Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 2,920 5,271 5,433 3,016 4,733
Cost of capital2 8.31% 8.49% 8.73% 8.43% 8.39%
Invested capital3 61,526 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560
 
Economic profit4 (2,193) 155 66 (2,367) (432)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 2,920 – 8.31% × 61,526 = -2,193


The analysis of economic profit from 2021 to 2025 reveals a volatile performance characterized by periods of significant value destruction and brief intervals of value creation. The primary driver of these fluctuations is the inconsistency in Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT), while the cost of capital and the total invested capital remained relatively stable throughout the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited substantial volatility, with a notable decline in 2022 to 3,016 million USD and a further sharp decrease to 2,920 million USD by 2025. Conversely, a recovery peak occurred in 2023, reaching 5,433 million USD, followed by a slight contraction to 5,271 million USD in 2024. These fluctuations indicate instability in the core operating profitability relative to the capital employed.
Cost of Capital and Invested Capital
The cost of capital remained narrow in its range, fluctuating between a low of 8.31% in 2025 and a peak of 8.73% in 2023. Similarly, invested capital showed minimal variance, maintaining a baseline around 61,000 million USD, peaking at 63,833 million USD in 2022 and dipping to 60,269 million USD in 2024. The stability of these two metrics suggests that the swings in economic profit are not due to structural changes in the capital base or financing costs, but rather due to operational performance.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative for the majority of the analyzed period. Significant value destruction was observed in 2022 (-2,367 million USD) and 2025 (-2,193 million USD). A marginal transition to value creation occurred in 2023 and 2024, with economic profits of 66 million USD and 155 million USD, respectively. This indicates that during those two years, the NOPAT only slightly exceeded the capital charge required to satisfy the cost of capital.

In summary, the entity struggled to consistently generate returns above its cost of capital. The pattern suggests that while the company maintains a stable investment base, the operational earnings are insufficient to ensure a positive economic profit on a sustained basis, leading to intermittent periods of economic value erosion.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International 2,451 4,611 4,959 2,717 4,300
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 16 257 (37) (42) 205
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2 (4) (42) 12 18 2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3 (64) (3) 27 (47) (93)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (52) 212 2 (71) 114
Interest expense 599 508 550 428 365
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 41 44 36 29 21
Adjusted interest expense 640 552 586 457 386
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (134) (116) (123) (96) (81)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 506 436 463 361 305
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 15 12 9 9 14
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 2,920 5,271 5,433 3,016 4,733

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 763 × 5.40% = 41

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 640 × 21.00% = 134

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. While net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International demonstrated volatility, NOPAT generally tracked a similar pattern, though with differing magnitudes. An initial decline was followed by a period of growth, then a subsequent decrease.

Overall Trend
NOPAT began at US$4,733 million in 2021, decreased to US$3,016 million in 2022, then increased significantly to US$5,433 million in 2023. This upward momentum continued, albeit at a slower pace, reaching US$5,271 million in 2024 before declining to US$2,920 million in 2025.
Year-over-Year Changes
The largest year-over-year decrease occurred between 2021 and 2022, with NOPAT falling by US$1,717 million. Conversely, the most substantial increase was observed between 2022 and 2023, with NOPAT rising by US$2,417 million. A moderate decrease of US$162 million was noted between 2023 and 2024, followed by a more pronounced decline of US$2,351 million between 2024 and 2025.
Relationship to Net Earnings
In 2021, NOPAT exceeded net earnings by US$433 million. This difference narrowed in 2022, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$299 million. In 2023, NOPAT surpassed net earnings by US$474 million. The gap widened again in 2024 to US$660 million, but then contracted significantly in 2025, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$469 million. This suggests a changing relationship between operating profitability and overall net income.

The considerable decrease in NOPAT in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying factors contributing to this decline. The fluctuations observed throughout the period suggest sensitivity to external economic conditions or internal operational changes.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes 782 1,469 1,537 865 1,190
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 16 257 (37) (42) 205
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 134 116 123 96 81
Cash operating taxes 900 1,328 1,697 1,003 1,066

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited fluctuating behavior between 2021 and 2025. While both metrics moved in similar directions, notable differences in magnitude and specific year-over-year changes were observed.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased from US$1,190 million in 2021 to US$865 million in 2022, representing a substantial decline. This was followed by a significant increase to US$1,537 million in 2023. A further, though smaller, increase occurred in 2024, reaching US$1,469 million, before decreasing considerably to US$782 million in 2025. The volatility suggests potential impacts from changes in tax regulations, geographic earnings mix, or the recognition of tax benefits.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a decrease from US$1,066 million in 2021 to US$1,003 million in 2022. A marked increase was then recorded in 2023, with cash operating taxes reaching US$1,697 million. This was followed by a decrease to US$1,328 million in 2024, and a further decline to US$900 million in 2025. The pattern mirrors that of the provision for income taxes, but the absolute values are consistently lower.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021 and 2022, the difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes was relatively small, approximately US$124 million and US$162 million respectively. However, this difference widened significantly in 2023 to US$160 million, decreased in 2024 to US$141 million, and then increased again in 2025 to US$182 million. This divergence suggests changes in the timing of tax payments relative to reported income, potentially due to deferred tax assets or liabilities, or differences in tax accounting versus cash accounting methods.
Overall Trend
Both measures experienced a peak in 2023, followed by a decline in 2024 and 2025. The 2025 values for both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes represent the lowest levels observed during the analyzed period. This suggests a potential reduction in taxable income or increased utilization of tax credits in the latter years.

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Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term borrowings 2,688 71 420 2,299 216
Current portion of long-term debt 1,295 2,014 2,101 383 1,746
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 17,222 15,664 16,887 20,251 17,550
Operating lease liability1 763 795 702 680 633
Total reported debt & leases 21,968 18,544 20,110 23,613 20,145
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity 25,838 26,932 28,332 26,883 28,269
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 3,194 3,092 2,884 2,964 2,903
Allowances for credit losses3 70 74 116 104 86
Restructuring Program liability4 124 188 191 164 211
Equity equivalents5 3,388 3,354 3,191 3,232 3,200
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 11,364 12,471 10,946 10,947 10,624
Noncontrolling interest 53 26 34 37 54
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity 40,643 42,783 42,503 41,099 42,147
Construction in progress7 (1,085) (1,058) (1,118) (879) (732)
Invested capital 61,526 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


The invested capital of the company exhibited relative stability over the five-year period, with fluctuations occurring between approximately US$60.3 billion and US$63.8 billion. A slight increase is observed from 2021 to 2022, followed by a decrease in 2023, and a further decrease in 2024. The final year, 2025, shows a modest increase, returning invested capital to levels similar to those seen in 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases increased significantly from 2021 to 2022, rising from US$20.1 billion to US$23.6 billion. This was followed by a substantial decrease in 2023 to US$20.1 billion, and a further reduction in 2024 to US$18.5 billion. A subsequent increase is noted in 2025, reaching US$21.968 billion. This indicates active debt management and potential shifts in financing strategies.
Total Shareholders’ Equity
Total shareholders’ equity experienced a decrease from 2021 to 2022, moving from US$28.3 billion to US$26.9 billion. It then increased in 2023 to US$28.3 billion, before decreasing again in 2024 to US$26.9 billion, and finally declining further in 2025 to US$25.8 billion. This suggests potential impacts from net income, dividends, and share repurchases on equity value.
Relationship between Debt, Equity, and Invested Capital
Invested capital is calculated as the sum of total debt and shareholders’ equity. The fluctuations in both debt and equity contribute to the observed stability in invested capital. While debt levels decreased in 2023 and 2024, equity also decreased, partially offsetting the impact on the overall invested capital figure. The increase in debt in 2025, coupled with a further decrease in equity, resulted in a modest increase in invested capital.

The observed patterns suggest a dynamic capital structure, with the company actively managing its debt and equity positions. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these changes, such as profitability, investment activities, and financing decisions, would be necessary for a more comprehensive understanding.

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Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 76,142 76,142 ÷ 96,458 = 0.79 0.79 × 9.94% = 7.85%
Debt3 19,553 19,553 ÷ 96,458 = 0.20 0.20 × 2.68% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.43%
Operating lease liability4 763 763 ÷ 96,458 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 96,458 1.00 8.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 74,287 74,287 ÷ 90,928 = 0.82 0.82 × 9.94% = 8.12%
Debt3 15,846 15,846 ÷ 90,928 = 0.17 0.17 × 2.38% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 795 795 ÷ 90,928 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 90,928 1.00 8.49%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 103,504 103,504 ÷ 121,712 = 0.85 0.85 × 9.94% = 8.45%
Debt3 17,506 17,506 ÷ 121,712 = 0.14 0.14 × 2.19% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.25%
Operating lease liability4 702 702 ÷ 121,712 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 121,712 1.00 8.73%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 89,856 89,856 ÷ 110,753 = 0.81 0.81 × 9.94% = 8.07%
Debt3 20,217 20,217 ÷ 110,753 = 0.18 0.18 × 2.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.35%
Operating lease liability4 680 680 ÷ 110,753 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 110,753 1.00 8.43%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 93,046 93,046 ÷ 113,928 = 0.82 0.82 × 9.94% = 8.12%
Debt3 20,249 20,249 ÷ 113,928 = 0.18 0.18 × 1.82% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.26%
Operating lease liability4 633 633 ÷ 113,928 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 113,928 1.00 8.39%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (2,193) 155 66 (2,367) (432)
Invested capital2 61,526 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -3.57% 0.26% 0.11% -3.71% -0.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co. 6.18% 3.72% 4.21% 3.90% 5.44%
PepsiCo Inc. 2.93% 5.52% 4.44% 4.42% 4.97%
Philip Morris International Inc. 13.34% 8.36% 9.01% 11.97% 26.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -2,193 ÷ 61,526 = -3.57%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of value creation reveals significant volatility in economic performance between 2021 and 2025. While the invested capital base remained relatively stable, the ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital fluctuated sharply, resulting in inconsistent economic value added and periods of value destruction.

Economic Spread Ratio Trends
The spread ratio exhibited a volatile trajectory, characterized by deep troughs and brief windows of positive value creation. A significant decline occurred in 2022, where the ratio reached -3.71%, indicating a substantial gap between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. A modest recovery was observed in 2023 and 2024, with the ratio turning positive at 0.11% and 0.26%, respectively. This trend reversed sharply in 2025, with the ratio falling to -3.57%.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit closely mirrored the fluctuations of the spread ratio. Negative results were recorded in 2021 (-US$ 432 million) and intensified in 2022 (-US$ 2,367 million). The shift to positive economic profit in 2023 (US$ 66 million) and 2024 (US$ 155 million) indicates a temporary period where operational returns exceeded the cost of capital. However, the return to a significant deficit in 2025 (-US$ 2,193 million) underscores a recurring inability to sustain value creation over the long term.
Invested Capital Stability
Invested capital remained remarkably consistent throughout the five-year period, fluctuating within a narrow range between US$ 60,269 million and US$ 63,833 million. The stability of the capital base suggests that the volatility observed in economic profit and the spread ratio is driven primarily by operational performance or shifts in the cost of capital, rather than by significant expansions or contractions in the company's invested asset base.

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Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (2,193) 155 66 (2,367) (432)
Net revenues 38,537 36,441 36,016 31,496 28,720
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -5.69% 0.43% 0.18% -7.52% -1.50%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co. 11.97% 6.86% 7.69% 7.26% 11.29%
PepsiCo Inc. 2.60% 4.61% 3.64% 3.55% 4.37%
Philip Morris International Inc. 17.50% 10.67% 13.16% 17.84% 24.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × -2,193 ÷ 38,537 = -5.69%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory between 2021 and 2025 is characterized by a steady increase in top-line revenue contrasted with significant volatility in economic value creation. While net revenues expanded consistently throughout the period, economic profit exhibited sharp fluctuations, indicating that revenue growth did not consistently translate into value exceeding the cost of capital.

Net Revenue Trend
A consistent upward trend is observed in net revenues, which grew from US$ 28,720 million in 2021 to US$ 38,537 million by 2025. This steady growth indicates a sustained expansion of the company's market presence or pricing capabilities over the five-year period.
Economic Profit Volatility
Economic profit demonstrated extreme instability. Following a deficit of US$ 432 million in 2021, the figure deteriorated sharply to negative US$ 2,367 million in 2022. A recovery phase was evident in 2023 and 2024, during which the company achieved positive economic profits of US$ 66 million and US$ 155 million, respectively. However, this positive momentum was reversed in 2025, with economic profit falling again to negative US$ 2,193 million.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility seen in absolute economic profit. The margin reached a period low of -7.52% in 2022 before recovering to marginal positivity in 2023 (0.18%) and 2024 (0.43%). The subsequent decline to -5.69% in 2025 highlights a significant disconnect between revenue growth and value creation, suggesting that the capital charges or operational costs increased disproportionately relative to the revenue gains in the final year.

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