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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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PepsiCo Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Analysis of Solvency Ratios
- DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin
- Analysis of Geographic Areas
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Operating Profit Margin since 2005
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
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Economic Profit
| 12 months ended: | Dec 28, 2024 | Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 25, 2021 | Dec 26, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The net operating profit after taxes shows a generally positive trend over the analyzed five-year period. Starting from $8,429 million in 2020, NOPAT increased to $9,629 million by 2021, representing notable growth. Although there was a slight decline to $9,364 million in 2022, the profit rebounded in subsequent years, reaching $10,029 million in 2023 and further increasing to $10,978 million in 2024. This overall growth suggests effective operational performance and profitability improvement.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital fluctuated within a relatively narrow range. It increased from 8.49% in 2020 to a peak of 9.16% in 2022, indicating a rising expense in terms of financing or required return on investment during that period. Subsequently, it saw a gradual decrease to 9.02% in 2023 and further to 8.89% in 2024. This decline might reflect improved capital market conditions, lower risk premiums, or optimized capital structure.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital exhibited moderate changes throughout the period. It started at $70,066 million in 2020 and slightly decreased over the next two years, reaching $69,452 million in 2022. However, there was a clear rise after 2022, increasing to $75,038 million in 2023 and $76,674 million in 2024. This growth implies additional investments or asset acquisitions that may support future operational expansion or productivity enhancements.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit demonstrated an overall upward trajectory with some variability. The value increased significantly from $2,483 million in 2020 to $3,404 million in 2021, followed by a decline to $3,002 million in 2022. It rose again to $3,262 million in 2023 and increased substantially to $4,160 million in 2024. The pattern suggests the company is creating increasing value above its cost of capital, despite some yearly fluctuations, indicating strong value creation and efficient capital utilization.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to PepsiCo.
5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to PepsiCo.
The annual financial data presents a general upward trend in key profitability metrics over the five-year period analyzed.
- Net Income Attributable to PepsiCo
- This metric shows a consistent increase throughout the period. Starting at 7,120 million US dollars in 2020, it rises to 7,618 million in 2021 and then experiences a notable jump to 8,910 million in 2022. This growth continues more moderately through 2023 and 2024, reaching 9,074 million and 9,578 million respectively. The trend suggests steady improvements in the company’s ability to generate profits attributable to shareholders.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT figures also demonstrate an overall growth trend but with a slight fluctuation in 2022. The measure increases from 8,429 million US dollars in 2020 to 9,629 million in 2021, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency or profitability. However, there is a decrease to 9,364 million in 2022, indicating a possible operational challenge or increased costs during that year. Despite this dip, NOPAT recovers and grows to 10,029 million in 2023 and further to 10,978 million in 2024, suggesting a strong rebound and continued operational success.
Overall, the data exhibits positive financial performance with increasing profitability over the studied years. While net income shows steady growth without decline, NOPAT reveals a minor fluctuation but recovers, highlighting the company’s resilience and operational strength.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
- Provision for income taxes
- The provision for income taxes exhibited some variability over the five-year period. It increased from 1894 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2142 million in 2021. The figure then declined to 1727 million in 2022, before rising again to 2262 million in 2023 and slightly increasing further to 2320 million in 2024. This fluctuation suggests changes in taxable income or adjustments in tax planning strategies over the years.
- Cash operating taxes
- Cash operating taxes demonstrated a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 2034 million US dollars in 2020, the outflow grew steadily each year, reaching 2131 million in 2021, 2660 million in 2022, 2970 million in 2023, and 3060 million in 2024. This continuous increase may reflect rising operational profitability, changes in tax regulations, or growing business activities impacting cash tax payments.
- Comparative insights
- While both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes increased overall, cash operating taxes showed a more pronounced and consistent upward trajectory. The divergence seen particularly in 2022, where provision decreased but cash taxes increased significantly, could indicate timing differences between tax provision accruals and actual tax payments or variations in non-cash tax components. The steady rise in cash taxes suggests increasing cash tax obligations that might impact the company’s liquidity needs.
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of restructuring liability.
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
8 Subtraction of short-term investments.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and lease obligations showed a downward trend from 45,843 million USD in 2020 to 41,487 million USD in 2022, indicating a reduction in overall leverage during this period. However, starting in 2023, the debt level increased significantly to 47,061 million USD and continued to rise slightly to 47,751 million USD in 2024, suggesting a shift toward higher leverage or increased financing activity in recent years.
- Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
- Shareholders’ equity exhibited steady growth from 13,454 million USD in 2020 up to a peak of 18,503 million USD in 2023, reflecting accumulation of retained earnings or capital injections over time. In 2024, equity slightly declined to 18,041 million USD, indicating a minor reduction in net assets attributable to common shareholders.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital remained relatively stable around the high 69,000 million USD range between 2020 and 2022, with values of 70,066 million USD in 2020 and 69,452 million USD in 2022. From 2023 onward, it increased noticeably to 75,038 million USD in 2023 and further to 76,674 million USD in 2024, signaling an expansion in the capital deployed in the business or acquisitions of additional assets.
- Summary
- Overall, the financial data reveals a period of debt reduction followed by increased borrowing after 2022. The rise in shareholders’ equity from 2020 through 2023 reflects strengthening capital base, though a slight dip in 2024 could merit attention. The invested capital trend aligns with the recent increase in debt, highlighting possible growth strategies or capital intensive initiatives pursued post-2022.
Cost of Capital
PepsiCo Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt obligations3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt obligations. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 28, 2024 | Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 25, 2021 | Dec 26, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated an overall increasing trend over the five-year period. Starting at 2,483 million US dollars in 2020, it rose to a peak of 3,404 million in 2021, followed by a slight decline to 3,002 million in 2022. It then increased again to 3,262 million in 2023 and reached its highest value of 4,160 million in 2024. This pattern indicates a generally improving profitability with minor fluctuations.
- Invested Capital
- The invested capital showed modest variability throughout the period. Beginning at 70,066 million US dollars in 2020, it marginally decreased to 69,829 million in 2021, and continued a slight downward trend to 69,452 million in 2022. However, there was a notable increase to 75,038 million in 2023, followed by a smaller rise to 76,674 million in 2024. This suggests a cautious but progressive expansion of capital investment in recent years.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio displayed a largely positive trajectory. It started at 3.54% in 2020, increased significantly to 4.87% in 2021, then experienced a minor decline to 4.32% in 2022. A slight recovery to 4.35% was observed in 2023, culminating in a sharp rise to 5.43% in 2024. This ratio improvement reflects enhanced efficiency in generating returns over the cost of capital.
- Summary
- Overall, the data reveals a company with strengthening economic profitability and improving returns on invested capital over the five-year period. Despite some fluctuations, both economic profit and economic spread ratio exhibit upward trends, particularly notable in the final year observed. The growth in invested capital toward the latter years suggests strategic reinvestment to sustain or enhance profitability. The combination of these trends points to effective capital deployment and increasing value creation.
Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 28, 2024 | Dec 30, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 25, 2021 | Dec 26, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net revenue | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | ||||||
| Mondelēz International Inc. | ||||||
| Philip Morris International Inc. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated a generally positive trend over the observed periods. Starting at 2483 million US dollars in late 2020, it increased significantly to 3404 million US dollars by the end of 2021. There was a slight decrease in 2022 to 3002 million US dollars, followed by a recovery in 2023 with 3262 million US dollars, and reaching a peak of 4160 million US dollars in late 2024. This trend indicates an overall strengthening in economic profit across the years, with a notable rebound after the dip in 2022.
- Net Revenue
- Net revenue showed consistent year-on-year growth throughout the periods. Beginning at 70,372 million US dollars in 2020, revenue increased steadily each year to reach 91,854 million US dollars by late 2024. The growth appeared to slow between 2023 and 2024, with revenue rising marginally from 91,471 to 91,854 million US dollars, suggesting a plateauing effect after several years of substantial increases.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin fluctuated over the years, reflecting variations in profitability relative to revenue. Starting at 3.53% in 2020, it peaked at 4.28% in 2021, then fell to 3.48% in 2022. In 2023, the margin slightly improved to 3.57%, followed by a substantial increase to 4.53% in 2024. This pattern suggests operational efficiency and profitability improved considerably in 2024 compared to previous years.
- Summary of Trends
- Overall, the trends reveal robust growth in net revenue accompanied by fluctuations in economic profit and margin. The dip in economic profit and margin in 2022 may indicate a period of increased costs or reduced operational efficiency. However, the recovery and peak in 2024 suggest effective management and possibly improved market conditions, resulting in higher profitability relative to revenue. The slowing growth of net revenue in the final period implies the company may be approaching a saturation point in its current markets or facing increased competition.