Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 5,271 5,433 3,016 4,733 3,858
Cost of capital2 8.72% 8.97% 8.67% 8.62% 8.37%
Invested capital3 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560 61,366
 
Economic profit4 13 (84) (2,516) (577) (1,280)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 5,2718.72% × 60,269 = 13


The financial data reflects varied performance trends for the company over the five-year period. Key financial indicators such as net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), cost of capital, invested capital, and economic profit illustrate the operational and capital efficiency dynamics.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows fluctuation across the years. It increased from 3,858 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 4,733 million USD in 2021, indicating an improvement in operating profitability. However, there was a notable decline in 2022 to 3,016 million USD, suggesting challenges or higher costs impacting net operations. The value rebounded significantly in 2023 to 5,433 million USD but slightly decreased to 5,271 million USD in 2024, though it remained above previous early period levels. This pattern suggests some volatility but an overall trend toward recovering and improving profitability after a dip in 2022.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital gradually increased from 8.37% in 2020 to a high of 8.97% in 2023, before slightly declining to 8.72% in 2024. This rising trend until 2023 implies a potentially higher risk or capital expense environment, which could affect investment decisions and valuation. The slight decrease in 2024 may indicate some stabilization of capital costs.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable, with modest fluctuations throughout the period. It slightly increased from 61,366 million USD in 2020 to 63,833 million USD in 2022, followed by declines in 2023 and 2024, reaching 60,269 million USD. This trend could reflect capital expenditure adjustments, divestitures, or strategic reallocations affecting the asset base without significant expansion.
Economic Profit
Economic profit, which factors in the cost of capital, was negative in all years except 2024. Starting at -1,280 million USD in 2020, the negative economic profit narrowed to -577 million USD in 2021 but then deteriorated sharply to -2,516 million USD in 2022. The metric improved significantly to -84 million USD in 2023 and turned positive to 13 million USD by 2024. This trend indicates that while the company struggled to generate returns above its capital costs in earlier years, it approached breakeven in 2023 and achieved a slight value creation in 2024, signaling improved capital efficiency and profitability relative to invested funds.

Overall, the company experienced fluctuations in profitability and capital efficiency, with signs of recovery and stabilization by the end of the examined period. The ability to convert invested capital into economic profit improved notably in the last two years, despite earlier challenges. The upward trend in cost of capital until 2023 could have pressured returns, but recent improvements suggest adapting strategies or market conditions have favored better financial performance.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International 4,611 4,959 2,717 4,300 3,555
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 257 (37) (42) 205 (70)
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2 (42) 12 18 2 5
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3 (3) 27 (47) (93) 3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 212 2 (71) 114 (62)
Interest expense, debt 508 550 428 365 423
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 44 36 29 21 21
Adjusted interest expense, debt 552 586 457 386 444
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt6 (116) (123) (96) (81) (93)
Adjusted interest expense, debt, after taxes7 436 463 361 305 351
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 12 9 9 14 14
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 5,271 5,433 3,016 4,733 3,858

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 795 × 5.50% = 44

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt = Adjusted interest expense, debt × Statutory income tax rate
= 552 × 21.00% = 116

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net Earnings Attributable to Mondelēz International
The net earnings demonstrated a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at 3,555 million US dollars in 2020, earnings increased notably to 4,300 million in 2021, showing significant growth. However, in 2022, there was a considerable decline to 2,717 million, representing a substantial decrease. The earnings then rose sharply in 2023 to reach 4,959 million, the highest point in the period under review, followed by a slight decline in 2024 to 4,611 million. Despite the fluctuations, the earnings in 2024 remained well above the 2020 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited a similar pattern to net earnings, evidencing growth from 3,858 million US dollars in 2020 to 4,733 million in 2021. There was a decline in 2022 to 3,016 million, although this was less pronounced than the drop in net earnings. In 2023, NOPAT increased sharply, reaching 5,433 million, the peak during the period. A marginal decrease to 5,271 million occurred in 2024, yet the level remained significantly higher compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net earnings and NOPAT show a cyclical pattern with peaks in 2021 and 2023, and troughs in 2022. The recovery after 2022 is strong, indicating resilience and effective operational performance. The overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024 reflects improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, despite the mid-period dip. The differences in magnitude of the declines and recoveries between net earnings and NOPAT may suggest varying impacts of operational and non-operational factors on profitability.

Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes 1,469 1,537 865 1,190 1,224
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 257 (37) (42) 205 (70)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, debt 116 123 96 81 93
Cash operating taxes 1,328 1,697 1,003 1,066 1,387

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes fluctuated over the five-year period. It decreased from 1224 million USD in 2020 to 865 million USD in 2022, indicating a downward trend during these years. However, the figure rose sharply to 1537 million USD in 2023, the highest level in the series, before slightly declining to 1469 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests variable tax charges, possibly influenced by changes in profitability, tax regulations, or accounting estimates.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a generally volatile trend as well. Starting at 1387 million USD in 2020, there was a decline to 1003 million USD by 2022. Subsequently, the amount increased substantially to 1697 million USD in 2023, marking the peak in this timeframe. The value then decreased to 1328 million USD in 2024. This fluctuation may reflect differences in actual cash paid versus tax provisions, timing of payments, or underlying operational profitability.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings 71 420 2,299 216 29
Current portion of long-term debt 2,014 2,101 383 1,746 2,741
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 15,664 16,887 20,251 17,550 17,276
Operating lease liability1 795 702 680 633 660
Total reported debt & leases 18,544 20,110 23,613 20,145 20,706
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity 26,932 28,332 26,883 28,269 27,578
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 3,092 2,884 2,964 2,903 2,556
Allowances for credit losses3 74 116 104 86 84
Restructuring Program liability4 188 191 164 211 304
Equity equivalents5 3,354 3,191 3,232 3,200 2,944
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 12,471 10,946 10,947 10,624 10,690
Noncontrolling interest 26 34 37 54 76
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity 42,783 42,503 41,099 42,147 41,288
Construction in progress7 (1,058) (1,118) (879) (732) (628)
Invested capital 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560 61,366

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases displayed a fluctuating trend over the given periods. It initially decreased from 20,706 million USD in 2020 to 20,145 million USD in 2021. However, it rose significantly to 23,613 million USD in 2022, indicating a marked increase in leverage or obligations during that year. Subsequently, the debt declined again to 20,110 million USD in 2023 and further decreased to 18,544 million USD in 2024, suggesting efforts to reduce debt levels after the peak in 2022.
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Shareholders’ equity showed moderate variation but remained relatively stable throughout the years. An increase was observed from 27,578 million USD in 2020 to 28,269 million USD in 2021, followed by a decline to 26,883 million USD in 2022. Equity then recovered to 28,332 million USD in 2023 before a slight decrease to 26,932 million USD in 2024. These fluctuations may reflect changes in retained earnings, share repurchases, or other equity transactions.
Invested capital
Invested capital exhibited an overall stable pattern with some minor fluctuations. Starting at 61,366 million USD in 2020, it increased marginally to 61,560 million USD in 2021 and reached a peak of 63,833 million USD in 2022. However, it dropped to 61,495 million USD in 2023 and further declined to 60,269 million USD in 2024. This trend indicates that the company maintained a steady level of capital investment with slight adjustments possibly related to asset acquisitions or disposals and working capital changes.

Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 74,287 74,287 ÷ 90,928 = 0.82 0.82 × 10.23% = 8.36%
Debt3 15,846 15,846 ÷ 90,928 = 0.17 0.17 × 2.38% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 795 795 ÷ 90,928 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 90,928 1.00 8.72%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 103,504 103,504 ÷ 121,712 = 0.85 0.85 × 10.23% = 8.70%
Debt3 17,506 17,506 ÷ 121,712 = 0.14 0.14 × 2.19% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.25%
Operating lease liability4 702 702 ÷ 121,712 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 121,712 1.00 8.97%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 89,856 89,856 ÷ 110,753 = 0.81 0.81 × 10.23% = 8.30%
Debt3 20,217 20,217 ÷ 110,753 = 0.18 0.18 × 2.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.35%
Operating lease liability4 680 680 ÷ 110,753 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 110,753 1.00 8.67%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 93,046 93,046 ÷ 113,928 = 0.82 0.82 × 10.23% = 8.35%
Debt3 20,249 20,249 ÷ 113,928 = 0.18 0.18 × 1.82% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.26%
Operating lease liability4 633 633 ÷ 113,928 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 113,928 1.00 8.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 79,375 79,375 ÷ 101,603 = 0.78 0.78 × 10.23% = 7.99%
Debt3 21,568 21,568 ÷ 101,603 = 0.21 0.21 × 2.17% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.36%
Operating lease liability4 660 660 ÷ 101,603 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 101,603 1.00 8.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 13 (84) (2,516) (577) (1,280)
Invested capital2 60,269 61,495 63,833 61,560 61,366
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 0.02% -0.14% -3.94% -0.94% -2.09%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co. 2.63% 3.14% 2.83% 4.38% 2.20%
PepsiCo Inc. 5.50% 4.42% 4.40% 4.95% 3.61%
Philip Morris International Inc. 8.14% 8.77% 11.72% 25.90% 19.58%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 13 ÷ 60,269 = 0.02%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit shows significant fluctuations over the analyzed period. It began with a substantial negative value of -1280 million US dollars at the end of 2020, improved in 2021 to -577 million, but then deteriorated sharply in 2022 to -2516 million. Following this steep decline, economic profit improved markedly over the subsequent two years, reaching a near break-even point at -84 million in 2023 and ultimately turning slightly positive at 13 million US dollars in 2024. This pattern indicates an initial period of loss that intensified before recovery efforts or operational changes led to increased profitability, culminating in a marginal positive economic profit.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable throughout the period, with minor fluctuations. Starting at 61,366 million US dollars in 2020, it increased slightly to 61,560 million in 2021, peaked at 63,833 million in 2022, and then declined in the following years to 61,495 million in 2023 and 60,269 million in 2024. The overall trend suggests that the company maintained a substantial capital base, with some reduction in the most recent years possibly reflecting asset disposals or optimized capital allocation.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which indicates the difference between return on invested capital and cost of capital, was negative throughout most of the analyzed timeframe, indicating returns were generally below the cost of capital. It improved from -2.09% in 2020 to -0.94% in 2021, but then worsened significantly to -3.94% in 2022. This was followed by a recovery toward zero, with values at -0.14% in 2023 and turning slightly positive to 0.02% in 2024. The improvement in this ratio over the last two years aligns with the recovery seen in economic profit, signaling enhanced value creation and operational efficiency.

Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 13 (84) (2,516) (577) (1,280)
Net revenues 36,441 36,016 31,496 28,720 26,581
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 0.04% -0.23% -7.99% -2.01% -4.81%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co. 4.86% 5.73% 5.25% 9.10% 5.05%
PepsiCo Inc. 4.59% 3.63% 3.54% 4.35% 3.60%
Philip Morris International Inc. 10.40% 12.83% 17.52% 24.13% 21.80%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × 13 ÷ 36,441 = 0.04%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Revenues
The net revenues exhibit a consistent upward trend over the analyzed period. Starting from approximately 26.6 billion US dollars at the end of 2020, revenues increased steadily each year, reaching nearly 36.4 billion US dollars by the end of 2024. This represents significant growth, indicating successful top-line expansion throughout the period.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shows considerable volatility and a notable improvement trend towards the end of the period. Initially, economic profit was negative and declining, dropping to a low point of -2.516 billion US dollars in 2022. However, from 2023 onwards, there was a sharp recovery, with economic profit rising to a small positive figure of 13 million US dollars by the end of 2024. This suggests enhanced operational efficiency or profitability adjustments over these years.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin follows a pattern similar to economic profit, characterized by negative values throughout most of the period. The margin deteriorated to its lowest at -7.99% in 2022, indicating a period where the company was not generating economic value relative to its invested capital. Nevertheless, improvement is evident in the last two years, with the margin almost breaching neutrality in 2023 at -0.23%, and finally turning slightly positive at 0.04% by 2024. This transition from negative to positive margin is a key indicator of improving value creation.
Overall Interpretation
The data indicates robust revenue growth coupled with initial challenges in generating positive economic profit and margin, which peaked negatively in 2022. The subsequent recovery in both economic profit and margin suggests effective strategic actions to improve profitability and capital efficiency. By 2024, the slight positive economic profit and margin imply the company has started to generate economic value beyond its costs, signaling a potential shift to sustainable financial health.