantially, though with some variability in the middle years. The upward trend in NOPAT aligns broadly with improvements in net income, affirming enhanced operational efficiency and tax management over the period.

Cash Operating Taxes

Airbnb Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibits significant volatility over the analyzed period. Initially, there was a tax benefit of US$ 97 million at the end of 2020. This shifted to a positive provision of US$ 52 million in 2021, followed by an increase to US$ 96 million in 2022. A remarkable change occurred in 2023, with a substantial tax benefit of US$ 2,690 million, indicating a large reversal or credit. However, this was followed by a reversion to a positive income tax provision of US$ 683 million in 2024. The fluctuation suggests irregularities or extraordinary items impacting the tax expenses during these years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes show an overall upward trend though with some irregularities in magnitude. Starting from a negative figure of US$ 36 million in 2020, which may reflect tax refunds or credits, the amount increased sharply to US$ 139 million in 2021. Thereafter, it declined to US$ 68 million in 2022 and decreased further to US$ 56 million in 2023. In 2024, the figure reversed the downward trend and increased to US$ 88 million. The pattern in cash taxes paid is less volatile than the provision for taxes but demonstrates variability that may be influenced by the company's operational profitability and tax planning strategies.

Invested Capital

Airbnb Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net of current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Customer receivable reserve3
Unearned fees4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Short-term investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of unearned fees.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


The data reflects the financial position over five consecutive years. Several key trends emerge from the analysis of debt, equity, and invested capital figures.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Debt and lease obligations remain relatively stable, fluctuating slightly but generally around the range of US$2.3 billion to US$2.4 billion. The peak is observed in 2021 at US$2.418 billion, followed by a gradual decline through the subsequent years, ending at US$2.294 billion in 2024. This suggests a consistent management of debt levels with no significant increase in financial leverage.
Stockholders’ Equity
Equity shows a strong upward trend over the five years, moving from US$2.902 billion in 2020 to US$8.412 billion in 2024. The growth is particularly notable between 2022 and 2023, where equity increased substantially from US$5.560 billion to US$8.165 billion, indicating capital infusion, retained earnings accumulation, or valuation gains strengthening the company's net worth.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrates variability with growth from US$4.764 billion in 2020 to US$6.849 billion in 2022, then a decline to US$5.829 billion in 2023, followed by a slight recovery to US$6.117 billion in 2024. This pattern suggests fluctuations possibly due to changes in working capital, asset acquisitions, or disposals impacting the capital invested in business operations.

Overall, the financial structure shows an increase in shareholder equity reinforcing the balance sheet strength, while debt levels remain managed and stable. Invested capital experiences some volatility but maintains a generally upward trajectory over the entire period, reflecting ongoing investment activities.


Cost of Capital

Airbnb Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Airbnb Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a significant improvement over the five-year period. Starting from a large negative value of -5435 million US dollars in 2020, it improved substantially to -454 million in 2021. The company achieved positive economic profit in 2022 at 991 million US dollars, followed by a slight decrease in 2023 to 761 million. In 2024, economic profit increased again, reaching 1681 million US dollars, indicating a strong upward trend after the initial losses.
Invested Capital
Invested capital rose steadily from 4764 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 6849 million in 2022. However, it declined to 5829 million in 2023 before increasing moderately to 6117 million in 2024. Overall, the invested capital increased over the period but experienced some volatility, particularly the drop observed after 2022.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio followed a similar improving pattern as economic profit. It was deeply negative at -114.09% in 2020, improving greatly to -7.79% in 2021. This ratio turned positive in 2022 at 14.47% and remained positive in the following years, with a slight decrease to 13.05% in 2023 and a strong increase to 27.49% in 2024. This indicates enhanced returns relative to the cost of invested capital over time.
Summary of Trends
There is a clear trend of recovery and growth in financial performance from 2020 to 2024. Economic profit shifted from substantial losses to sustained profits, while the economic spread ratio improved from a significant negative value to a high positive percentage, reflecting better economic returns. Invested capital increased overall but experienced some fluctuations, which may indicate changes in investment strategy or asset base management. The data suggests improving efficiency and profitability, particularly strong in 2024.

Economic Profit Margin

Airbnb Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenue
Add: Increase (decrease) in unearned fees
Adjusted revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Booking Holdings Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
McDonald’s Corp.
Starbucks Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed a significant turnaround over the period. Initially, there was a substantial loss of $5,435 million in 2020, which sharply decreased to a loss of $454 million in 2021. From 2022 onwards, the company moved into positive economic profit territory, recording $991 million in 2022, a slight decline to $761 million in 2023, followed by a notable increase to $1,681 million in 2024. This indicates a marked improvement in economic profitability with some fluctuation in the middle periods.
Adjusted Revenue
Adjusted revenue demonstrated consistent growth each year. Starting at $3,111 million in 2020, revenue more than doubled to $6,488 million in 2021. It continued to rise to $8,677 million in 2022, then to $10,162 million in 2023, and further to $11,291 million in 2024. This steady upward trend reflects expanding business activities and increasing top-line performance.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin exhibited a significant positive shift over the timeline. From an extremely negative margin of -174.68% in 2020, the margin substantially improved to -7% in 2021. By 2022, the margin turned positive at 11.42%, then decreased slightly to 7.49% in 2023 before rising again to 14.89% in 2024. This progression reflects enhanced efficiency and profitability relative to the company's adjusted revenue.
Overall Trends and Insights
The data indicates a recovery and strengthening of financial performance across the measured periods. Adjusted revenue consistently increased, supporting improved economic profit and margins. Despite some minor volatility in economic profit and margin in 2023, the company managed to achieve better profitability levels than in previous years. The rapid improvement from large losses to solid profits suggests effective cost management and operational improvements contributing to enhanced value creation.