Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes showed a fluctuating pattern over the observed period. It increased significantly from 3,858 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 4,733 million USD in 2021. Subsequently, there was a notable decline to 3,016 million USD in 2022, followed by a substantial recovery to 5,433 million USD in 2023. In 2024, the figure slightly decreased to 5,271 million USD, remaining near its recent peak.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital displayed a generally increasing trend, starting from 8.42% in 2020 and rising each year to reach 9.02% in 2023. In 2024, a slight reduction occurred, bringing the rate down to 8.77%. This reflects a gradual increase in the company’s cost of financing over the period, with a mild easing toward the end.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations. The capital amount was 61,366 million USD at the end of 2020, marginally increasing to 61,560 million USD in 2021 and then to 63,833 million USD in 2022. In 2023, it decreased to 61,495 million USD and further declined to 60,269 million USD in 2024. Overall, the invested capital shows a slight downward trend in the latter years.
Economic profit
Economic profit demonstrated persistent negative values throughout the period, indicating that the returns on invested capital have consistently been below the cost of capital. The deficit narrowed from -1,309 million USD in 2020 to -607 million USD in 2021, suggesting some improvement. However, economic profit deteriorated significantly in 2022 to -2,548 million USD. A recovery trend is apparent in 2023 and 2024, with losses decreasing to -116 million USD and -16 million USD respectively, approaching breakeven in the most recent year.
Overall analysis
The data reveals variability in profitability, with NOPAT experiencing both sharp declines and recoveries. Cost of capital rose over the years, except for a slight dip at the end, which may affect the evaluation of project returns. Invested capital remained mostly steady but showed a slight decrease toward the end of the period. Despite improvements in economic profit towards 2023 and 2024, the company has struggled to generate economic profit consistently, implying challenges in achieving returns above its capital costs. The closing trend suggests progress toward financial efficiency and value creation, although further analysis would be required to confirm sustainability.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense, debt
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense, debt
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt6
Adjusted interest expense, debt, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt = Adjusted interest expense, debt × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net Earnings Attributable to Mondelēz International
The net earnings demonstrated a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at 3,555 million US dollars in 2020, earnings increased notably to 4,300 million in 2021, showing significant growth. However, in 2022, there was a considerable decline to 2,717 million, representing a substantial decrease. The earnings then rose sharply in 2023 to reach 4,959 million, the highest point in the period under review, followed by a slight decline in 2024 to 4,611 million. Despite the fluctuations, the earnings in 2024 remained well above the 2020 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited a similar pattern to net earnings, evidencing growth from 3,858 million US dollars in 2020 to 4,733 million in 2021. There was a decline in 2022 to 3,016 million, although this was less pronounced than the drop in net earnings. In 2023, NOPAT increased sharply, reaching 5,433 million, the peak during the period. A marginal decrease to 5,271 million occurred in 2024, yet the level remained significantly higher compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net earnings and NOPAT show a cyclical pattern with peaks in 2021 and 2023, and troughs in 2022. The recovery after 2022 is strong, indicating resilience and effective operational performance. The overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024 reflects improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, despite the mid-period dip. The differences in magnitude of the declines and recoveries between net earnings and NOPAT may suggest varying impacts of operational and non-operational factors on profitability.

Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, debt
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes fluctuated over the five-year period. It decreased from 1224 million USD in 2020 to 865 million USD in 2022, indicating a downward trend during these years. However, the figure rose sharply to 1537 million USD in 2023, the highest level in the series, before slightly declining to 1469 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests variable tax charges, possibly influenced by changes in profitability, tax regulations, or accounting estimates.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a generally volatile trend as well. Starting at 1387 million USD in 2020, there was a decline to 1003 million USD by 2022. Subsequently, the amount increased substantially to 1697 million USD in 2023, marking the peak in this timeframe. The value then decreased to 1328 million USD in 2024. This fluctuation may reflect differences in actual cash paid versus tax provisions, timing of payments, or underlying operational profitability.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Restructuring Program liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases displayed a fluctuating trend over the given periods. It initially decreased from 20,706 million USD in 2020 to 20,145 million USD in 2021. However, it rose significantly to 23,613 million USD in 2022, indicating a marked increase in leverage or obligations during that year. Subsequently, the debt declined again to 20,110 million USD in 2023 and further decreased to 18,544 million USD in 2024, suggesting efforts to reduce debt levels after the peak in 2022.
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Shareholders’ equity showed moderate variation but remained relatively stable throughout the years. An increase was observed from 27,578 million USD in 2020 to 28,269 million USD in 2021, followed by a decline to 26,883 million USD in 2022. Equity then recovered to 28,332 million USD in 2023 before a slight decrease to 26,932 million USD in 2024. These fluctuations may reflect changes in retained earnings, share repurchases, or other equity transactions.
Invested capital
Invested capital exhibited an overall stable pattern with some minor fluctuations. Starting at 61,366 million USD in 2020, it increased marginally to 61,560 million USD in 2021 and reached a peak of 63,833 million USD in 2022. However, it dropped to 61,495 million USD in 2023 and further declined to 60,269 million USD in 2024. This trend indicates that the company maintained a steady level of capital investment with slight adjustments possibly related to asset acquisitions or disposals and working capital changes.

Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrated significant fluctuations over the analyzed period. Initially, a negative value of -1309 million US dollars was recorded, which improved in 2021 to -607 million. However, there was a sharp decline in 2022, with economic profit dipping further to -2548 million, indicating increased inefficiencies or higher costs relative to returns. Subsequently, the figure improved substantially in 2023 and 2024, reaching -116 million and -16 million respectively, approaching break-even levels.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a relatively stable trend over the years, with minor fluctuations. It increased slightly from 61,366 million US dollars in 2020 to 63,833 million in 2022, then decreased to 61,495 million in 2023, followed by a further reduction to 60,269 million by 2024. This suggests a relatively consistent level of capital deployment with a slight retrenchment towards the later years.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout the period, indicating that the returns on invested capital were consistently below the cost of that capital. It improved from -2.13% in 2020 to -0.99% in 2021, suggesting better efficiency or profitability dynamics initially. The ratio deteriorated in 2022 to -3.99%, aligning with the significant decline in economic profit observed for the same period. Improvements were evident in 2023 and 2024, where the ratio moved closer to zero at -0.19% and -0.03%, indicating a near break-even return on invested capital by the end of the period.

Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Revenues
There is a consistent upward trend in net revenues over the five-year period. Starting from approximately 26.6 billion USD in 2020, revenues increased steadily each year, reaching around 36.4 billion USD by 2024. This reflects a continuous growth in the company's core sales performance.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shows substantial fluctuation throughout the period. The company experienced a negative economic profit every year, starting at -1.3 billion USD in 2020, improving somewhat to -607 million USD in 2021, then sharply declining to -2.5 billion USD in 2022. This was followed by a significant recovery to -116 million USD in 2023 and a further slight improvement to -16 million USD in 2024. These variations suggest challenges in maintaining economic profitability despite revenue growth.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrors the pattern observed in economic profit itself, remaining consistently negative. It started at -4.92% in 2020, improved to -2.11% in 2021, dropped notably to -8.09% in 2022, then rebounded sharply to -0.32% in 2023 and approached near break-even at -0.05% in 2024. This indicates that, while the company has not achieved positive economic profitability, it has made considerable progress in closing the gap in recent years.
Overall Observations
Despite continuous growth in net revenues, economic profitability has been volatile and persistently negative, suggesting challenges in cost control, capital efficiency, or other operational factors impacting true value creation. The improvements observed in economic profit and its margin from 2022 onwards may reflect strategic adjustments or operational improvements. However, achieving positive economic profit remains an area for ongoing focus to enhance shareholder value.