Stock Analysis on Net

Mondelēz International Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2025 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The economic performance over the five-year period is characterized by significant volatility in economic profit, reflecting an inconsistent ability to generate returns that exceed the cost of capital. While the cost of capital and invested capital remained relatively stable, substantial fluctuations in net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) drove the transitions between value creation and value destruction.

NOPAT Volatility and Operational Impact
Net operating profit after taxes exhibited substantial variance, decreasing from 4,733 million in 2021 to 3,016 million in 2022, before reaching a peak of 5,433 million in 2023. A downward trend followed, with a sharp decline to 2,920 million by 2025. This instability in operating earnings is the primary driver of the fluctuations in the organization's economic profit.
Capital Structure and Cost of Capital Stability
Invested capital remained relatively constant, fluctuating within a range of 60,269 million to 63,833 million. Concurrently, the cost of capital stayed within a narrow band between 8.16% and 8.56%. The stability of these two metrics indicates that the inability to maintain positive economic profit is rooted in operational earnings volatility rather than shifts in capital deployment or the cost of funding.
Economic Profit and Value Generation Trends
Economic profit was negative for most of the analyzed period, indicating that the returns on invested capital were insufficient to cover the required cost of capital. Value destruction was most acute in 2022 and 2025, with losses of 2,266 million and 2,099 million, respectively. A temporary period of value creation was observed in 2023 and 2024, where economic profit turned positive, peaking at 251 million in 2024.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mondelēz International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring Program liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.

5 2025 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2025 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International.


Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. While net earnings attributable to Mondelēz International demonstrated volatility, NOPAT generally tracked a similar pattern, though with differing magnitudes. An initial decline was followed by a period of growth, then a subsequent decrease.

Overall Trend
NOPAT began at US$4,733 million in 2021, decreased to US$3,016 million in 2022, then increased significantly to US$5,433 million in 2023. This upward momentum continued, albeit at a slower pace, reaching US$5,271 million in 2024 before declining to US$2,920 million in 2025.
Year-over-Year Changes
The largest year-over-year decrease occurred between 2021 and 2022, with NOPAT falling by US$1,717 million. Conversely, the most substantial increase was observed between 2022 and 2023, with NOPAT rising by US$2,417 million. A moderate decrease of US$162 million was noted between 2023 and 2024, followed by a more pronounced decline of US$2,351 million between 2024 and 2025.
Relationship to Net Earnings
In 2021, NOPAT exceeded net earnings by US$433 million. This difference narrowed in 2022, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$299 million. In 2023, NOPAT surpassed net earnings by US$474 million. The gap widened again in 2024 to US$660 million, but then contracted significantly in 2025, with NOPAT exceeding net earnings by only US$469 million. This suggests a changing relationship between operating profitability and overall net income.

The considerable decrease in NOPAT in 2025 warrants further investigation to determine the underlying factors contributing to this decline. The fluctuations observed throughout the period suggest sensitivity to external economic conditions or internal operational changes.


Cash Operating Taxes

Mondelēz International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).


The provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes exhibited fluctuating behavior between 2021 and 2025. While both metrics moved in similar directions, notable differences in magnitude and specific year-over-year changes were observed.

Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes decreased from US$1,190 million in 2021 to US$865 million in 2022, representing a substantial decline. This was followed by a significant increase to US$1,537 million in 2023. A further, though smaller, increase occurred in 2024, reaching US$1,469 million, before decreasing considerably to US$782 million in 2025. The volatility suggests potential impacts from changes in tax regulations, geographic earnings mix, or the recognition of tax benefits.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a decrease from US$1,066 million in 2021 to US$1,003 million in 2022. A marked increase was then recorded in 2023, with cash operating taxes reaching US$1,697 million. This was followed by a decrease to US$1,328 million in 2024, and a further decline to US$900 million in 2025. The pattern mirrors that of the provision for income taxes, but the absolute values are consistently lower.
Relationship between Provision and Cash Taxes
In 2021 and 2022, the difference between the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes was relatively small, approximately US$124 million and US$162 million respectively. However, this difference widened significantly in 2023 to US$160 million, decreased in 2024 to US$141 million, and then increased again in 2025 to US$182 million. This divergence suggests changes in the timing of tax payments relative to reported income, potentially due to deferred tax assets or liabilities, or differences in tax accounting versus cash accounting methods.
Overall Trend
Both measures experienced a peak in 2023, followed by a decline in 2024 and 2025. The 2025 values for both the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes represent the lowest levels observed during the analyzed period. This suggests a potential reduction in taxable income or increased utilization of tax credits in the latter years.

Invested Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Short-term borrowings
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances for credit losses3
Restructuring Program liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring Program liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mondelēz International shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.


The invested capital of the company exhibited relative stability over the five-year period, with fluctuations occurring between approximately US$60.3 billion and US$63.8 billion. A slight increase is observed from 2021 to 2022, followed by a decrease in 2023, and a further decrease in 2024. The final year, 2025, shows a modest increase, returning invested capital to levels similar to those seen in 2021.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
Total reported debt and leases increased significantly from 2021 to 2022, rising from US$20.1 billion to US$23.6 billion. This was followed by a substantial decrease in 2023 to US$20.1 billion, and a further reduction in 2024 to US$18.5 billion. A subsequent increase is noted in 2025, reaching US$21.968 billion. This indicates active debt management and potential shifts in financing strategies.
Total Shareholders’ Equity
Total shareholders’ equity experienced a decrease from 2021 to 2022, moving from US$28.3 billion to US$26.9 billion. It then increased in 2023 to US$28.3 billion, before decreasing again in 2024 to US$26.9 billion, and finally declining further in 2025 to US$25.8 billion. This suggests potential impacts from net income, dividends, and share repurchases on equity value.
Relationship between Debt, Equity, and Invested Capital
Invested capital is calculated as the sum of total debt and shareholders’ equity. The fluctuations in both debt and equity contribute to the observed stability in invested capital. While debt levels decreased in 2023 and 2024, equity also decreased, partially offsetting the impact on the overall invested capital figure. The increase in debt in 2025, coupled with a further decrease in equity, resulted in a modest increase in invested capital.

The observed patterns suggest a dynamic capital structure, with the company actively managing its debt and equity positions. Further investigation into the underlying drivers of these changes, such as profitability, investment activities, and financing decisions, would be necessary for a more comprehensive understanding.


Cost of Capital

Mondelēz International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mondelēz International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2025 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance from 2021 to 2025 is characterized by significant volatility in value creation, with the company alternating between periods of economic value destruction and marginal value generation.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited sharp fluctuations over the analyzed period. A negative position in 2021 of -334 million US$ deteriorated significantly in 2022 to -2,266 million US$. A recovery occurred in 2023 and 2024, with profits turning positive at 168 million US$ and 251 million US$, respectively. However, this upward trajectory reversed sharply in 2025, with economic profit falling to -2,099 million US$, indicating a substantial failure to exceed the cost of capital in the final year.
Invested Capital Stability
Invested capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 60,269 million US$ and 63,833 million US$. After a peak in 2022, the capital base contracted slightly through 2024 before returning to 61,526 million US$ by the end of 2025. The consistency of the invested capital suggests that the volatility observed in economic profit is driven by operational returns rather than significant shifts in the company's asset base or capital structure.
Economic Spread Ratio Dynamics
The economic spread ratio closely mirrors the trajectory of economic profit, reflecting the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital. The ratio declined from -0.54% in 2021 to a low of -3.55% in 2022. A positive transition was achieved in 2023 (0.27%) and 2024 (0.42%), signaling a brief period where the company generated returns in excess of its cost of capital. This positive trend was negated in 2025, as the ratio plummeted to -3.41%, returning the organization to a state of economic value destruction.

Economic Profit Margin

Mondelēz International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
PepsiCo Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2025 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory between 2021 and 2025 is characterized by a consistent expansion in scale contrasted by significant volatility in economic value creation. While net revenues demonstrated an uninterrupted upward trend, economic profit and the resulting margin exhibited substantial fluctuations, indicating that revenue growth did not consistently translate into returns exceeding the cost of capital.

Net Revenue Trends
A steady increase in net revenues is observed throughout the period, growing from 28,720 million USD in 2021 to 38,537 million USD by 2025. This represents a consistent expansion of the top line, reflecting sustained market growth or pricing adjustments over the five-year horizon.
Economic Profit Volatility
Economic profit experienced extreme variance, beginning with a deficit of 334 million USD in 2021 and deepening significantly to a loss of 2,266 million USD in 2022. A recovery phase occurred in 2023 and 2024, where the figure turned positive, peaking at 251 million USD. However, this trend reversed sharply in 2025, with economic profit falling to negative 2,099 million USD.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute profit figures. A sharp decline to -7.19% occurred in 2022, followed by a transition to positive value creation in 2023 (0.47%) and 2024 (0.69%). The period concluded with a significant contraction to -5.45% in 2025. The divergence between the rising revenue and the fluctuating margin suggests that capital charges or operational costs periodically outweighed the gains from increased sales volume.