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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The period under review demonstrates fluctuating financial performance as measured by economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) initially increased, then declined over the five-year span. Simultaneously, the cost of capital exhibited some volatility, while invested capital showed a more substantial increase before stabilizing and decreasing slightly. These factors collectively influenced the trend in economic profit.
- NOPAT Trend
- Net operating profit after taxes rose from US$8,950 million in 2020 to US$10,188 million in 2021, representing a significant increase. However, subsequent years witnessed a consistent decline, falling to US$9,635 million in 2022, US$8,804 million in 2023, and further to US$8,281 million in 2024. This indicates a weakening operational profitability over the latter part of the period.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital experienced moderate fluctuations. It increased from 8.59% in 2020 to 9.09% in 2021, decreased to 8.74% in 2022 and 8.50% in 2023, before rising again to 9.15% in 2024. These changes suggest sensitivity to broader economic conditions or shifts in the company’s risk profile.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a notable increase from US$31,958 million in 2020 to US$47,466 million in 2022. This substantial growth suggests significant investment in operations or acquisitions. In 2023, it further increased to US$51,440 million, before decreasing slightly to US$48,390 million in 2024. The stabilization and subsequent slight decrease may indicate a pause in major investment initiatives.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit mirrored the trends in NOPAT, initially increasing from US$6,205 million in 2020 to a peak of US$7,529 million in 2021. Following this peak, economic profit declined consistently to US$5,487 million in 2022, US$4,435 million in 2023, and US$3,855 million in 2024. This downward trend suggests that while the company generated positive economic profit throughout the period, its ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital diminished over time.
The combined effect of declining NOPAT and fluctuating cost of capital, alongside the initial increase and subsequent stabilization of invested capital, resulted in a clear downward trend in economic profit. While the company remained profitable on an economic basis, the decreasing economic profit warrants further investigation into the underlying drivers of profitability and capital allocation efficiency.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued product warranty.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring related liabilities.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to PMI.
6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to PMI.
9 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
The financial data indicates a fluctuating but generally declining trend in the profitability metrics over the analyzed periods. Both net earnings attributable to the company and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) show variations that merit close attention.
- Net Earnings Attributable to PMI
- Starting at $8,056 million in 2020, net earnings increased to a peak of $9,109 million in 2021, reflecting a strong growth phase. However, subsequent years show a downward trajectory, with earnings declining to $9,048 million in 2022, then more sharply to $7,813 million in 2023, and further down to $7,057 million in 2024. This sequence suggests a notable slowdown in profitability, especially from 2022 onwards.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT follows a similar pattern, beginning at $8,950 million in 2020 and rising to a high of $10,188 million in 2021. A decline ensues thereafter, decreasing to $9,635 million in 2022, $8,804 million in 2023, and finally $8,281 million in 2024. The reduction in operating profit after tax signals that operational efficiency or operating conditions may have deteriorated during the latter period.
Overall, the data reflects a peak in both earnings and operating profits in 2021, followed by a consistent downward trend through 2024. This pattern could indicate emerging challenges in sustaining profitability, necessitating further analysis of operational factors, market conditions, or cost structures contributing to this decline.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Provision for income taxes
- The provision for income taxes exhibited fluctuations over the observed periods. Starting at $2,377 million in 2020, the figure increased to $2,671 million in 2021, representing a notable rise. However, it subsequently decreased to $2,244 million in 2022, indicating a reduction in tax provisions that year. Following this dip, provisions increased again in 2023 to $2,339 million and continued the upward trend more sharply in 2024, reaching $3,017 million. Overall, the pattern shows variability with a significant increase in the most recent year.
- Cash operating taxes
- Cash operating taxes displayed an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. The amount was $2,656 million in 2020 and increased steadily to $2,825 million in 2021. A slight decline occurred in 2022 to $2,606 million, but this was followed by substantial increases in 2023 and 2024, reaching $2,899 million and $3,381 million respectively. The consistent growth, especially in the final two years, reflects an increasing cash tax burden despite minor fluctuations earlier.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of accrued product warranty.
5 Addition of restructuring related liabilities.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total PMI stockholders’ deficit.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases exhibit a fluctuating trend over the examined periods. Initially, there was a decrease from 32,243 million USD at the end of 2020 to 28,342 million USD in 2021. However, this was followed by a notable increase in 2022, reaching 43,737 million USD, and then a further rise to 48,562 million USD in 2023. In 2024, the figure slightly declined to 46,299 million USD. Overall, the debt levels have increased substantially after the initial drop, reflecting a significant rise in financial obligations in recent years.
- Total PMI stockholders’ deficit
- The stockholders’ deficit showed an improvement from -12,567 million USD in 2020 to -8,957 million USD in 2022, indicating a reduction in the deficit over these years. However, this improvement was reversed in 2023 and 2024, with the deficit increasing to -11,225 million USD and further to -11,750 million USD, respectively. This pattern suggests a temporary recovery in equity position was followed by a deterioration in the latest two years.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital decreased from 31,958 million USD in 2020 to 29,268 million USD in 2021, showing a contraction in invested resources. Subsequently, a sharp increase is observed in 2022, rising to 47,466 million USD, and further to 51,440 million USD in 2023. In 2024, there is a slight decrease to 48,390 million USD. The data indicates an expansion in invested capital after 2021, suggesting increased investment activities or asset base growth during this period, with a minor reduction in the most recent year.
Cost of Capital
Philip Morris International Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The economic spread ratio exhibited a declining trend over the five-year period. While initially strong, the ratio decreased consistently from 2020 to 2024, indicating a diminishing advantage in generating returns above the cost of capital.
- Economic Spread Ratio Trend
- In 2020, the economic spread ratio stood at 19.42%. This figure increased substantially to 25.72% in 2021, representing the highest value within the observed timeframe. However, subsequent years witnessed a marked decline. The ratio decreased to 11.56% in 2022, continued to 8.62% in 2023, and further decreased to 7.97% in 2024. This consistent downward movement suggests a weakening ability to generate profits exceeding the cost of invested capital.
The economic profit also demonstrated a decreasing pattern, although not as consistently as the economic spread ratio. Economic profit peaked at US$7,529 million in 2021 before declining to US$3,855 million in 2024. This reduction in economic profit contributes to the observed decline in the economic spread ratio.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital fluctuated during the period. It decreased from US$31,958 million in 2020 to US$29,268 million in 2021, then increased significantly to US$47,466 million in 2022. It continued to rise to US$51,440 million in 2023 before decreasing slightly to US$48,390 million in 2024. The increase in invested capital, coupled with the declining economic profit, likely contributed to the decreasing economic spread ratio.
The combined effect of decreasing economic profit and fluctuating, generally increasing, invested capital resulted in a consistent reduction in the economic spread ratio. This suggests that while the company remained profitable, its ability to generate returns significantly above its cost of capital diminished over the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The economic profit margin demonstrates a consistent decline over the five-year period. While economic profit initially increased, its growth rate did not keep pace with revenue expansion, resulting in a decreasing margin.
- Economic Profit Margin Trend
- In 2020, the economic profit margin stood at 21.62%. This figure rose to 23.97% in 2021, representing the highest margin observed during the analyzed timeframe. However, subsequent years witnessed a steady reduction. The margin decreased to 17.28% in 2022, further declining to 12.61% in 2023, and ultimately reaching 10.18% in 2024.
The observed trend suggests that while the company continues to generate economic profit, its efficiency in converting revenues into economic profit is diminishing. This could be attributable to several factors, including increased operating costs, a higher cost of capital, or pricing pressures. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these changes is warranted.
- Relationship to Net Revenues
- Net revenues exhibited growth throughout the period, increasing from US$28,694 million in 2020 to US$37,878 million in 2024. Despite this revenue growth, the economic profit margin’s decline indicates that the increase in economic profit was proportionally smaller than the increase in revenues. This divergence suggests a potential erosion of profitability relative to sales.
The decreasing economic profit margin warrants attention as it signals a potential weakening in the company’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital. Monitoring this trend and identifying the root causes are crucial for maintaining long-term shareholder value.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit increased from US$6,205 million in 2020 to US$7,529 million in 2021. However, it then decreased to US$5,487 million in 2022, US$4,435 million in 2023, and US$3,855 million in 2024. This indicates that while the absolute economic profit remains positive, its growth has stalled and is now trending downward.