Stock Analysis on Net

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Philip Morris International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates fluctuating financial performance as measured by economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) initially decreased from 2021 to 2023, before exhibiting a substantial increase in 2025. Invested capital experienced a significant rise between 2021 and 2023, followed by a decrease in 2024, and then another increase in 2025. The cost of capital remained relatively stable, with a slight increase observed in the later years of the period.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT declined from US$10,212 million in 2021 to US$8,285 million in 2024, representing a cumulative decrease of approximately 19%. However, a notable recovery occurred in 2025, with NOPAT reaching US$11,862 million, exceeding the 2021 level. This suggests potential operational improvements or favorable market conditions impacting profitability in the final year.
Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital increased substantially from US$29,155 million in 2021 to US$51,360 million in 2023, indicating significant capital deployment during this period. A subsequent decrease to US$48,314 million in 2024 suggests potential asset divestitures or reduced investment activity. The figure then rose again to US$53,321 million in 2025, continuing the overall trend of capital expansion.
Cost of Capital Trend
The cost of capital remained relatively consistent throughout the period, fluctuating between 7.97% and 8.67%. The slight upward trend in the later years could be attributed to changes in market interest rates or the company’s risk profile.
Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit mirrored the NOPAT trend, declining from US$7,739 million in 2021 to US$4,153 million in 2024. The substantial increase in NOPAT in 2025 drove a corresponding increase in economic profit to US$7,239 million. This indicates that the company generated positive economic value in each year, but the magnitude of that value varied considerably. The economic profit in 2025 nearly returned to the level observed in 2021.

Overall, the period demonstrates a cyclical pattern in financial performance. While the initial years showed a decline in profitability and a significant increase in invested capital, the final year exhibited a strong recovery in NOPAT and economic profit, accompanied by continued capital expansion.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Philip Morris International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net earnings attributable to PMI
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring related liabilities3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8
Investment income, after taxes9
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring related liabilities.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to PMI.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to PMI.

8 2025 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited a generally declining trend from 2021 through 2024, followed by a substantial increase in 2025. This pattern mirrors, though with differing magnitudes, the trend observed in net earnings attributable to the company. The initial decline suggests potential pressures on operational profitability, while the subsequent recovery indicates improved performance or changing business conditions.

NOPAT Trend (2021-2025)
In 2021, NOPAT stood at US$10,212 million. A decrease was noted in 2022, with NOPAT reaching US$9,644 million. This downward trend continued into 2023, with NOPAT reported as US$8,828 million, and further declined to US$8,285 million in 2024. However, a significant recovery occurred in 2025, with NOPAT increasing to US$11,862 million. This represents the highest NOPAT value within the observed period.
Relationship to Net Earnings
While both NOPAT and net earnings attributable to the company generally moved in the same direction, the fluctuations in NOPAT were less pronounced than those in net earnings. For example, the decline from 2021 to 2024 was similar in direction for both metrics, but the recovery in 2025 was more substantial for NOPAT. This suggests that factors beyond core operational profitability, such as financing costs or non-operating items, may have significantly influenced net earnings.

The substantial increase in NOPAT in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying drivers. Potential factors could include cost reduction initiatives, increased sales volume, improved pricing strategies, or changes in the tax environment. The period of decline from 2021 to 2024 also merits further scrutiny to identify the specific operational or economic factors contributing to the reduced profitability.


Cash Operating Taxes

Philip Morris International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited fluctuating behavior over the five-year period. Both metrics demonstrate increases in later years, though with differing magnitudes and patterns.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased from US$2,671 million in 2021 to US$2,244 million in 2022, representing a decline of approximately 15.9%. A subsequent increase to US$2,339 million was observed in 2023. This was followed by a more substantial rise to US$3,017 million in 2024, and a slight decrease to US$2,737 million in 2025. Overall, the provision for income taxes shows volatility, ending the period lower than its initial value but with a peak in 2024.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes began at US$2,825 million in 2021 and decreased to US$2,606 million in 2022, a reduction of approximately 7.8%. An increase to US$2,899 million occurred in 2023. Further increases were noted in 2024, reaching US$3,381 million, and continued into 2025, culminating in US$3,796 million. This metric demonstrates a consistent upward trend in the latter half of the period, surpassing its initial value.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021 and 2022, cash operating taxes exceeded the provision for income taxes by US$154 million and US$362 million, respectively. This difference narrowed in 2023 to US$560 million, then reversed in 2024 and 2025, with the provision for income taxes being lower than cash operating taxes by US$280 million and US$1059 million, respectively. The divergence suggests potential timing differences between reported income tax expense and actual cash outflows for taxes, or changes in deferred tax assets and liabilities.

The increasing trend in cash operating taxes, particularly in 2024 and 2025, warrants further investigation to determine the underlying drivers, such as changes in tax rates, taxable income, or tax planning strategies. The fluctuations in the provision for income taxes, while less pronounced, also merit attention to understand their impact on reported earnings.


Invested Capital

Philip Morris International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total PMI stockholders’ deficit
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Restructuring related liabilities4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total PMI stockholders’ deficit
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring related liabilities.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total PMI stockholders’ deficit.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


The reported invested capital demonstrates a generally increasing trend over the five-year period, although with some fluctuation. A significant increase is observed between 2021 and 2022, followed by continued growth until 2023, a slight decrease in 2024, and then a resumption of growth in 2025. This pattern is closely linked to changes in both total reported debt & leases and total stockholders’ deficit.

Invested Capital Trend
Invested capital began at US$29,155 million in 2021 and rose substantially to US$47,362 million in 2022, representing a 62.5% increase. Further growth occurred in 2023, reaching US$51,360 million. A minor decline to US$48,314 million was noted in 2024 before recovering to US$53,321 million in 2025, the highest value within the observed period.
Debt & Leases
Total reported debt & leases exhibited a consistent upward trajectory from US$28,342 million in 2021 to US$49,568 million in 2025. The most substantial increase occurred between 2021 and 2022, mirroring the increase in invested capital. While the growth rate slowed in subsequent years, debt levels remained elevated, with a slight decrease observed in 2024 before resuming growth.
Stockholders’ Deficit
The total stockholders’ deficit remained negative throughout the period, indicating a liability position. The deficit fluctuated, moving from -US$10,106 million in 2021 to -US$8,957 million in 2022, then increasing in magnitude to -US$11,750 million in 2024. A reduction in the deficit to -US$9,994 million was observed in 2025. The changes in the deficit appear to partially offset the increases in debt, influencing the overall invested capital figure.

The correlation between the increase in debt and the increase in invested capital suggests that the company has been utilizing debt financing to fund its operations and investments. The fluctuations in the stockholders’ deficit contribute to the overall changes in invested capital, but the primary driver appears to be the company’s debt management strategy.


Cost of Capital

Philip Morris International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt, including finance lease obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Philip Morris International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic spread ratio exhibited a declining trend from 2021 to 2023, followed by a recovery in 2024 and 2025. This movement correlates with fluctuations in economic profit and invested capital over the same period. A detailed examination of these relationships is presented below.

Economic Spread Ratio Trend
The economic spread ratio began at 26.54% in 2021. A substantial decrease was observed in 2022, falling to 12.19%. This downward trend continued into 2023, reaching a low of 9.22%. A modest recovery occurred in 2024, with the ratio increasing to 8.60%. The most significant increase occurred in 2025, with the ratio rising to 13.58%, though remaining below the 2021 level.
Relationship with Economic Profit
Economic profit decreased from US$7,739 million in 2021 to US$4,737 million in 2023, mirroring the decline in the economic spread ratio. The increase in economic profit to US$7,239 million in 2025 aligns with the ratio’s recovery during that year. This suggests a strong positive correlation between economic profit and the economic spread ratio.
Relationship with Invested Capital
Invested capital increased significantly from US$29,155 million in 2021 to US$47,362 million in 2022, and further to US$51,360 million in 2023. While it decreased slightly to US$48,314 million in 2024, it rose again to US$53,321 million in 2025. The initial increase in invested capital, coupled with the decrease in economic profit, likely contributed to the decline in the economic spread ratio between 2021 and 2023. The subsequent increase in economic profit alongside continued investment appears to have partially offset this effect in 2025.

In summary, the economic spread ratio’s performance is sensitive to changes in both economic profit and invested capital. The observed fluctuations suggest a dynamic relationship where increases in invested capital can dilute the ratio if not accompanied by proportional increases in economic profit. The recovery in 2025 indicates that improved profitability can mitigate the impact of a growing capital base.


Economic Profit Margin

Philip Morris International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
PepsiCo Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin demonstrates a clear declining trend from 2021 to 2024, followed by a recovery in 2025. While economic profit fluctuates over the period, the margin provides a standardized view of profitability relative to revenue.

Economic Profit Margin Trend
In 2021, the economic profit margin stood at 24.64%. This figure decreased consistently over the subsequent three years, reaching a low of 10.96% in 2024. A notable reversal occurs in 2025, with the margin increasing to 17.81%. This suggests improving efficiency in generating economic profit from each dollar of revenue in the latest period.

The decline in the economic profit margin from 2021 to 2024 coincides with increasing net revenues. However, the growth in revenue did not translate into a proportional increase in economic profit, indicating potential increases in the cost of capital or operational expenses relative to revenue growth. The recovery in 2025 suggests that initiatives to improve profitability or manage capital costs may be taking effect.

Relationship to Net Revenues
Net revenues increased from US$31,405 million in 2021 to US$40,648 million in 2025. Despite this substantial revenue growth, economic profit only increased from US$7,739 million to US$7,239 million over the same period. The largest revenue increase occurred between 2023 and 2024 (US$2,704 million), while the economic profit margin experienced its steepest decline during this period.

The fluctuation in economic profit, coupled with the declining and then recovering margin, warrants further investigation into the underlying drivers of profitability. Analysis should focus on understanding the factors impacting the cost of capital, operational efficiency, and revenue growth to determine the sustainability of the 2025 improvement.