Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates significant fluctuations in economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited volatility, beginning at US$4,733 million in 2021, declining substantially to US$3,016 million in 2022, then recovering to US$5,433 million in 2023, followed by a slight decrease to US$5,271 million in 2024, and a considerable drop to US$2,920 million in 2025. The cost of capital remained relatively stable, increasing from 8.03% in 2021 to 8.35% in 2023 before decreasing to 7.97% in 2025. Invested capital showed a modest increase between 2021 and 2022, a decrease in 2023, a further decrease in 2024, and a slight increase in 2025, remaining generally within the range of US$60 to US$64 billion.

Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit transitioned from a modest loss of US$212 million in 2021 to a substantial loss of US$2,140 million in 2022. A significant turnaround occurred in 2023, with economic profit becoming positive at US$295 million, which further improved to US$371 million in 2024. However, 2025 witnessed a return to a substantial loss, reaching US$1,981 million. This pattern suggests a sensitivity to changes in NOPAT and potentially the cost of capital.
Relationship between NOPAT and Economic Profit
The fluctuations in economic profit closely mirror those of NOPAT. The largest loss in economic profit in 2022 corresponds with the lowest NOPAT value during the observed period. Conversely, the positive economic profit in 2023 and 2024 aligns with the higher NOPAT figures. The decline in NOPAT in 2025 directly resulted in a significant negative economic profit.
Cost of Capital Impact
While the cost of capital experienced some variation, its impact on economic profit appears less pronounced than that of NOPAT. The peak in the cost of capital in 2023 did not prevent economic profit from becoming positive, indicating that NOPAT was the dominant driver. The slight decrease in cost of capital in 2025 did not offset the substantial decline in NOPAT, resulting in a significant loss.
Invested Capital Stability
Invested capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, suggesting that changes in economic profit were not primarily driven by significant shifts in the capital employed. The modest fluctuations in invested capital likely had a secondary effect on economic profit compared to the more substantial changes in NOPAT.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. While net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International demonstrated volatility, NOPAT generally tracked a similar pattern, though with differing magnitudes. An initial decline was followed by a period of growth, then a subsequent decrease.

Overall Trend
NOPAT began at US$4,733 million in 2021, decreased to US$3,016 million in 2022, then increased significantly to US$5,433 million in 2023. This upward momentum continued, albeit at a slower pace, reaching US$5,271 million in 2024 before declining to US$2,920 million in 2025.
Year-over-Year Changes
The largest year-over-year decrease occurred between 2021 and 2022, with NOPAT falling by US$1,717 million. Conversely, the most substantial increase was observed between 2022 and 2023, with NOPAT rising by US$2,417 million. A moderate decrease of US$162 million was noted between 2023 and 2024, followed by a more pronounced decline of US$2,351 million between 2024 and 2025.
Relationship to Net Earnings
In 2021, NOPAT exceeded net earnings by US$433 million. This difference narrowed in 2022, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$299 million. In 2023, NOPAT surpassed net earnings by US$474 million. The gap widened again in 2024 to US$660 million, but then contracted significantly in 2025, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$469 million. This suggests a changing relationship between operating profitability and overall net income.

The considerable decrease in NOPAT in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying factors contributing to this decline. The fluctuations observed throughout the period suggest sensitivity to external economic conditions or internal operational changes.


Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited fluctuating behavior between 2021 and 2025. While both metrics moved in similar directions, notable differences in magnitude and specific year-over-year changes were observed.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased from US$1,190 million in 2021 to US$865 million in 2022, representing a substantial decline. This was followed by a significant increase to US$1,537 million in 2023. A further, though smaller, increase occurred in 2024, reaching US$1,469 million, before decreasing considerably to US$782 million in 2025. The volatility suggests potential impacts from changes in tax regulations, geographic earnings mix, or the recognition of tax benefits.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a decrease from US$1,066 million in 2021 to US$1,003 million in 2022. A marked increase was then recorded in 2023, with cash operating taxes reaching US$1,697 million. This was followed by a decrease to US$1,328 million in 2024, and a further decline to US$900 million in 2025. The pattern mirrors that of the provision for income taxes, but the absolute values are consistently lower.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021 and 2022, the difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes was relatively small, approximately US$124 million and US$162 million respectively. However, this difference widened significantly in 2023 to US$160 million, decreased in 2024 to US$141 million, and then increased again in 2025 to US$182 million. This divergence suggests changes in the timing of tax payments relative to reported income, potentially due to deferred tax assets or liabilities, or differences in tax accounting versus cash accounting methods.
Overall Trend
Both measures experienced a peak in 2023, followed by a decline in 2024 and 2025. The 2025 values for both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes represent the lowest levels observed during the analyzed period. This suggests a potential reduction in taxable income or increased utilization of tax credits in the latter years.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Restructuring Program liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


The invested capital of the company exhibited relative stability over the five-year period, with fluctuations occurring between approximately US$60.3 billion and US$63.8 billion. A slight increase is observed from 2021 to 2022, followed by a decrease in 2023, and a further decrease in 2024. The final year, 2025, shows a modest increase, returning invested capital to levels similar to those seen in 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases increased significantly from 2021 to 2022, rising from US$20.1 billion to US$23.6 billion. This was followed by a substantial decrease in 2023 to US$20.1 billion, and a further reduction in 2024 to US$18.5 billion. A subsequent increase is noted in 2025, reaching US$21.968 billion. This indicates active debt management and potential shifts in financing strategies.
Total Shareholders’ Equity
Total shareholders’ equity experienced a decrease from 2021 to 2022, moving from US$28.3 billion to US$26.9 billion. It then increased in 2023 to US$28.3 billion, before decreasing again in 2024 to US$26.9 billion, and finally declining further in 2025 to US$25.8 billion. This suggests potential impacts from net income, dividends, and share repurchases on equity value.
Relationship between Debt, Equity, and Invested Capital
Invested capital is calculated as the sum of total debt and shareholders’ equity. The fluctuations in both debt and equity contribute to the observed stability in invested capital. While debt levels decreased in 2023 and 2024, equity also decreased, partially offsetting the impact on the overall invested capital figure. The increase in debt in 2025, coupled with a further decrease in equity, resulted in a modest increase in invested capital.

The observed patterns suggest a dynamic capital structure, with the company actively managing its debt and equity positions. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these changes, such as profitability, investment activities, and financing decisions, would be necessary for a more comprehensive understanding.


Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic spread ratio exhibited significant fluctuations between 2021 and 2025. Initially negative, it demonstrated improvement before declining substantially in the final year of the observed period. This analysis details the observed trends and potential implications.

Economic Spread Ratio
In 2021, the economic spread ratio was -0.34%, indicating that the company’s return on invested capital was less than its cost of capital. A substantial decrease was observed in 2022, with the ratio falling to -3.35%, signifying a widening gap between returns and costs. The ratio turned positive in 2023, reaching 0.48%, suggesting the company generated returns exceeding its cost of capital. This positive trend continued into 2024, with the ratio increasing to 0.62%. However, a sharp reversal occurred in 2025, as the economic spread ratio plummeted to -3.22%, returning to a level comparable to that of 2022 and indicating a significant deterioration in value creation.

The economic spread ratio’s movement closely mirrors the fluctuations in economic profit. The negative economic profit values in 2021, 2022, and 2025 align with the negative economic spread ratios during those years. Conversely, the positive economic profit reported in 2023 and 2024 corresponds with the positive economic spread ratios observed in those periods.

Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, ranging between US$60,269 million and US$63,833 million. While there was a slight decrease from 2022 to 2024, it recovered to approximately the 2022 level by 2025. The consistency in invested capital suggests that changes in the economic spread ratio are primarily driven by changes in economic profit, rather than significant shifts in the capital base.

The substantial decline in the economic spread ratio in 2025 warrants further investigation. Despite a relatively consistent invested capital base, the return on that capital appears to have fallen significantly below the cost of capital, potentially due to decreased profitability or increased capital costs. The company’s performance in 2025 represents a notable deviation from the positive trend observed in the preceding two years.


Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited significant fluctuations between 2021 and 2025. Initial observations reveal a move from negative economic profit in 2021 and 2022 to positive economic profit in 2023 and 2024, followed by a substantial return to negative economic profit in 2025. This pattern is closely linked to the evolution of economic profit and net revenues over the period.

Economic Profit Margin Trend
In 2021, the economic profit margin stood at -0.74%. This margin deteriorated considerably in 2022, reaching -6.80%. A positive turning point occurred in 2023, with the margin increasing to 0.82%, and further improvement was seen in 2024, reaching 1.02%. However, this positive trend reversed sharply in 2025, with the economic profit margin declining to -5.14%.
Relationship to Economic Profit
The economic profit margin directly reflects the absolute economic profit. The negative margins in 2021, 2022, and 2025 correspond to negative economic profit values of -212, -2,140, and -1,981 million US dollars, respectively. Conversely, the positive margins in 2023 and 2024 align with positive economic profit figures of 295 and 371 million US dollars.
Relationship to Net Revenues
Net revenues demonstrated a consistent upward trend over the five-year period, increasing from 28,720 million US dollars in 2021 to 38,537 million US dollars in 2025. Despite this revenue growth, the economic profit margin did not consistently benefit. The substantial decline in the margin in 2025, despite increased net revenues, suggests that the cost of capital or operational inefficiencies may have increased significantly, offsetting the revenue gains.

The volatility in the economic profit margin indicates a sensitivity to underlying economic profit drivers. While revenue growth is apparent, maintaining positive economic profit and a healthy margin appears challenging, as evidenced by the return to negative economic profit in the final year of the observed period.