Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The analysis of economic value added over the five-year period reveals a volatile trend in economic profit, characterized by a peak in 2024 followed by a significant contraction in 2025. While the company expanded its capital base steadily, the ability to generate returns above the cost of capital fluctuated, culminating in a sharp decline in economic value creation in the final year of the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited an inconsistent trajectory, experiencing a slight decline in 2022 before growing to a peak of 10,978 million USD in 2024. However, a notable reduction occurred in 2025, where NOPAT fell to 9,762 million USD, indicating a decrease in operational profitability relative to the preceding year.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, fluctuating within a narrow range between 8.82% and 9.09%. After a marginal increase in 2022, the rate trended downward and stabilized at 8.82% for both 2024 and 2025.
Invested Capital
A consistent upward trend in invested capital is observed from 2023 onwards. After remaining largely stagnant between 2021 and 2022, the capital base expanded from 69,452 million USD in 2022 to 83,234 million USD by 2025, representing a substantial increase in the total resources deployed into the business.
Economic Profit
Economic profit showed significant volatility, reaching a maximum of 4,212 million USD in 2024. The period concluded with a substantial decline to 2,420 million USD in 2025. This downturn is attributed to the simultaneous occurrence of decreasing NOPAT and increasing invested capital, which elevated the total capital charge and significantly eroded the surplus value created above the cost of capital.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

PepsiCo Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Net income attributable to PepsiCo
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to PepsiCo.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to PepsiCo.


Analysis of the presented financial information reveals trends in net income attributable to PepsiCo and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) over a five-year period. NOPAT demonstrates a generally positive trajectory, while net income exhibits more fluctuation.

NOPAT Trend
NOPAT experienced a slight decrease from US$9,629 million in 2021 to US$9,364 million in 2022. However, subsequent years show consistent growth, reaching US$10,029 million in 2023 and further increasing to US$10,978 million in 2024. A modest decline is observed in 2025, with NOPAT reported at US$9,762 million. Overall, the period indicates a positive trend in NOPAT, despite the final year’s reduction.
Net Income Trend
Net income attributable to PepsiCo increased from US$7,618 million in 2021 to US$8,910 million in 2022. This growth continued into 2023, reaching US$9,074 million, and further to US$9,578 million in 2024. A notable decrease is observed in 2025, with net income falling to US$8,240 million. The net income trend is characterized by more variability than the NOPAT trend.
Relationship between NOPAT and Net Income
While both metrics generally increased between 2021 and 2024, the divergence in 2025 suggests a potential shift in factors impacting profitability. The larger decrease in net income compared to NOPAT in 2025 could indicate changes in non-operating items, such as interest expense or other income, or a difference in the effective tax rate. Further investigation into these areas would be warranted.

The observed trends suggest that the core operating performance, as measured by NOPAT, remains relatively strong. However, fluctuations in net income highlight the importance of considering factors beyond core operations when assessing overall financial performance.


Cash Operating Taxes

PepsiCo Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited distinct patterns over the five-year period. While the provision for income taxes fluctuated, cash operating taxes generally increased before declining in the most recent year.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased from US$2,142 million in 2021 to US$1,727 million in 2022, representing a decline of approximately 19.3%. It then increased to US$2,262 million in 2023 and further to US$2,320 million in 2024. A subsequent decrease was observed in 2025, with the provision falling to US$1,949 million. This indicates volatility in reported income tax expense.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated an upward trend from 2021 to 2024. Starting at US$2,131 million in 2021, it rose to US$2,660 million in 2022, an increase of roughly 24.8%. Continued growth was seen in 2023, reaching US$2,970 million, and in 2024, reaching US$3,060 million. However, 2025 saw a decrease to US$2,351 million, representing a decline of approximately 23.1% from the 2024 peak. This suggests a potential shift in the company’s actual cash tax payments.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
The difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes varied across the period. In 2021, the difference was minimal, at US$11 million. This difference widened in 2022 to US$933 million, and further in 2023 to US$708 million, and 2024 to US$740 million. The gap narrowed significantly in 2025, falling to US$398 million. These variations could be attributed to factors such as deferred tax assets/liabilities, tax credits, or changes in tax laws impacting the timing of cash tax payments versus reported tax expense.

The divergence between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes warrants further investigation to understand the underlying drivers and potential implications for future cash flows and economic value added calculations.


Invested Capital

PepsiCo Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Short-term debt obligations
Long-term debt obligations, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance3
Restructuring liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Short-term investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Over the five-year period examined, invested capital demonstrated a generally increasing trend. While fluctuations occurred, the overall trajectory indicates growing capital employed within the business. A closer examination of the components contributing to invested capital reveals further insights.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases exhibited initial stability, decreasing from US$42,378 million in 2021 to US$41,487 million in 2022. However, beginning in 2022, an upward trend is observed, with values reaching US$47,061 million in 2023, US$47,751 million in 2024, and culminating in US$53,028 million in 2025. This suggests an increasing reliance on debt financing or potentially significant capital lease obligations.
Total PepsiCo Common Shareholders’ Equity
Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity generally increased throughout the period. From US$16,043 million in 2021, it rose to US$17,149 million in 2022 and continued to US$18,503 million in 2023. A slight decrease was noted in 2024, falling to US$18,041 million, before resuming an upward trend and reaching US$20,406 million in 2025. This indicates growing retained earnings and/or successful equity issuance.
Invested Capital
Invested capital, calculated as the sum of total debt and shareholders’ equity, remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2022, fluctuating around US$69.8 billion. A noticeable increase occurred in 2023, reaching US$75,038 million, and continued into 2024 with a value of US$76,674 million. The most substantial increase was observed between 2024 and 2025, with invested capital growing to US$83,234 million. This growth is consistent with the trends observed in both debt and equity, suggesting a deliberate expansion of the capital base.

The consistent growth in invested capital, particularly in the later years of the period, warrants further investigation to determine the effectiveness of capital allocation and its impact on returns. The increasing proportion of debt within the capital structure should also be monitored for potential financial risk.


Cost of Capital

PepsiCo Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

PepsiCo Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Analysis of economic value added reveals a period of volatility in value creation despite a general expansion of the capital base. While invested capital grew steadily from 2022 onwards, the capacity to generate economic profit above the cost of capital fluctuated significantly over the five-year period.

Economic Spread Ratio Trends
The economic spread ratio decreased from 4.94% in 2021 to 4.39% in 2022 and remained relatively stagnant in 2023 at 4.42%. A peak was reached in 2024 at 5.49%, marking the highest level of capital efficiency within the observed timeframe. However, a sharp contraction occurred in 2025, with the ratio falling to 2.91%, the lowest recorded value in the sequence.
Invested Capital Dynamics
Invested capital showed a consistent upward trajectory following a slight dip in 2022. The capital base increased from US$ 69,452 million in 2022 to US$ 83,234 million by 2025, indicating a sustained increase in the total resources deployed into the business operations.
Economic Profit Performance
Economic profit exhibited an inconsistent pattern, declining in 2022 before recovering and reaching a peak of US$ 4,212 million in 2024. The subsequent decline to US$ 2,420 million in 2025, occurring simultaneously with the highest level of invested capital, indicates a significant reduction in the ability to generate excess returns over the cost of capital during the final period.

Economic Profit Margin

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 27, 2025 Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-27), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value creation reveals a divergence between steady top-line revenue growth and volatile economic profit performance over the five-year period ending in December 2025.

Net Revenue Performance
A consistent upward trajectory is observed in net revenue, which increased from 79,474 million USD in 2021 to 93,925 million USD in 2025. This growth indicates a sustained expansion in sales volume or pricing adjustments throughout the period.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited significant volatility, characterized by a decline from 3,452 million USD in 2021 to 3,051 million USD in 2022, followed by a recovery that peaked at 4,212 million USD in 2024. A sharp contraction is noted in 2025, where economic profit fell to 2,420 million USD, representing the lowest value in the analyzed series.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin, which measures the efficiency of value creation relative to revenue, mirrored the fluctuations of absolute economic profit. The margin decreased from 4.34% in 2021 to 3.53% in 2022, rebounded to a high of 4.59% in 2024, and experienced a significant compression to 2.58% by the end of 2025. This final decline suggests that despite record revenues, the cost of capital or operational inefficiencies significantly eroded the economic surplus in the final year.