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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Philip Morris International Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Assets
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Net Profit Margin since 2008
- Operating Profit Margin since 2008
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2008
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2008
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial data reveal several notable trends over the five-year period ending in 2024. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) initially rose from 8,950 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 10,188 million USD in 2021. Following this, there was a gradual decline, with NOPAT falling to 8,281 million USD by 2024. This indicates a reduction in operational profitability after taxes during the latter years under review.
Cost of capital fluctuated moderately throughout the period. Starting at 8.44% in 2020, it increased to 8.92% in 2021, slightly decreased to 8.35% in 2023, and then rose again to 8.98% by 2024. This variability in the cost of capital suggests changing financial market conditions or alterations in the company's risk profile and capital structure.
Invested capital exhibits significant changes, with a decrease from 31,958 million USD in 2020 to 29,268 million USD in 2021, followed by a sharp increase to 51,440 million USD in 2023. By 2024, invested capital decreased slightly to 48,390 million USD. The substantial rise from 2021 onwards may reflect sizeable investments in assets or acquisitions, or changes in working capital and long-term investments.
Despite the growth in invested capital, economic profit—the difference between NOPAT and the cost of capital applied to invested capital—declined over time. Economic profit increased from 6,254 million USD in 2020 to 7,578 million USD in 2021, but then continuously decreased to 3,935 million USD in 2024. This downward trend suggests that the company’s returns on invested capital are not growing sufficiently to cover the increased cost or amount of capital employed, resulting in a diminishing economic value added.
In summary, the company experienced an initial improvement in profitability and economic profit through 2021, followed by a downturn over the subsequent years. The increase in invested capital alongside declining economic profit highlights potential challenges in maintaining efficient capital deployment and generating returns above the cost of capital. The rise in cost of capital contributes further to the compression of economic profit, signaling a need to manage capital costs alongside operational performance.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued product warranty.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring related liabilities.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to PMI.
6 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
7 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to PMI.
9 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
The financial data indicates a fluctuating but generally declining trend in the profitability metrics over the analyzed periods. Both net earnings attributable to the company and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) show variations that merit close attention.
- Net Earnings Attributable to PMI
- Starting at $8,056 million in 2020, net earnings increased to a peak of $9,109 million in 2021, reflecting a strong growth phase. However, subsequent years show a downward trajectory, with earnings declining to $9,048 million in 2022, then more sharply to $7,813 million in 2023, and further down to $7,057 million in 2024. This sequence suggests a notable slowdown in profitability, especially from 2022 onwards.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT follows a similar pattern, beginning at $8,950 million in 2020 and rising to a high of $10,188 million in 2021. A decline ensues thereafter, decreasing to $9,635 million in 2022, $8,804 million in 2023, and finally $8,281 million in 2024. The reduction in operating profit after tax signals that operational efficiency or operating conditions may have deteriorated during the latter period.
Overall, the data reflects a peak in both earnings and operating profits in 2021, followed by a consistent downward trend through 2024. This pattern could indicate emerging challenges in sustaining profitability, necessitating further analysis of operational factors, market conditions, or cost structures contributing to this decline.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
- Provision for income taxes
- The provision for income taxes exhibited fluctuations over the observed periods. Starting at $2,377 million in 2020, the figure increased to $2,671 million in 2021, representing a notable rise. However, it subsequently decreased to $2,244 million in 2022, indicating a reduction in tax provisions that year. Following this dip, provisions increased again in 2023 to $2,339 million and continued the upward trend more sharply in 2024, reaching $3,017 million. Overall, the pattern shows variability with a significant increase in the most recent year.
- Cash operating taxes
- Cash operating taxes displayed an overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024. The amount was $2,656 million in 2020 and increased steadily to $2,825 million in 2021. A slight decline occurred in 2022 to $2,606 million, but this was followed by substantial increases in 2023 and 2024, reaching $2,899 million and $3,381 million respectively. The consistent growth, especially in the final two years, reflects an increasing cash tax burden despite minor fluctuations earlier.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of accrued product warranty.
5 Addition of restructuring related liabilities.
6 Addition of equity equivalents to total PMI stockholders’ deficit.
7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
8 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases exhibit a fluctuating trend over the examined periods. Initially, there was a decrease from 32,243 million USD at the end of 2020 to 28,342 million USD in 2021. However, this was followed by a notable increase in 2022, reaching 43,737 million USD, and then a further rise to 48,562 million USD in 2023. In 2024, the figure slightly declined to 46,299 million USD. Overall, the debt levels have increased substantially after the initial drop, reflecting a significant rise in financial obligations in recent years.
- Total PMI stockholders’ deficit
- The stockholders’ deficit showed an improvement from -12,567 million USD in 2020 to -8,957 million USD in 2022, indicating a reduction in the deficit over these years. However, this improvement was reversed in 2023 and 2024, with the deficit increasing to -11,225 million USD and further to -11,750 million USD, respectively. This pattern suggests a temporary recovery in equity position was followed by a deterioration in the latest two years.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital decreased from 31,958 million USD in 2020 to 29,268 million USD in 2021, showing a contraction in invested resources. Subsequently, a sharp increase is observed in 2022, rising to 47,466 million USD, and further to 51,440 million USD in 2023. In 2024, there is a slight decrease to 48,390 million USD. The data indicates an expansion in invested capital after 2021, suggesting increased investment activities or asset base growth during this period, with a minor reduction in the most recent year.
Cost of Capital
Philip Morris International Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt, including finance lease obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt, including finance lease obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrates a fluctuating downward trend over the analyzed period. Starting at 6,254 million US dollars in 2020, it peaked in 2021 at 7,578 million US dollars, followed by a notable decline to 5,561 million in 2022. This decreasing trend continued more sharply through 2023 and 2024, ending at 3,935 million US dollars. This suggests diminishing excess returns relative to the cost of capital in the recent years.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital shows variability with an overall increase from 31,958 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 51,440 million in 2023. There is an initial decline during 2021 to 29,268 million US dollars, after which the invested capital rose significantly in 2022 and 2023, though it slightly decreased in 2024 to 48,390 million US dollars. This pattern indicates substantial capital allocation increases, particularly from 2021 onwards, possibly reflecting expansion or acquisitions followed by a minor reduction in the latest year.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, indicative of the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital, reveals a strong downward trend over the period. It started at 19.57% in 2020 and reached its highest point of 25.89% in 2021. Thereafter, it fell precipitously to 11.72% in 2022 and continued its decline to 8.77% and 8.13% in 2023 and 2024 respectively, signaling reduced profitability efficiency relative to capital employed.
- Summary Insights
- Over the five-year span, the company experienced initial growth in both economic profit and economic spread ratio until 2021, followed by consistent declines in these profitability metrics despite increased capital investments. The rise and subsequent decrease in invested capital imply strategic shifts in capital management. However, the diminishing economic profit and spread ratio in the latter years suggest challenges in maintaining returns commensurate with the invested capital, potentially reflecting higher costs, competitive pressures, or operational inefficiencies.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2024 | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net revenues | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| PepsiCo Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Net Revenues
- Net revenues exhibited a generally upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at 28,694 million US dollars, revenues increased steadily each year, reaching a peak of 37,878 million US dollars by the end of 2024. This consistent revenue growth indicates an expansion in the company’s sales or pricing power over the timeline.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit demonstrated a contrasting pattern compared to net revenues. It peaked at 7,578 million US dollars in 2021 but then experienced a declining trend through the subsequent years, dropping to 3,935 million US dollars by the end of 2024. This decline suggests that despite increasing revenues, the company's profitability after considering the cost of capital has decreased.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin, which measures the economic profit as a percentage of net revenues, peaked at 24.13% in 2021. After this peak, it consistently declined annually, reaching 10.39% in 2024. This downward trend implies a reduction in the company’s efficiency or effectiveness in generating economic profits from its revenues. The decline in margin aligns with the decreasing economic profit in absolute terms while revenues increased.
- Overall Interpretation
- Although the company’s net revenues have grown steadily over the five years, the decreasing economic profit and declining economic profit margin highlight challenges in maintaining profitability relative to the capital employed. The data suggest increasing revenues may not be translating into proportional economic gains, which could be due to rising costs, increased capital charges, or other operational inefficiencies.