Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates fluctuating financial performance as measured by economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited volatility, increasing from US$3,858 million in 2020 to US$4,733 million in 2021, then decreasing significantly to US$3,016 million in 2022, before recovering to US$5,433 million in 2023 and slightly declining to US$5,271 million in 2024. The cost of capital generally increased from 8.53% in 2020 to 9.15% in 2023, before decreasing to 8.89% in 2024. Invested capital showed a moderate increase from US$61,366 million in 2020 to US$63,833 million in 2022, followed by a decrease to US$60,269 million in 2024.

Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit consistently remained negative throughout the analyzed period, indicating that the company’s returns did not exceed its cost of capital. The negative economic profit decreased from US$-1,378 million in 2020 to US$-679 million in 2021, suggesting improved performance. However, it then worsened considerably to US$-2,622 million in 2022. A substantial improvement was observed in 2023, with economic profit reaching US$-191 million, and this trend continued into 2024, with a further reduction in the negative economic profit to US$-87 million. This suggests a narrowing gap between returns and the cost of capital in the latter years of the period.
Relationship between NOPAT and Economic Profit
The fluctuations in NOPAT appear to have a strong correlation with the changes in economic profit. The increase in NOPAT in 2021 contributed to the reduced negative economic profit observed in that year. Conversely, the decline in NOPAT in 2022 resulted in a more substantial negative economic profit. The recovery in NOPAT during 2023 and 2024 directly corresponds with the improvements in economic profit, although the cost of capital also plays a significant role.
Impact of Cost of Capital
The rising cost of capital between 2020 and 2023 likely exerted downward pressure on economic profit, even during periods of increasing NOPAT. The slight decrease in the cost of capital in 2024 may have contributed to the further reduction in the negative economic profit, despite a modest decline in NOPAT.
Invested Capital and Economic Profit
While invested capital increased overall during the period, its impact on economic profit is less direct than that of NOPAT and the cost of capital. The changes in invested capital appear to be more gradual and do not exhibit the same level of correlation with economic profit as the other two factors.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense, debt
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense, debt
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt6
Adjusted interest expense, debt, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt = Adjusted interest expense, debt × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net Earnings Attributable to Mondelēz International
The net earnings demonstrated a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at 3,555 million US dollars in 2020, earnings increased notably to 4,300 million in 2021, showing significant growth. However, in 2022, there was a considerable decline to 2,717 million, representing a substantial decrease. The earnings then rose sharply in 2023 to reach 4,959 million, the highest point in the period under review, followed by a slight decline in 2024 to 4,611 million. Despite the fluctuations, the earnings in 2024 remained well above the 2020 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited a similar pattern to net earnings, evidencing growth from 3,858 million US dollars in 2020 to 4,733 million in 2021. There was a decline in 2022 to 3,016 million, although this was less pronounced than the drop in net earnings. In 2023, NOPAT increased sharply, reaching 5,433 million, the peak during the period. A marginal decrease to 5,271 million occurred in 2024, yet the level remained significantly higher compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net earnings and NOPAT show a cyclical pattern with peaks in 2021 and 2023, and troughs in 2022. The recovery after 2022 is strong, indicating resilience and effective operational performance. The overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024 reflects improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, despite the mid-period dip. The differences in magnitude of the declines and recoveries between net earnings and NOPAT may suggest varying impacts of operational and non-operational factors on profitability.

Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, debt
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes fluctuated over the five-year period. It decreased from 1224 million USD in 2020 to 865 million USD in 2022, indicating a downward trend during these years. However, the figure rose sharply to 1537 million USD in 2023, the highest level in the series, before slightly declining to 1469 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests variable tax charges, possibly influenced by changes in profitability, tax regulations, or accounting estimates.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a generally volatile trend as well. Starting at 1387 million USD in 2020, there was a decline to 1003 million USD by 2022. Subsequently, the amount increased substantially to 1697 million USD in 2023, marking the peak in this timeframe. The value then decreased to 1328 million USD in 2024. This fluctuation may reflect differences in actual cash paid versus tax provisions, timing of payments, or underlying operational profitability.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Restructuring Program liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases displayed a fluctuating trend over the given periods. It initially decreased from 20,706 million USD in 2020 to 20,145 million USD in 2021. However, it rose significantly to 23,613 million USD in 2022, indicating a marked increase in leverage or obligations during that year. Subsequently, the debt declined again to 20,110 million USD in 2023 and further decreased to 18,544 million USD in 2024, suggesting efforts to reduce debt levels after the peak in 2022.
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Shareholders’ equity showed moderate variation but remained relatively stable throughout the years. An increase was observed from 27,578 million USD in 2020 to 28,269 million USD in 2021, followed by a decline to 26,883 million USD in 2022. Equity then recovered to 28,332 million USD in 2023 before a slight decrease to 26,932 million USD in 2024. These fluctuations may reflect changes in retained earnings, share repurchases, or other equity transactions.
Invested capital
Invested capital exhibited an overall stable pattern with some minor fluctuations. Starting at 61,366 million USD in 2020, it increased marginally to 61,560 million USD in 2021 and reached a peak of 63,833 million USD in 2022. However, it dropped to 61,495 million USD in 2023 and further declined to 60,269 million USD in 2024. This trend indicates that the company maintained a steady level of capital investment with slight adjustments possibly related to asset acquisitions or disposals and working capital changes.

Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic spread ratio exhibited a fluctuating pattern over the five-year period. Initially negative, the ratio demonstrated improvement before declining again, ultimately reaching its least negative value in the most recent year. Economic profit also displayed volatility, moving from negative values to a significantly reduced negative value in the final year analyzed.

Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio began at -2.25% in 2020. A notable improvement was observed in 2021, with the ratio increasing to -1.10%. However, this positive trend reversed in 2022, as the ratio decreased to -4.11%, representing the most negative value within the observed timeframe. Subsequent years saw improvement, with the ratio reaching -0.31% in 2023 and further improving to -0.14% in 2024. This indicates a diminishing gap between the cost of capital and the return generated from invested capital.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was consistently negative throughout the period. The largest negative value occurred in 2022, at -2,622 US$ millions. Prior to this, economic profit was -1,378 US$ millions in 2020 and -679 US$ millions in 2021. A substantial reduction in the magnitude of the loss was seen in 2023 (-191 US$ millions) and 2024 (-87 US$ millions), aligning with the improvement in the economic spread ratio.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable between 2020 and 2022, fluctuating between 61,366 US$ millions and 63,833 US$ millions. A slight decrease was observed in 2023 (61,495 US$ millions), followed by a further decrease in 2024 (60,269 US$ millions). This suggests a modest reduction in the capital employed by the entity towards the end of the analyzed period.

The convergence of the improving economic spread ratio and the decreasing magnitude of economic profit loss in the latter years suggests a positive trend in value creation, although economic profit remains negative overall. The slight decline in invested capital during the final two years may be contributing to this improvement.


Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited significant fluctuations between 2020 and 2024. Initially negative, the margin demonstrated improvement over the period, though remained below zero. A review of the underlying figures reveals a complex relationship between net revenues and economic profit.

Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin began at -5.18% in 2020, indicating that the company’s economic profit was 5.18% less than its net revenues. This figure improved substantially to -2.37% in 2021, suggesting increased efficiency in generating returns above the cost of capital. However, the margin deteriorated sharply to -8.32% in 2022, representing the lowest value within the observed timeframe. A notable recovery occurred in 2023, with the margin increasing to -0.53%, and continued into 2024, reaching -0.24%. This indicates a consistent, albeit slow, progression towards positive economic profit.

Net revenues consistently increased throughout the period, rising from US$26,581 million in 2020 to US$36,441 million in 2024. Despite this revenue growth, economic profit remained negative for all five years. The largest negative economic profit occurred in 2022, coinciding with the most negative economic profit margin. The reduction in the negative economic profit margin in 2023 and 2024 suggests that while economic profit remained negative, the company’s ability to generate returns above its cost of capital improved as revenues increased.

Economic Profit
Economic profit itself showed volatility. It decreased from -US$1,378 million in 2020 to -US$2,622 million in 2022, mirroring the decline in the economic profit margin. Subsequently, economic profit improved significantly, reaching -US$191 million in 2023 and further to -US$87 million in 2024. This positive trend in economic profit, while still negative, aligns with the improving economic profit margin and increasing net revenues.

The observed trend suggests that while the company experienced revenue growth, its cost of capital remained a significant factor impacting overall profitability. The recent improvements in both economic profit and margin indicate a potential shift towards more efficient capital allocation and improved profitability, but continued monitoring is warranted to assess the sustainability of this trend.