Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT demonstrates notable variability over the observed period. It increased from 3,858 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 4,733 million in 2021, followed by a significant decline to 3,016 million in 2022. Subsequently, there was a strong recovery in 2023, reaching 5,433 million, with a slight decline to 5,271 million in 2024. This pattern indicates periods of both growth and contraction, with the most substantial profitability recorded in 2023.
Cost of capital
The cost of capital showed a gradual increase from 8.41% in 2020 to 9.02% in 2023, before decreasing slightly to 8.77% in 2024. This rising trend until 2023 suggests an increasing required rate of return by investors, potentially reflecting greater perceived risk or changes in market conditions. The small reduction in 2024 may indicate a stabilization or slight improvement in the firm's risk profile or market rates.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable, with minor fluctuations. It increased marginally from 61,366 million US dollars in 2020 to 63,833 million in 2022, before decreasing to 61,495 million in 2023 and further to 60,269 million in 2024. The overall trend shows a slight contraction in invested capital after a period of modest growth, which may reflect adjustments in asset base or operational scaling.
Economic profit
The economic profit was consistently negative throughout the period, indicating that the returns generated were not sufficient to cover the cost of capital. The deficit narrowed from -1,305 million in 2020 to -603 million in 2021, then widened considerably to -2,544 million in 2022. Improvements were seen in 2023 and 2024, with losses reduced to -112 million and -13 million, respectively. This trend suggests ongoing challenges in value creation, though recent performance points to a closing gap towards breakeven.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense, debt
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense, debt
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt6
Adjusted interest expense, debt, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, debt = Adjusted interest expense, debt × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net Earnings Attributable to Mondelēz International
The net earnings demonstrated a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at 3,555 million US dollars in 2020, earnings increased notably to 4,300 million in 2021, showing significant growth. However, in 2022, there was a considerable decline to 2,717 million, representing a substantial decrease. The earnings then rose sharply in 2023 to reach 4,959 million, the highest point in the period under review, followed by a slight decline in 2024 to 4,611 million. Despite the fluctuations, the earnings in 2024 remained well above the 2020 level.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT exhibited a similar pattern to net earnings, evidencing growth from 3,858 million US dollars in 2020 to 4,733 million in 2021. There was a decline in 2022 to 3,016 million, although this was less pronounced than the drop in net earnings. In 2023, NOPAT increased sharply, reaching 5,433 million, the peak during the period. A marginal decrease to 5,271 million occurred in 2024, yet the level remained significantly higher compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net earnings and NOPAT show a cyclical pattern with peaks in 2021 and 2023, and troughs in 2022. The recovery after 2022 is strong, indicating resilience and effective operational performance. The overall upward trend from 2020 to 2024 reflects improvement in profitability and operational efficiency, despite the mid-period dip. The differences in magnitude of the declines and recoveries between net earnings and NOPAT may suggest varying impacts of operational and non-operational factors on profitability.

Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, debt
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes fluctuated over the five-year period. It decreased from 1224 million USD in 2020 to 865 million USD in 2022, indicating a downward trend during these years. However, the figure rose sharply to 1537 million USD in 2023, the highest level in the series, before slightly declining to 1469 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests variable tax charges, possibly influenced by changes in profitability, tax regulations, or accounting estimates.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a generally volatile trend as well. Starting at 1387 million USD in 2020, there was a decline to 1003 million USD by 2022. Subsequently, the amount increased substantially to 1697 million USD in 2023, marking the peak in this timeframe. The value then decreased to 1328 million USD in 2024. This fluctuation may reflect differences in actual cash paid versus tax provisions, timing of payments, or underlying operational profitability.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Restructuring Program liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases displayed a fluctuating trend over the given periods. It initially decreased from 20,706 million USD in 2020 to 20,145 million USD in 2021. However, it rose significantly to 23,613 million USD in 2022, indicating a marked increase in leverage or obligations during that year. Subsequently, the debt declined again to 20,110 million USD in 2023 and further decreased to 18,544 million USD in 2024, suggesting efforts to reduce debt levels after the peak in 2022.
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Shareholders’ equity showed moderate variation but remained relatively stable throughout the years. An increase was observed from 27,578 million USD in 2020 to 28,269 million USD in 2021, followed by a decline to 26,883 million USD in 2022. Equity then recovered to 28,332 million USD in 2023 before a slight decrease to 26,932 million USD in 2024. These fluctuations may reflect changes in retained earnings, share repurchases, or other equity transactions.
Invested capital
Invested capital exhibited an overall stable pattern with some minor fluctuations. Starting at 61,366 million USD in 2020, it increased marginally to 61,560 million USD in 2021 and reached a peak of 63,833 million USD in 2022. However, it dropped to 61,495 million USD in 2023 and further declined to 60,269 million USD in 2024. This trend indicates that the company maintained a steady level of capital investment with slight adjustments possibly related to asset acquisitions or disposals and working capital changes.

Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit shows a highly volatile trend over the analyzed periods. Initially, the value improved significantly from -1305 million USD in 2020 to -603 million USD in 2021, indicating a reduction in economic losses. However, this was followed by a substantial deterioration in 2022, with economic profit declining to -2544 million USD. The subsequent years demonstrated a marked recovery, with losses shrinking to -112 million USD in 2023 and further improving to nearly break-even at -13 million USD in 2024. This pattern suggests a fluctuation in value creation performance, with the company slightly recovering after a sharp downturn.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced moderate fluctuations throughout the periods. It remained relatively stable, with a modest increase from 61,366 million USD in 2020 to 63,833 million USD in 2022, potentially reflecting some investments or asset acquisitions. After 2022, invested capital decreased marginally to 61,495 million USD in 2023 and further to 60,269 million USD in 2024. This slight decline in invested capital in recent years might suggest divestitures, asset optimization, or capital return strategies.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio also exhibited substantial variability aligned with economic profit trends. Starting at -2.13% in 2020, it improved to -0.98% in 2021, indicating a reduction in the gap between return on invested capital and cost of capital. However, a sharp decline occurred in 2022, dropping to -3.99%, signifying increased inefficiency or higher costs relative to returns. The spread then narrowed notably to -0.18% in 2023 and further approached neutral at -0.02% in 2024, reflecting improved capital efficiency and financial performance closer to covering capital costs.
Overall Insights
The data reveal a cyclical pattern with an initial improvement in financial performance, followed by a significant setback in 2022 and a subsequent recovery through 2023 and 2024. The economically negative spread and profit ratios indicate that for most of the periods, the company operated below its cost of capital, but recent years suggest a trajectory toward achieving better capital efficiency and minimizing losses. The relative stability and slight decrease in invested capital concurrently support the notion of a strategic adjustment in asset base or capital deployment during this timeframe.

Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Net Revenues
The net revenues exhibit a consistent upward trend over the observed period. Starting at 26,581 million US dollars at the end of 2020, they increase steadily each year, reaching 36,441 million US dollars by the end of 2024. This represents a cumulative growth indicating positive sales performance and possibly expanding market share or pricing power.
Economic Profit
The economic profit values remain negative throughout the period but show fluctuations. Initially, there is an improvement from -1,305 million US dollars in 2020 to -603 million in 2021, suggesting a reduction in economic losses. However, 2022 shows a sharp decline to -2,544 million, indicating increased economic losses. Subsequently, economic profit improves significantly in 2023 and 2024, reaching -112 million and -13 million US dollars respectively, pointing to a near break-even state by the end of 2024.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrors the trend seen in economic profit. It begins at -4.91% in 2020, improves to -2.1% in 2021, and then deteriorates substantially to -8.08% in 2022. After this low, a strong recovery is observed in 2023 and 2024, with margins improving to -0.31% and -0.04%, respectively. This indicates an improving efficiency or profitability relative to net revenues, approaching a situation where the company nearly generates positive economic profit margin.
General Insights
The data depicts a scenario where revenue growth is steady and positive, while economic profit and its margin face volatility. The sharp dip in 2022 economic profit contrasts with the steady revenue increase, suggesting increased costs or investments that year. The subsequent recovery in economic profit and margin towards near neutrality indicates effective cost management or operational improvements in the following years. Overall, the financial profile appears to be moving towards improved economic value generation, although sustained positive economic profit has not yet been achieved by the end of 2024.